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CLEM

Clemson 21 at Georgia 45

UGA
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:05 · Bradley Pinion punt for 36 yds , Reggie Davis returns for 3 yds to the Clem 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 165Pregame prior+4.4Home team on offense+18.6Score differential+5.3Garbage-time factor+4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:52: Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 30 yds for a TD, (Ammon Lakip KICK) — CLEM win probability +6.2 pts (now 29%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:28: C.J. Davidson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ammon Lakip KICK) — CLEM win probability +7.5 pts (now 40%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:15: Todd Gurley 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Marshall Morgan Kick) — UGA win probability +10.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:26: Todd Gurley run for 18 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +11.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:53: Nick Chubb run for 47 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK) — UGA win probability +5.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8CLEM made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 10:46CLEM 4th & 1 at UGA 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    25.3%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:04UGA 4th & 14 at UGA 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:49CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 18, up 7
    Close callPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:57CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:42CLEM 4th & 14 at CLEM 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:51UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.6%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:05CLEM 4th & 1 at UGA 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.6%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    30.2%−1.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    26.7%−4.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:10UGA 4th & 12 at UGA 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:48CLEM 4th & 5 at UGA 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:27UGA 4th & 7 at CLEM 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    58.8%−8.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:33CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 31, down 3
    Close callPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:31UGA 4th & 5 at CLEM 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    70.7%−1.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:11CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−1.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:17UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 47, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.6%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:13CLEM 4th & 3 at CLEM 27, down 3
    Close callPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:16UGA 4th & 8 at CLEM 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:56CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:05CLEM 4th & 13 at CLEM 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−1.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:44CLEM 4th & 16 at CLEM 13, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:24CLEM 4th & 25 at CLEM 10, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:24UGA 4th & 1 at CLEM 7, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CLEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:46CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:36UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:35UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:52CLEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:28CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:15UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:26UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:53UGA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:34UGA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1TD
14 plays · 70 yds · 4:1422% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
77.6%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Adam Humphries for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 28Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+38
77.5%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Mike Williams for 38 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
77.3%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Germone HopperSimilar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
77.2%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to D.J. HowardSimilar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+18
77.2%
Cole Stoudt run for 18 yds to the Geo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
77.1%
D.J. Howard run for 8 yds to the Geo 8Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 2
OPP 8
0
76.9%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Germone HopperSimilar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+4
76.9%
Cole Stoudt run for 4 yds to the Geo 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
76.7%
C.J. Davidson run for 1 yd to the Geo 3Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
76.5%
Cole Stoudt run for 1 yd to the Geo 2Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
76.4%
D.J. Howard run for 1 yd to the Geo 1Similar
Q1 10:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.3%
D.J. Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ammon Lakip KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:4276% → 74%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.5%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Chris Conley for 2 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
75.4%
Todd Gurley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 26Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
75.0%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Todd Gurley for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 21Similar
Q1 9:04
4TH & 14
OWN 21
-9
74.3%
Collin Barber punt for 60 yds , Adam Humphries returns for a loss of 9 yards to the Clem 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1525% → 26%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
74.6%
D.J. Howard run for 5 yds to the Clem 15Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+3
74.0%
D.J. Howard run for 3 yds to the Clem 18Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 2
OWN 18
0
74.0%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Adam HumphriesSimilar
Q1 7:49
4TH & 2
OWN 18
+11
74.1%
Bradley Pinion punt for 50 yds , Reggie Davis returns for 11 yds to the Geo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 1:1374% → 77%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
74.2%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Sony Michel for 11 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
74.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (John Theus) to the Geo 49Similar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+9
73.8%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 9 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+19
74.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 19 yds to the Clem 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
74.3%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
76.6%
Todd Gurley run for 23 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3925% → 24%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
75.5%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to C.J. Davidson for 3 yds to the Clem 19Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
75.4%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
75.6%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 7
OWN 19
+3
75.8%
Bradley Pinion punt for 37 yds , Reggie Davis returns for 3 yds to the Geo 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6FUMBLE
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:4176% → 76%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
76.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Sony Michel for 5 yds to the Clem 48Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+4
76.2%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Sony Michel for 4 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+3
76.0%
Keith Marshall run for 3 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
76.0%
Mason, Hutson pass incomplete to Conley, Chris, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Johnson, Jadar) 15 yards to the CLEMSON26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
76.3%
Mason, Hutson pass incomplete to Davis, Reggie, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Jenkins, Martin) 15 yards to the CLEMSON11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
