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KU

Kansas 3 at Duke 41

DUKE
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · Wallace Wade Stadium
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Win probability · DUKE
modelDUKE aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playDUKE scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Trevor Pardula punt for 50 yds , Jamison Crowder returns for 4 yds to the Duke 18 DUKE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 4Pregame prior+40.4Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:32: Shaun Wilson run for 69 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK) — DUKE win probability +1.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 2:18: Matthew Wyman 34 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +0.8 pts (now 10%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 10:32: Ross Martin 27 yd FG GOOD — DUKE win probability +2.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:23: Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 10 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK) — DUKE win probability +3.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:44: Shaun Wilson run for 68 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK) — DUKE win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
DUKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 8KU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00KU 4th & 21 at KU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:13DUKE 4th & 2 at KU 2, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.4%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    88.8%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:13KU 4th & 7 at KU 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:18KU 4th & 8 at DUKE 17, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:15DUKE 4th & 7 at DUKE 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:41KU 4th & 3 at KU 16, down 14
    Close callPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00DUKE 4th & 6 at DUKE 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:32DUKE 4th & 9 at KU 9, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    88.1%−2.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:23KU 4th & 3 at KU 44, down 17
    Close callPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:21DUKE 4th & 1 at DUKE 23, up 17
    Close callPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:48KU 4th & 12 at DUKE 37, down 17
    Close callPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    7.5%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:26DUKE 4th & 8 at DUKE 37, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:04KU 4th & 12 at KU 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:16KU 4th & 5 at KU 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00KU 4th & 6 at KU 30, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:53DUKE 4th & 1 at KU 30, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:53DUKE 4th & 1 at KU 6, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:35KU 4th & 8 at DUKE 22, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:57KU 4th & 2 at DUKE 43, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
DUKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:33DUKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:32DUKE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:23DUKE Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:44DUKE Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:57DUKE Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
90.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 12 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Kans Montell CozartSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 23
OWN 12
+2
90.4%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 14
+4
90.4%
Trevor Pardula punt for 50 yds , Jamison Crowder returns for 4 yds to the Duke 18 DUKE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 14
0
90.4%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Corey AverySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 2:0690% → 90%
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
90.1%
Shaquille Powell run for no gain to the Duke 40Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
90.1%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+11
90.1%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 11 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
90.2%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 8 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+5
90.2%
Shaquille Powell run for 5 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
90.1%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 36 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
89.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 4 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+9
90.0%
Corey Avery run for 9 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
89.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Justin McCay for 3 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
89.9%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+13
90.0%
Montell Cozart pass intercepted DeVon Edwards return for 13 yds to the Kans 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4FG
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:3890% → 90%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
90.0%
Josh Snead run for 3 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-5
90.0%
DUKE Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Kans 29Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+4
90.0%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 4 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+15
89.9%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 15 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
89.8%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
Q1 8:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
89.8%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Max McCaffrey, broken up by Matthew BoatengSimilar
Q1 8:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
89.7%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Josh Snead for 8 yds to the Kans 2Similar
Q1 7:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
89.6%
Ross Martin 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.3%
De'Andre Mann run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
89.2%
Montell Cozart run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 28 Montell Cozart fumbled, recovered by Kans Montell CozartSimilar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
89.4%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 7:13
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
89.5%
Trevor Pardula punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jamison Crowder at the Duke 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 6TD
2 plays · 69 yds · 0:1790% → 91%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
89.6%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+69
91.2%
Shaun Wilson run for 69 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 3:149% → 10%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.1%
De'Andre Mann run for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
91.0%
De'Andre Mann run for 7 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+24
91.0%
Montell Cozart run for 24 yds to the Duke 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
90.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Nick Harwell for 7 yds to the Duke 33Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
90.4%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+14
90.5%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tony Pierson for 14 yds to the Duke 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
90.4%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+2
90.5%
Montell Cozart run for 2 yds to the Duke 17Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
90.6%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:18
