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BC

Boston College 23 at Wake Forest 17

WAKE
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Alexander Kinal punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WAKEFOREST 45 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the BC 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Pregame prior−23.7Home team on offense−4.3Score differential−1.9Garbage-time factor−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:15: Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK) — BC win probability +9.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:46: Tyler Murphy pass complete to Shakim Phillips for 37 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell BLOCKED) — BC win probability +7.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:03: E.J. Scott run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +11.5 pts (now 14%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:26: Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +21.5 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:06: Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 39 — BC win probability +18.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 7 of 8BC made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 7:23BC 4th & 8 at WAKE 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    72.7%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:18WAKE 4th & 12 at WAKE 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00WAKE 4th & 19 at WAKE 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−0.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:01BC 4th & 3 at BC 42, up 10
    Close callPunted · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:04WAKE 4th & 8 at WAKE 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:32BC 4th & 6 at WAKE 45, up 10
    Close callPunted · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    74.7%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:16WAKE 4th & 2 at WAKE 18, down 10
    Close callPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 8, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:27BC 4th & 14 at WAKE 49, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−1.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:05WAKE 4th & 7 at BC 10, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−5.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:59BC 4th & 1 at BC 34, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:03WAKE 4th & 4 at BC 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    14.4%−0.7
    49% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00WAKE 4th & 3 at BC 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−0.5
    77% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−5.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:26BC 4th & 10 at WAKE 46, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    78.1%−2.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 1 of 2BC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 0:00BC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:15BC Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:03WAKE Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.6%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.8%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:26WAKE Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1FG
16 plays · 67 yds · 7:3779% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
20.9%
Tyler Murphy run for 12 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
20.9%
Myles Willis run for 3 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+2
20.9%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+6
20.9%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to David Dudeck for 6 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
20.9%
Murphy,T right pass complete to Bordner,J for 29 yards to the WF28 (Noel, M), PENALTY WF offside 0 yards to the BC43, NO PLAY, PENALTY BC ineligible downfield on pass 0 yards to the BC43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
20.9%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+1
20.9%
Tyler Murphy run for 1 yd to the BC 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+11
20.9%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to David Dudeck for 11 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
20.9%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Myles Willis for 18 yds to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
20.9%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Josh Bordner for 8 yds to the WFrst 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+2
20.9%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the WFrst 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
20.9%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+4
20.9%
Tyler Murphy run for 4 yds to the WFrst 13Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
20.9%
Tyler Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:23
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
24.0%
Alex Howell 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-3
24.0%
Dezmond Wortham run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 9Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+17
24.0%
John Wolford run for 2 yds to the WFrst 11 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, personal foul (Ty-Meer Brown) to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
24.1%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 11 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
24.3%
John Wolford pass incomplete to E.J. ScottSimilar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
24.2%
Dezmond Wortham run for no gain to the WFrst 37Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-2
23.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Jared Crump for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 35Similar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 12
OWN 35
+5
23.7%
Alexander Kinal punt for 50 yds , Sherman Alston returns for 5 yds to the BC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 4:0475% → 78%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
25.5%
Myles Willis run for 2 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+11
25.5%
Myles Willis run for 11 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
25.3%
Sherman Alston run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 29Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+7
25.6%
Tyler Murphy run for 7 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+20
25.5%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Marcus Outlow for 5 yds to the WFrst 41 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, personal foul (Anthony Wooding Jr.) to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
24.8%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Josh Bordner for 7 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+4
24.7%
Tyler Murphy run for 4 yds to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
22.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 33 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
22.2%
Dezmond Wortham run for no gain to the WFrst 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+10
22.2%
Wolford, J middle pass incomplete to Scott, EJ (Daniels,S), PENALTY BC holding (Sylvia,S) 10 yards to the WF24, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
22.3%
John Wolford sacked by Kevin Kavalec for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 21
-9
22.2%
John Wolford sacked by Mike Strizak for a loss of 9 yards to the WFrst 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 22
OWN 12
+3
21.8%
Dezmond Wortham run for 3 yds to the WFrst 15Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 15
+50
21.6%
Alexander Kinal punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WAKEFOREST 45 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the BC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
23.0%
Tyler Murphy run for 5 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
22.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
22.9%
Tyler Murphy pass incomplete to Sherman Alston, broken up by Josh BanksSimilar
Q2 12:01
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+5
23.3%
Justin Simmons punt for 43 yds , Jared Crump returns for 5 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3622% → 22%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
22.3%
Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd to the WFrst 21Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+1
22.3%
Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd to the WFrst 22Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
21.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to E.J. ScottSimilar
Q2 9:04
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
21.9%
Alexander Kinal punt for 51 yds, downed at the BC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:2076% → 76%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+24
24.0%
Jon Hilliman run for 24 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
23.0%
Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 48Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 13
OWN 48
0
23.6%
Tyler Murphy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+7
24.0%
Tyler Murphy run for 7 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
23.7%
Alex Howell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jared Crump at the WFrst 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
22.8%
Dezmond Wortham run for 4 yds to the WFrst 14Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 6
OWN 14
-2
22.8%
Dezmond Wortham run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 12Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+6
22.3%
John Wolford run for 6 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
Q2 7:16
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
22.2%
Alexander Kinal punt for 40 yds, downed at the BC 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:4478% → 89%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
21.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the BC 43Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+11
21.8%
Tyler Murphy run for 11 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
21.4%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Sherman Alston for 11 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
21.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 7 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+8
21.3%
Tyler Murphy run for 8 yds to the WFrst 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
21.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the WFrst 19Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 9
