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LOU

Louisville 17 at Clemson 23

CLEM
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadLOU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreLOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:30 · Bradley Pinion punt for 49 yds , James Quick returns for no gain to the Lvile 37 James Quick fumbled, recovered by Clem B.J. Goodson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Pregame prior+13.7Home team on offense−1.3Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score differential−0.4Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:56: Dominique Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Wallace KICK) — LOU win probability +5.5 pts (now 37%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:16: Grady Jarrett 0 Yd Fumble Return (Ammon Lakip Kick) — CLEM win probability +9.0 pts (now 73%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 9:43: Ammon Lakip 45 yd FG GOOD — CLEM win probability +6.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:27: Will Gardner pass complete to Eli Rogers for 22 yds for a TD, (John Wallace KICK), (John Wallace KICK) — LOU win probability +18.2 pts (now 46%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:08: Timeout CLEMSON, clock 01:08 — LOU win probability +15.8 pts (now 26%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 14LOU made the numbers' call on 11 of 14
  1. Q1 13:58LOU 4th & 8 at LOU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:58LOU 4th & 16 at LOU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 13:00CLEM 4th & 9 at CLEM 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:52LOU 4th & 5 at LOU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 9:48CLEM 4th & 11 at CLEM 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 6:54LOU 4th & 2 at CLEM 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.2%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q1 4:39LOU 4th & 9 at CLEM 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    28.9%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q1 4:39CLEM 4th & 18 at CLEM 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 14:51CLEM 4th & 13 at CLEM 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 13:29LOU 4th & 19 at LOU 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−1.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 11:30CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 14, down 3
    Close callPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q2 10:12CLEM 4th & 12 at LOU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    61.7%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  13. Q2 7:16LOU 4th & 21 at LOU 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−1.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%
    average punt
  14. Q2 3:13CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 36, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q2 1:11LOU 4th & 7 at LOU 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−1.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  16. Q3 14:54CLEM 4th & 9 at CLEM 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  17. Q3 13:53LOU 4th & 17 at LOU 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−2.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  18. Q3 9:43CLEM 4th & 7 at LOU 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    65.6%−5.7
    average punt
  19. Q3 9:43LOU 4th & 6 at LOU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  20. Q3 7:21CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    77.7%−1.6
    average punt
  21. Q3 5:21CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 37, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%−1.1
    average punt
  22. Q3 4:23LOU 4th & 1 at LOU 26, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%−3.3
    average punt
  23. Q3 0:00CLEM 4th & 3 at LOU 23, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.7%−1.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−11.6
    average punt
  24. Q4 14:56LOU 4th & 12 at LOU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−4.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  25. Q4 13:22LOU 4th & 2 at CLEM 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    29.1%−4.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−2.7
    average punt
  26. Q4 10:29CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 49, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%−2.0
    average punt
  27. Q4 9:16LOU 4th & 3 at LOU 36, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%−1.2
    average punt
  28. Q4 1:24CLEM 4th & 4 at LOU 4, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.3%−2.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−23.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1LOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:56LOU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:16CLEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:27LOU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0230% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.8%
Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete to James QuickSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.8%
Brandon Radcliff run for 2 yds to the Lvile 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
69.8%
Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete to Keith TowbridgeSimilar
Q1 13:58
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+72
70.0%
Ryan Johnson punt for 45 yds , Adam Humphries returns for 72 yds for a TD, (Ammon Lakip KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.9%
Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete to Keith TowbridgeSimilar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
69.9%
Brandon Radcliff run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 24Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
70.0%
Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete to James QuickSimilar
Q1 13:58
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-5
70.0%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 19Similar
Q1 13:58
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
70.0%
Ryan Johnson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Adam Humphries at the Clem 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
70.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for no gain to the Clem 37Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
70.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 38Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
70.1%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Germone HopperSimilar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+6
70.0%
Bradley Pinion punt for 52 yds , James Quick returns for 6 yds to the Lvile 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
70.3%
Brandon Radcliff run for 11 yds to the Lvile 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
70.2%
Brandon Radcliff run for 3 yds to the Lvile 30Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+2
70.2%
Brandon Radcliff run for 2 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
70.2%
Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete to Eli RogersSimilar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
70.4%
Ryan Johnson punt for 48 yds , Adam Humphries returns for no gain to the Clem 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
