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Georgia Tech 56 at Pittsburgh 28

PITT
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+3PITT 3.3%Isaac Bennett 35 Yd pass from TreyAnderson (Chris Blewitt Kick)AWAY 49 - HOME 28 · Q4 8:19
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:19 · Isaac Bennett 35 Yd pass from Trey Anderson (Chris Blewitt Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 144Home team on offense−39.4Score differential−26.0Garbage-time factor−14.1Pregame prior+1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:32: James Conner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) — PITT win probability +10.9 pts (now 39%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:24: James Conner 4 Yd Run (Chris Blewitt Kick) — PITT win probability +7.5 pts (now 41%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:16: Broderick Snoddy 28 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick) — GT win probability +14.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:21: James Conner 16 Yd Run (Chris Blewitt Kick) — PITT win probability +12.3 pts (now 28%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:22: Tony Zenon 57 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick) — GT win probability +12.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 1 of 3GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 1:36GT 4th & 2 at PITT 18, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    62.9%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    62.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q2 8:54GT 4th & 12 at GT 27, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:59GT 4th & 2 at GT 33, up 14
    Close callPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:56PITT 4th & 4 at GT 44, down 14
    Close callPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    35.5%−1.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00GT 4th & 15 at PITT 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−2.6
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−7.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 2:50GT 4th & 2 at GT 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    82.7%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q4 11:32PITT 4th & 7 at PITT 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  8. Q4 2:37PITT 4th & 11 at GT 19, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4GT made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 12:57GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:04GT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 10:40GT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 9:44GT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:32PITT Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:24PITT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:16GT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:21PITT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:22GT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:01GT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:19PITT Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.1%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 5:01GT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1FUMBLE
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:3163% → 63%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.6%
James Conner run for 4 yds to the Pitt 29Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
62.6%
Chad Voytik run for 9 yds to the Pitt 38 Chad Voytik fumbled, recovered by GTechSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2TD
4 plays · 38 yds · 1:1338% → 38%
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+33
62.5%
Justin Thomas run for 33 yds to the Pitt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
62.4%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (NA) to the Pitt 10Similar
Q1 13:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
62.3%
Tim Byerly run for 6 yds to the Pitt 4Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
61.6%
Broderick Snoddy run for 4 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · 74 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+74
61.7%
James Conner run for 74 yds James Conner fumbled, recovered by GTechSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:2638% → 40%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
61.7%
Synjyn Days run for 3 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-2
61.3%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 21Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+79
59.8%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Charles Perkins for 79 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:0760% → 59%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
59.5%
Chad Voytik pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-7
59.4%
Isaac Bennett run for a loss of 7 yards to the Pitt 14 Isaac Bennett fumbled, recovered by GTechSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6TD
1 play · 14 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
56.7%
Justin Thomas run for 14 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
57.9%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 11 yds Tyler Boyd fumbled, recovered by GTech , return for 1 yd to the Pitt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8TD
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:3644% → 45%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
56.2%
Synjyn Days run for 1 yd to the Pitt 34Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+34
55.2%
Broderick Snoddy run for 34 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · 57 yds · 3:0553% → 50%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
52.8%
Chad Voytik run for 5 yds to the Pitt 18Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+13
52.4%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 13 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+22
52.3%
Chad Voytik pass complete to J.P. Holtz for 22 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
52.2%
James Conner run for 3 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+11
51.9%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Ronald Jones for 11 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
51.3%
Chris James run for 3 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
50.4%
Chad Voytik run for no gain to the GTech 30 Chad Voytik fumbled, recovered by GTechSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10DOWNS
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:4649% → 57%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
50.6%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+11
50.4%
Justin Thomas run for 11 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
49.6%
Synjyn Days run for 5 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+5
48.5%
Deon Hill run for 5 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
47.6%
Synjyn Days run for 13 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
47.1%
Tony Zenon run for 5 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+5
46.0%
Synjyn Days run for 5 yds to the Pitt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
