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ME

Maine 10 at Boston College 40

BC
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadME aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreME score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:26 · Jeff Ondish punt for 67 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Pregame prior+18.5Home team on offense+26.9Score differential+17.9Garbage-time factor+6.2Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 9:46: Sean Decloux 24 yd FG GOOD — ME win probability +1.8 pts (now 13%) (top driver: ME has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:29: Tyler Murphy pass complete to Josh Bordner for 48 yds for a TD, (Joey Launceford BLOCKED), (Joey Launceford BLOCKED) — BC win probability +1.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:18: Alex Howell 34 yd FG GOOD — BC win probability +1.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:57: Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK) — BC win probability +5.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:26: Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK) — BC win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 8ME made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:38BC 4th & 11 at BC 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:00ME 4th & 5 at ME 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:19BC 4th & 1 at BC 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    90.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:35BC 4th & 4 at ME 23, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.0%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    88.3%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:35ME 4th & 10 at ME 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:17ME 4th & 5 at BC 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00BC 4th & 4 at BC 47, up 3
    Close callPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:46ME 4th & 5 at BC 7, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.8%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:29ME 4th & 24 at ME 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:07BC 4th & 1 at ME 40, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    87.4%−1.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    87.3%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:18BC 4th & 7 at ME 17, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    85.1%−2.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00ME 4th & 13 at ME 39, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:57BC 4th & 2 at ME 35, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    88.1%−1.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    87.6%−1.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:26ME 4th & 10 at ME 33, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:03ME 4th & 10 at ME 35, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:41BC 4th & 7 at ME 25, up 30
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:30ME 4th & 10 at ME 25, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ME made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:41ME Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:17BC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:57BC Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:26BC Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:03BC Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:2295% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
95.1%
Tyler Murphy run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 21 Tyler Murphy fumbled, recovered by BC Tyler Murphy , return for no gain to the BC 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+1
95.1%
Myles Willis run for 1 yd to the BC 22Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 14
OWN 22
+3
94.8%
Tyler Rouse run for 3 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q1 13:38
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
94.8%
Alex Howell punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
94.7%
Nigel Beckford run for 5 yds to the Maine 44Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
94.6%
Daniel Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
94.7%
Daniel Collins pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
94.7%
Jeff Ondish punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-7
94.5%
Tyler Murphy sacked by Austin Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 14Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 17
OWN 14
+6
94.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 6 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+1
94.5%
Tyler Murphy pass intercepted Randy Samuels return for 1 yd to the BC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 4TD
3 plays · 20 yds · 1:066% → 7%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
94.0%
Isaiah Jones run for no gain to the BC 20Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+9
94.0%
Isaiah Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 22 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, personal foul (11 Yards) to the BC 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
93.3%
Daniel Collins pass complete to Micah Wright for 11 yds for a TD, (Sean Decloux KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5FG
13 plays · 40 yds · 5:0694% → 92%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
93.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+2
93.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+4
93.5%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to David Dudeck for 4 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+3
93.0%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
93.1%
Sherman Alston run for 3 yds to the Maine 48Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+19
93.1%
Sherman Alston run for 19 yds to the Maine 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
93.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the Maine 25Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 6
OPP 25
-5
93.2%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Maine 30Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+4
93.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the Maine 26Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+3
93.1%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the Maine 23Similar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+40
92.1%
Alex Howell 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
92.0%
Drew Belcher pass incomplete to Nigel BeckfordSimilar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
92.0%
Nigel Beckford run for no gain to the Maine 20Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
92.1%
Drew Belcher pass incomplete to Nigel BeckfordSimilar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
92.2%
