Try the model
ELON

Elon 13 at Duke 52

DUKE
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Wallace Wade Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · DUKE
modelDUKE aheadELON aheadconfidence bandkey playDUKE scoreELON score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 7 yds to the ElonU 28 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Pregame prior+36.2Home team on offense+20.5Score differential+15.0Blowout margin−0.3Garbage-time factor+6.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 3:06: John Gallagher 36 yd FG GOOD — ELON win probability +0.8 pts (now 3%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 14:39: Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 46 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK) — DUKE win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 4:24: John Gallagher 35 yd FG GOOD — ELON win probability +0.6 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ELON has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:01: Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 19 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK) — DUKE win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:32: Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 13 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK) — DUKE win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
DUKE made the numbers' call on 9 of 9ELON made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00ELON 4th & 14 at ELON 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:06ELON 4th & 2 at DUKE 19, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.8%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:00DUKE 4th & 8 at DUKE 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ELON 4th & 10 at ELON 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:32ELON 4th & 4 at DUKE 45, down 11
    Close callPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:05DUKE 4th & 1 at DUKE 40, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.7%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:24ELON 4th & 4 at DUKE 17, down 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.8%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:18DUKE 4th & 1 at ELON 46, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00DUKE 4th & 7 at ELON 35, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:22ELON 4th & 10 at ELON 49, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:24DUKE 4th & 7 at DUKE 26, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:41ELON 4th & 1 at DUKE 45, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:33DUKE 4th & 7 at ELON 31, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:27ELON 4th & 10 at ELON 49, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:20ELON 4th & 7 at DUKE 39, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:11DUKE 4th & 1 at ELON 5, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:10ELON 4th & 8 at ELON 19, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:16DUKE 4th & 3 at midfield, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:16DUKE 4th & 3 at ELON 3, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
DUKE made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ELON made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:55DUKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:39DUKE Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:08DUKE Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:01DUKE Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:32DUKE Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:21DUKE Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:23ELON Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:16DUKE Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ELONDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.8%
Tracey Coppedge run for 2 yds to the ElonU 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
98.8%
Tracey Coppedge run for 3 yds to the ElonU 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-9
98.8%
Mike Quinn sacked by Carlos Wray for a loss of 9 yards to the ElonU 21Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
98.8%
David Petroni punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jamison Crowder at the Duke 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 2TD
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:2299% → 99%
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
98.7%
Shaquille Powell run for 9 yds to the Duke 48Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+4
98.7%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 4 yds to the ElonU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
98.7%
Shaquille Powell run for 4 yds to the ElonU 44Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+6
98.7%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 6 yds to the ElonU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
98.7%
DUKE Penalty, false start (Jamison Crowder) to the ElonU 43Similar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 15
OPP 43
0
98.7%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+4
98.7%
Shaquille Powell run for 4 yds to the ElonU 39Similar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+18
98.7%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 18 yds to the ElonU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
98.7%
Shaquille Powell run for 8 yds to the ElonU 13Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+7
98.7%
Shaquille Powell run for 7 yds to the ElonU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
98.7%
Shaquille Powell run for 2 yds to the ElonU 4Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.5%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 4 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 3FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 5:432% → 3%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.4%
Mike Quinn pass complete to Doug Warrick for 5 yds to the ElonU 25Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-1
98.4%
Mike Quinn run for a loss of 1 yard to the ElonU 24Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+10
98.4%
Mike Quinn pass complete to Tre Lennon for 10 yds to the ElonU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
98.4%
Tracey Coppedge run for 14 yds to the ElonU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
98.4%
Mike Quinn pass complete to R.J. Pearsall for 9 yds to the Duke 43Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+4
98.3%
Tracey Coppedge run for 4 yds to the Duke 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
98.4%
B.J. Bennett run for 5 yds to the Duke 34Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+2
98.3%
B.J. Bennett run for 2 yds to the Duke 32Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+5
98.3%
Tracey Coppedge run for 5 yds to the Duke 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
98.3%
Tracey Coppedge run for 2 yds to the Duke 25Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
98.3%
Mike Quinn pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+6
98.4%
Mike Quinn pass complete to Kierre Brown for 6 yds to the Duke 19Similar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+36
97.5%
John Gallagher 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.6%
Josh Snead run for 5 yds to the Duke 30Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
97.6%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Josh Snead for 9 yds to the Duke 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
97.6%
Josh Snead run for 2 yds to the Duke 41Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
97.7%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for no gain to the Duke 41Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
97.6%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 3:00
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
97.5%
Will Monday punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:533% → 3%
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
97.2%
Mike Quinn sacked by Dezmond Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the ElonU 16Similar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+4
97.2%
B.J. Bennett run for 4 yds to the ElonU 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