OPP 0
+7
21.3%
Murphy,T rush left for loss of 2 yards to the WF21 (Williams, H), PENALTY WF offside (Dunn, W) 5 yards to the WF14, NO PLAY, PENALTY WF personal foul (Chubb, B) 7 yards to the WF7, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
21.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 6 yds to the WFrst 1Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10END OF HALF
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0816% → 15%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-11
16.0%
John Wolford sacked by Kevin Kavalec for a loss of 11 yards to the WFrst 5Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 21
OWN 5
+7
15.5%
Dezmond Wortham run for 7 yds to the WFrst 12Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 14
OWN 12
+1
15.4%
Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd to the WFrst 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
14.0%
Dezmond Wortham run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 7Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+1
14.0%
Dezmond Wortham run for 1 yd to the WFrst 8Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 8
0
13.9%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Jaboree Williams, broken up by Kamrin MooreSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 8
0
13.9%
Alexander Kinal punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-8
12.0%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 43 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive holding (Dan Crimmins) to the BC 47Similar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 18
OWN 47
0
12.3%
Sherman Alston run for no gain to the BC 47Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 18
OWN 47
+4
12.4%
Myles Willis run for 4 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 14
OPP 49
0
12.4%
Tyler Murphy pass incomplete to Charlie Callinan, broken up by Wendell DunnSimilar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 14
OPP 49
0
13.2%
Alex Howell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by John Armstrong at the WFrst 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13FG
10 plays · 76 yds · 4:1713% → 15%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
12.9%
John Wolford run for 8 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 2
OWN 22
-3
13.1%
Dezmond Wortham run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 19Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+20
12.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 20 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
13.8%
Dezmond Wortham run for 2 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
14.0%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+46
13.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Jaboree Williams for 46 yds to the BC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
15.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 3 yds to the BC 10Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
15.0%
Dezmond Wortham run for no gain to the BC 10Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
14.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Jaboree WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:05
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+28
15.1%
Mike Weaver 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
11.9%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the BC 26Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
11.9%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the BC 27Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
12.1%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Dan Crimmins for 7 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
12.3%
Alex Howell punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · 51 yds · 5:0313% → 13%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
13.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Devin Pike for 8 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+5
14.2%
Isaiah Robinson run for 5 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
14.4%
John Wolford pass complete to Jared Crump for 18 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
15.0%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 40Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+3
14.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Jared Crump for 3 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+4
14.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 4 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q3 5:03
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+7
14.3%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 7 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
15.5%
Isaiah Robinson run for 3 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-2
15.5%
John Wolford sacked by Truman Gutapfel and Steven Daniels for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 25Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+6
14.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Isaiah Robinson for 6 yds to the BC 19Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 19
0
13.3%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Brandon TerrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16TD
3 plays · 81 yds · 1:0890% → 98%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
9.8%
Tyler Murphy run for 3 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+41
9.8%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to David Dudeck for 41 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
2.5%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Shakim Phillips for 37 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:433% → 14%
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
3.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Brandon Terry for 7 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
3.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 3 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
3.1%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 34Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
3.1%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Brandon Terry, broken up by Isaac YiadomSimilar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+13
3.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Jared Crump for 13 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
3.2%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 13 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
3.4%
John Wolford pass complete to Jared Crump for 14 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
3.7%
John Wolford run for 9 yds to the BC 17Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+2
4.2%
John Wolford run for 2 yds to the BC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
3.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Brandon Terry for 8 yds to the BC 7Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+2
4.0%
Dezmond Wortham run for 2 yds to the BC 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
4.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Dezmond Wortham for 1 yd to the BC 4Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
4.2%
Dezmond Wortham run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 5Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 0
OPP 5
-15
3.7%
Wolford, J right pass complete to Serigne, C for 5 yards to the BC0, clock 08:30, PENALTY WF pass interference (Serigne, C) 15 yards to the BC20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 0
OPP 20
+17
2.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 13 yds to the BC 7 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, personal foul (Truman Gutapfel) to the BC 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
13.9%
E.J. Scott run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19TD
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:3014% → 34%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
13.9%
Dezmond Wortham run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 20Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+5
12.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Isaiah Robinson for 5 yds to the BC 15Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+14
12.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Jared Crump for 14 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.5%
Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
18.1%
Sherman Alston run for 15 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
16.1%
Tyler Murphy run for no gain to the BC 40Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+14
16.4%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Dan Crimmins for 14 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
15.2%
Tyler Murphy run for 3 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+3
15.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 4
OPP 40
-1
15.5%
Tyler Murphy run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 41Similar
Q4 6:26
4TH & 5
OPP 41
-5
17.9%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, delay of game (Alex Howell) to the WFrst 46Similar
Q4 6:26
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
18.4%
Alex Howell punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21INT
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:0024% → 29%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+27
24.4%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 27 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
28.8%
John Wolford pass intercepted Justin Simmons return for no gain to the BC 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22END OF GAME
11 plays · 24 yds · 1:4790% → 95%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
10.0%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+12
7.0%
Jon Hilliman run for 12 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
6.3%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the WFrst 49Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+13
6.4%
Tyler Murphy run for 13 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
6.1%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the WFrst 35Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 9
OPP 35
-2
4.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 37Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 11
OPP 37
-2
4.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:26
Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
+21.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:06
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 39
-18.9
TD · Q4 8:03
E.J. Scott run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
+11.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com