Jeff Ondish punt for 51 yds, downed at the BC 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7TD
1 play · 71 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
92.5%
Tyler Murphy run for 71 yds for a TD, (Joey Launceford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
92.5%
MAINE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Maine 30Similar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+7
92.6%
Isaiah Jones run for 7 yds to the Maine 37Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
92.5%
Daniel Collins run for 4 yds to the Maine 41Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+7
92.4%
Daniel Collins pass complete to Micah Wright for 7 yds to the Maine 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
92.3%
Isaiah Jones run for no gain to the Maine 48Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
92.4%
Daniel Collins pass complete to Jordan Dunn for 5 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
92.3%
Daniel Collins pass incomplete to Jordan Dunn, broken up by Justin SimmonsSimilar
Q1 3:17
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
92.5%
Jeff Ondish punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
91.4%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Bobby Wolford for 5 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-2
91.6%
Tyler Murphy run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+11
91.2%
Tyler Murphy run for 11 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
91.7%
Tyler Murphy pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
91.6%
Tyler Murphy run for 3 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+3
91.6%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Tyler Rouse for 3 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 47
+11
91.4%
Alex Howell punt for 43 yds , Micah Wright returns for 11 yds to the Maine 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 10FG
6 plays · 72 yds · 1:5910% → 13%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+67
90.5%
Daniel Collins pass complete to Jeremy Salmon for 67 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
89.0%
Nigel Beckford run for 4 yds to the BC 8Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+1
89.0%
Drew Belcher run for 1 yd to the BC 7Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
89.3%
Daniel Collins pass incomplete to Damarr Aultman, broken up by Bryce JonesSimilar
Q2 9:46
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+24
87.5%
Sean Decloux 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:1789% → 91%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
89.1%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+13
89.1%
Myles Willis run for 13 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
89.7%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+3
89.7%
Tyler Rouse run for 3 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+7
89.5%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Shakim Phillips for 7 yds to the Maine 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
89.9%
Myles Willis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Maine 48Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+48
91.2%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Josh Bordner for 48 yds for a TD, (Joey Launceford BLOCKED), (Joey Launceford BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
90.6%
Jerickson Fedrick run for 3 yds to the Maine 26Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+19
90.5%
Drew Belcher run for 19 yds to the Maine 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
89.9%
Drew Belcher run for 2 yds to the Maine 47Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-5
89.8%
MAINE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Maine 42Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+1
90.5%
Jerickson Fedrick run for 1 yd to the Maine 43Similar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 12
OWN 43
-12
90.7%
Drew Belcher sacked by Josh Keyes for a loss of 12 yards to the Maine 31Similar
Q2 6:29
4TH & 24
OWN 31
0
91.1%
Jeff Ondish punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13FG
16 plays · 43 yds · 2:4991% → 91%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
90.7%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 39 Jon Hilliman fumbled, recovered by BC Jon HillimanSimilar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+12
90.3%
Sherman Alston run for 12 yds to the Maine 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
90.9%
Tyler Murphy run for no gain to the Maine 49Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
90.7%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Josh Bordner for 8 yds to the Maine 41Similar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+1
90.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the Maine 40Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+2
90.2%
Tyler Murphy run for 2 yds to the Maine 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
90.9%
Tyler Murphy pass incomplete to Shakim PhillipsSimilar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+7
90.9%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Tyler Rouse for 7 yds to the Maine 31Similar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+11
90.7%
Tyler Murphy run for 11 yds to the Maine 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
91.0%
Tyler Murphy pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
90.6%
MAINE Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Maine 15Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 5
OPP 15
-2
90.6%
Shakim Phillips run for a loss of 2 yards to the Maine 17Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
90.0%
Tyler Murphy pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
91.4%
Alex Howell 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
90.8%
Nigel Beckford run for no gain to the Maine 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
89.8%
Daniel Collins run for 2 yds to the Maine 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-10
89.7%
Daniel Collins run for a loss of 10 yards to the Maine 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 34
+5
90.9%
Daniel Collins pass complete to Damarr Aultman for 5 yds to the Maine 39Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 39
+7
91.0%
Jeff Ondish punt for 42 yds , Sherman Alston returns for 7 yds to the BC 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16TD
16 plays · 74 yds · 8:0091% → 96%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
90.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the BC 27Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+20
90.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 20 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
91.1%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to David Dudeck for 7 yds to the Maine 46Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 3
OPP 46
