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WAKE

Wake Forest 3 at Florida State 43

FSU
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2014 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:50 · Alexander Kinal punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Jesus Wilson at the FlaSt 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 172Pregame prior+3.2Home team on offense+36.5Score differential+31.4Blowout margin+17.9Garbage-time factor+12.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:03: Jameis Winston 2 Yd Run (Roberto Aguayo Kick) — FSU win probability +1.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:03: Roberto Aguayo 40 yd FG GOOD — FSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 12:08: Roberto Aguayo 52 yd FG GOOD — FSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:10: Mario Pender 3 Yd Run (Roberto Aguayo Kick) — FSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:55: Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards Isaiah Robinson fumbled, forced by Reggie Northrup, recovered by FlaSt Reggie Northrup , return for 31 yds (Roberto Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WAKE made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 10:34WAKE 4th & 7 at FSU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:20WAKE 4th & 8 at FSU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:46FSU 4th & 8 at WAKE 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:26WAKE 4th & 16 at WAKE 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:45FSU 4th & 10 at WAKE 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:39WAKE 4th & 30 at WAKE 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−1.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:32WAKE 4th & 11 at WAKE 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:03FSU 4th & 10 at WAKE 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:08FSU 4th & 7 at WAKE 35, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:13WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 25, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:28FSU 4th & 12 at WAKE 49, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:26WAKE 4th & 5 at FSU 46, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:22FSU 4th & 23 at WAKE 25, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:03WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 28, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:49WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 38, down 37
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:53FSU 4th & 7 at WAKE 15, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:50WAKE 4th & 11 at WAKE 41, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 1:03FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:10FSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:55FSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:10FSU Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 4:111% → 1%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
98.9%
Orville Reynolds run for no gain to the WFrst 31Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
98.9%
Orville Reynolds run for 2 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+8
98.8%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 8 yds to the WFrst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
98.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Orville ReynoldsSimilar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-5
98.8%
E.J. Scott run for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 36Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 15
OWN 36
+13
98.7%
Wolford, John pass sacked for loss of 5 yards to the WAKEFOREST31 (Goldman, Eddie), PENALTY FLORIDAST face mask (Goldman, Eddie) 13 yards to the WAKEFOREST49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WAKEFOREST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
98.7%
Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 9
50
+2
98.6%
Jared Crump run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
98.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Jared CrumpSimilar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
98.6%
Alexander Kinal punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Rashad Greene at the FlaSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2INT
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:2999% → 98%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+22
98.6%
Karlos Williams run for 22 yds to the FlaSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
98.5%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Christian Green for 7 yds to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+6
98.5%
Karlos Williams run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
98.5%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Christian GreenSimilar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
98.4%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Rashad GreeneSimilar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+26
98.4%
Jameis Winston pass intercepted Merrill Noel return for 26 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3FUMBLE
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:192% → 2%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
98.3%
Orville Reynolds run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
98.3%
Orville Reynolds run for no gain to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+11
98.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 11 yds to the FlaSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
98.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Isaiah Robinson for 5 yds to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 5
OPP 14
-4
98.0%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 18Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 9
OPP 18
-9
98.0%
John Wolford sacked by Mario Edwards Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaSt 27 John Wolford fumbled, forced by Mario Edwards Jr., recovered by FlaSt Lorenzo Featherston , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:1698% → 98%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
98.0%
Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+5
98.0%
Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+4
97.9%
Karlos Williams run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
97.9%
Karlos Williams run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 41 Karlos Williams fumbled, forced by Josh Banks, recovered by WFrst Brandon ChubbSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5FG
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:112% → 3%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
97.7%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-2
97.6%
Orville Reynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+22
97.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Brandon Terry for 22 yds to the FlaSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
97.4%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 13
OPP 23
+6
97.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Brandon Terry for 6 yds to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q1 1:46
3RD & 7
OPP 17
-1
97.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Brandon Terry for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 18Similar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+36
97.1%
Mike Weaver 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 4:2497% → 96%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Rashad GreeneSimilar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.0%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q1 0:23
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+24
96.8%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 24 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