76.2%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Michael BennettSimilar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+2
76.2%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 2 yds Michael Bennett fumbled, forced by Grady Jarrett, recovered by Clem Robert SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3425% → 25%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
74.9%
C.J. Davidson run for 3 yds to the Clem 12Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 7
OWN 12
0
74.5%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Charone PeakeSimilar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 7
OWN 12
-7
74.4%
Cole Stoudt sacked by Amarlo Herrera and Leonard Floyd for a loss of 7 yards to the Clem 5Similar
Q1 1:42
4TH & 14
OWN 5
+10
74.8%
Bradley Pinion punt for 41 yds , Reggie Davis returns for 10 yds to the Clem 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8TD
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:0776% → 79%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
75.8%
Todd Gurley run for 14 yds to the Clem 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
76.1%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Quayvon HicksSimilar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+8
76.0%
Todd Gurley run for 8 yds to the Clem 14Similar
Q1 0:48
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+12
75.6%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 12 yds to the Clem 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
79.3%
Hutson Mason run for 2 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 1:4322% → 29%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
78.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 7 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+6
77.6%
C.J. Davidson run for 6 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
77.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Germone HopperSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
77.9%
C.J. Davidson run for 6 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+29
77.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 29 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
71.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 30 yds for a TD, (Ammon Lakip KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0174% → 73%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
74.0%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jay Rome for 7 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
74.7%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
74.0%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 11:51
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
73.0%
Collin Barber punt for 34 yds, downed at the Clem 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:2328% → 40%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
71.9%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Artavis Scott for 6 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-1
70.9%
D.J. Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 37Similar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+35
71.5%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Artavis Scott for 35 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
69.6%
Stoudt, Cole pass incomplete to Kitt, Demarre, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Bowman, Devin) 15 yards to the GEORGIA13, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
69.5%
Cole Stoudt run for 7 yds to the Geo 6Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+2
69.0%
Cole Stoudt run for 2 yds to the Geo 4Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
69.3%
Cole Stoudt run for no gain to the Geo 4Similar
Q2 9:05
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+2
70.2%
Cole Stoudt run for 2 yds to the Geo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+9
68.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the Geo 3 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Clem C.J. Davidson C.J. Davidson run for 9 yds to the Geo 3Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
67.3%
C.J. Davidson run for 2 yds to the Geo 1Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.8%
C.J. Davidson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ammon Lakip KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12INT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:2930% → 32%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.6%
D.J. Howard run for 2 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
69.3%
Cole Stoudt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+16
70.5%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Adam Humphries for 1 yd to the Clem 28 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Roughing Passer (Lorenzo Carter) to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
68.0%
D.J. Howard run for no gain to the Clem 43Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
68.3%
Cole Stoudt pass intercepted Aaron Davis return for no gain to the Geo 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3674% → 71%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
74.0%
Keith Marshall run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+1
73.0%
Keith Marshall run for 1 yd to the Geo 46Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 12
OWN 46
0
71.8%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Keith MarshallSimilar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 12
OWN 46
+3
71.2%
Collin Barber punt for 39 yds , Adam Humphries returns for 3 yds to the Clem 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14MISSED FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 3:2231% → 35%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
69.1%
C.J. Davidson run for 6 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+4
68.3%
C.J. Davidson run for 4 yds to the Clem 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
68.4%
C.J. Davidson run for 7 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+2
67.0%
C.J. Davidson run for 2 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+4
66.7%
D.J. Howard run for 4 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
66.2%
D.J. Howard run for 3 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
65.2%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Adam Humphries for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 1
50
+7
64.5%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 7 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+21
63.9%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Mike Williams for 21 yds to the Geo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
62.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 5
OPP 17
0
62.4%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Adam HumphriesSimilar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
63.4%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Adam HumphriesSimilar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+34
64.8%
Ammon Lakip 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:4870% → 69%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
70.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 4 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
69.3%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jay Rome for 7 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-13
69.4%
Hutson Mason sacked by TEAM for a loss of 13 yards to the Geo 18 GEORGIA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Hutson Mason) to the Geo 18Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 23
OWN 18
-5
68.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:3370% → 73%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
69.5%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jay Rome for 4 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+9
70.7%
Todd Gurley run for 9 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+23
71.3%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Michael Bennett for 23 yds to the Clem 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
72.3%
Todd Gurley run for 3 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+4
72.2%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Kenneth Towns for 4 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+11
71.1%
Todd Gurley run for 11 yds to the Clem 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
71.9%
Todd Gurley run for 2 yds to the Clem 11Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+1
71.7%
Keith Marshall run for 1 yd to the Clem 10Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
70.5%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Michael BennettSimilar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
72.8%
Marshall Morgan 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5429% → 28%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
71.0%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Adam Humphries for 6 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
