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WAKE

Wake Forest 21 at Duke 41

DUKE
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2014 · Wallace Wade Stadium
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Win probability · DUKE
modelDUKE aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playDUKE scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+2.7DUKE 90.5%Ross Martin 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 14 - HOME 27 · Q2 0:39
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:39 · Ross Martin 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 82Pregame prior+23.6Home team on offense+12.2Score differential+5.6Garbage-time factor+3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:43: John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 17 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +5.9 pts (now 16%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:39: Ross Martin 28 yd FG GOOD — DUKE win probability +2.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:23: John Wolford pass complete to Brandon Terry for 40 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +9.4 pts (now 20%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:46: Casey Blaser 0 Yd Fumble Return (Ross Martin Kick) — DUKE win probability +6.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:02: Thomas Sirk pass complete to David Reeves for 18 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK) — DUKE win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
DUKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 7WAKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 8:53WAKE 4th & 9 at DUKE 27, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    12.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:34DUKE 4th & 19 at DUKE 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:08WAKE 4th & 4 at DUKE 44, down 14
    Close callPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−0.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:45DUKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    88.3%−1.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    87.9%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:47DUKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:48WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 37, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.7%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:33DUKE 4th & 12 at WAKE 32, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.0%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    91.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:39DUKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    82.9%−3.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:52WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 41, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.7%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:21WAKE 4th & 10 at DUKE 31, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    8.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:32WAKE 4th & 2 at DUKE 19, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%−0.7
    77% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−4.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:43DUKE 4th & 8 at DUKE 22, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:08WAKE 4th & 14 at WAKE 30, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:07WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 18, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:13DUKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 34, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
DUKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:06DUKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:53WAKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:14DUKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 4:05DUKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:43WAKE Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:23WAKE Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:46DUKE Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:02DUKE Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
DUKEDrive 1TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 2:4090% → 90%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
89.8%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Issac BlakeneySimilar
Q1 14:41
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
89.8%
Josh Snead run for 9 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q1 14:25
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
89.7%
Thomas Sirk run for 2 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
89.6%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 10 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
89.6%
Shaquille Powell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+14
89.5%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Josh Snead for 14 yds to the WFrst 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
89.4%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Josh Snead for 6 yds to the WFrst 4Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
89.6%
Anthony Boone run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2TD
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:5211% → 12%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
89.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 7 yds to the Duke 34Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+6
89.1%
Isaiah Robinson run for 6 yds to the Duke 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-8
89.0%
John Wolford sacked by Jeremy Cash for a loss of 8 yards to the Duke 36Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 18
OPP 36
+5
89.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 5 yds to the Duke 31Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 13
OPP 31
+4
89.0%
John Wolford run for 4 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+27
87.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Jared Crump for 27 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 3FUMBLE
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:1188% → 87%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
88.0%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 12 yds to the Duke 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
88.1%
Josh Snead run for no gain to the Duke 40Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
87.8%
Anthony Boone run for 2 yds to the Duke 42 Anthony Boone fumbled, recovered by DukeSimilar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-11
87.5%
Anthony Boone sacked by Josh Okonye for a loss of 11 yards to the Duke 31Similar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 19
OWN 31
-4
87.0%
Will Monday punt for 39 yds , Jared Crump returns for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 26 Jared Crump fumbled, recovered by DukeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4TD
5 plays · 26 yds · 2:1188% → 89%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
87.8%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 4 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+2
87.6%
Shaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+5
87.3%
Anthony Boone run for 5 yds to the WFrst 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
87.3%
Shaun Wilson run for 7 yds to the WFrst 8Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+8
88.8%
Shaun Wilson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 5TD
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
90.6%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 52 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:4710% → 10%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
89.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 17 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
89.9%
Isaiah Robinson run for 9 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
89.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+1
89.5%
Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
50
0
89.4%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 10
50
+6
89.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 6 yds to the Duke 44Similar
Q1 1:17
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
89.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt JamesSimilar
Q1 1:08
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
89.6%
Alexander Kinal punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jamison Crowder at the Duke 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 7FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 5:1390% → 92%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
90.3%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 3 yds to the Duke 17Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
90.4%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Issac BlakeneySimilar
Q1 0:37
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+29
90.2%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 29 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
90.7%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 5 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
90.7%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 2 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+3
90.6%
Shaquille Powell run for 3 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
90.8%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
90.8%
Shaquille Powell run for 1 yd to the WFrst 43Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+8
90.6%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 8 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q2 12:45
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+5
90.5%
Thomas Sirk run for 5 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
90.9%
Josh Snead run for 1 yd to the WFrst 29Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+2
91.0%
Shaquille Powell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
90.8%
Anthony Boone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+45
92.3%
Ross Martin 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8FUMBLE
9 plays · 9 yds · 3:428% → 9%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
91.6%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
91.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Dezmond Wortham for 3 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+8
91.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 8 yds to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
91.4%
Dezmond Wortham run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 12
OWN 30
-10
91.8%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyler Hayworth) to the WFrst 20Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 22
OWN 20
+16
91.7%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 16 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+1
91.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 1 yd to the WFrst 37Similar
Q2 6:48
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+2
91.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the WFrst 30 TEAM fumbled, recovered by WFrst Alexander Kinal Alexander Kinal run for 2 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 9DOWNS
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:0293% → 92%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
92.6%
Anthony Boone sacked by Zachary Allen for a loss of 10 yards to the WFrst 40Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 20
OPP 40
+8
92.6%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 8 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 12
OPP 32
0
