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CIN

Cincinnati 14 at Temple 6

TEM
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2014 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadCIN aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreCIN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:34 · Alex Starzyk punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Shaq Washington at the Cincy 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Home team on offense−4.5Pregame prior−4.3Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:39: Gunner Kiel pass complete to Mekale McKay for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK) — CIN win probability +5.0 pts (now 60%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:28: Mike Boone run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK) — CIN win probability +8.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:51: Kenneth Harper run for 3 yds to the Cincy 15 — TEM win probability +4.5 pts (now 34%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:07: Mike Boone run for 14 yds to the Cincy 39 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive holding (Johnny Holton) to the Cincy 29 — CIN win probability +7.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:01: Timeout CINCINNATI, clock 02:01 — CIN win probability +5.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 11 of 12CIN made the numbers' call on 4 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00TEM 4th & 12 at CIN 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:15CIN 4th & 1 at CIN 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:28TEM 4th & 8 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:45CIN 4th & 5 at CIN 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:17TEM 4th & 11 at CIN 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    44.4%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00CIN 4th & 3 at CIN 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:32TEM 4th & 28 at midfield, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:58CIN 4th & 3 at CIN 27, up 4
    Close callPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:23TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:58CIN 4th & 6 at CIN 49, up 4
    Close callPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:34TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:15CIN 4th & 7 at TEM 34, up 11
    Close callPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    70.7%−0.3
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:07TEM 4th & 2 at CIN 46, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    27.1%−2.9
    23% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:00TEM 4th & 6 at CIN 13, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    17.8%−8.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:12TEM 4th & 1 at CIN 9, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.4%−3.7
    89% to make
    Punt
    15.6%−14.5
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:12CIN 4th & 26 at TEM 48, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−3.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:16TEM 4th & 9 at TEM 46, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00CIN 4th & 1 at TEM 46, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    72.7%−4.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%−2.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:03TEM 4th & 9 at TEM 14, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−2.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:03CIN 4th & 2 at TEM 37, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    78.2%−3.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−3.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 9:09TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 42, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:25CIN 4th & 11 at TEM 42, up 8
    Close callPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 12:39CIN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:28CIN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
42.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 19 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
42.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+1
42.3%
Kenneth Harper run for 1 yd to the Cincy 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 48
0
42.3%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to John ChristopherSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
42.3%
Alex Starzyk punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
42.8%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for no gain to the Cincy 20Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
42.9%
Gunner Kiel run for 9 yds to the Cincy 29Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
42.8%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Mekale McKay, broken up by Tavon YoungSimilar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
42.9%
Sam Geraci punt for 52 yds, downed at the Temp 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:3243% → 43%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
43.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Colin Thompson for 9 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 1
OWN 28
0
43.5%
Jamie Gilmore run for no gain to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+3
43.3%
Kenneth Harper run for 3 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
43.4%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 5 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+12
43.6%
P.J. Walker run for 12 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
43.7%
Jamie Gilmore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 47Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+3
43.5%
Jamie Gilmore run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 8
50
0
43.6%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jalen FitzpatrickSimilar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 8
50
0
43.3%
Alex Starzyk punt for 20 yds, downed at the Cincy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
43.9%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Max MorrisonSimilar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
44.1%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Johnny Holton for 4 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+6
44.0%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Max Morrison for 6 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
43.5%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Alex Chisum, broken up by Tavon YoungSimilar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
43.7%
Rod Moore run for 5 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
43.4%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Rod MooreSimilar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
44.0%
Sam Geraci punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 5:3045% → 48%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
44.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 17 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
45.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the Temp 38Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
45.1%
Brandon Shippen run for no gain to the Temp 38Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+10
45.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 10 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
46.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jalen FitzpatrickSimilar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
46.1%
Kenneth Harper run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 8
50
+39
45.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Colin Thompson for 39 yds to the Cincy 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
46.8%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 2 yds to the Cincy 9Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 8
OPP 9
-3
46.8%
Kenneth Harper run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 12Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
46.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jalen FitzpatrickSimilar
Q1 0:17
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+30
48.1%
Austin Jones 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:1153% → 52%
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
47.4%
Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the Cincy 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-4
47.4%
Gunner Kiel run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 21 Gunner Kiel fumbled, recovered by Cincy Gunner KielSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+12
48.4%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Mike Boone for 12 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
48.0%
Sam Geraci punt for 48 yds, fair catch by John Christopher at the Temp 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · -14 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
48.5%
P.J. Walker sacked by Jeff Luc for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 3 P.J. Walker fumbled, recovered by Cincy Leviticus Payne , return for 0 yards , return for 2 yds to the Temp 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:5055% → 60%
Q2 13:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
45.1%
Mike Boone run for no gain to the Temp 3Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
40.2%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Mekale McKay for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
42.5%
Jamie Gilmore run for no gain to the Temp 17Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+16
42.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 16 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
42.8%
Jamie Gilmore run for no gain to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+17
42.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brandon Shippen for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
50
+18
44.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 18 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
45.5%
P.J. Walker sacked by Nick Temple for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 35Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 13
OPP 35
0
44.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jalen FitzpatrickSimilar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 13
OPP 35
-15
43.3%
P.J. Walker sacked by Nick Temple for a loss of 15 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 28
50
0
41.7%
Alex Starzyk punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
41.4%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Shaq WashingtonSimilar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