45.6%
Synjyn Days run for no gain to the Pitt 26Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+8
44.3%
Justin Thomas run for 8 yds to the Pitt 18Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 2
OPP 18
0
42.8%
Justin Thomas run for no gain to the Pitt 18Similar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 2
OPP 18
-3
43.5%
Deon Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 11TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 4:5541% → 39%
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
41.2%
Chris James run for 5 yds to the Pitt 26Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+6
39.9%
Chris James run for 6 yds to the Pitt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
39.7%
Chris James run for 3 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+2
38.9%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 2 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+9
37.8%
Chad Voytik pass complete to J.P. Holtz for 9 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+21
38.4%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 21 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+23
39.5%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Chris James for 23 yds to the GTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
32.6%
Chris James run for 6 yds to the GTech 4Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
27.7%
Chad Voytik pass complete to J.P. Holtz for 3 yds to the GTech 1Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.7%
James Conner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:2666% → 70%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
33.8%
Tim Byerly run for 5 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+8
32.5%
Synjyn Days run for 8 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
31.1%
Broderick Snoddy run for 4 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
30.0%
Tim Byerly run for no gain to the GTech 32 Tim Byerly fumbled, recovered by GTechSimilar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
30.3%
Tim Byerly pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 7
OWN 32
-6
30.6%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (NA) to the GTech 27Similar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 12
OWN 27
0
30.5%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyler Boyd at the Pitt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:1633% → 41%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
32.9%
Chad Voytik run for 8 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+50
34.3%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 50 yds to the GTech 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
34.9%
James Conner run for 6 yds to the GTech 7Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+3
33.8%
James Conner run for 3 yds to the GTech 4Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
41.4%
James Conner 4 Yd Run (Chris Blewitt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5161% → 61%
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
38.7%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 20Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
39.0%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+13
39.4%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Darren Waller for 13 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+6
38.7%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 39 yds , Tyler Boyd returns for 6 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:4438% → 36%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
37.9%
Chris James run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 32Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+9
36.7%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Kevin Weatherspoon for 9 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+9
38.3%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Rachid Ibrahim for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
50
-8
38.3%
Chad Voytik sacked by Adam Gotsis for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 42Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 18
OWN 42
+14
36.3%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 14 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
36.7%
Chad Voytik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:56
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
36.3%
Ryan Winslow punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16DOWNS
15 plays · 60 yds · 1:4467% → 69%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
33.4%
Justin Thomas run for 3 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
33.1%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to DeAndre SmelterSimilar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+12
33.5%
Justin Thomas run for 12 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
32.7%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Darren Waller for 11 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+26
31.0%
Justin Thomas pass complete to DeAndre Smelter for 26 yds to the Pitt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
30.1%
Justin Thomas run for 4 yds to the Pitt 24Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+3
30.0%
Synjyn Days run for 3 yds to the Pitt 21Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+6
30.3%
Justin Thomas run for 6 yds to the Pitt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
29.8%
- Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
29.5%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 10
OPP 15
-5
30.1%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (NA) to the Pitt 20Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 15
OPP 20
0
29.4%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Darren WallerSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 15
OPP 20
+37
31.1%
Harrison Butker 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2468% → 88%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
31.9%
Synjyn Days run for 2 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
31.3%
Synjyn Days run for 11 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
29.7%
Synjyn Days run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
50
+1
28.0%
Justin Thomas run for 1 yd to the Pitt 49Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+3
27.2%
Synjyn Days run for 3 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+18
26.5%
Justin Thomas pass complete to DeAndre Smelter for 18 yds to the Pitt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
12.5%
Broderick Snoddy 28 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 4:3419% → 28%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
18.6%
Chris James run for 2 yds to the Pitt 26Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 8
OWN 26
-9
18.0%
Chad Voytik sacked by Adam Gotsis for a loss of 9 yards to the Pitt 17Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 17
OWN 17
+21
16.4%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 21 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
15.5%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 8 yds to the Pitt 46Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+21
