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FSU

Florida State 38 at Syracuse 20

SYR
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadFSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreFSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the Syrac 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:37: Jameis Winston pass complete to Mario Pender for 4 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +3.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:38: Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 21 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +5.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:38: Jameis Winston pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 7 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +4.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:21: Aj Long pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 22 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +7.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:37: Aj Long pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 35 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +4.1 pts (now 4%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 6FSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 1:23FSU 4th & 11 at SYR 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    83.7%−1.7
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:52SYR 4th & 4 at FSU 4, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.4%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−2.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:24SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 47, down 14
    Close callPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:18SYR 4th & 9 at FSU 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    11.0%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:53SYR 4th & 6 at FSU 6, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:45SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 29, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:58FSU 4th & 3 at FSU 25, up 18
    Close callPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:25SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 36, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:24FSU 4th & 18 at FSU 40, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 1 of 2FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:10FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:37FSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:38FSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:38FSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:21SYR Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:45FSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:37SYR Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FSUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:3891% → 90%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
9.1%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 9 yds to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+6
9.1%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 6 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
9.4%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Mario Pender for 9 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 1
OPP 46
0
9.7%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Jesus Wilson for no gain to the Syrac 46Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
9.8%
Mario Pender run for 3 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
10.1%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 14 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
10.2%
Jameis Winston run for 5 yds to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (Darius Kelly) to the Syrac 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
9.8%
Mario Pender run for 12 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2INT
12 plays · 55 yds · 3:5010% → 11%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
10.0%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 7 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
10.2%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 3 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
10.3%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 3 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+13
10.6%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Jarrod West for 13 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
10.7%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+15
10.8%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Ben Lewis for 15 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
11.0%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+12
11.2%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Adrian Flemming for 12 yds to the FlaSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
11.3%
Austin Wilson pass incomplete to Prince-Tyson GulleySimilar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-1
11.4%
Austin Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+27
11.3%
Austin Wilson pass intercepted Jalen Ramsey return for 27 yds to the FlaSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 3FG
16 plays · 44 yds · 5:4789% → 88%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
10.7%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Mario Pender for 2 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-5
10.9%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Bobby Hart) to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+2
11.3%
Mario Pender run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+11
11.4%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 11 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
11.3%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 8 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+4
11.4%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
11.5%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
11.5%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Rashad GreeneSimilar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+7
11.7%
Winston, Jameis pass incomplete to Greene, Rashad, PENALTY SYRACUSE pass interference (Whigham, Julian) 7 yards to the SYRACUSE28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
11.5%
Jesus Wilson run for 12 yds to the Syrac 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
11.6%
Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds to the Syrac 11Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 5
OPP 11
-1
11.7%
Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 12Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 6
OPP 12
0
12.1%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Jesus WilsonSimilar
Q1 1:28
4TH & 6
OPP 12
-5
12.5%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 17Similar
Q1 1:23
4TH & 11
OPP 17
+34
12.2%
Roberto Aguayo 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4FG
14 plays · 76 yds · 3:2812% → 14%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
12.0%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 3 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
12.1%
Aj Long run for 1 yd to the Syrac 24Similar
Q1 0:24
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+7
12.0%
Aj Long pass complete to Prince-Tyson Gulley for 7 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
12.5%
Ervin Philips run for 6 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+16
12.7%
Ervin Philips run for 16 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
12.7%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 4
OPP 41
-2
12.8%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+36
12.8%
Aj Long pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 36 yds to the FlaSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
13.3%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 4Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
13.4%
Aj Long pass incomplete to Josh ParrisSimilar
Q2 12:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
13.0%
Aj Long pass incomplete to Josh ParrisSimilar
Q2 12:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
14.0%
Cole Murphy 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:0887% → 90%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
13.3%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Rashad GreeneSimilar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
13.6%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
50
+1
13.0%
Mario Pender run for 1 yd to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+44
13.2%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 44 yds to the Syrac 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
13.1%
Mario Pender run for 1 yd to the Syrac 4Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
9.8%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Mario Pender for 4 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:0310% → 11%
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
10.4%
Aj Long pass incomplete to Adrian FlemmingSimilar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
10.4%
George Morris II run for 4 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+7
10.4%
Aj Long run for 7 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
10.8%
George Morris II run for 2 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
10.9%
Aj Long pass incomplete to George Morris IISimilar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+5
10.8%
Aj Long pass complete to Adrian Flemming for 5 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 8:24
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
11.0%
Riley Dixon punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Rashad Greene at the FlaSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:2789% → 90%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
10.7%
Mario Pender run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 13Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+3
10.5%
Mario Pender run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 16 Mario Pender fumbled, forced by Robert Welsh, recovered by Syrac John RaymonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8FG
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:1911% → 13%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
11.4%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 10Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 4
OPP 10
0
11.4%
Aj Long pass incomplete to Prince-Tyson GulleySimilar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 4
OPP 10
0
11.2%
Aj Long pass incomplete to Prince-Tyson GulleySimilar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 4
OPP 10
-5
11.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (Michael Lasker) to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q2 7:18
4TH & 9
OPP 15
+32
12.7%
Cole Murphy 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:1087% → 94%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
12.8%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 9 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
12.7%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
12.8%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 13 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
12.5%
Winston, Jameis pass incomplete to Greene, Rashad, PENALTY SYRACUSE pass interference (Whigham, Julian) 15 yards to the SYRACUSE37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