70.8%
Deshaun Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 19Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
70.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Germone HopperSimilar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
70.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
70.4%
Bradley Pinion punt for 57 yds , James Quick returns for no gain to the Lvile 35 James Quick fumbled, recovered by Lvile James Quick , return for 17 yds to the Lvile 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:5729% → 30%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
70.6%
Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to Charles Standberry for 17 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
70.2%
Reggie Bonnafon run for 5 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+3
70.1%
L.J. Scott run for 3 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 2
OPP 40
0
70.2%
Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete to Gerald ChristianSimilar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
70.5%
Ryan Johnson punt for 31 yds, downed at the Clem 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
70.8%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the Clem 11Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+1
70.8%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted James Sample return for 1 yd to the Clem 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8FG
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2730% → 30%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
69.7%
Brandon Radcliff run for no gain to the Clem 25Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
69.8%
Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete to Keith TowbridgeSimilar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+1
70.4%
Reggie Bonnafon run for 1 yd to the Clem 24Similar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+41
69.8%
John Wallace 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
69.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 9 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
70.1%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
70.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 31Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 15
OWN 31
0
69.6%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Jordan Leggett, broken up by Keith KelseySimilar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 15
OWN 31
-3
69.2%
Cole Stoudt sacked by Sheldon Rankins for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 28Similar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 18
OWN 28
0
68.9%
Bradley Pinion punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:2432% → 37%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
50
+39
68.5%
Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to Dominique Brown for 39 yds to the Clem 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
67.8%
Reggie Bonnafon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 12Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 11
OPP 12
-3
68.0%
Dominique Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 15Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 14
OPP 15
+8
69.1%
Bonnafon, R. pass incomplete to Brown, Do., PENALTY CU holding 8 yards to the CU7, 1ST DOWN LOU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
68.9%
Dominique Brown run for 5 yds to the Clem 2Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
63.4%
Dominique Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Wallace KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
65.5%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Jordan Leggett, broken up by Lorenzo MauldinSimilar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
65.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Clem 20Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 5
OWN 20
-8
65.1%
Cole Stoudt sacked by Jermaine Reve for a loss of 8 yards to the Clem 12Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 13
OWN 12
0
64.8%
Bradley Pinion punt for 38 yds, fair catch by James Quick at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0037% → 34%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
50
+1
63.3%
Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to James Quick for 1 yd to the Clem 49Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+1
63.5%
Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to James Quick for 1 yd to the Clem 48Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 8
OPP 48
-11
63.7%
Reggie Bonnafon sacked by Jadar Johnson for a loss of 11 yards to the Lvile 41Similar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 19
OWN 41
+52
65.8%
Ryan Johnson punt for 52 yds , Adam Humphries returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
64.4%
C.J. Davidson run for 6 yds to the Clem 12Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+2
64.5%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to C.J. Davidson for 2 yds to the Clem 14Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 2
OWN 14
0
63.9%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Mike Williams, broken up by James SampleSimilar
Q2 11:30
4TH & 2
OWN 14
0
63.6%
Bradley Pinion punt for 49 yds , James Quick returns for no gain to the Lvile 37 James Quick fumbled, recovered by Clem B.J. GoodsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0067% → 64%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-4
66.5%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Artavis Scott for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 41Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 14
OPP 41
+2
65.3%
C.J. Davidson run for 2 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 12
OPP 39
0
65.0%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q2 10:12
4TH & 12
OPP 39
0
64.2%
Bradley Pinion punt for 30 yds, downed at the Lvile 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 15FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -9 yds · 1:3036% → 27%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
64.5%
Dominique Brown run for 1 yd to the Lvile 10Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+1
64.1%
Dominique Brown run for 1 yd to the Lvile 11Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 8
OWN 11
0
73.2%
Grady Jarrett 0 Yd Fumble Return (Ammon Lakip Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 13 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
72.2%
Dominique Brown run for 7 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
71.0%
Dominique Brown run for 5 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
71.4%
L.J. Scott run for 7 yds to the Lvile 44Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
70.3%
Dominique Brown run for 5 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
70.2%
Reggie Bonnafon sacked by Vic Beasley for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 46Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+2
71.5%
Reggie Bonnafon run for 2 yds to the Lvile 48Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 11
OWN 48
-5
71.6%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 43Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 16
OWN 43
-5
72.3%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 38Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 21
