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SYR

Syracuse 7 at Boston College 28

BC
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2014 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:48 · Riley Dixon punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Sherman Alston at the BC 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 67Pregame prior+11.5Home team on offense−0.8Score differential−2.2Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:43: AJ Long run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +4.8 pts (now 35%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q1 0:21: Prince-Tyson Gulley run for a loss of 10 yards to the Syrac 46 — SYR win probability +3.5 pts (now 35%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:10: Tyler Murphy pass complete to Sherman Alston for 26 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK) — BC win probability +9.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:14: Jon Hilliman run for 7 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK) — BC win probability +9.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:43: Tyler Rouse run for 42 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK) — BC win probability +4.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 7 of 8SYR made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 14:48SYR 4th & 15 at SYR 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:57BC 4th & 6 at BC 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:04SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:24BC 4th & 14 at BC 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:18SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 6:29BC 4th & 23 at BC 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−0.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00SYR 4th & 30 at SYR 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−1.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:40BC 4th & 3 at SYR 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    72.0%−0.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    71.7%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:48SYR 4th & 15 at SYR 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−2.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:14SYR 4th & 11 at BC 30, down 14
    Close callPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%
    56% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:26BC 4th & 10 at BC 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:20SYR 4th & 20 at BC 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−1.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    11.5%−0.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00BC 4th & 8 at BC 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:43SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 34, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:43SYR 4th & 14 at SYR 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:11BC 4th & 7 at BC 49, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:02BC 4th & 5 at SYR 5, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SYR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:43SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:10BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:14BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:43BC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
69.9%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 2 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
69.9%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for no gain to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 14:48
3RD & 8
OWN 33
-7
69.9%
AJ Long sacked by Seyi Adebayo for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 26Similar
Q1 14:48
4TH & 15
OWN 26
0
69.9%
Riley Dixon punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Sherman Alston at the BC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
70.2%
Marcus Outlow run for 4 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
70.2%
Tyler Murphy pass incomplete to Josh Bordner, broken up by Durell EskridgeSimilar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
70.1%
Tyler Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
70.1%
Alex Howell punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ritchy Desir at the Syrac 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
70.3%
Ervin Philips run for 1 yd to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
70.3%
AJ Long pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
70.4%
AJ Long pass incomplete to Darius KellySimilar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
70.5%
Riley Dixon punt for 30 yds, downed at the BC 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
70.7%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 37Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+14
70.5%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Josh Bordner for 14 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
70.8%
Tyler Murphy run for 5 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-1
70.8%
Myles Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 45Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 6
OPP 45
-8
70.7%
Tyler Murphy sacked by Zaire Franklin for a loss of 8 yards to the BC 47Similar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
70.3%
Alex Howell punt for 49 yds, downed at the Syrac 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
71.0%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 1 yd to the Syrac 5Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+29
71.0%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 29 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
70.8%
AJ Long pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
70.9%
George Morris II run for 2 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
71.0%
AJ Long pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
71.2%
Riley Dixon punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sherman Alston at the BC 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
71.3%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 23Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-4
71.3%
Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 19Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-7
71.0%
Tyler Murphy sacked by Robert Welsh for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 12Similar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 23
OWN 12
+10
70.7%
Alex Howell punt for 41 yds , Ritchy Desir returns for 10 yds to the BC 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:4829% → 35%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
70.6%
Ervin Philips run for 16 yds to the BC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
70.0%
AJ Long pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+3
70.0%
