Try the model
DUKE

Duke 27 at Syracuse 10

SYR
2014 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2014 · JMA Wireless Dome
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadDUKE aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreDUKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:05 · Will Monday punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ritchy Desir at the Syrac 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Home team on offense−8.1Pregame prior−4.8Score differential−2.5Garbage-time factor−2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:16: Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 22 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK) — DUKE win probability +8.2 pts (now 66%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:18: Mitch Kimble run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +19.3 pts (now 58%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:37: Prince-Tyson Gulley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 1 — SYR win probability +7.8 pts (now 53%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:45: Jamison Crowder 52 Yd Punt Return (Ross Martin Kick) — DUKE win probability +26.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:13: Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 54 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK) — DUKE win probability +7.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 7 of 12DUKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 13:17SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:20DUKE 4th & 2 at SYR 9, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.4%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:21SYR 4th & 4 at DUKE 10, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.2%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:10DUKE 4th & 14 at DUKE 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:19SYR 4th & 5 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:53DUKE 4th & 3 at DUKE 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:49SYR 4th & 11 at SYR 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:05DUKE 4th & 4 at midfield, up 7
    Close callPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.3%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:03DUKE 4th & 1 at DUKE 43, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%−2.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:29SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 21, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:41DUKE 4th & 13 at DUKE 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−3.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:51DUKE 4th & 10 at DUKE 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−2.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:18SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−2.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:52DUKE 4th & 10 at DUKE 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−2.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:44SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−3.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:45SYR 4th & 11 at SYR 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−9.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:52SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 31, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.7%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:08DUKE 4th & 7 at SYR 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    68.1%−10.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:48SYR 4th & 13 at SYR 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:42DUKE 4th & 7 at SYR 32, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.3
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:18SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 39, down 17
    Close callPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1DUKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 5:16DUKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:18SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:45DUKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:13DUKE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1542% → 42%
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
41.5%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 15Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+2
41.6%
Austin Wilson run for 2 yds to the Syrac 17Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 9
OWN 17
0
41.7%
Austin Wilson pass incomplete to Jarrod WestSimilar
Q1 13:17
4TH & 9
OWN 17
+14
41.8%
Riley Dixon punt for 38 yds , Jamison Crowder returns for 14 yds to the Syrac 41 Jamison Crowder fumbled, recovered by DukeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2FG
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:4058% → 58%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
41.7%
Shaquille Powell run for 7 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+5
41.7%
Shaquille Powell run for 5 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
41.8%
Anthony Boone pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+2
41.8%
Shaquille Powell run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+5
42.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Syrac 22Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+5
42.0%
Shaquille Powell run for 5 yds to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
41.9%
Anthony Boone run for 5 yds to the Syrac 12Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+2
42.0%
Shaquille Powell run for 2 yds to the Syrac 10Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+1
42.3%
Shaquille Powell run for 1 yd to the Syrac 9Similar
Q1 9:20
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+27
42.5%
Ross Martin 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 4:4843% → 45%
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
42.6%
Ervin Philips run for 9 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
43.0%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 3 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
42.9%
Austin Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
42.9%
Austin Wilson run for 1 yd to the Syrac 38Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+14
42.7%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Ben Lewis for 14 yds to the Duke 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
43.8%
Ervin Philips run for 3 yds to the Duke 45Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+9
44.0%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Jarrod West for 9 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+20
43.9%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 20 yds to the Duke 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
44.5%
Mitch Kimble run for 4 yds to the Duke 12Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+2
44.6%
Devante McFarlane run for 2 yds to the Duke 10Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 4
OPP 10
0
44.2%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q1 4:21
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+27
44.9%
Cole Murphy 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:5456% → 54%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
44.4%
Anthony Boone pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-5
44.4%
DUKE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Duke 5Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 15
OWN 5
+1
44.7%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 1 yd to the Duke 6Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 14
OWN 6
0
45.3%
Anthony Boone pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:10
4TH & 14
OWN 6
0
45.7%
Will Monday punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Ritchy Desir at the Syrac 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3746% → 46%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
46.0%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Ervin Philips for 3 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-1
46.4%
Austin Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+3
45.7%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:19
4TH & 5
50
0
45.7%
Riley Dixon punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jamison Crowder at the Duke 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1555% → 54%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
