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CIT

The Citadel 12 at Florida State 37

FSU
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadCIT aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreCIT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:36 · Will Vanvick punt for 42 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 24Pregame prior+47.9Home team on offense+1.4Score differential+0.3Blowout margin+0.2Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:28: Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:29: Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 1 yd for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK) — FSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 0:12: DeAndre Schoultz 10 Yd pass from Dominique Allen (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — CIT win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: CIT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4CIT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:18CIT 4th & 1 at FSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:36CIT 4th & 5 at FSU 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:52CIT 4th & 7 at FSU 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:58CIT 4th & 12 at CIT 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:17FSU 4th & 5 at CIT 5, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:04CIT 4th & 8 at FSU 48, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:05FSU 4th & 3 at CIT 9, up 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:41CIT 4th & 12 at CIT 47, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:48FSU 4th & 1 at FSU 36, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:47FSU 4th & 7 at CIT 7, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4CIT made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 9:48FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:43FSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:28FSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:29FSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:12CIT Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CITDrive 1DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:370% → 0%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Aaron Miller run for 2 yds to the Citad 27Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+23
99.9%
Jake Stenson run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.9%
Tyler Renew run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
Tyler Renew run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
99.9%
Aaron Miller run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Tyler Renew run for no gain to the FlaSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:22100% → 100%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
99.9%
Karlos Williams run for 10 yds to the Citad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+21
99.9%
Kermit Whitfield run for 21 yds to the Citad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 7 yds to the Citad 21Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+20
99.8%
Karlos Williams run for 20 yds to the Citad 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Karlos Williams run for no gain to the Citad 1Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Karlos Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 4:040% → 0%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Jake Stenson run for 1 yd to the Citad 26Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.8%
Tyler Renew run for 2 yds to the Citad 28Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
99.8%
Vinny Miller run for 15 yds to the Citad 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.8%
Tyler Renew run for 4 yds to the Citad 47Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+6
99.8%
Vinny Miller run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.8%
Tyler Renew run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Aaron Miller pass incomplete to Jake Stenson, broken up by Nate AndrewsSimilar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+1
99.8%
Vinny Miller run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
99.8%
Will Vanvick punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
99.8%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 16 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
99.8%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 19 yds to the Citad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
99.8%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Mario Pender for 11 yds to the Citad 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
99.7%
Mario Pender run for 13 yds to the Citad 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
99.7%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Freddie Stevenson for 9 yds to the Citad 12Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+12
99.8%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 12 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 5DOWNS
13 plays · 38 yds · 5:430% → 0%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Aaron Miller run for 3 yds to the Citad 28Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.7%
Tyler Renew run for 5 yds to the Citad 33Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
99.7%
Jake Stenson run for 5 yds to the Citad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.7%
Tyler Renew run for 3 yds to the Citad 41Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
99.7%
Tyler Renew run for 2 yds to the Citad 43Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+7
99.7%
Jake Stenson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line Jake Stenson fumbled, forced by Ronald Darby, recovered by Citad , return to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
50
+10
99.7%
Aaron Miller run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
99.6%
Tyler Renew run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
99.6%
Aaron Miller pass incomplete to Brandon EakinsSimilar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+2
99.6%
Tyler Renew run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q2 12:52
4TH & 7
OPP 37
0
99.6%
Aaron Miller pass incomplete to Alex Glover, broken up by Tyler HunterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 5:12100% → 100%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
99.7%
Dalvin Cook run for 17 yds to the Citad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.7%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Kermit WhitfieldSimilar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.7%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 6 yds to the Citad 40Similar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+5
99.6%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 5 yds to the Citad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
99.6%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 7 yds to the Citad 28Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
99.6%
Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the Citad 28Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+6
99.6%
Karlos Williams run for 6 yds to the Citad 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
99.6%
Jameis Winston run for 1 yd to the Citad 21Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+14
99.6%
Karlos Williams run for 14 yds to the Citad 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.5%
Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the Citad 5Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 3:120% → 0%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Aaron Miller run for 3 yds to the Citad 28Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.7%
Tyler Renew run for 2 yds to the Citad 30Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
99.7%
Vinny Miller run for 7 yds to the Citad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
99.7%
Aaron Miller run for a loss of 5 yards to the Citad 32Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 15
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Aaron Miller pass incomplete to Cam JacksonSimilar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 15
OWN 32
+3
99.7%
Aaron Miller run for 3 yds to the Citad 35Similar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 12
OWN 35
+10
99.7%
Will Vanvick punt for 54 yds , Rashad Greene returns for 10 yds to the FlaSt 45 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Emmanuel Johnson) to the FlaSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 89 yds · 3:01100% → 100%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
99.7%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Mario Pender for 2 yds to the FlaSt 13Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+7
99.7%
Mario Pender run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+6
99.7%
Mario Pender run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.7%
Mario Pender run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+14
99.7%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Ermon Lane for 14 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.7%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 9 yds to the Citad 47Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+2
99.7%
Mario Pender run for 2 yds to the Citad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+18
99.7%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 18 yds to the Citad 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
99.7%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Ermon Lane for 5 yds to the Citad 22Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+9
99.7%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Karlos Williams for 9 yds to the Citad 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