OWN 38
0
72.3%
Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete to James QuickSimilar
Q2 7:16
4TH & 21
OWN 38
+5
73.2%
Ryan Johnson punt for 55 yds , Adam Humphries returns for 5 yds to the Clem 43 LOUISVILLE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the Clem 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
72.0%
Adam Choice run for 4 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+3
72.1%
Adam Choice run for 3 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+2
71.9%
Cole Stoudt run for 2 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q2 3:13
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+7
71.3%
Bradley Pinion punt for 47 yds , James Quick returns for 7 yds to the Lvile 43 LOUISVILLE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Lvile 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:4027% → 26%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
72.9%
Brandon Radcliff run for 7 yds to the Lvile 21Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 3
OWN 21
0
72.3%
Brandon Radcliff run for no gain to the Lvile 21Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 3
OWN 21
-4
73.1%
Brandon Radcliff run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 17Similar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 7
OWN 17
+3
74.0%
Ryan Johnson punt for 40 yds , Adam Humphries returns for 3 yds to the Clem 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19END OF HALF
6 plays · 48 yds · 0:0072% → 74%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
72.2%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Adam Choice for 8 yds to the Lvile 46Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+11
72.6%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Artavis Scott for 11 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
73.2%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 11 yds to the Lvile 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+23
73.3%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Mike Williams for 23 yds to the Lvile 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
73.8%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
73.6%
STOUDT rush for no gain to the LOU1 (Dubose, B.), PENALTY CU false start 5 yards to the LOU6, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
69.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 23Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
69.1%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Wayne Gallman for no gain to the Clem 23Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
68.1%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Germone HopperSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
67.2%
Bradley Pinion punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0032% → 29%
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
68.0%
Brandon Radcliff run for 1 yd to the Lvile 34Similar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+2
68.0%
Brandon Radcliff run for 2 yds to the Lvile 36Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 7
OWN 36
-10
68.6%
Reggie Bonnafon sacked by Ben Boulware for a loss of 10 yards to the Lvile 26Similar
Q3 13:53
4TH & 17
OWN 26
+8
70.7%
Ryan Johnson punt for 34 yds , Adam Humphries returns for 8 yds to the Clem 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22FG
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:2971% → 78%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
71.1%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Artavis Scott for 6 yds to the Lvile 46Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+15
71.6%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Adam Humphries for 15 yds to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
72.4%
Adam Choice run for 4 yds to the Lvile 27Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+2
72.4%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Germone Hopper for 2 yds to the Lvile 25Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 4
OPP 25
-3
71.3%
Adam Choice run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 28Similar
Q3 9:43
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+45
77.5%
Ammon Lakip 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.0%
Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to Gerald Christian for 4 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
74.4%
Dominique Brown run for 5 yds to the Lvile 34Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
74.3%
Dominique Brown run for no gain to the Lvile 34Similar
Q3 9:43
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
75.5%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 29Similar
Q3 9:43
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
76.6%
Ryan Johnson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Adam Humphries at the Clem 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q3 7:21
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
80.0%
Adam Choice run for no gain to the Clem 41Similar
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
79.3%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Artavis Scott for 9 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
81.0%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:21
4TH & 1
OWN 41
-1
78.8%
Cole Stoudt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 25TD
7 plays · 40 yds · 1:0825% → 46%
Q3 6:35
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+22
75.3%
Will Gardner pass complete to James Quick for 22 yds to the Clem 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
73.9%
Will Gardner pass incomplete to Keith TowbridgeSimilar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
74.0%
Will Gardner pass incomplete to Eli RogersSimilar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-5
75.4%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 45Similar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
72.2%
Dominique Brown run for 1 yd to the Clem 22Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+22
54.0%
Will Gardner pass complete to Eli Rogers for 22 yds for a TD, (John Wallace KICK), (John Wallace KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q3 5:21
3RD & 2
OWN 37
0
65.1%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Germone Hopper, broken up by Jermaine ReveSimilar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
63.4%
Bradley Pinion punt for 46 yds, fair catch by James Quick at the Lvile 17Similar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
64.3%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Stanton Seckinger for 3 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
64.3%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Stanton Seckinger, broken up by Charles GainesSimilar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+5
63.1%
STOUDT pass incomplete to M. WILLIAMS, PENALTY LOU offside 5 yards to the CU37, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
59.0%
Will Gardner pass incomplete to James QuickSimilar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 1
OWN 26
0
58.8%
Dominique Brown run for no gain to the Lvile 26Similar
Q3 4:23
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+5
60.9%
Ryan Johnson punt for 57 yds , Adam Humphries returns for 5 yds to the Clem 22Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+9