92.5%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Josh SneadSimilar
Q2 5:33
4TH & 12
OPP 32
0
92.1%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 3:329% → 16%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
91.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Dezmond Wortham for 4 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+9
91.2%
Dezmond Wortham run for 9 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
91.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Brandon Terry for 11 yds to the Duke 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
90.5%
Dezmond Wortham run for 11 yds to the Duke 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
90.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 15 yds to the Duke 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
90.2%
Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd to the Duke 17Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
84.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 17 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 11FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 0:5887% → 91%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
87.0%
Shaquille Powell run for 14 yds to the Duke 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
87.9%
Anthony Boone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
88.0%
Anthony Boone run for 6 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+35
87.8%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 35 yds to the WFrst 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
88.4%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Johnell BarnesSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
88.4%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Johnell BarnesSimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
87.8%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Shaquille PowellSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
90.5%
Ross Martin 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:2111% → 11%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.5%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
89.4%
DUKE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
88.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Brandon TerrySimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-10
88.8%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Antonio Ford) to the WFrst 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:2710% → 20%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
89.9%
Isaiah Robinson run for 2 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
90.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Isaiah Robinson for 5 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+5
89.9%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 5 yds to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
89.7%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+17
89.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 17 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
89.2%
Isaiah Robinson run for 4 yds to the Duke 47Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+7
89.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 7 yds to the Duke 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
79.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Brandon Terry for 40 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 14FUMBLE RETURN TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 4:2384% → 92%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+28
83.7%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for no gain to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down lat. to Johnell Barnes for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
50
+4
85.2%
Anthony Boone run for 4 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+20
85.2%
Anthony Boone run for 20 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
85.4%
Shaquille Powell run for 4 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+1
85.4%
Shaquille Powell run for 1 yd to the WFrst 21Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+14
84.6%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Shaquille Powell for 14 yds to the WFrst 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
85.2%
Shaquille Powell run for 4 yds to the WFrst 3Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
85.1%
Thomas Sirk run for 1 yd to the WFrst 2Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 0
OWN 2
0
91.9%
Casey Blaser 0 Yd Fumble Return (Ross Martin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15DOWNS
12 plays · 52 yds · 4:149% → 9%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
91.1%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 21Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+4
91.3%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 4 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+9
91.4%
DUKE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Bryon Fields) to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
90.8%
John Wolford sacked by David Helton and Jamal Wallace for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 31Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+10
91.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 10 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
90.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt JamesSimilar
Q3 3:52
4TH & 3
OWN 41
+28
91.0%
Jordan Garside run for 28 yds to the Duke 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
89.3%
Dezmond Wortham run for no gain to the Duke 31Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
89.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt JamesSimilar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
90.3%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:21
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+6
91.2%
John Wolford run for 6 yds to the Duke 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:1293% → 93%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.3%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
93.3%
Josh Snead run for 19 yds to the Duke 27 Josh Snead fumbled, recovered by WFrstSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1811% → 9%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
89.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 2 yds to the Duke 25Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+5
89.9%
Dezmond Wortham run for 5 yds to the Duke 20Similar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+1
90.6%
Dezmond Wortham run for 1 yd to the Duke 19Similar
Q3 0:32
4TH & 2
OPP 19
-1
91.0%
Dezmond Wortham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4293% → 94%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
93.4%
Shaquille Powell run for 2 yds to the Duke 22Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
94.5%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for no gain to the Duke 22Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
94.2%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
93.8%
Will Monday punt for 44 yds, fair catch by E.J. Scott at the WFrst 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:288% → 7%
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-15
91.7%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the WFrst 19Similar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 25
OWN 19
+7
92.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 7 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 18
OWN 26
+10
92.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 10 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 8
OWN 36
-6
92.6%
John Wolford sacked by DeVon Edwards for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 30Similar
Q4 12:08
4TH & 14
OWN 30
0
93.5%
Alexander Kinal punt for 47 yds, downed at the Duke 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 20TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 5:5895% → 99%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
95.1%
Shaquille Powell run for 2 yds to the Duke 25Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+10
94.9%
Shaquille Powell run for 10 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
95.1%
Anthony Boone run for 5 yds to the Duke 40Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
95.5%
Shaquille Powell run for 3 yds to the Duke 43Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
95.4%
Shaquille Powell run for 3 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
95.7%
Shaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the Duke 49Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
95.6%
Anthony Boone run for no gain to the Duke 49Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+14
95.7%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 14 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
95.8%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 7 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+2
96.2%
Shaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+2
96.1%
Thomas Sirk run for 2 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
96.4%
Shaquille Powell run for 4 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+4
96.6%
Anthony Boone run for 4 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+18
99.2%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to David Reeves for 18 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:381% → 1%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
99.4%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
99.4%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
99.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt JamesSimilar
Q4 5:07
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
99.4%
Alexander Kinal punt for 45 yds, downed at the Duke 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:4299% → 99%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+24
99.3%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 24 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
99.3%
Shaquille Powell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+6
99.4%
Shaquille Powell run for 6 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+1
99.4%
Thomas Sirk run for 1 yd to the WFrst 29Similar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 1
OPP 29
-5
99.4%
DUKE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 34Similar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+4
99.4%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 4 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:061% → 1%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.5%
John Wolford run for 5 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+7
99.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 7 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
99.5%
John Wolford sacked by Jeremy Cash for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 40 John Wolford fumbled, recovered by Duke A.J. Wolf , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:40100% → 100%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.6%
Jonathan Jones run for no gain to the WFrst 40Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.6%
Jonathan Jones run for 3 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:23
John Wolford pass complete to Brandon Terry for 40 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
-9.4
TD · Q3 6:46
Casey Blaser 0 Yd Fumble Return (Ross Martin Kick)
+6.8
TD · Q2 1:43
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 17 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
-5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com