44.7%
Shaun Wilson run for 5 yds to the Duke 19Similar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+1
44.8%
Shaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the Duke 20Similar
Q1 0:02
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+1
45.5%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 1 yd to the Duke 21Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 3
OWN 21
0
45.9%
Will Monday punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Ritchy Desir at the Syrac 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 3:5146% → 46%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
46.3%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Ben Lewis for 1 yd to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+8
46.4%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Jarrod West for 8 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+1
47.3%
Devante McFarlane run for 1 yd to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
47.8%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 1 yd to the Syrac 43Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+7
48.1%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Ben Lewis for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 2
50
-10
48.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+1
46.6%
Austin Wilson run for 1 yd to the Syrac 41Similar
Q2 10:49
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
46.1%
Riley Dixon punt for 50 yds , Jamison Crowder returns for no gain to the Duke 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 8TD
15 plays · 91 yds · 5:2854% → 66%
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
46.3%
Anthony Boone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+5
46.4%
Shaquille Powell run for 5 yds to the Duke 14Similar
Q2 9:51
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+13
46.8%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 13 yds to the Duke 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
45.7%
DUKE Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (Laken Tomlinson) to the Duke 22Similar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 15
OWN 22
0
46.1%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 15
OWN 22
+1
46.4%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 1 yd to the Duke 23Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 14
OWN 23
+14
47.2%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 14 yds to the Duke 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
44.5%
Josh Snead run for 7 yds to the Duke 44Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
43.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Neutral Zone Infraction (5 Yards) to the Duke 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
43.1%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Issac BlakeneySimilar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
43.6%
Jamison Crowder run for 6 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+18
43.4%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 18 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
42.1%
Anthony Boone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
42.5%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Shaun Wilson for 5 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+22
34.3%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 22 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:2237% → 37%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.8%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Ben Lewis for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
37.0%
Austin Wilson pass intercepted Breon Borders return for no gain to the Duke 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1066% → 67%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
34.2%
Josh Snead run for 2 yds to the Duke 46Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+4
34.1%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 4
50
0
32.0%
Anthony Boone pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:05
4TH & 4
50
0
32.9%
Will Monday punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ritchy Desir at the Syrac 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11DOWNS
12 plays · 33 yds · 2:5335% → 36%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
35.1%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 8 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+4
35.6%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Ervin Philips for 4 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
35.4%
Austin Wilson run for no gain to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-5
34.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (Alex Hayes) to the Syrac 23Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+9
34.3%
Mitch Kimble run for 9 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+10
34.7%
Mitch Kimble run for 10 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
36.9%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 7 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 3
OWN 49
-3
38.0%
Mitch Kimble sacked by David Helton for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 46Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+3
35.2%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 3 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
35.5%
Austin Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:3766% → 68%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
33.7%
Josh Snead run for 1 yd to the Duke 17Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
33.8%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Issac BlakeneySimilar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+17
34.8%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 17 yds to the Duke 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
32.5%
Josh Snead run for 3 yds to the Duke 37Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
31.6%
Josh Snead run for 3 yds to the Duke 40Similar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+3
31.3%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Shaun Wilson for 3 yds to the Duke 43Similar
Q3 12:03
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
32.1%
Will Monday punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ritchy Desir at the Syrac 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1834% → 32%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
33.9%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Ben Lewis for 2 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+6
33.8%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 6 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+1
33.0%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 1 yd to the Syrac 21Similar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 1
OWN 21
0
32.2%
Riley Dixon punt for 58 yds, downed at the Duke 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:3767% → 65%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
32.7%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 2 yds to the Duke 23Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
32.9%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Max McCaffreySimilar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
33.5%
Anthony Boone pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:48
4TH & 8
OWN 23
-5
34.7%
DUKE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Duke 18Similar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 13
OWN 18
0
34.8%
Will Monday punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Ritchy Desir at the Syrac 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 4:1334% → 58%
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
34.3%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+3
36.6%
Ervin Philips run for 3 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
36.2%
Mitch Kimble run for 3 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+17
36.9%
Ervin Philips run for 17 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
39.0%
Mitch Kimble run for 8 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 2
OPP 27
-3
39.1%
Mitch Kimble run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 30 Mitch Kimble fumbled, recovered by SyracSimilar
Q3 6:23
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+19
37.1%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Jarrod West for 19 yds to the Duke 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
