Try the model
GASO

Georgia Southern 38 at Georgia Tech 42

GT
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Ryan Rodwell punt for 43 yds, downed at the GeoSo 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Pregame prior+15.0Home team on offense+7.8Score differential+0.7Garbage-time factor+2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:50: Justin Thomas pass complete to DeAndre Smelter for 57 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +3.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:02: Matt Breida run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +7.1 pts (now 12%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:41: Kevin Ellison pass complete to BJ Johnson for 68 yds for a TD, (Kevin Ellison failed ) — GASO win probability +12.8 pts (now 21%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:46: Alfred Ramsby run for 11 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Kevin Ellison pass to BJ Johnson GOOD) — GASO win probability +32.0 pts (now 58%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:23: Justin Thomas pass complete to Deon Hill for 13 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +32.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:45GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:15GT 4th & 1 at GASO 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    90.2%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    88.9%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:15GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:26GASO 4th & 8 at GT 10, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:14GASO 4th & 17 at GASO 18, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:38GT 4th & 20 at GASO 47, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:04GASO 4th & 1 at GT 32, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:56GT 4th & 8 at GT 37, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:54GT 4th & 3 at GT 47, up 11
    Close callPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00GT 4th & 11 at GASO 48, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−1.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:46GT 4th & 5 at GT 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:45GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:42GT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:43GASO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:15GT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:27GT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:50GT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:04GASO Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:02GASO Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:46GASO Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    43.3%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    44.0%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:23GT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.4 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%−1.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1594% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+63
93.9%
Charles Perkins run for 63 yds to the GeoSo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
93.9%
Tony Zenon run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 8Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
93.7%
Justin Thomas run for 8 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
93.7%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
93.7%
Kevin Ellison run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
93.7%
Zach Walker run for no gain to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q1 13:45
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
93.7%
Ryan Nowicki punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jamal Golden at the GTech 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 4:1694% → 94%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
93.5%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete, broken up by Antwione WilliamsSimilar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+23
93.5%
Justin Thomas run for 23 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
93.5%
Zach Laskey run for 5 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+23
93.5%
Deon Hill run for 8 yds to the GATECH 48 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (Edwin Jackson) to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
93.6%
Zach Laskey run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+1
93.6%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Charles Perkins for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+11
93.5%
Justin Thomas run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
93.6%
Zach Laskey run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 5
OPP 10
-2
93.6%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+12
93.8%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Zach Laskey for 12 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 0:527% → 7%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
93.5%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
93.5%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to BJ JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+69
92.7%
Matt Breida run for 69 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5TD
15 plays · 84 yds · 7:2093% → 93%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
92.7%
Zach Laskey run for 6 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+8
92.7%
Justin Thomas run for 8 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
92.7%
Zach Laskey run for 4 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+5
92.7%
Justin Thomas run for 5 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
92.8%
Justin Thomas run for 3 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
92.8%
Justin Thomas run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (Rashad Williams) to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
92.9%
Justin Thomas run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+15
92.9%
Dennis Andrews run for 15 yds to the GeoSo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
92.9%
Synjyn Days run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+7
92.9%
Synjyn Days run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
92.9%
Justin Thomas run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
92.9%
Deon Hill run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
91.7%
Tim Byerly run for no gain to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.4%
Tim Byerly run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.9%
Favian Upshaw run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
92.8%
Alfred Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-3
92.8%
Alfred Ramsby run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
93.0%
Ryan Nowicki punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jamal Golden at the GTech 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 4:5893% → 97%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
93.4%
Justin Thomas pass complete to DeAndre Smelter for 9 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+2
93.6%
Zach Laskey run for 2 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-4
93.6%
Charles Perkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 14
OWN 39
-8
93.5%
Justin Thomas sacked by Jonathan Battle for a loss of 8 yards to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 22
OWN 31
+22
93.2%
Justin Thomas pass complete to DeAndre Smelter for 22 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+33
93.7%
Justin Thomas run for 33 yds to the GeoSo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
93.7%
Zach Laskey run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 8Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+4
93.7%
Justin Thomas run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.8%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Darren Waller for 4 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:014% → 6%
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.0%
Upshaw, Favian pass incomplete to Johnson, BJ, PENALTY GT pass interference (White, D.) 15 yards to the GSU40, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
95.9%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+8
95.9%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Nardo Govan for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
50
+24
95.7%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Zach Walker for 24 yds to the GTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
95.5%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GTech 25Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+13
95.5%
Alfred Ramsby run for 13 yds to the GTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
95.5%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Zach Walker for 2 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
95.5%
Favian Upshaw pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
95.7%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to BJ JohnsonSimilar
Q2 4:26
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
93.8%
Alex Hanks 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 2:2895% → 98%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
94.5%
Zach Laskey run for 3 yds to the GTech 17Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 7
OWN 17
-1
94.5%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 16Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+26
94.2%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Darren Waller for 26 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
94.7%
Justin Thomas run for 1 yd to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+57
97.9%
Justin Thomas pass complete to DeAndre Smelter for 57 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:365% → 6%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
Kevin Ellison run for no gain to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
95.0%
Kevin Ellison sacked by Roderick Rook-Chungong and Shawn Green for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
93.9%
Ryan Nowicki punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jamal Golden at the GTech 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 0:2798% → 97%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.5%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Deon HillSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