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+34
89.8%
Matthew Wyman 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
90.7%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 3 yds to the Duke 42Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
90.7%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Issac BlakeneySimilar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
90.5%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
Q1 2:15
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
90.3%
Will Monday punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
90.2%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+2
90.3%
Montell Cozart run for 2 yds to the Kans 11 KANSAS Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 8
OWN 11
+5
90.2%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Justin McCay for 5 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q1 1:41
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
90.3%
Trevor Pardula punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jamison Crowder at the Duke 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:1991% → 90%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
90.7%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
90.7%
Shaquille Powell run for 4 yds to the Duke 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
90.5%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Max McCaffreySimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
90.3%
Will Monday punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11INT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
89.7%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
89.7%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete, broken up by DeVon EdwardsSimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+8
90.0%
Montell Cozart run for 8 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
89.7%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
89.7%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-5
89.7%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Kans 37Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+34
90.0%
Montell Cozart pass intercepted Evrett Edwards return for 34 yds to the Kans 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 12FG
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:3391% → 93%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
90.9%
Josh Snead run for 13 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (JaCorey Shepherd) to the Kans 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
90.9%
Thomas Sirk run for 4 yds to the Kans 2Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 0
OPP 2
-15
90.9%
Josh Snead rush for 2 yards to the KU0, clock 11:11, PENALTY DU illegal block (Laken Tomlinson) 15 yards to the KU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 0
OPP 17
+8
90.6%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 8 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q2 10:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
92.6%
Ross Martin 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
91.6%
Corey Avery run for 3 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
91.6%
Corey Avery run for 4 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
91.4%
Corey Avery run for no gain to the Kans 44Similar
Q2 10:23
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+3
91.7%
Trevor Pardula punt for 45 yds , Jamison Crowder returns for 3 yds to the Duke 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
92.8%
Shaun Wilson run for no gain to the Duke 14Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+4
92.8%
Shaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the Duke 18Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+5
92.6%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Johnell Barnes for 5 yds to the Duke 23Similar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
92.4%
Will Monday punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
90.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 7 yds to the Duke 41Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+6
90.7%
De'Andre Mann run for 6 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
90.5%
De'Andre Mann run for 3 yds to the Duke 32Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+3
90.4%
De'Andre Mann run for 3 yds to the Duke 29Similar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 4
OPP 29
-8
90.7%
Montell Cozart sacked by Jeremy Cash and Jamal Bruce for a loss of 8 yards to the Duke 37Similar
Q2 6:48
4TH & 12
OPP 37
0
91.7%
Trevor Pardula punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 0:5593% → 93%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
92.9%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 19Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-9
92.8%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 81 yards to the KU0, clock 03:26, PENALTY DU pass interference (Issac Blakeney) 9 yards to the DU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 20
OWN 10
0
92.8%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison Crowder, broken up by JaCorey ShepherdSimilar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 20
OWN 10
+15
92.6%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Max McCaffrey for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Cassius Sendish) to the Duke 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.9%
Anthony Boone pass complete to David Reeves for 4 yds to the Duke 29Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
93.0%
Shaun Wilson run for 6 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.0%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Shaun WilsonSimilar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
92.9%
Shaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the Duke 37Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
92.8%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
92.5%
Will Monday punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Johnson at the Kans 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17MISSED FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 1:288% → 10%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
92.1%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+5
92.4%
Corey Avery run for 5 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+10
92.4%
Corey Avery run for 10 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
91.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tony Pierson for 3 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
91.8%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+17
91.9%
Corey Avery run for 17 yds to the Duke 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
90.8%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Jimmay MundineSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
91.4%
Montell Cozart run for 9 yds to the Duke 39Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+56
90.4%
Matthew Wyman 56 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Breon BordersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
92.9%
Josh Snead run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
92.9%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 3 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+19
92.6%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Josh Snead for 19 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
93.3%
Josh Snead run for 2 yds to the Duke 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+6
93.2%
Josh Snead run for 6 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
92.9%
Shaquille Powell run for no gain to the Kans 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
93.8%
De'Andre Mann run for 8 yds to the Kans 13Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+6
93.6%
De'Andre Mann run for 6 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
93.5%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 6 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 4
OWN 25
0
93.3%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+7
93.5%