39.0%
Ervin Philips run for 3 yds to the Duke 8Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
58.3%
Mitch Kimble run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:0953% → 50%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
47.5%
Shaquille Powell run for 3 yds to the Duke 37Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+7
46.7%
Shaquille Powell run for 7 yds to the Duke 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
45.4%
Shaquille Powell run for 2 yds to the Duke 46Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-2
45.1%
Shaquille Powell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 44Similar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
47.9%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Issac BlakeneySimilar
Q3 2:51
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
50.5%
Will Monday punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ritchy Desir at the Syrac 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:2253% → 51%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
52.7%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Prince-Tyson Gulley for no gain to the Syrac 20Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
52.7%
Mitch Kimble pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+15
50.6%
DUKE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
53.7%
Ervin Philips run for 1 yd to the Syrac 36Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
54.2%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Ben LewisSimilar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
52.4%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Devante McFarlaneSimilar
Q3 1:18
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+17
50.5%
Riley Dixon punt for 53 yds , Jamison Crowder returns for 17 yds to the SYRACUSE 47 SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Duke 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2354% → 49%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
45.7%
Anthony Boone pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
46.7%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
48.3%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Max McCaffreySimilar
Q3 0:52
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
51.0%
Will Monday punt for 56 yds, downed at the Syrac 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5653% → 50%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
52.5%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for no gain to the Syrac 1Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+3
52.4%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 3 yds to the Syrac 4Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 7
OWN 4
0
50.7%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Jarrod WestSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 7
OWN 4
+10
49.7%
Riley Dixon punt for 52 yds , Jamison Crowder returns for 10 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 20INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:4355% → 55%
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
44.8%
Shaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+5
44.9%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 5 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
45.2%
Anthony Boone pass intercepted Brandon Reddish return for no gain to the Syrac 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21PUNT TD
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:5253% → 23%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
53.0%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 1Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 11
OWN 1
0
52.9%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 11
OWN 1
0
50.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the Syrac 1Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 11
OWN 1
0
49.3%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Jarrod WestSimilar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 11
OWN 1
+52
22.9%
Jamison Crowder 52 Yd Punt Return (Ross Martin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1726% → 24%
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
25.9%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Ervin Philips for no gain to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
25.6%
Mitch Kimble run for 8 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-2
26.7%
Mitch Kimble run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 10:52
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+1
24.2%
Devante McFarlane run for 1 yd to the Syrac 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 23FG
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:3282% → 86%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
18.2%
Shaquille Powell run for 13 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
16.5%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 1 yd to the Syrac 18Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+2
16.4%
Shaquille Powell run for 2 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
15.8%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Max McCaffreySimilar
Q4 9:08
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+34
14.1%
Ross Martin 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:1813% → 14%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.4%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Ben Lewis for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
13.7%
Austin Wilson pass intercepted Breon Borders return for 15 yds to the Duke 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 25TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 0:4788% → 96%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
11.9%
Anthony Boone run for 3 yds to the Duke 45Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+1
11.5%
Josh Snead run for 1 yd to the Duke 46Similar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+54
4.1%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 54 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:075% → 4%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
5.0%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Jarrod West for 9 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
5.3%
Austin Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-12
4.8%
Austin Wilson sacked by DeVon Edwards for a loss of 12 yards to the Syrac 22Similar
Q4 5:48
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+13
4.0%
Riley Dixon punt for 52 yds , Jamison Crowder returns for 13 yds to the Syrac 35 SYRACUSE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the Syrac 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 27DOWNS
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:4197% → 99%
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
3.1%
Shaquille Powell run for 4 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+5
3.0%
Shaquille Powell run for 5 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
2.5%
Thomas Sirk run for 2 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
2.5%
Shaquille Powell run for 3 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+4
2.0%
Shaquille Powell run for 4 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 3
OPP 28
-4
2.0%
Anthony Boone run for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 32Similar
Q4 1:42
4TH & 7
OPP 32
0
1.4%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:182% → 2%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
2.2%
Austin Wilson pass incomplete to Devante McFarlaneSimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
2.2%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Adrian Flemming for 7 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
2.2%
Austin Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
2.2%
Riley Dixon punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:3599% → 99%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
1.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 32Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 13
OWN 32
-3
1.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:45
Jamison Crowder 52 Yd Punt Return (Ross Martin Kick)
-26.4
TD · Q3 5:18
Mitch Kimble run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
+19.3
TD · Q2 5:16
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 22 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)
-8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com