99.7%
Karlos Williams run for 11 yds to the Citad 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.7%
Jameis Winston run for 1 yd to the Citad 1Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 1 yd for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 9END OF HALF
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:050% → 0%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Aaron Miller run for no gain to the Citad 25Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Aaron Miller pass complete to Rudder Brown for 12 yds to the Citad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:27100% → 100%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Kermit Whitfield for 7 yds to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+12
99.9%
Kermit Whitfield run for 12 yds to the Citad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+20
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 20 yds to the Citad 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Freddie Stevenson for 9 yds to the Citad 15Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+5
99.9%
Karlos Williams run for 5 yds to the Citad 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Karlos Williams for 6 yds to the Citad 4Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
99.9%
Karlos Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Citad 5Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Christian Green, broken up by Walker SmithSimilar
Q3 11:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
99.9%
Roberto Aguayo 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:010% → 0%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Aaron Miller run for 2 yds to the Citad 27Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
99.9%
Vinny Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the Citad 26Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+24
99.9%
Aaron Miller pass complete to Alex Glover for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.9%
Aaron Miller run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-1
99.9%
Tyler Renew run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 48 Tyler Renew fumbled, forced by DeMarcus Walker, recovered by Citad Jake StensonSimilar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Aaron Miller pass incomplete to Rudder BrownSimilar
Q3 8:04
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Will Vanvick punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12FG
8 plays · 71 yds · 1:50100% → 100%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+46
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 46 yds to the Citad 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Rashad GreeneSimilar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+18
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Ermon Lane for 18 yds to the Citad 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Nick O'Leary, broken up by Malik DiggsSimilar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+7
99.9%
Mario Pender run for 7 yds to the Citad 9Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 3
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Mario PenderSimilar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+27
99.9%
Roberto Aguayo 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 13FUMBLE
10 plays · 22 yds · 4:140% → 0%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Vinny Miller run for a loss of 2 yards to the Citad 23Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Aaron Miller run for 5 yds to the Citad 28Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
99.9%
Aaron Miller run for 10 yds to the Citad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
99.9%
Jake Stenson run for 9 yds to the Citad 47Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+2
99.9%
Jonathan Dorogy run for 2 yds to the Citad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
99.9%
Aaron Miller run for a loss of 5 yards to the Citad 44Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+3
99.9%
Tyler Renew run for 3 yds to the Citad 47Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 12
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Aaron Miller pass incomplete to Alex GloverSimilar
Q3 1:41
4TH & 12
OWN 47
+17
99.9%
Will Vanvick punt for 43 yds , Jesus Wilson returns for 17 yds to the FlaSt 27 Jesus Wilson fumbled, forced by Cody Richardson, recovered by FlaSt Nick WaisomeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:47100% → 100%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
Sean Maguire run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 9
OWN 28
-1
99.9%
Mario Pender run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+9
99.9%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Ja'Vonn Harrison for 9 yds to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Cason Beatty punt for 40 yds, downed at the Citad 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 15TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 4:280% → 0%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Aaron Miller pass incomplete to Jake StensonSimilar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
99.9%
Tyler Renew run for 6 yds to the Citad 30Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+8
99.9%
Cam Jackson run for 8 yds to the Citad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Aaron Miller pass incomplete to Brandon EakinsSimilar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+13
99.9%
Cam Jackson run for 13 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.9%
Cam Jackson run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+5
99.9%
Smith, Isiaha rush for 3 yards to the FLORIDAST45, PENALTY FLORIDAST offside (Levenberry, E.J.) 5 yards to the FLORIDAST43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-5
99.9%
Vinny Miller run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+9
99.9%
Cam Jackson run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+29
99.9%
Aaron Miller run for 29 yds to the FlaSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Aaron Miller pass complete to Rudder Brown for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Jordan BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16FG
16 plays · 58 yds · 5:18100% → 100%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
99.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
99.9%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Kevin Haplea for 10 yds to the Citad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
99.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 9 yds to the Citad 36Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+5
99.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds to the Citad 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
99.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 9 yds to the Citad 22Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
Johnathan Vickers run for 3 yds to the Citad 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the Citad 16Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
100.0%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Dalvin CookSimilar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+9
100.0%
Sean Maguire pass complete to Kevin Haplea for 9 yds to the Citad 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
100.0%
Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the Citad 10Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
100.0%
Sean Maguire pass incomplete to Kevin HapleaSimilar
Q4 5:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
100.0%
Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the Citad 7Similar
Q4 4:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
99.9%
Roberto Aguayo 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.9%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the FlaSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 17TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 4:280% → 0%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Isiaha Smith run for 5 yds to the Citad 30Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Isiaha Smith run for 2 yds to the Citad 32Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
Isiaha Smith run for 4 yds to the Citad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
100.0%
Isiaha Smith run for 8 yds to the Citad 44Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+8
100.0%
Cam Jackson run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
100.0%
Isiaha Smith run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
100.0%
Dominique Allen run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 6
OPP 34
-2
100.0%
Dominique Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+8
100.0%
Isiaha Smith run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
100.0%
Dominique Allen pass complete to DeAndre Schoultz for 16 yds to the FlaSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
100.0%
Dominique Allen run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 10Similar
Q4 0:16
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
100.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:12
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
DeAndre Schoultz 10 Yd pass from Dominique Allen (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18END OF GAME
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
99.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:28
Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q2 0:29
Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 1 yd for a TD, (Roberto Aguayo KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q4 0:12
DeAndre Schoultz 10 Yd pass from Dominique Allen (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com