Devante McFarlane run for 3 yds to the BC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
70.0%
AJ Long run for 5 yds to the BC 10Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+6
70.0%
Devante McFarlane run for 6 yds to the BC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
65.2%
AJ Long run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:0068% → 69%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
67.7%
Sherman Alston run for 11 yds to the BC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.8%
Murphy,T rush for loss of 3 yards to the BC22 (Franklin, Z.;Lynch, C.), PENALTY SU offside 5 yards to the BC30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+13
68.4%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Josh Bordner for 13 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
68.7%
Myles Willis run for no gain to the BC 44 Myles Willis fumbled, forced by Ron Thompson, recovered by Syrac Eric CrumeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:2135% → 33%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
65.2%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for a loss of 10 yards to the Syrac 46Similar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 20
OPP 0
-15
64.9%
PENALTY SU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY BC unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY, PENALTY SU personal foul 15 yards to the SU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 35
OWN 39
+11
66.3%
Devante McFarlane run for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 24
50
-6
66.4%
AJ Long sacked by Connor Wujciak for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 30
OWN 44
0
67.2%
Riley Dixon punt for 34 yds, downed at the BC 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11MISSED FG
16 plays · -4 yds · 8:5267% → 64%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-11
67.2%
Hilliman,J rush for 4 yards to the BC26 (Robinson, M.;Lynch, C.), PENALTY BC personal foul 11 yards to the BC11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 21
OWN 11
+9
67.1%
Jon Hilliman run for 9 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+30
67.1%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Shakim Phillips for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
50
+2
68.7%
Tyler Murphy run for 2 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+3
68.8%
Tyler Murphy run for 3 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+7
68.6%
Tyler Murphy run for 7 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
68.9%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-1
69.2%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 36Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+5
68.5%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to David Dudeck for 5 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q2 13:40
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+9
67.7%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Josh Bordner for 9 yds to the Syrac 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
69.2%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+9
69.2%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Dan Crimmins for 9 yds to the Syrac 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
69.2%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 13Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
-69
69.1%
Murphy,T pass incomplete, PENALTY BC illegal forward pass 69 yards to the BC18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & GOAL
OWN 18
0
66.3%
Marcus Outlow run for no gain to the BC 18Similar
Q2 4:48
4TH & GOAL
OWN 18
+36
63.7%
Mike Knoll 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0037% → 35%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
62.7%
Philips, E. rush for loss of 3 yards to the SU17 (Duggan,S), PENALTY SU illegal block 10 yards to the SU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 20
OWN 10
-1
62.9%
Ervin Philips run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 9Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 21
OWN 9
+6
63.4%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 6 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 15
OWN 15
0
64.0%
AJ Long pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:48
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
64.7%
Riley Dixon punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Sherman Alston at the BC 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:3267% → 77%
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
67.2%
Marcus Outlow run for 12 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
67.9%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Marcus Outlow for 7 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 3
OPP 36
0
67.9%
Marcus Outlow run for no gain to the Syrac 36Similar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+10
67.4%
Murphy,T pass incomplete to Callinan,C, PENALTY SU holding 10 yards to the SU26, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
77.1%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Sherman Alston for 26 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
73.7%
George Morris II run for no gain to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
74.0%
George Morris II run for 6 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+1
73.6%
George Morris II run for 1 yd to the Syrac 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
74.2%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 1 yd to the Syrac 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+1
74.3%
AJ Long pass intercepted Mike Strizak return for 1 yd to the Syrac 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16TD
4 plays · 30 yds · 2:0078% → 86%
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
77.5%
Marcus Outlow run for 2 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+18
77.5%
Tyler Murphy run for 18 yds to the Syrac 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
77.5%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the Syrac 7Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
86.4%
Jon Hilliman run for 7 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 44 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
84.7%
AJ Long pass complete to Jarrod West for 14 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
83.7%
Devante McFarlane run for no gain to the Syrac 40Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
84.0%
AJ Long pass complete to Jarrod West for 11 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
82.9%
Long, AJ rush for no gain to the BC49 (Brown,T;Mihalik,B), PENALTY BC offside 5 yards to the BC44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 5
OPP 44
+15
82.5%
Long, AJ pass incomplete to Lewis, B., PENALTY BC pass interference 15 yards to the BC29, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
81.7%
