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VT

Virginia Tech 17 at Duke 16

DUKE
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2014 · Wallace Wade Stadium
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Win probability · DUKE
modelDUKE aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playDUKE scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+5.3DUKE 82.1%Ross Martin 24 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 16 · Q3 3:49
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:49 · Ross Martin 24 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 126Pregame prior+5.3Home team on offense+13.3Score differential+1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Garbage-time factor+6.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:49: Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 10 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +6.8 pts (now 37%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 3:49: Ross Martin 24 yd FG GOOD — DUKE win probability +5.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 0:00: Joey Slye 35 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +11.7 pts (now 30%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:47: Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 15 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +20.0 pts (now 55%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 42 — VT win probability +25.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
DUKE made the numbers' call on 7 of 10VT made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 11:57DUKE 4th & 1 at VT 18, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.9%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:17VT 4th & 11 at VT 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:02VT 4th & 21 at VT 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−0.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:45DUKE 4th & 4 at VT 45, up 10
    Close callPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    71.1%−1.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:12VT 4th & 3 at DUKE 41, down 10
    Close callPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    28.1%−0.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:58DUKE 4th & 10 at DUKE 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:34VT 4th & 5 at VT 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:17VT 4th & 1 at DUKE 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    30.9%−2.6
    30% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−2.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:21VT 4th & 19 at VT 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−3.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:47DUKE 4th & 11 at VT 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    66.4%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:20VT 4th & 20 at VT 15, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−4.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:20DUKE 4th & 2 at VT 26, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    74.1%−1.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    66.8%−8.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:49DUKE 4th & 6 at VT 6, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    64.5%−10.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:28DUKE 4th & 16 at DUKE 19, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−5.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:51VT 4th & 16 at VT 44, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−8.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:56DUKE 4th & 18 at DUKE 36, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−5.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:44VT 4th & 16 at VT 48, up 1
    Numbers favored punt by 7.9 ptsWent for it · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.3%−7.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    57.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:26DUKE 4th & 2 at VT 22, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−8.6
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    32.5%−25.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:00VT 4th & 2 at VT 31, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%−2.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:43DUKE 4th & 21 at DUKE 40, down 1
    Numbers favored punt by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.1%−1.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
DUKE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:06DUKE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:49VT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:47VT Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
DUKEDrive 1FG
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:4867% → 67%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
67.1%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 18 yds to the Duke 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
67.1%
Shaquille Powell run for 3 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+21
67.1%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 21 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
67.2%
Shaquille Powell run for 3 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+5
67.2%
Shaquille Powell run for 5 yds to the VTech 19Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+1
67.1%
Thomas Sirk run for 1 yd to the VTech 18Similar
Q1 11:57
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+36
67.2%
Ross Martin 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:1333% → 33%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
67.1%
Marshawn Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 16Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+6
67.1%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 6 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 6
OWN 22
-5
67.2%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Bucky Hodges) to the VTech 17Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 11
OWN 17
0
67.3%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Ryan MalleckSimilar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
67.4%
A.J. Hughes punt for 49 yds, downed at the Duke 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 3TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:0567% → 70%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
67.1%
Josh Snead run for 18 yds to the DUKE 48 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Detrick Bonner) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
67.5%
Anthony Boone run for 17 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
67.7%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Johnell BarnesSimilar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+10
67.7%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 10 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+16
67.6%
Josh Snead run for 16 yds to the VTech 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
67.7%
Anthony Boone run for 3 yds to the VTech 2Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.5%
Josh Snead run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:4331% → 30%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
68.7%
J.C. Coleman run for 5 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+9
68.7%