97.2%
Mike Quinn pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
97.2%
David Petroni punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ElonU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 6TD
1 play · 46 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
97.7%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 46 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
97.6%
B.J. Bennett run for 2 yds to the ElonU 29Similar
Q2 14:32
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+9
97.6%
B.J. Bennett run for 9 yds to the ElonU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
97.5%
Mike Quinn pass complete to Kierre Brown for 11 yds to the ElonU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
97.5%
Mike Quinn pass incomplete to R.J. PearsallSimilar
Q2 14:32
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
97.5%
Mike Quinn pass incomplete to Kierre Brown, broken up by Jeremy CashSimilar
Q2 14:32
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-5
97.5%
ELON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ElonU 44Similar
Q2 14:32
3RD & 15
OWN 44
+11
97.6%
Mike Quinn pass complete to Andre Davis for 11 yds to the Duke 45Similar
Q2 14:32
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
97.5%
David Petroni punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Jamison Crowder at the Duke 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 8TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:5798% → 98%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
97.5%
Josh Snead run for 11 yds to the Duke 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
97.5%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Issac BlakeneySimilar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
97.5%
Josh Snead run for 8 yds to the Duke 39Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+1
97.5%
Josh Snead run for 1 yd to the Duke 40Similar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+4
97.4%
Thomas Sirk run for 4 yds to the Duke 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
97.6%
Shaquille Powell run for 11 yds to the ElonU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
97.6%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 11 yds to the ElonU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
97.6%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Shaquille PowellSimilar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+14
97.6%
Josh Snead run for 14 yds to the ElonU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
97.6%
Josh Snead run for 14 yds to the ElonU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
97.6%
Josh Snead run for 4 yds to the ElonU 2Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.1%
Shaquille Powell run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 9FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 3:362% → 3%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
97.9%
Tracey Coppedge run for 4 yds to the ElonU 36Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+9
97.9%
Mike Quinn pass complete to Tre Lennon for 9 yds to the ElonU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
97.9%
Mike Quinn pass complete to Andre Davis for 9 yds to the Duke 46Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 1
OPP 46
-5
97.8%
ELON Penalty, false start (N/A) to the ElonU 49Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+14
97.8%
Mike Quinn pass complete to Kierre Brown for 14 yds to the Duke 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
97.8%
Mike Quinn pass incomplete to Andre DavisSimilar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
97.8%
Tracey Coppedge run for 3 yds to the Duke 34Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+11
97.8%
Mike Quinn pass complete to Demitri Allison for 11 yds to the Duke 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
97.7%
Mike Quinn pass incomplete to Doug WarrickSimilar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+6
97.7%
Mike Quinn pass complete to Demitri Allison for 6 yds to the Duke 17Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
97.8%
Mike Quinn pass incomplete to Demitri AllisonSimilar
Q2 4:24
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+35
97.1%
John Gallagher 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 10TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 3:1798% → 99%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
97.5%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 6 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+18
97.5%
Anthony Boone pass complete to David Reeves for 18 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
97.7%
Shaquille Powell run for 4 yds to the Duke 49Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+4
97.6%
Anthony Boone pass complete to David Reeves for 4 yds to the ElonU 47Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+1
97.6%
Shaquille Powell run for 1 yd to the ElonU 46Similar
Q2 4:18
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
97.4%
Shaquille Powell run for 2 yds to the ElonU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.6%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+25
97.6%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 25 yds to the ElonU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.0%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 19 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 11END OF HALF
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:461% → 1%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
98.6%
Tracey Coppedge run for 4 yds to the ElonU 38Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+8
98.6%
Tracey Coppedge run for 8 yds to the ElonU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
98.6%
Mike Quinn pass incomplete to Andre DavisSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
98.6%
Tracey Coppedge run for 7 yds to the Duke 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 12TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:2899% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.9%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 8 yds to the Duke 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.0%
Josh Snead run for 3 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+26
99.0%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 26 yds to the ElonU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.0%
Josh Snead run for 3 yds to the ElonU 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
99.0%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Issac BlakeneySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
99.0%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to David ReevesSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+7
98.9%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 7 yds to the ElonU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
99.0%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 6 yds to the ElonU 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+6
99.0%
Josh Snead run for 6 yds to the ElonU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
99.0%
Josh Snead run for 3 yds to the ElonU 13Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
99.0%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to David ReevesSimilar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+13
99.8%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 13 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.7%
Tracey Coppedge run for no gain to the ElonU 49Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
99.7%
Mike Quinn pass incomplete to Doug Warrick, broken up by Jamal BruceSimilar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
99.7%
Mike Quinn pass incomplete to Kierre Brown, broken up by DeVon EdwardsSimilar
Q3 11:22
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
99.7%
David Petroni punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
99.8%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 4 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 6
OWN 27
-10
99.8%
Shaquille Powell rush for 5 yards to the DU32 (Jonathan Spain), PENALTY DU holding 10 yards to the DU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 16
OWN 17
+9
