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SMU

SMU 27 at UConn 20

CONN
2014 · Week 15 · Dec 6, 2014 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadSMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreSMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFUMBLETDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:07 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:29: Max DeLorenzo 46 Yd Run (Bobby Puyol Kick) — CONN win probability +3.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:10: Ron Johnson 13 Yd Run (Bobby Puyol Kick) — CONN win probability +5.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:03: Prescott Line 4 Yd Run (Cody Rademacher Kick) — SMU win probability +12.4 pts (now 25%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:50: Matt Davis 26 Yd Run (Cody Rademacher Kick) — SMU win probability +18.1 pts (now 44%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:22: Prescott Line 12 Yd Run (Cody Rademacher Kick) — SMU win probability +31.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 4 of 8SMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:01SMU 4th & 15 at CONN 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:56CONN 4th & 10 at SMU 38, down 3
    Close callPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    75.7%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:59SMU 4th & 2 at SMU 13, up 3
    Close callPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:15SMU 4th & 10 at CONN 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:15CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 36, down 6
    Close callPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:13SMU 4th & 10 at SMU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:15SMU 4th & 4 at SMU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:29CONN 4th & 1 at SMU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    70.4%−1.8
    23% to make
    Punt
    71.2%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:48CONN 4th & 1 at midfield, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:38SMU 4th & 10 at SMU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:03CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−1.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:20SMU 4th & 16 at CONN 30, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−2.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    21.3%
    56% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:50CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:59SMU 4th & 11 at SMU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−4.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:21CONN 4th & 8 at SMU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    52.4%−10.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:05CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 9:29CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:10CONN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:03SMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:50SMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:22SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 30 yds · 2:5920% → 21%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
79.7%
Prescott Line run for 3 yds to the SMU 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+4
79.7%
Prescott Line run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
50
+16
79.7%
Matt Davis pass complete to Darius Joseph for 16 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
79.7%
Matt Davis pass complete to Deion Sanders Jr. for 5 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+4
79.7%
Matt Davis pass complete to Darius Joseph for 4 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+3
79.7%
Prescott Line run for 3 yds to the UConn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
79.7%
Matt Davis pass complete to Deion Sanders Jr. for 5 yds to the UConn 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 17
0
79.7%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Stephen Nelson, broken up by Andrew AdamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 17
-10
79.7%
DAVIS,Matt pass incomplete to JOSEPH,Darius (ADAMS, Andrew), PENALTY SMU holding (BRIGGS,C) 10 yards to the UCONN27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 27
0
79.7%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Darius JosephSimilar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 15
OPP 27
+44
78.9%
Cody Rademacher 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
78.8%
Ron Johnson run for 4 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+5
78.8%
Ron Johnson run for 5 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+1
78.9%
Tim Boyle run for 1 yd to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
78.9%
Ron Johnson run for 6 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+17
79.0%
Deshon Foxx run for 17 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
79.0%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Geremy DavisSimilar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
79.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the SMU 38Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
78.9%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Geremy DavisSimilar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 10
OPP 38
0
78.7%
Justin Wain punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
77.4%
Matt Davis run for no gain to the SMU 5Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
77.4%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Darius JosephSimilar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 10
OWN 5
+8
77.6%
Prescott Line run for 8 yds to the SMU 13Similar
Q1 7:59
4TH & 2
OWN 13
-2
77.8%
Jackson Koonce punt for 35 yds , Deshon Foxx returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 46 Deshon Foxx fumbled, forced by Jackson Mitchell, recovered by SMU Dylan DickmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 4FG
6 plays · 36 yds · 1:2824% → 25%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
76.3%
Prescott Line run for 5 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+32
76.3%
Matt Davis pass complete to Darius Joseph for 23 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, roughing passer (Graham Stewart) to the UConn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
76.1%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Deion Sanders Jr.Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
76.1%
Prescott Line run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 10Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
76.4%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Deion Sanders Jr.Similar
Q1 5:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
75.0%
Cody Rademacher 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
75.3%
Ron Johnson run for 5 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
75.7%
Max DeLorenzo run for 4 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 1
OWN 38
-2
75.7%
Ron Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 36Similar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 3
OWN 36
+3
75.0%
Justin Wain punt for 40 yds , Daijuan Stewart returns for 3 yds to the SMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 6FUMBLE TD
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:4727% → 25%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
73.5%
Matt Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 8 yds to the SMU 35Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+32
75.0%
Darius Durall run for 1 yd Darius Durall fumbled, forced by Jhavon Williams, recovered by UConn Andrew Adams , return for 32 yds, (Bobby Puyol PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
75.5%