97.5%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to DeAndre SmelterSimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+18
97.5%
Justin Thomas pass complete to DeAndre Smelter for 18 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
97.6%
Thomas, J. rush for 4 yards to the GSU33 (Dobson, Matt), PENALTY GT holding (Braun, T.) 10 yards to the GSU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 20
OPP 47
0
97.5%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Darren WallerSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 20
OPP 47
0
97.5%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Darren Waller, broken up by Valdon CooperSimilar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 20
OPP 47
0
97.4%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Tony ZenonSimilar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 20
OPP 47
0
97.3%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
94.7%
Alfred Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:562% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
97.6%
Matt Breida run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
97.5%
Matt Breida run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+8
97.4%
Montay Crockett run for 8 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
97.4%
Kevin Ellison run for 13 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
97.2%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Zach Walker for 1 yd to the GTech 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+1
97.2%
Kevin Ellison run for 1 yd to the GTech 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
-8
97.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 23 yards to the GTech 41 TEAM fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Kevin Ellison GEORGIA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Paul Davis) to the GTech 41Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
97.4%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
97.3%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Lennie RichardsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+5
97.4%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Zach Walker for 5 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+32
94.9%
Kevin Ellison run for 32 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.5%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Micheal SummersSimilar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
96.5%
Deon Hill run for 2 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
96.5%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to B.J. BosticSimilar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+11
96.2%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 49 yds , Tray Butler returns for 11 yds to the GeoSo 48 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, illegal block (Steve Williams) to the GeoSo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 1:464% → 12%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
95.7%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+38
95.7%
Kevin Ellison run for 38 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+43
95.1%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Kentrellis Showers for 43 yds to the GTech 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.0%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
90.9%
Zach Laskey run for 4 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+8
91.0%
Zach Laskey run for 8 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
91.5%
Zach Laskey run for 4 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+1
91.5%
Justin Thomas run for 1 yd to the GTech 45Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+2
91.1%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Broderick Snoddy for 2 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q3 6:54
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
90.6%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 1:499% → 21%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
91.2%
Alfred Ramsby run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
91.2%
Kevin Ellison run for no gain to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+11
91.7%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Zach Walker for 11 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
78.9%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to BJ Johnson for 68 yds for a TD, (Kevin Ellison failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 1:4182% → 80%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
81.7%
Tony Zenon run for 7 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
82.9%
Zach Laskey run for 7 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
82.8%
B.J. Bostic run for 5 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-15
83.6%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, illegal block (Trey Braun) to the GTech 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 29
+24
80.6%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Zach Laskey for 24 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
83.5%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Tony ZenonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-1
83.2%
Dennis Andrews run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 48
0
81.6%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to DeAndre SmelterSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
79.7%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 43 yds, downed at the GeoSo 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19TD
7 plays · 94 yds · 3:1621% → 58%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+20
78.9%
Devin Scott run for 20 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
78.1%
Zach Walker run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+8
78.8%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Ryan Longoria for 8 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+25
78.3%
Kevin Ellison run for 25 yds to the GTech 44 Kevin Ellison fumbled, forced by Demond Smith, recovered by GeoSo for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
74.2%
Matt Breida run for 5 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+28
73.6%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Matt Breida for 28 yds to the GTech 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
41.7%
Alfred Ramsby run for 11 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Kevin Ellison pass to BJ Johnson GOOD)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
53.9%
Justin Thomas run for 11 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
55.1%
Justin Thomas run for 2 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
55.6%
Zach Laskey run for 3 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
56.3%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Darren Waller, broken up by Deion StanleySimilar
Q4 10:46
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
52.6%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21FUMBLE
11 plays · 57 yds · 0:0056% → 63%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
44.0%
Alfred Ramsby run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 5
OWN 20
-5
43.8%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
44.5%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Ryan LongoriaSimilar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+23
46.2%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Kentrellis Showers for 23 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
41.0%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Kentrellis ShowersSimilar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
41.3%
Zach Walker run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+10
42.8%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Matt Breida for 10 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
39.6%
Favian Upshaw run for 15 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
39.3%
Alfred Ramsby run for 6 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+6
37.2%
Alfred Ramsby run for 6 yds to the GTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
37.2%
Favian Upshaw run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 28 Favian Upshaw fumbled, forced by Jamal Golden, recovered by GTech KeShun FreemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 8:2651% → 91%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
50.6%
Zach Laskey run for 5 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+5
52.8%
Deon Hill run for 5 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
52.1%
B.J. Bostic run for 11 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
55.1%
Zach Laskey run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
55.9%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to DeAndre SmelterSimilar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+12
54.4%
Justin Thomas run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
56.0%
Zach Laskey run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+14
58.2%
Justin Thomas run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
58.2%
Zach Laskey run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
58.2%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to DeAndre SmelterSimilar
Q4 0:23
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+13
91.2%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Deon Hill for 13 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23END OF GAME
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:1522% → 15%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
77.6%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Matt Breida for 14 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
78.5%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete, broken up by D.J. WhiteSimilar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
85.5%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete, broken up by Jamal GoldenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:23
Justin Thomas pass complete to Deon Hill for 13 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)
+32.9
TD · Q4 10:46
Alfred Ramsby run for 11 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Kevin Ellison pass to BJ Johnson GOOD)
-32
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+14.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com