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BC

Boston College 17 at Florida State 20

FSU
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:29 · Cason Beatty punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 119Pregame prior+13.2Home team on offense+1.2Score differential−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Garbage-time factor−1.3Blowout margin−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:29: Shakim Phillips 49 Yd pass from Tyler Murphy (Mike Knoll Kick) — BC win probability +6.3 pts (now 18%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:02: Nick O'Leary 30 Yd pass from Jameis Winston (Roberto Aguayo Kick) — FSU win probability +4.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:12: Tyler Murphy 21 Yd Run (Mike Knoll Kick) — BC win probability +13.2 pts (now 31%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:29: Karlos Williams run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST down — FSU win probability +9.3 pts (now 64%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:03: Roberto Aguayo 26 yd FG GOOD — FSU win probability +32.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5BC made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 0:14BC 4th & 3 at FSU 23, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.1%−0.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−1.5
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:39FSU 4th & 10 at BC 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    83.3%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:11BC 4th & 2 at BC 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:07BC 4th & 11 at FSU 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    14.9%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:43BC 4th & 6 at BC 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:17FSU 4th & 2 at FSU 16, up 7
    Close callPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:36FSU 4th & 7 at BC 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    64.4%−8.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:38BC 4th & 15 at BC 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−5.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:29FSU 4th & 20 at FSU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−5.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:37BC 4th & 8 at FSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−1.6
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    24.1%−21.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:03FSU 4th & 3 at BC 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−12.0
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−31.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:36FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:29BC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:02FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:12BC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FSUDrive 1TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:1593% → 93%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.3%
Karlos Williams run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
93.2%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Rashad GreeneSimilar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
93.1%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 7 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
93.0%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Karlos Williams for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
50
0
93.0%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Nick O'LearySimilar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 10
50
+14
92.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 14 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
92.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 8 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 2
OPP 28
0
92.7%
Karlos Williams run for no gain to the BC 28Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+15
92.6%
Karlos Williams run for 15 yds to the BC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
92.5%
Karlos Williams run for 4 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+2
92.3%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 2 yds to the BC 7Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+5
92.2%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Karlos Williams for 5 yds to the BC 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
92.2%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Josue Matias) to the BC 7Similar
Q1 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
92.0%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the BC 3Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.6%
Karlos Williams 3 Yd Run (Roberto Aguayo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 8:048% → 11%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
92.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+7
92.1%
Jon Hilliman run for 7 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
91.9%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Bobby Wolford for 3 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+6
91.8%
Myles Willis run for 6 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+1
91.6%
Tyler Murphy run for 1 yd to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
91.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+4
91.3%
Myles Willis run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
91.2%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Jarrett Darmstatter for 6 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 4
OPP 34
-2
90.8%
Tyler Murphy run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 36 Tyler Murphy fumbled, recovered by BC Tyler MurphySimilar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+6
91.0%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Sherman Alston for 6 yds to the FlaSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
90.5%
Marcus Outlow run for no gain to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
90.3%
Tyler Murphy run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+1
90.3%
Tyler Murphy run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q1 0:14
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+40
89.2%
Mike Knoll 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 3FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 4:3190% → 90%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.6%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Nick O'LearySimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
89.4%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
50
0
89.9%
Mario Pender run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 10
50
+7
89.7%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Mario Pender for 7 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+4
89.5%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 4 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
89.6%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the BC 34Similar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 5
OPP 34
-4
89.7%
Karlos Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 38Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+19
89.3%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 19 yds to the BC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
89.4%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Rashad GreeneSimilar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-15
89.3%
Jameis Winston run for a loss of 15 yards to the BC 34 Jameis Winston fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Jameis WinstonSimilar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 25
OPP 34
+15
88.3%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 15 yds to the BC 19Similar
Q2 10:39
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+37
89.9%
Roberto Aguayo 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5410% → 10%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
89.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 9 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
89.1%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 33Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
89.5%
Tyler Murphy pass incomplete to Josh BordnerSimilar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
89.7%
Alex Howell punt for 36 yds, downed at the FlaSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 5INT
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:3490% → 90%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+25
89.8%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 25 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
90.3%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the BC 43Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+4
90.2%
Jameis Winston pass intercepted Ty-Meer Brown return for 4 yds to the BC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 2:3011% → 18%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
89.2%
Myles Willis run for 6 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+6
88.5%
Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
88.6%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+3
88.1%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+49
81.8%
Shakim Phillips 49 Yd pass from Tyler Murphy (Mike Knoll Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1085% → 90%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
84.6%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 11 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
84.8%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 9 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
85.6%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Travis RudolphSimilar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
85.1%
Karlos Williams run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+22
85.2%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 22 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