DURALL,Darius rush for 8 yards to the SMU34 (LEE, Junior), PENALTY SMU holding (LINE,Prescott) 10 yards to the SMU16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 20
OWN 16
+3
75.6%
Darius Durall run for 3 yds to the SMU 19Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 17
OWN 19
+7
75.7%
Matt Davis run for 7 yds to the SMU 26Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
75.9%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Stephen NelsonSimilar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
76.3%
Jackson Koonce punt for 41 yds, downed at the UConn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8INT
4 plays · 40 yds · 0:1476% → 77%
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
75.8%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Geremy DavisSimilar
Q1 0:14
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
75.7%
Ron Johnson run for 2 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+38
75.3%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Joshua Marriner for 38 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
77.1%
Chandler Whitmer pass intercepted, touchback. Horace Richardson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
74.5%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Ryheem MaloneSimilar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
74.5%
Matt Davis pass complete to Prescott Line for 6 yds to the SMU 26Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
74.7%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Ryheem MaloneSimilar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
75.2%
Jackson Koonce punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Deshon Foxx at the UConn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 3:4975% → 80%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
75.2%
Ron Johnson run for 3 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+5
75.3%
Ron Johnson run for 5 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+7
75.6%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Jazzmar Clax for 7 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
76.1%
Max DeLorenzo run for 6 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
76.4%
Deshon Foxx run for no gain to the SMU 49Similar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+3
76.1%
Deshon Foxx run for 3 yds to the SMU 46Similar
Q2 9:29
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+46
79.5%
Max DeLorenzo 46 Yd Run (Bobby Puyol Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0021% → 22%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
79.0%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Jeremiah Gaines, broken up by Andrew AdamsSimilar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+8
79.0%
Matt Davis run for 8 yds to the SMU 32Similar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+4
78.7%
Prescott Line run for 4 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
78.5%
Matt Davis run for 5 yds to the SMU 41Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
77.8%
Matt Davis pass intercepted Jamar Summers return for no gain to the UConn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:5481% → 80%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
80.9%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the UConn 36Similar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+8
80.1%
Ron Johnson run for 8 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
81.0%
Ron Johnson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 1
50
0
80.6%
Ron Johnson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:48
4TH & 1
50
0
79.6%
Justin Wain punt for 34 yds, downed at the SMU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
78.8%
Darius Durall run for no gain to the SMU 16Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
79.2%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Jeremiah GainesSimilar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
79.7%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Darius Joseph, broken up by John GreenSimilar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
80.1%
Jackson Koonce punt for 32 yds , Jeremy Claflin returns for no gain to the SMU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 4:2881% → 86%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
81.0%
Ron Johnson run for 6 yds to the SMU 42Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+17
81.0%
Ron Johnson run for 17 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
81.1%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Geremy Davis for 8 yds to the SMU 23Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+3
81.1%
Max DeLorenzo run for 3 yds to the SMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
81.1%
Joshua Marriner run for 5 yds to the SMU 15Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+2
81.1%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the SMU 13Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+13
86.1%
Ron Johnson 13 Yd Run (Bobby Puyol Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 15MISSED FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 1:1015% → 15%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
85.2%
Matt Davis run for 9 yds to the SMU 34Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
84.2%
Matt Davis run for 4 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
84.7%
Matt Davis run for 13 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
83.7%
Matt Davis pass complete to Aaron Stafford for 6 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-8
85.0%
Matt Davis sacked by Mikal Myers for a loss of 8 yards to the SMU 49Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+21
87.3%
Matt Davis pass complete to Darius Joseph for 21 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+47
84.7%
Cody Rademacher 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:5715% → 25%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
84.7%
Matt Davis run for 10 yds to the UConn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
84.7%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Darius Joseph, broken up by Andrew AdamsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+9
84.8%
Matt Davis run for 9 yds to the UConn 8Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+4
85.4%
Matt Davis run for 4 yds to the UConn 4 Matt Davis fumbled, forced by Jhavon Williams, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+15
87.3%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, personal foul (Junior Joseph) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
75.0%
Prescott Line 4 Yd Run (Cody Rademacher Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0080% → 78%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
79.9%
Ron Johnson run for no gain to the UConn 26Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
79.6%
Ron Johnson run for 3 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+2
79.1%
Ron Johnson run for 2 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 5
OWN 31
+20
78.4%
Justin Wain punt for 48 yds , Daijuan Stewart returns for 20 yds to the UCONN 49 CONNECTICUT Penalty, personal foul (Folorunso Fatukasi) to the UConn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0024% → 20%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
76.4%
Prescott Line run for 4 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+1
76.0%
Matt Davis run for 1 yd to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+15
76.8%
Matt Davis pass complete to Darius Joseph for 15 yds to the UConn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
74.8%
DAVIS,Matt rush for 16 yards to the UCONN8, PENALTY SMU holding (BROWN,Evan) 10 yards to the UCONN34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 20
OPP 34
0