99.8%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Shaquille Powell for 9 yds to the Duke 26Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 10:24
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Will Monday punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kierre Brown at the ElonU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.8%
B.J. Bennett run for 6 yds to the ElonU 36Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+10
99.8%
Mike Quinn pass complete to Andre Davis for 10 yds to the ElonU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.8%
Mike Quinn pass incomplete to R.J. PearsallSimilar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
99.8%
Mike Quinn pass complete to R.J. Pearsall for 9 yds to the Duke 45Similar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
99.8%
B.J. Bennett run for no gain to the Duke 45Similar
Q3 8:41
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Mike Quinn pass incomplete to R.J. PearsallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 16FG
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:03100% → 100%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
Anthony Boone pass complete to David Reeves for 3 yds to the Duke 48Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+18
99.9%
Shaun Wilson run for 18 yds to the ElonU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.9%
Shaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the ElonU 32Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+1
99.9%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Shaun Wilson for 1 yd to the ElonU 31Similar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+49
99.9%
Ross Martin 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.6%
Mike Quinn pass complete to Demitri Allison for no gain to the ElonU 23Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+14
99.6%
Mike Quinn pass complete to Demitri Allison for 14 yds to the ElonU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.6%
Tracey Coppedge run for 2 yds to the ElonU 39Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+5
99.5%
Tracey Coppedge run for 5 yds to the ElonU 44Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+5
99.5%
Mike Quinn pass complete to Demitri Allison for 5 yds to the ElonU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.5%
Mike Quinn pass incomplete to Tre Lennon, broken up by Zach MunizSimilar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
99.5%
Mike Quinn pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
99.6%
Mike Quinn pass incomplete to N/A, broken up by Alonzo Saxton IISimilar
Q3 4:27
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
99.6%
David Petroni punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jamison Crowder at the Duke 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 18TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 3:03100% → 100%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
99.9%
Thomas Sirk run for 7 yds to the Duke 25Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Thomas Sirk run for 5 yds to the Duke 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
99.9%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Anthony Nash for 14 yds to the Duke 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Anthony Nash for 2 yds to the Duke 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+20
99.9%
Thomas Sirk run for 20 yds to the ElonU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Anthony Nash, broken up by Adrian WilliamsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+14
99.9%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Joseph Ajeigbe for 14 yds to the ElonU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
99.9%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 5 yds to the ElonU 15Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Thomas Sirk run for 15 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:570% → 0%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
99.9%
B.J. Bennett run for 21 yds to the ElonU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
99.9%
Mike Quinn pass complete to Andre Davis for 12 yds to the Duke 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Mike Quinn pass incomplete to Demitri AllisonSimilar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.9%
Mike Quinn pass complete to Kierre Brown for 5 yds to the Duke 37Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 5
OPP 37
-6
99.9%
ELON Penalty, false start (Jacob Ingle) to the Duke 43Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+4
99.9%
B.J. Bennett run for 4 yds to the Duke 39Similar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 7
OPP 39
+34
99.9%
Mike Quinn pass complete to Kierre Brown for 34 yds to the Duke 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.9%
B.J. Bennett run for 3 yds to the Duke 2Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
B.J. Bennett run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Gallagher KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 20TD
10 plays · 37 yds · 2:55100% → 100%
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.9%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Johnell Barnes for 5 yds to the ElonU 32Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+18
99.9%
Shaun Wilson run for 18 yds to the ElonU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
99.9%
Shaun Wilson rush for 3 yards to the ELON11 (John Silas;Nick Groll), PENALTY ELON offside 5 yards to the ELON9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 5
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Johnell Barnes, broken up by Nick GrollSimilar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 5
OPP 9
-1
99.9%
Thomas Sirk run for a loss of 1 yard to the ElonU 10Similar
Q4 10:11
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+5
99.9%
Thomas Sirk pass complete to Davis Koppenhaver for 5 yds to the ElonU 5Similar
Q4 10:11
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+3
99.9%
Thomas Sirk run for 3 yds to the ElonU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 1 yd to the ElonU 1Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Thomas Sirk run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
100.0%
Mike Quinn pass incomplete to Demitri Allison, broken up by Dwayne NormanSimilar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
100.0%
Tracey Coppedge run for 2 yds to the ElonU 19Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Mike Quinn pass incomplete to Demitri AllisonSimilar
Q4 7:10
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
100.0%
David Petroni punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 54 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
99.9%
Parker Boehme pass complete to Johnell Barnes for 5 yds to the Duke 48Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 3
50
0
99.9%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 3
50
+9
99.9%
Parker Boehme run for 9 yds to the ElonU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
100.0%
Parker Boehme run for 5 yds to the ElonU 36Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+26
100.0%
Shaun Wilson run for 26 yds to the ElonU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
100.0%
Shaun Wilson run for 5 yds to the ElonU 5Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
100.0%
Shaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the ElonU 3Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
100.0%
Parker Boehme run for no gain to the ElonU 3Similar
Q4 6:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Parker Boehme pass incomplete to Johnell BarnesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+28
100.0%
B.J. Bennett run for 28 yds to the ElonU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Mike Quinn pass incomplete to Kierre BrownSimilar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
100.0%
B.J. Bennett run for 1 yd to the ElonU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:01
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 19 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)
+1.4
FG · Q1 3:06
John Gallagher 36 yd FG GOOD
-0.8
TD · Q3 11:32
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 13 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com