-10
91.2%
Hilliman,J rush for 6 yards to the MAINE40 (Hume, Zachary), PENALTY BC holding 10 yards to the BC44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+8
90.7%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Josh Bordner for 8 yds to the Maine 48Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+5
90.8%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to David Dudeck for 5 yds to the Maine 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
91.2%
Tyler Murphy pass incomplete, broken up by Trevor BatesSimilar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
91.1%
Tyler Murphy run for 2 yds to the Maine 41Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+6
90.7%
Tyler Murphy run for 6 yds to the Maine 35Similar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+3
90.4%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the Maine 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
91.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the Maine 30Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+8
91.3%
Myles Willis run for 8 yds to the Maine 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
91.3%
Myles Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Maine 23Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+12
91.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 12 yds to the Maine 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
91.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 9 yds to the Maine 2Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
96.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:2896% → 99%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
96.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 5
50
+15
96.3%
Myles Willis run for 15 yds to the Maine 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
96.3%
Myles Willis run for 3 yds to the Maine 32Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
96.3%
Tyler Murphy pass incomplete to N/A BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+28
96.2%
Tyler Murphy pass complete to Marcus Outlow for 28 yds to the Maine 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.9%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 1%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
98.5%
Belcher, Drew pass complete to Osumah, Jared for 1 yard to the MAINE34 (Keyes,J), PENALTY MAINE holding 10 yards to the MAINE23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 20
OWN 23
+7
98.6%
Drew Belcher run for 7 yds to the Maine 30Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+3
98.6%
Drew Belcher pass complete to Jared Osumah for 3 yds to the Maine 33Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
98.6%
Drew Belcher pass incomplete to Arthur WilliamsSimilar
Q3 2:26
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
98.6%
Jeff Ondish punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:3599% → 100%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.0%
Sherman Alston run for 8 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+6
99.0%
Tyler Murphy run for 6 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
99.0%
Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+5
99.1%
Marcus Outlow run for 5 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+27
99.1%
Marcus Outlow run for 27 yds to the Maine 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
99.1%
Jon Hilliman run for 10 yds to the Maine 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
99.1%
Sherman Alston run for 15 yds to the Maine 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.1%
Marcus Outlow run for 2 yds to the Maine 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.1%
Marcus Outlow run for no gain to the Maine 1Similar
Q4 11:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Tyler Murphy run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
99.9%
Daniel Collins run for a loss of 6 yards to the Maine 19Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+13
99.9%
Daniel Collins pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 13 yds to the Maine 32Similar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Daniel Collins pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 3 yds to the Maine 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Daniel Collins pass complete to Jordan Dunn for 2 yds to the Maine 37Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Daniel Collins pass incomplete to Damarr Aultman, broken up by Dominique WilliamsSimilar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-2
99.9%
Nigel Beckford run for a loss of 2 yards to the Maine 35Similar
Q4 11:03
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Jeff Ondish punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 45 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+8
99.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 8 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
99.9%
Darius Wade pass complete to Nat Dixon for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 4
50
+11
99.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 11 yds to the Maine 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
99.9%
Myles Willis run for 11 yds to the Maine 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Nat DixonSimilar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+6
99.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds to the Maine 22Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 4
OPP 22
-3
99.9%
Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 3 yards to the Maine 25Similar
Q4 7:41
4TH & 7
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Drew Belcher run for no gain to the Maine 25Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Drew Belcher pass complete to Vassili Grigorakos for 7 yds to the Maine 32Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-7
99.9%
Drew Belcher sacked by John Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Maine 25Similar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+36
100.0%
Jeff Ondish punt for 36 yds , Sherman Alston returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 39 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
99.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 7 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+13
99.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 13 yds to the Maine 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
100.0%
Marcus Outlow run for 18 yds to the Maine 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
100.0%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the Maine 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:57
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK)
+5
TD · Q3 2:26
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Howell KICK)
+2.7
FG · Q2 9:46
Sean Decloux 24 yd FG GOOD
-1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com