12.5%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 8 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+8
12.4%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 8 yds to the Syrac 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
6.4%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 21 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10DOWNS
12 plays · 69 yds · 2:319% → 10%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
8.7%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Adonis Ameen-Moore for 8 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
9.0%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 5 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
9.2%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 11 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+41
9.4%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Jarrod West for 41 yds to the FlaSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
9.6%
Wilson, Austin pass incomplete to West, Jarrod, PENALTY FLORIDAST pass interference (Williams, P.J.) 5 yards to the FLORIDAST5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SYRACUSE. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
9.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 10Similar
Q2 3:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
9.6%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 4Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
9.5%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 6Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
9.2%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for no gain to the FlaSt 6Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
0
9.6%
Austin Wilson pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 11END OF HALF
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:4690% → 93%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+11
10.0%
Dalvin Cook run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
7.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+5
7.7%
Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 1
OWN 26
-10
7.2%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Josue Matias) to the FlaSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:088% → 8%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
8.0%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 24Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
7.9%
Aj Long pass complete to Jarrod West for 5 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
8.0%
Aj Long pass incomplete to Ben LewisSimilar
Q3 13:45
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+4
7.9%
Riley Dixon punt for 54 yds , Rashad Greene returns for 4 yds to the FlaSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 4:4393% → 99%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
7.0%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 13 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
6.9%
Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
6.8%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 4 yds to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+18
6.4%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 18 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
6.2%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 10 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
6.0%
Dalvin Cook run for 14 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
5.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the Syrac 17Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
5.7%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Rashad GreeneSimilar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+9
5.8%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 9 yds to the Syrac 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
5.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the Syrac 7Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
1.3%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 7 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:091% → 8%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
1.1%
Aj Long pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 1
OWN 43
-5
1.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (Sean Hickey) to the Syrac 38Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+35
1.1%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 35 yds to the FlaSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
1.2%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
1.2%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for no gain to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+22
8.4%
Aj Long pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 22 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5494% → 94%
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
5.6%
Mario Pender run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+2
5.5%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 2 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
5.6%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Dalvin CookSimilar
Q3 4:58
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
5.6%
Cason Beatty punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ritchy Desir at the Syrac 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:267% → 7%
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
7.2%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for no gain to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
7.0%
Aj Long pass complete to Prince-Tyson Gulley for 5 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
7.2%
Aj Long pass complete to Prince-Tyson Gulley for no gain to the Syrac 36Similar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
7.0%
Riley Dixon punt for 43 yds , Jesus Wilson returns for no gain to the FlaSt 21 Jesus Wilson fumbled, recovered by Syrac Sam RodgersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
8.4%
Aj Long pass intercepted Nate Andrews return for no gain to the FlaSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 92 yds · 4:3396% → 100%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-2
4.3%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 4 yds to the FlaSt 12 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ermon Lane) to the FlaSt 6Similar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 12
OWN 6
+4
3.7%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 10Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+19
4.2%
Jameis Winston run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 14 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (Wayne Williams) to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
3.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+9
3.8%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 9 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+34
3.6%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 34 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
3.3%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Travis Rudolph for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 13
OPP 30
+3
3.4%
Jameis Winston run for 3 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+20
3.1%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 20 yds to the Syrac 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.4%
Dalvin Cook run for 7 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:391% → 4%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.5%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 5 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
0.5%
Austin Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
0.4%
Aj Long pass complete to Prince-Tyson Gulley for 6 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
0.4%
Aj Long pass complete to Sean Avant for 6 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-3
0.4%
Aj Long pass complete to Prince-Tyson Gulley for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 39Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+17
0.4%
Aj Long pass complete to Adrian Flemming for 17 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
0.4%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+35
4.4%
Aj Long pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 35 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:0897% → 98%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.8%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Nick O'LearySimilar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+23
2.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 23 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
2.4%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-15
2.4%
Jameis Winston sacked by Ron Thompson for a loss of 15 yards to the FlaSt 37 Jameis Winston fumbled, forced by Ron Thompson, recovered by FlaStSimilar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 21
OWN 37
+3
2.5%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 3 yds to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q4 7:24
4TH & 18
OWN 40
0
2.5%
Cason Beatty punt for 48 yds, downed at the Syrac 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21INT
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:163% → 2%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
3.2%
Aj Long run for 12 yds to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
3.3%
Aj Long pass complete to Sean Avant for 7 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+4
3.2%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 4 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
2.8%
Aj Long pass complete to Prince-Tyson Gulley for 5 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
2.3%
Aj Long pass incomplete to Josh ParrisSimilar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+5
2.2%
Aj Long pass complete to Prince-Tyson Gulley for 5 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
2.2%
Aj Long pass incomplete to Adrian FlemmingSimilar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
2.2%
Aj Long pass intercepted Tyler Hunter return for no gain to the FlaSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 22END OF GAME
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:5399% → 99%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
1.5%
Dalvin Cook run for 23 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
1.4%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the Syrac 35Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+3
1.4%
Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+6
1.2%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 6 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
0.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-5
0.9%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Bobby Hart) to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 13
OPP 29
-1
0.9%
Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 30
+4
0.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:21
Aj Long pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 22 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
+7.3
TD · Q2 4:38
Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 21 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)
-5.7
TD · Q3 8:38
Jameis Winston pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 7 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com