59.5%
Dominique Brown run for 9 yds to the Lvile 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 28FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 3:0963% → 71%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
62.9%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 12 yds to the Clem 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+20
61.5%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 20 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
69.0%
Adam Choice run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 32Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 3
OPP 23
0
67.3%
Cole Stoudt run for no gain to the Lvile 23Similar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
63.6%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Mike Williams, broken up by Charles GainesSimilar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
63.5%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Artavis Scott, broken up by James BurgessSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
67.4%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Artavis Scott for 9 yds to the Lvile 37 LOUISVILLE Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+7
67.5%
Adam Choice run for 7 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+9
68.4%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Artavis Scott for 9 yds to the Lvile 23Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+40
71.2%
Ammon Lakip 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-2
69.5%
Will Gardner pass complete to James Quick for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 21Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 12
OWN 21
+15
72.1%
Ryan Johnson punt for 50 yds , Adam Humphries returns for 15 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
69.4%
Will Gardner pass incomplete to Dominique Brown, broken up by Vic BeasleySimilar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 12
OWN 21
0
71.2%
Will Gardner pass incomplete to Dominique Brown, broken up by Jayron KearseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 30INT
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:0076% → 73%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-7
75.5%
Cole Stoudt sacked by Lorenzo Mauldin for a loss of 7 yards to the Clem 37Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 17
OWN 37
-1
73.3%
Cole Stoudt pass intercepted James Burgess return for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 31DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0034% → 32%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
66.2%
Dominique Brown run for 7 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 3
OPP 45
-5
66.1%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 3
OPP 45
-5
65.3%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 8
50
+5
65.5%
Will Gardner pass complete to Michaelee Harris for 5 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 8
50
+6
67.6%
Will Gardner pass complete to Gerald Christian for 6 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+1
67.9%
Dominique Brown run for 1 yd to the Clem 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 32PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0076% → 77%
Q4 10:29
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
75.5%
Bradley Pinion punt for 34 yds, fair catch by James Quick at the Lvile 17Similar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
77.2%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Artavis Scott for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 42Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+7
76.0%
Adam Choice run for 7 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
77.0%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Jordan Leggett, broken up by Charles GainesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 33PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
70.2%
Will Gardner pass complete to Gerald Christian for 12 yds to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
69.6%
Dominique Brown run for 2 yds to the Lvile 31 Dominique Brown fumbled, recovered by Lvile Tobijah HughleySimilar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 8
OWN 31
-1
69.3%
Will Gardner pass complete to Gerald Christian for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 30Similar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+6
71.4%
Will Gardner pass complete to James Quick for 6 yds to the Lvile 36Similar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
70.7%
Ryan Johnson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Adam Humphries at the Clem 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 34FG
16 plays · 68 yds · 5:3475% → 95%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
75.1%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Artavis Scott for 6 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+10
76.5%
Adam Choice run for 10 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
77.2%
Adam Choice run for 3 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+6
77.5%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Artavis Scott for 6 yds to the Lvile 47Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+8
77.6%
Adam Choice run for 8 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
78.3%
Adam Choice run for 6 yds to the Lvile 33Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+15
85.9%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Artavis Scott for 15 yds to the Lvile 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
83.9%
Adam Choice run for 11 yds to the Lvile 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
83.9%
Adam Choice run for 6 yds to the Lvile 1Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
83.9%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) to the Lvile 1Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
83.9%
Adam Choice run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 5Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
90.0%
Adam Choice run for 1 yd to the Lvile 4Similar
Q4 1:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
95.1%
Ammon Lakip 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 35DOWNS
7 plays · 79 yds · 0:1210% → 17%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+73
90.2%
Will Gardner pass complete to James Quick for 73 yds to the Clem 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
79.7%
Will Gardner pass complete to Kai De La Cruz for 7 yds to the Clem 1Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
80.1%
Dominique Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 2Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
83.1%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 36END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
96.3%
CLEMSON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-1 Yards) to the Clem 1Similar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
96.3%
Cole Stoudt run for 1 yd to the Clem 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:27
Will Gardner pass complete to Eli Rogers for 22 yds for a TD, (John Wallace KICK), (John Wallace KICK)
-18.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:08
Timeout CLEMSON, clock 01:08
-15.8
TD · Q2 7:16
Grady Jarrett 0 Yd Fumble Return (Ammon Lakip Kick)
+9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com