97.0%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Cameron Erving) to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+11
96.8%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 11 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+3
96.9%
Karlos Williams run for 3 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
96.8%
Karlos Williams run for 2 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
96.6%
Jameis Winston run for 14 yds to the WFrst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
96.6%
Karlos Williams run for 2 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
96.5%
Karlos Williams run for no gain to the WFrst 26Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
96.3%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Rashad GreeneSimilar
Q2 11:46
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
96.4%
Roberto Aguayo 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 2:084% → 4%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
96.1%
John Wolford run for 5 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-9
96.0%
Orville Reynolds run for 1 yd to the WFrst 27 WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Antonio Ford) to the WFrst 17Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 14
OWN 17
-2
95.9%
Orville Reynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 15Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 16
OWN 15
0
95.9%
Jordan Garside run for no gain to the WFrst 15Similar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 16
OWN 15
0
95.8%
Alexander Kinal punt for 42 yds, downed at the FlaSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:2996% → 95%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
96.0%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 9 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+10
96.0%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 10 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
95.9%
Mario Pender run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 13
OPP 41
0
95.6%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Christian GreenSimilar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 13
OPP 41
-10
95.4%
Winston, Jameis pass complete to Williams, Karlos for 11 yards to the WAKEFOREST30, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding (Hoefeld, Ryan) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 23
OWN 49
+13
95.0%
Jameis Winston run for 13 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q2 6:45
4TH & 10
OPP 38
0
94.8%
Cason Beatty punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:346% → 7%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
94.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 2 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+19
94.0%
Isaiah Robinson run for 4 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Ukeme Eligwe) to the WFrst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-16
93.3%
John Wolford run for a loss of 16 yards to the WFrst 25 John Wolford fumbled, recovered by WFrst John WolfordSimilar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 26
OWN 25
-2
93.5%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 23Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 28
OWN 23
-2
93.6%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 21Similar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 30
OWN 21
+16
93.5%
Alexander Kinal punt for 45 yds , Rashad Greene returns for 16 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:2894% → 96%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
50
+11
94.3%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Mario Pender for 11 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
94.2%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Jarred Haggins for 18 yds to the WFrst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
94.1%
Mario Pender run for 12 yds to the WFrst 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
94.0%
Karlos Williams run for 6 yds to the WFrst 3Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
93.8%
Karlos Williams run for 1 yd to the WFrst 2Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.6%
Jameis Winston 2 Yd Run (Roberto Aguayo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 0:225% → 5%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
95.1%
Isaiah Robinson run for 2 yds to the WFrst 15Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
95.0%
Isaiah Robinson run for no gain to the WFrst 15Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 8
OWN 15
-3
95.2%
John Wolford run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 12Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 11
OWN 12
+16
95.2%
Alexander Kinal punt for 44 yds , Rashad Greene returns for 16 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:2696% → 96%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
95.8%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 9 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
95.8%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Rashad GreeneSimilar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+8
95.4%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 8 yds to the WFrst 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
95.7%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Jesus WilsonSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
95.6%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Rashad GreeneSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
95.4%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Kermit WhitfieldSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+40
95.9%
Roberto Aguayo 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14FG
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:3296% → 97%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
95.9%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:16
1ST & 10
50
+4
96.1%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Karlos Williams for 4 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+2
96.0%
Karlos Williams run for 2 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+6
95.7%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 6 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
96.0%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
96.0%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+3
95.7%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 3 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q3 12:08
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+52
96.8%
Roberto Aguayo 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:504% → 3%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.4%
Orville Reynolds run for no gain to the WFrst 25Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Jared CrumpSimilar
Q3 11:13
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
Alexander Kinal punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jesus Wilson at the FlaSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:4097% → 96%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
96.5%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Jesus WilsonSimilar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
96.6%
Jameis Winston run for no gain to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+13
96.6%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 13 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
96.9%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Travis Rudolph for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+13
96.8%
Jameis Winston run for 13 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
96.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-5
96.8%
Jameis Winston sacked by Zachary Allen for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 49Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 12
OPP 49
0
96.5%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Kermit WhitfieldSimilar