Cam Phillips run for 9 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
68.7%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Bucky Hodges, broken up by DeVon EdwardsSimilar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
68.8%
Marshawn Williams run for no gain to the VTech 33Similar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-11
69.3%
Michael Brewer sacked by Jeremy Cash for a loss of 11 yards to the VTech 22 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Face Mask (Wyatt Teller) declinedSimilar
Q1 6:02
4TH & 21
OWN 22
+6
69.6%
A.J. Hughes punt for 35 yds , Jamison Crowder returns for 6 yds to the Duke 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0570% → 70%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
70.4%
Shaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
70.5%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete, broken up by Ken EkanemSimilar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+3
70.2%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 3 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q1 4:45
4TH & 4
OPP 45
+1
70.0%
Will Monday punt for 20 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 1 yd to the VTech 26 Greg Stroman fumbled, recovered by VTechSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:2731% → 30%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
69.3%
J.C. Coleman run for 12 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
68.9%
Michael Brewer run for 14 yds to the Duke 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
68.5%
J.C. Coleman run for 5 yds to the Duke 43Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+2
68.4%
J.C. Coleman run for 2 yds to the Duke 41Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
69.3%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q1 3:12
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
69.8%
A.J. Hughes punt for 21 yds, fair catch by Jamison Crowder at the Duke 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 7INT
10 plays · 53 yds · 2:5071% → 72%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
70.5%
Josh Snead run for 9 yds to the Duke 29Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-1
70.8%
Shaquille Powell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 28Similar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
70.2%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Erich Schneider for 3 yds to the Duke 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
70.7%
Anthony Boone run for 2 yds to the Duke 33Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
70.8%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+13
70.4%
Anthony Boone run for 13 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
71.6%
Shaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 6
50
+10
71.8%
Shaun Wilson run for 10 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
72.0%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to David ReevesSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+13
71.9%
Josh Snead run for 13 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8TD
12 plays · 98 yds · 4:4129% → 37%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
71.4%
Marshawn Williams run for 1 yd to the VTech 3Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+5
71.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 5 yds to the VTech 8Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+14
72.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Joshua Stanford for 14 yds to the VTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
71.9%
J.C. Coleman run for 11 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
71.5%
Michael Brewer run for 4 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+9
71.3%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 9 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
71.0%
Deon Newsome run for 8 yds to the Duke 46Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+24
70.5%
Brenden Motley run for 24 yds to the Duke 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
69.9%
Deon Newsome run for 5 yds to the Duke 17Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+7
70.0%
Marshawn Williams run for 7 yds to the Duke 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
70.1%
Marshawn Williams run for no gain to the Duke 10Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
63.3%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 10 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:4166% → 65%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
66.4%
Powell, Shaquille rush for 12 yards to the DUKE47, PENALTY DUKE holding (Cofield, Takoby) 10 yards to the DUKE25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+3
66.0%
Shaquille Powell run for 3 yds to the Duke 28Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+7
65.8%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 7 yds to the Duke 35Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
66.0%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 10
OWN 35
-4
65.4%
Will Monday punt for 40 yds , Greg Stroman returns for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 21 Greg Stroman fumbled, forced by Johnell Barnes, recovered by VTech Greg StromanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1234% → 32%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
66.4%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for no gain to the VTech 21Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
66.6%
J.C. Coleman run for 5 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
66.9%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Bucky Hodges, broken up by Jeremy CashSimilar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
67.8%
A.J. Hughes punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 11PUNT
3 plays · -12 yds · 0:3867% → 66%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
67.0%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Johnell BarnesSimilar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
66.8%
Shaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the Duke 35Similar
Q2 5:51
3RD & 9
OWN 35
-13
66.1%
Anthony Boone run for a loss of 13 yards to the Duke 22 DUKE Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Anthony Boone) to the Duke 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:1534% → 35%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
66.3%
J.C. Coleman run for 11 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
65.8%
J.C. Coleman run for 7 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+10
64.4%
Brenden Motley run for 10 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
63.9%
Motley, Brenden rush for 2 yards to the DUKE49, PENALTY VATECH holding (Farris, Caleb) 10 yards to the VATECH39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 20
OWN 39
0
65.7%
Michael Brewer run for no gain to the VTech 39Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 20
OWN 39
0
65.9%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q2 3:17
4TH & 1
OPP 42
0
65.1%
J.C. Coleman run for no gain to the Duke 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 24 yds · 1:4569% → 68%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
68.5%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 3
50
+1
68.8%
Josh Snead run for 1 yd to the VTech 49Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 2