85.7%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the BC 30Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+30
89.8%
Nick O'Leary 30 Yd pass from Jameis Winston (Roberto Aguayo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:4712% → 12%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
88.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 15 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
87.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+16
86.7%
Sherman Alston run for 16 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-14
86.1%
Tyler Murphy sacked by Jalen Ramsey for a loss of 14 yards to the BC 46Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 24
OWN 46
+1
87.6%
Tyler Murphy run for 1 yd to the BC 47Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 23
OWN 47
+12
87.7%
Marcus Outlow run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
88.4%
Alex Howell punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
88.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:0912% → 13%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
87.6%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
87.6%
Tyler Murphy pass incomplete to Dan CrimminsSimilar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+12
88.1%
Tyler Murphy run for 12 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offside Defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
86.9%
Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 34Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+3
87.2%
Myles Willis run for 3 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+3
87.0%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Sherman Alston for 3 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q3 11:43
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
87.2%
Alex Howell punt for 52 yds, downed at the FlaSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0487% → 87%
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
87.1%
Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 10Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 8
OWN 10
-5
86.9%
Winston, Jameis pass complete to Cook, Dalvin for 12 yards to the FLORIDAST22, PENALTY FLORIDAST personal foul 5 yards to the FLORIDAST5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 13
OWN 5
+4
86.8%
Jameis Winston run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 9Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+7
87.0%
Jameis Winston run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 16Similar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 2
OWN 16
+7
86.6%
Cason Beatty punt for 54 yds , Sherman Alston returns for 7 yds to the BC 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:0514% → 31%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
85.6%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 32Similar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+6
86.1%
Jon Hilliman run for 6 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+10
85.3%
Sherman Alston run for 10 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
84.1%
Bordner, Josh pass incomplete to Alston, Sherman, PENALTY FLORIDAST roughing passer (Thomas, Matthew) 15 yards to the FLORIDAST37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOSTCOLL. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
83.7%
Myles Willis run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 2
OPP 29
0
82.1%
Tyler Murphy pass incomplete to Charlie CallinanSimilar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+8
83.3%
Tyler Murphy run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
81.9%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
68.7%
Tyler Murphy 21 Yd Run (Mike Knoll Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 2:1176% → 75%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
75.6%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Nick O'Leary for 22 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
77.9%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Karlos Williams for 6 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+7
78.1%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 7 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
77.8%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 14 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
78.4%
Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
78.2%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Rashad GreeneSimilar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
76.9%
Jameis Winston pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:36
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
74.9%
Roberto Aguayo 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:5130% → 29%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
70.4%
Jon Hilliman run for 7 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+7
67.9%
Jon Hilliman run for 7 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
68.0%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Bobby Wolford for 6 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 4
OWN 43
-1
65.7%
Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 42Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
-10
65.7%
Tyler Murphy run for a loss of 10 yards to the BC 32 Tyler Murphy fumbled, recovered by BC Tyler MurphySimilar
Q3 0:38
4TH & 15
OWN 32
+6
70.6%
Alex Howell punt for 42 yds , Rashad Greene returns for 6 yds to the FlaSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:0372% → 68%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
71.8%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 6 yds to the FlaSt 38Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+20
73.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 20 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
75.1%
Winston, Jameis rush for 11 yards to the BOSTCOLL31, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding (Johnson, Roderick) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 20
OWN 48
0
72.1%
Jameis Winston run for no gain to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 20
OWN 48
0
71.1%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Jesus WilsonSimilar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 20
OWN 48
0
69.2%
Jameis Winston pass incomplete to Ermon LaneSimilar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 20
OWN 48
0
67.8%
Cason Beatty punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16MISSED FG
18 plays · 67 yds · 8:3034% → 46%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
66.2%
Tyler Murphy run for 4 yds to the BC 12Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 6
OWN 12
-7
65.4%
Myles Willis run for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 5Similar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 13
OWN 5
+20
67.0%
Marcus Outlow run for 20 yds to the BC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
63.6%
Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds to the BC 31 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BC 21Similar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 14
OWN 21
+8
63.7%
Jon Hilliman run for 8 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
61.6%
Tyler Rouse run for no gain to the BC 29Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
62.7%
Tyler Murphy run for 8 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
60.0%
Sherman Alston run for 9 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
56.0%
Marcus Outlow run for no gain to the BC 46Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
57.6%
Tyler Murphy run for 3 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
56.0%
Myles Willis run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+8
53.9%
Tyler Murphy run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
52.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 13 yds to the FlaSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
50.0%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
49.5%
Josh Bordner pass incomplete to Tyler MurphySimilar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+1
51.7%
Tyler Murphy run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q4 4:37
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+42
54.3%
Alex Howell 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17FG
16 plays · 66 yds · 4:2664% → 95%
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
63.6%
Karlos Williams run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
64.1%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 7 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+1
66.8%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+5
65.1%
Karlos Williams run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
65.8%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 11 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
66.8%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Cameron Erving) to the BC 45Similar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+15
63.6%
Jameis Winston pass complete to Rashad Greene for 15 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
68.7%
Dalvin Cook run for 8 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+7
68.6%
Dalvin Cook run for 7 yds to the BC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
68.9%
Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the BC 13Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+4
68.4%
Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q4 0:07
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+1
65.1%
Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the BC 8Similar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+26
94.5%
Roberto Aguayo 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.7%
Tyler Murphy pass incomplete to Josh BordnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:03
Roberto Aguayo 26 yd FG GOOD
+32.4
TD · Q3 6:12
Tyler Murphy 21 Yd Run (Mike Knoll Kick)
-13.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+11.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com