AJ Long pass complete to Jarrod West for 9 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 1
OPP 20
-10
81.7%
Gulley, P-T rush for no gain to the BC20 (Keyes,J), PENALTY SU holding 10 yards to the BC30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
82.2%
AJ Long pass incomplete to Jarrod WestSimilar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 11
OPP 30
0
83.5%
AJ Long pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:14
4TH & 11
OPP 30
0
84.5%
Riley Dixon punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
87.1%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 15Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+7
87.2%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 7 yds to the BC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
87.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+5
87.2%
Marcus Outlow run for 5 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 3
OWN 29
-7
86.8%
Tyler Murphy sacked by Robert Welsh and Cameron Lynch for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 22Similar
Q3 9:26
4TH & 10
OWN 22
+15
85.9%
Alex Howell punt for 39 yds , Ritchy Desir returns for 15 yds to the BC 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0015% → 13%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
84.9%
AJ Long pass complete to Jarrod West for 8 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+1
84.4%
Devante McFarlane run for 1 yd to the BC 37Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+4
84.6%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 4 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
84.1%
Ervin Philips run for no gain to the BC 33Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
84.2%
AJ Long pass incomplete to Jarrod WestSimilar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 10
OPP 33
-10
85.4%
AJ Long sacked by Seyi Adebayo for a loss of 10 yards to the BC 43Similar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 20
OPP 43
0
87.1%
Riley Dixon punt for 33 yds, downed at the BC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:3390% → 92%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
90.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the BC 11Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+1
90.1%
Myles Willis run for 1 yd to the BC 12Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+5
89.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the BC 17Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+15
89.8%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to David Dudeck for 15 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
90.4%
Tyler Murphy run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 31Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+3
90.3%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
93.1%
Tyler Murphy pass incomplete, broken up by Ron ThompsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 34
+13
92.4%
Alex Howell punt for 44 yds , Ritchy Desir returns for 13 yds to the Syrac 47 SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Syrac 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:009% → 10%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.0%
George Morris II run for 1 yd to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
90.9%
AJ Long pass complete to Adrian Flemming for 5 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
90.4%
AJ Long pass complete to Jarrod West for 3 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
90.5%
Riley Dixon punt for 46 yds, downed at the BC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:0894% → 99%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
93.6%
Tyler Murphy run for 5 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
93.8%
Tyler Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
93.6%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Josh Bordner for 5 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
93.8%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Sherman Alston for 5 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+3
93.9%
Myles Willis run for 3 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+3
93.9%
Tyler Murphy run for 3 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
94.1%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 15 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
94.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+42
99.0%
Tyler Rouse run for 42 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
AJ Long pass incomplete to Adrian FlemmingSimilar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
AJ Long pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-4
98.9%
AJ Long run for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 21Similar
Q4 8:43
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
98.9%
Riley Dixon punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Sherman Alston at the BC 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:3499% → 100%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.0%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
99.0%
Tyler Rouse run for 4 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+5
99.1%
Tyler Rouse run for 5 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
99.1%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the BC 47Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-2
99.1%
Tyler Rouse run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 45Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+4
99.5%
Tyler Rouse run for 4 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q4 4:11
4TH & 7
OWN 49
+1
99.5%
Alex Howell punt for 45 yds , Darius Kelly returns for 1 yd to the Syrac 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25INT
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
99.4%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Alvin Cornelius for 7 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+15
99.3%
Austin Wilson pass intercepted Sean Duggan return for 15 yds to the Syrac 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
99.6%
Tyler Rouse run for 2 yds to the Syrac 7Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.6%
Tyler Rouse run for 2 yds to the Syrac 5Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.6%
Tyler Rouse run for no gain to the Syrac 5Similar
Q4 3:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.6%
Tyler Rouse run for 2 yds to the Syrac 3 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (2 Yards) to the Syrac 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:10
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Sherman Alston for 26 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)
+9.7
TD · Q3 12:14
Jon Hilliman run for 7 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)
+9
TD · Q1 1:43
AJ Long run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
-4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com