OPP 49
-5
68.2%
DUKE Penalty, False Start (Issac Blakeney) to the Duke 46Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+8
66.9%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 8 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
69.0%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+13
68.8%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 13 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
69.8%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Issac BlakeneySimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
69.7%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Josh SneadSimilar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
68.2%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Johnell BarnesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:0435% → 37%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
65.5%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
65.9%
DUKE Penalty, Encroachment (Jordan DeWalt-Ondijo) to the VTech 38Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+15
64.0%
Brewer, Michael pass incomplete to Hodges, Bucky (Borders, Breon), PENALTY DUKE pass interference (Borders, Breon) 15 yards to the DUKE47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
62.5%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 5 yds to the Duke 42Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
62.1%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Cam Phillips, broken up by Deondre SingletonSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 42
-14
62.7%
Michael Brewer sacked by Jeremy Cash for a loss of 14 yards to the VTech 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:2434% → 32%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
66.1%
J.C. Coleman run for 3 yds to the VTech 21Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+15
66.4%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 15 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
65.2%
Michael Brewer run for no gain to the VTech 36Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
65.4%
Sam Rogers run for 3 yds to the VTech 39 Sam Rogers fumbled, forced by DeVon Edwards, recovered by VTech Sam RogersSimilar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-12
65.2%
Michael Brewer sacked by Dwayne Norman for a loss of 12 yards to the VTech 27Similar
Q3 12:21
4TH & 19
OWN 27
0
68.4%
A.J. Hughes punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jamison Crowder at the Duke 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 16FG
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:2569% → 73%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
68.9%
Anthony Boone pass complete to David Reeves for 10 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-9
70.0%
Josh Snead run for a loss of 9 yards to the Duke 40 Josh Snead fumbled, forced by Detrick Bonner, recovered by Duke Anthony BooneSimilar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 22
OWN 40
+13
67.5%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 13 yds Max McCaffrey fumbled, forced by Kyshoen Jarrett, recovered by DukeSimilar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+18
68.8%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 18 yds to the VTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
71.6%
Josh Snead run for 5 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 5
OPP 24
-6
71.6%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Johnell Barnes for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 11
OPP 30
0
69.8%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+48
72.7%
Ross Martin 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:1729% → 26%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
71.2%
Michael Brewer sacked by Dezmond Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the VTech 16Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 19
OWN 16
-6
71.7%
Michael Brewer sacked by Dezmond Johnson and Carlos Wray for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 10Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 25
OWN 10
+5
72.9%
Michael Brewer run for 5 yds to the VTech 15Similar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
73.6%
A.J. Hughes punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jamison Crowder at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 18FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 3:2776% → 82%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
76.3%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Issac BlakeneySimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+15
76.0%
Anthony Boone run for 15 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
76.9%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Issac BlakeneySimilar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
76.9%
Anthony Boone run for 1 yd to the VTech 33Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+7
75.8%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 7 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q3 5:20
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+4
74.8%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Shaquille Powell for 4 yds to the VTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
77.3%
Shaquille Powell run for 13 yds to the VTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
77.1%
Shaquille Powell run for 2 yds to the VTech 7Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
77.9%
Shaquille Powell run for 1 yd to the VTech 6Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
76.8%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Erich Schneider, broken up by Detrick BonnerSimilar
Q3 3:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
82.1%
Ross Martin 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19INT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0618% → 18%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.8%
J.C. Coleman run for 2 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
81.8%
J.C. Coleman run for 7 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
81.8%
Michael Brewer pass intercepted Breon Borders return for no gain to the VTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 20INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:0185% → 84%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
84.9%
Shaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the VTech 35Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 9
OPP 35
-1
85.1%
Shaun Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 36Similar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+51
84.2%
Anthony Boone pass intercepted Derek Di Nardo return for 51 yds to the Duke 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21FUMBLE
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:5422% → 30%
Q3 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
78.4%
J.C. Coleman run for 1 yd to the Duke 8Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
78.5%
Michael Brewer sacked by Kyler Brown for a loss of 10 yards to the Duke 18Similar
Q3 0:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
0
81.7%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Ryan Malleck, broken up by Evrett EdwardsSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 0
OPP 18
+35
70.0%
Joey Slye 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22TD