15.5%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 21 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
16.5%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Scott OrndoffSimilar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
15.8%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Ronald Jones for 4 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+8
14.7%
Chad Voytik run for 8 yds to the GTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
15.2%
James Conner run for 5 yds to the GTech 16Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+16
27.5%
James Conner 16 Yd Run (Chris Blewitt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 19FUMBLE
18 plays · 68 yds · 8:2880% → 92%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
20.2%
Synjyn Days run for 9 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+5
19.5%
Synjyn Days run for 5 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
18.9%
Justin Thomas run for 1 yd to the GTech 34Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+3
18.4%
Synjyn Days run for 3 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+4
17.7%
Tony Zenon run for 4 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 2
OWN 41
+6
16.2%
Synjyn Days run for 6 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
14.4%
Synjyn Days run for 4 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+6
14.1%
Broderick Snoddy run for 6 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
13.1%
Synjyn Days run for 9 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+3
12.1%
Synjyn Days run for 3 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
11.6%
Justin Thomas run for 5 yds to the Pitt 26Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+4
11.3%
Synjyn Days run for 4 yds to the Pitt 22Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+1
9.5%
Justin Thomas run for 1 yd to the Pitt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
8.9%
Deon Hill run for 7 yds to the Pitt 14Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+1
8.4%
Synjyn Days run for 1 yd to the Pitt 13Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 2
OPP 13
0
8.2%
Synjyn Days run for no gain to the Pitt 13 Synjyn Days fumbled, recovered by PittSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5115% → 14%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
14.9%
Chad Voytik pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
14.7%
James Conner run for 3 yds to the Pitt 16Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
14.2%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Manasseh GarnerSimilar
Q4 11:32
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
14.1%
Ryan Winslow punt for 41 yds , Jamal Golden returns for no gain to the GTech 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21TD
1 play · 57 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
1.8%
Tony Zenon 57 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 22FUMBLE
4 plays · -17 yds · 0:363% → 3%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
3.3%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 3 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
3.2%
Chad Voytik sacked by Paul Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 25 Chad Voytik fumbled, recovered by PittSimilar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-17
3.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 17 yards to the Pitt 8 TEAM fumbled, recovered by GTechSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 23TD
1 play · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
0.4%
Deon Hill 8 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 24TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:310% → 3%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.4%
Rachid Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Pitt 26Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
0.3%
Trey Anderson pass complete to Manasseh Garner for 11 yds to the Pitt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
0.3%
Trey Anderson pass complete to Ronald Jones for 5 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+23
0.3%
Trey Anderson pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 23 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
0.3%
Trey Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
3.3%
Isaac Bennett 35 Yd pass from Trey Anderson (Chris Blewitt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 25TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5999% → 100%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
1.3%
B.J. Bostic run for 6 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+25
1.2%
Matt Connors run for 25 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
1.0%
Tim Byerly run for 9 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+3
0.9%
Dennis Andrews run for 3 yds to the Pitt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
0.7%
Tim Byerly run for 5 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+21
0.7%
Matt Connors run for 21 yds to the Pitt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
0.2%
Matt Connors 6 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 26DOWNS
12 plays · 56 yds · 2:240% → 0%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Trey Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Trey Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+39
0.2%
Trey Anderson pass complete to Kevin Weatherspoon for 39 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
0.2%
Trey Anderson pass complete to Manasseh Garner for 7 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
0.2%
Trey Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+11
0.2%
Trey Anderson pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 11 yds to the GTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
0.2%
Trey Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+4
0.2%
Trey Anderson pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 4 yds to the GTech 14Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 6
OPP 14
-5
0.2%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (NA) to the GTech 19Similar
Q4 2:44
3RD & 11
OPP 19
0
0.1%
Trey Anderson pass incomplete to Manasseh GarnerSimilar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 11
OPP 19
0
0.1%
Trey Anderson pass incomplete to Tyler BoydSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:10100% → 100%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
0.1%
Matt Connors run for 2 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+7
0.1%
Tim Byerly run for 7 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+6
0.1%
Broderick Snoddy run for 6 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
0.1%
Matt Connors run for 2 yds to the GTech 36Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+5
0.1%
Tim Byerly run for 5 yds to the GTech 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:16
Broderick Snoddy 28 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)
-14.1
TD · Q3 6:21
James Conner 16 Yd Run (Chris Blewitt Kick)
+12.3
TD · Q4 11:22
Tony Zenon 57 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)
-12.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com