76.1%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Darius Joseph, broken up by B.J. McBrydeSimilar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 20
OPP 34
+4
76.6%
Prescott Line run for 4 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 16
OPP 30
0
78.4%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Darius JosephSimilar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 16
OPP 30
0
80.0%
Cody Rademacher punt for 23 yds , Deshon Foxx returns for no gain to the UConn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 51 yds · 0:0081% → 83%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
80.8%
Max DeLorenzo run for 3 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+48
80.8%
Deshon Foxx run for 48 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
83.2%
Deshon Foxx run for 2 yds to the SMU 42 Deshon Foxx fumbled, forced by Derek Longoria, recovered by SMU Darrion RichardsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 3:2323% → 44%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
77.4%
Matt Davis run for 3 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+2
76.5%
Matt Davis run for 2 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+11
76.8%
Matt Davis pass complete to Darius Joseph for 11 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
76.0%
Prescott Line run for 1 yd to the UConn 41Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+12
76.0%
Matt Davis pass complete to Darius Joseph for 12 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
74.1%
Matt Davis run for 3 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+26
56.0%
Matt Davis 26 Yd Run (Cody Rademacher Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
65.8%
Ron Johnson run for 4 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
66.3%
Tim Boyle pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+8
64.8%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Geremy Davis for 8 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
68.0%
Ron Johnson run for no gain to the UConn 41Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
66.9%
Joshua Marriner run for 4 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
67.3%
Tim Boyle pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 6
OWN 45
+13
64.8%
Justin Wain punt for 36 yds , Daijuan Stewart returns for 13 yds to the SMU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0041% → 37%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
59.5%
Matt Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 31Similar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 11
OWN 31
0
60.8%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Darius JosephSimilar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 11
OWN 31
0
62.0%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Darius Joseph, broken up by John GreenSimilar
Q3 0:59
4TH & 11
OWN 31
0
63.2%
Jackson Koonce punt for 1 yd, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3970% → 64%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
69.8%
Max DeLorenzo run for 3 yds to the SMU 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-1
69.8%
Ron Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
68.1%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Joshua MarrinerSimilar
Q4 13:21
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+47
64.4%
Bobby Puyol 47 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Mason Gentry N/A return for no gain to the SMU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 25TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:5942% → 79%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
58.5%
DAVIS,Matt rush for 5 yards to the SMU35 (STEWART, Graham), PENALTY SMU holding (BROWN,Evan) 10 yards to the SMU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 20
OWN 20
0
59.4%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Deion Sanders Jr.Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 20
OWN 20
+48
59.8%
Matt Davis run for 48 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
52.7%
Prescott Line run for 3 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+6
52.2%
Matt Davis pass complete to Darius Joseph for 6 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+4
54.0%
Prescott Line run for 4 yds to the UConn 19 Prescott Line fumbled, forced by Marquise Vann, recovered by SMU Prescott Line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
52.2%
Matt Davis pass complete to Darius Joseph for no gain to the UConn 19Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+7
52.7%
Matt Davis pass complete to Darius Durall for 7 yds to the UConn 12Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+12
21.4%
Prescott Line 12 Yd Run (Cody Rademacher Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 26FUMBLE
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0031% → 35%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
31.4%
Ron Johnson run for 8 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+5
33.9%
Ron Johnson run for 5 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
32.7%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Geremy Davis for 6 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+2
35.2%
Joshua Marriner run for 2 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 2
OWN 47
0
34.8%
Max DeLorenzo run for no gain to the UConn 48 Max DeLorenzo fumbled, forced by Kevin Pope, recovered by SMU Cameron NwosuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 27FUMBLE
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
18.1%
Prescott Line run for 3 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+6
18.2%
Matt Davis run for 6 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+3
18.2%
Matt Davis run for 3 yds to the UConn 34 Matt Davis fumbled, forced by Andrew Adams, recovered by UConn Jhavon WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 28PUNT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0024% → 21%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
24.4%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Max DeLorenzo Ron Johnson run for 2 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
23.2%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Geremy DavisSimilar
Q4 5:05
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
21.4%
Justin Wain punt for 31 yds, downed at the SMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 29END OF GAME
14 plays · 52 yds · 1:0685% → 91%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
14.9%
Prescott Line run for 9 yds to the SMU 42Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 1
OWN 42
0
12.1%
Prescott Line run for no gain to the SMU 42Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+17
12.4%
Prescott Line run for 17 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
10.7%
Prescott Line run for 4 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+21
8.5%
Matt Davis run for 21 yds to the UConn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
8.3%
Prescott Line run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 17Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+16
8.7%
Matt Davis run for 16 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
8.2%
SMU Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UConn 6Similar
Q4 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
8.3%
SMU Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the UConn 11Similar
Q4 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
-2
8.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 13Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
-2
8.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:22
Prescott Line 12 Yd Run (Cody Rademacher Kick)
-31.2
TD · Q3 3:50
Matt Davis 26 Yd Run (Cody Rademacher Kick)
-18.1
TD · Q3 13:03
Prescott Line 4 Yd Run (Cody Rademacher Kick)
-12.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com