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:5734% → 55%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
65.6%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Bucky Hodges, broken up by Deondre SingletonSimilar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
65.7%
Brenden Motley run for 2 yds to the Duke 29Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+26
67.8%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 26 yds to the Duke 3 for a 1ST down DUKE Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
64.9%
Michael Brewer run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 5Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
64.9%
Rogers, Sam rush for 4 yards to the DUKE1, PENALTY VATECH holding (Teller, Wyatt) 10 yards to the DUKE15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
44.9%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 15 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:5752% → 47%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
51.8%
Josh Snead run for 2 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
52.0%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Issac Blakeney, broken up by Chuck ClarkSimilar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-8
49.2%
Anthony Boone sacked by Dadi Nicolas for a loss of 8 yards to the Duke 19Similar
Q4 11:28
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+3
47.2%
Will Monday punt for 48 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 3 yds to the VTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:2452% → 49%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
47.8%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
50
0
44.6%
Michael Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 10
50
-1
45.1%
J.C. Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 49Similar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 11
OWN 49
-5
47.8%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Ryan Malleck) to the VTech 44Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 16
OWN 44
0
48.2%
Michael Brewer run for no gain to the VTech 44Similar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 16
OWN 44
+42
50.7%
A.J. Hughes punt for 42 yds, downed at the DUKE 14 DUKE Penalty, Running Into Kicker (Zavier Carmichael) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:5051% → 46%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
50.9%
Anthony Boone run for 11 yds to the Duke 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.3%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Issac BlakeneySimilar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
50.8%
Anthony Boone run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 24Similar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+20
48.1%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 20 yds to the Duke 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
55.7%
Shaquille Powell run for 2 yds to the Duke 46Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-10
55.8%
Powell, Shaquille rush for 5 yards to the VATECH49, PENALTY DUKE holding (Cofield, Takoby) 10 yards to the DUKE36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 18
OWN 36
0
50.0%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Issac Blakeney, broken up by Chuck ClarkSimilar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 18
OWN 36
0
47.6%
Anthony Boone pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 18
OWN 36
+2
46.2%
Will Monday punt for 46 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 2 yds to the VTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 26DOWNS
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:0157% → 58%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
43.1%
J.C. Coleman run for 6 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+7
40.9%
J.C. Coleman run for 7 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+21
40.5%
Cam Phillips run for 21 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
36.7%
J.C. Coleman run for 7 yds to the Duke 39Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 3
OPP 39
0
35.3%
J.C. Coleman run for no gain to the Duke 39Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 3
OPP 39
-15
35.7%
Brewer, Michael pass complete to Phillips, Cam for 10 yards to the DUKE29, PENALTY VATECH pass interference (Phillips, Cam) 15 yards to the VATECH46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 18
OWN 46
+2
40.6%
Michael Brewer run for 2 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 16
OWN 48
+10
42.3%
A.J. Hughes pass complete to Josh Trimble for 10 yds to the Duke 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 27MISSED FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 1:0954% → 55%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
53.7%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Shaquille Powell for 10 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
54.4%
Shaquille Powell run for 3 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Ken Ekanem) to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
56.7%
Shaquille Powell run for no gain to the VTech 30Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
59.3%
Anthony Boone run for 7 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+1
57.9%
Anthony Boone run for 1 yd to the VTech 22Similar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+40
55.0%
Ross Martin 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:2164% → 66%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
36.0%
J.C. Coleman run for 2 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+3
38.2%
J.C. Coleman run for 3 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+3
38.3%
Cam Phillips run for 3 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
34.0%
A.J. Hughes punt for 29 yds , Jamison Crowder returns for no gain to the Duke 40 Jamison Crowder fumbled, recovered by Duke Jamison CrowderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 29DOWNS
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:1344% → 31%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
43.5%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Max McCaffrey, broken up by Kyshoen JarrettSimilar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
40.4%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 11 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
46.0%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 8 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 2
OPP 41
-9
44.3%
Anthony Boone sacked by Ken Ekanem for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard line DUKE Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Anthony Boone) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 11
50
-5
38.5%
DUKE Penalty, False Start (Lucas Patrick) to the Duke 45Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 16
OWN 45
-5
33.6%
Anthony Boone sacked by Detrick Bonner for a loss of 5 yards to the Duke 40Similar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 21
OWN 40
0
31.1%
Anthony Boone pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
5.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 42
-25.6
TD · Q4 12:47
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 15 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
-20
FG · Q3 0:00
Joey Slye 35 yd FG GOOD
-11.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com