69.8%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Adam Humphries for no gain to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+2
70.8%
Cole Stoudt run for 2 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q3 9:33
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
71.9%
Bradley Pinion punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Reggie Davis at the Geo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:0272% → 72%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
72.2%
Hutson Mason run for 4 yds to the Geo 22Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+7
72.2%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 7 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
72.3%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 4 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+19
72.6%
Todd Gurley run for 19 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
74.9%
Hutson Mason run for 7 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 3
OPP 41
-15
75.0%
Chubb, Nick rush for loss of 2 yards to the CLEMSON43, PENALTY GEORGIA illegal block 15 yards to the GEORGIA44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 18
OWN 44
0
72.5%
Hutson Mason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 18
OWN 44
+13
71.2%
Nick Chubb run for 13 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q3 6:31
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
72.4%
Adam Erickson punt for 37 yds, downed at the Clem 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2029% → 28%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
70.6%
C.J. Davidson run for 2 yds to the Clem 9Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+3
70.8%
C.J. Davidson run for 3 yds to the Clem 12Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 5
OWN 12
0
71.6%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Stanton Seckinger for no gain to the Clem 12Similar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 5
OWN 12
+4
72.5%
Bradley Pinion punt for 52 yds , Reggie Davis returns for 4 yds to the Geo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5473% → 71%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
73.4%
Hutson Mason run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 36 Hutson Mason fumbled, recovered by Geo Hutson MasonSimilar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+12
71.1%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Chris Conley for 12 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-1
72.9%
Todd Gurley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 47Similar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
71.0%
Collin Barber punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0430% → 27%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
69.9%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the Clem 25Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
69.9%
D.J. Howard run for 2 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
70.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Demarre KittSimilar
Q3 2:13
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
72.7%
Bradley Pinion punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Reggie Davis at the Geo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:5771% → 70%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
71.1%
Keith Marshall run for 1 yd to the Geo 35Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+5
70.9%
Keith Marshall run for 5 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+9
71.6%
Hutson Mason pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 9 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
73.5%
Todd Gurley run for 2 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
73.8%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Sony MichelSimilar
Q3 0:31
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
72.3%
Hutson Mason pass incomplete to Michael BennettSimilar
Q3 0:16
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
69.5%
Collin Barber punt for 41 yds, downed at the Clem 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0429% → 26%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+14
70.9%
C.J. Davidson run for 14 yds to the Clem 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-7
70.0%
Cole Stoudt sacked by Josh Dawson for a loss of 7 yards to the Clem 15Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 17
OWN 15
+2
71.7%
Cole Stoudt run for 2 yds to the Clem 17Similar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 15
OWN 17
+10
74.1%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 10 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q4 12:56
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+5
74.3%
Bradley Pinion punt for 60 yds , Reggie Davis returns for 5 yds to the Geo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24TD
6 plays · 82 yds · 2:3075% → 91%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
75.0%
Todd Gurley run for 2 yds to the Geo 20Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+38
74.7%
Todd Gurley run for 38 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
78.3%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+1
78.4%
Hutson Mason run for 1 yd to the Clem 35Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+17
78.6%
Sony Michel run for 17 yds to the Clem 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
90.5%
Todd Gurley run for 18 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2110% → 8%
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
90.2%
Cole Stoudt run for no gain to the Clem 17Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-3
90.8%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to D.J. Howard for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 14Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 13
OWN 14
0
91.8%
Cole Stoudt pass incomplete to Stanton SeckingerSimilar
Q4 9:05
4TH & 13
OWN 14
+3
92.0%
Bradley Pinion punt for 36 yds , Reggie Davis returns for 3 yds to the Clem 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 26TD
1 play · 47 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
97.4%
Nick Chubb run for 47 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:093% → 3%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
96.7%
Cole Stoudt pass complete to Jay Jay McCullough for 2 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 8
OWN 21
-8
96.8%
Cole Stoudt sacked by Leonard Floyd for a loss of 8 yards to the Clem 13 Cole Stoudt fumbled, forced by Leonard Floyd, recovered by Clem Joe Gore , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 16
OWN 13
0
96.9%
Cole Stoudt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:44
4TH & 16
OWN 13
+1
97.0%
Bradley Pinion punt for 39 yds , Reggie Davis returns for 1 yd to the Geo 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 28TD
1 play · 51 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
99.3%
Todd Gurley run for 51 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 2:101% → 1%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.3%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd to the Clem 26Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-10
99.4%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Leonard Floyd and Amarlo Herrera for a loss of 10 yards to the Clem 16Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 19
OWN 16
-6
99.4%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Amarlo Herrera for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 10Similar
Q4 5:24
4TH & 25
OWN 10
+24
99.5%
Bradley Pinion punt for 44 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 24 yds to the Clem 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 30END OF GAME
9 plays · 21 yds · 5:24100% → 100%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
99.5%
Quayvon Hicks run for 9 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+5
99.5%
Quayvon Hicks run for 5 yds to the Clem 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
99.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 21Similar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+6
99.6%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Clem 15Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+2
99.6%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Clem 13Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+6
99.6%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Clem 7Similar
Q4 1:24
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+4
99.7%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Clem 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
99.7%
GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the Clem 8Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:26
Todd Gurley run for 18 yds for a TD, (Marshall Morgan KICK)
+11.9
TD · Q2 7:15
Todd Gurley 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Marshall Morgan Kick)
+10.2
TD · Q2 7:28
C.J. Davidson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ammon Lakip KICK)
-7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com