Q3 7:28
4TH & 12
OPP 49
+10
96.2%
Cason Beatty punt for 39 yds , Jared Crump returns for 10 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17INT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:234% → 4%
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
96.1%
Wolford, John pass complete to Pike, Devin for 4 yards to the WAKEFOREST24, PENALTY WAKEFOREST holding (Ford, Antonio) 10 yards to the WAKEFOREST10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+5
96.1%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 5 yds to the WFrst 15Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
96.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Jared Crump for no gain to the WFrst 15Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+14
96.0%
John Wolford pass intercepted P.J. Williams return for 14 yds to the WFrst 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:2697% → 99%
Q3 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
96.8%
Mario Pender run for 2 yds to the WFrst 7Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
96.8%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Wendell Dunn) to the WFrst 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.0%
Mario Pender 3 Yd Run (Roberto Aguayo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:101% → 0%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.8%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-31
99.8%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards Isaiah Robinson fumbled, forced by Reggie Northrup, recovered by FlaSt Reggie Northrup , return for 31 yds (Roberto Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20PUNT
13 plays · 29 yds · 4:290% → 0%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WFrst 30Similar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Dezmond Wortham run for no gain to the WFrst 30Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
99.8%
Tyler Cameron pass complete to E.J. Scott for 8 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
99.9%
Tyler Cameron pass complete to Jonathan Williams for 9 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Tyler Cameron run for no gain to the WFrst 47Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
99.9%
Tyler Cameron run for 2 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.9%
Tyler Cameron pass complete to E.J. Scott for 7 yds to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+2
99.9%
Dezmond Wortham run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 1
OPP 42
-4
99.9%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q3 0:33
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Tyler Cameron pass incomplete to E.J. ScottSimilar
Q3 0:26
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Alexander Kinal punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jesus Wilson at the FlaSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 21FG
8 plays · 57 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Ermon Lane for 11 yds to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Freddie Stevenson for no gain to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Ermon LaneSimilar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+59
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Ermon Lane for 59 yds to the WFrst 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-16
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 16 yards to the WFrst 28Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 26
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 26
OPP 28
+3
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Mario Pender for 3 yds to the WFrst 25 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 23
OPP 25
+42
99.9%
Roberto Aguayo 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
99.9%
Dezmond Wortham run for 7 yds to the WFrst 16Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+10
99.9%
Dezmond Wortham run for 10 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Tyler Cameron pass incomplete to Jared CrumpSimilar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Tyler Cameron pass incomplete to Brandon TerrySimilar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Dezmond Wortham run for 2 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q4 11:03
4TH & 8
OWN 28
+63
99.9%
Alexander Kinal punt for 63 yds, downed at the FLORIDAST 9 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 23TD
5 plays · 91 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
99.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 11Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+4
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 4 yds to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+29
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 14 yds to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, Personal Foul (Ryan Janvion) to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
99.9%
Jameis Winston sacked by Hunter Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+59
99.9%
Travis Rudolph 59 Yd pass from Jameis Winston (Roberto Aguayo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:110% → 0%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+16
100.0%
Dezmond Wortham run for 16 yds to the WFrst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
100.0%
Dezmond Wortham run for 6 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-1
100.0%
Dezmond Wortham run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 34Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+4
100.0%
Tyler Cameron pass complete to Cam Serigne for 4 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q4 6:49
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Alexander Kinal punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jesus Wilson at the FlaSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 25FG
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:46100% → 100%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+56
100.0%
Mario Pender run for 56 yds to the WFrst 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-4
100.0%
Sean Maguire sacked by Duke Ejiofor for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 22Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 14
OPP 22
+7
100.0%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 7 yds to the WFrst 15Similar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
100.0%
Sean Maguire pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:53
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
100.0%
Roberto Aguayo 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:400% → 0%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
100.0%
Dezmond Wortham run for 17 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
100.0%
Wortham, Dezmond rush for 3 yards to the WAKEFOREST45, PENALTY WAKEFOREST holding 10 yards to the WAKEFOREST32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+2
100.0%
Dezmond Wortham run for 2 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 18
OWN 34
+4
100.0%
Dezmond Wortham run for 4 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+3
100.0%
Dezmond Wortham run for 3 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Alexander Kinal punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Jesus Wilson at the FlaSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
100.0%
Ryan Green run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 10Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+5
100.0%
Ryan Green run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+8
100.0%
Ryan Green run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
100.0%
Ryan Green run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:10
Mario Pender 3 Yd Run (Roberto Aguayo Kick)
+2.2
TD · Q2 1:03
Jameis Winston 2 Yd Run (Roberto Aguayo Kick)
+1.7
FG · Q3 12:08
Roberto Aguayo 52 yd FG GOOD
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com