Cozart,Montell pass incomplete to Harwell,Nick (Corbin McCarthy), PENALTY DU pass interference (Corbin McCarthy) 7 yards to the KU32, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
93.2%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (De'Andre Mann) to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+1
93.5%
Corey Avery run for 1 yd to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+2
93.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Corey Avery for 2 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 12
OWN 30
0
93.7%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:04
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
93.8%
Trevor Pardula punt for 70 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 20TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:0195% → 98%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
94.9%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 10 yds to the Duke 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
95.0%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 11 yds to the Duke 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
95.3%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Issac Blakeney, PENALTY KU personal foul 15 yards to the KU44, 1ST DOWN DU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
95.3%
Shaquille Powell run for 5 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+15
95.3%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Johnell Barnes, PENALTY KU pass interference (McDonald,Dexter) 15 yards to the KU24, 1ST DOWN DU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
95.3%
Shaquille Powell run for 8 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+3
95.3%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 3 yds to the Kans 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
95.3%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Shaquille Powell for 6 yds to the Kans 7Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+2
95.3%
Thomas Sirk run for 2 yds to the Kans 5Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 2
OPP 5
-5
95.2%
DUKE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 10Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
98.2%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 10 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
97.9%
De'Andre Mann run for 4 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
97.9%
De'Andre Mann run for 3 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-2
97.9%
Michael Cummings run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 25Similar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Trevor Pardula punt for 72 yds, downed at the Duke 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 22TD
7 plays · 97 yds · 2:3399% → 100%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
98.5%
Shaun Wilson run for 5 yds to the Duke 8Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+5
98.5%
Shaun Wilson run for 5 yds to the Duke 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
98.5%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+7
98.5%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Shaun Wilson for 7 yds to the Duke 20Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+9
98.5%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 9 yds to the Duke 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
98.5%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 3 yds to the Duke 32Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+68
99.8%
Shaun Wilson run for 68 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:440% → 0%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
99.8%
KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (-13 Yards) to the Kans 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
99.8%
Corey Avery run for 14 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.8%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Corey Avery run for no gain to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Nick Harwell for 2 yds to the Kans 30 KANSAS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+45
99.9%
Trevor Pardula punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 39 , Ryan Smith returns for 45 yds to the Kans 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 33 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for no gain to the Kans 39Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
99.9%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 7 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+2
99.8%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 2 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q4 13:53
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+5
99.8%
Thomas Sirk run for 5 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Ryan Smith for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
99.9%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 6 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+4
99.9%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 4 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Ryan SmithSimilar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
99.9%
Thomas Sirk run for 5 yds to the Kans 8 Thomas Sirk fumbled, forced by Tevin Shaw, recovered by Duke N/ASimilar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+2
99.8%
Thomas Sirk run for 2 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q4 13:53
4TH & 1
OPP 6
0
99.8%
Thomas Sirk run for no gain to the Kans 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 72 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
99.9%
De'Andre Mann run for 7 yds to the Kans 13Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+11
99.9%
De'Andre Mann run for 11 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+36
99.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to De'Andre Mann for 36 yds to the Duke 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.9%
Corey Avery run for 4 yds to the Duke 36Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+12
99.9%
Corey Avery run for 12 yds to the Duke 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-7
99.9%
Montell Cozart sacked by Jonathan Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the Duke 31Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 17
OPP 31
+3
99.9%
Michael Cummings run for 3 yds to the Duke 28Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 14
OPP 28
+6
99.9%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Corey Avery for 6 yds to the Duke 22Similar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 8
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Corey AverySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 26TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
99.9%
Shaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the Duke 23Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+32
99.9%
Shaun Wilson run for 32 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
100.0%
Shaun Wilson run for 45 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
Jr. Joe Dineen run for 6 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
99.9%
Jr. Joe Dineen run for 6 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
100.0%
Jr. Joe Dineen run for 7 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
99.9%
Jr. Joe Dineen run for 5 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.9%
Ed Fink run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 9
50
+3
100.0%
Ed Fink run for 3 yds to the Duke 47Similar
Q4 3:57
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+4
100.0%
Jr. Joe Dineen run for 4 yds to the Duke 43Similar
Q4 3:57
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Jr. Joe Dineen run for no gain to the Duke 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
100.0%
Shaun Wilson run for 8 yds to the Kans 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:23
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 10 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)
+3
FG · Q2 10:32
Ross Martin 27 yd FG GOOD
+2
TD · Q1 5:32
Shaun Wilson run for 69 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com