41.7%
Rod Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 19Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+3
42.6%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Johnny Holton for 3 yds to the Cincy 22Similar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+5
43.3%
GERACI, Sam punt 41 yards to the TU37, CHRISTOPHER,J return to the TU42 (WILLIAMS, Hosey;TYSON, Mike), PENALTY TU roughing the kicker 5 yards to the CIN27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
42.7%
Sam Geraci punt for 46 yds, downed at the Temp 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
41.4%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+1
41.4%
P.J. Walker run for 1 yd to the Temp 31Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
40.6%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jalen Fitzpatrick, broken up by Silverberry MouhonSimilar
Q2 6:23
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
39.8%
Alex Starzyk punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Shaq Washington at the Cincy 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
40.4%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Johnny Holton for 13 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
39.3%
Rod Moore run for 4 yds to the Cincy 49Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
39.3%
Rod Moore run for no gain to the Cincy 49Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
39.5%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Rod MooreSimilar
Q2 4:58
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
41.3%
Sam Geraci punt for 28 yds, fair catch by John Christopher at the Temp 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0041% → 39%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
41.0%
Kenneth Harper run for 5 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
41.3%
Kenneth Harper run for no gain to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
40.3%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brodrick YancySimilar
Q2 3:34
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
39.2%
Alex Starzyk punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Shaq Washington at the Cincy 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 1:3761% → 74%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
38.6%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 5 yds to the Cincy 42Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+5
37.8%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Max Morrison for 5 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
37.6%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Mekale McKay for 1 yd to the Cincy 48Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+14
37.8%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Mekale McKay for 14 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
37.0%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Mekale McKay, broken up by Sean ChandlerSimilar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+20
37.2%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 20 yds to the Temp 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
35.8%
Mike Boone run for 14 yds to the Temp 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
34.1%
Mike Boone run for 3 yds to the Temp 1Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.1%
Mike Boone run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
28.7%
P.J. Walker run for 7 yds to the Temp 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 2:4571% → 72%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
29.2%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Johnny Holton for 8 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+6
28.5%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Johnny Holton for 6 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
28.5%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Johnny HoltonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
28.5%
Rod Moore run for 5 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+7
28.8%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Mekale McKay for 7 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
28.5%
Rod Moore run for 5 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 32
-2
28.3%
Rod Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
28.9%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Shaq WashingtonSimilar
Q3 12:15
4TH & 7
OPP 34
0
27.9%
Sam Geraci punt for 34 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17FG
14 plays · 67 yds · 5:0727% → 31%
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+26
27.0%
P.J. Walker run for 26 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
29.1%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
28.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 8 yds to the Cincy 46Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
29.7%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to John ChristopherSimilar
Q3 12:07
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+4
28.3%
P.J. Walker run for 4 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
29.9%
Kenneth Harper run for 7 yds to the Cincy 35Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 3
OPP 35
0
31.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brodrick YancySimilar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+7
30.0%
P.J. Walker run for 7 yds to the Cincy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
31.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+11
31.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 11 yds to the Cincy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
31.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the Cincy 16Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+3
31.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Cincy 13Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
29.9%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to John ChristopherSimilar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
30.5%
Austin Jones 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19MISSED FG
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3934% → 28%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
34.2%
Kenneth Harper run for 3 yds to the Cincy 15Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+6
34.2%
P.J. Walker run for 6 yds to the Cincy 9Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
31.5%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Colin ThompsonSimilar
Q3 5:12
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+27
28.3%
Austin Jones 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
26.8%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Nate Cole for 22 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
24.2%
CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Gunner Kiel) to the Cincy 37Similar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+31
26.5%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Rod Moore for 31 yds to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
23.1%
Rod Moore run for 1 yd to the Temp 31Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
23.2%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Chris MooreSimilar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 9
OPP 31
-17
23.9%
Gunner Kiel sacked by Sharif Finch for a loss of 17 yards to the Temp 48 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:12
4TH & 26
OPP 48
0
27.6%
Sam Geraci punt for 33 yds, downed at the Temp 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
23.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 8 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+22
24.2%
Kenneth Harper run for 22 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
26.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jahad ThomasSimilar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
25.3%
P.J. Walker run for 1 yd to the Temp 46Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
24.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brodrick YancySimilar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 9
OWN 46
+1
23.4%
Alex Starzyk punt for 34 yds , Shaq Washington returns for 1 yd to the Cincy 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 1:0377% → 79%
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
22.6%
Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the Cincy 23Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+7
22.9%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Mekale McKay for 7 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+15
21.4%
Mike Boone run for 15 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
19.6%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Mekale McKaySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
19.9%
Rod Moore run for 2 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+7
19.9%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Mekale McKay for 7 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
21.1%
Gunner Kiel punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0020% → 18%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-12
19.8%
Jalen Fitzpatrick run for a loss of 12 yards to the Temp 1Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 22
OWN 1
+8
19.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 8 yds to the Temp 9Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 14
OWN 9
+5
18.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 5 yds to the Temp 14Similar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
18.4%
Alex Starzyk punt for 31 yds , Shaq Washington returns for no gain to the Temp 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0086% → 83%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
14.4%
Shaq Washington run for 8 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
14.3%
Shaq Washington run for no gain to the Temp 37Similar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 2
OPP 37
0
14.7%
Shaq Washington run for no gain to the Temp 37Similar
Q4 11:03
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
16.9%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Alex ChisumSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
19.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Colin Thompson for no gain to the Temp 37Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
19.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Kenneth Harper for 4 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+1
20.2%
P.J. Walker run for 1 yd to the Temp 42Similar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
18.5%
Alex Starzyk punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Shaq Washington at the Cincy 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 26PUNT
17 plays · 33 yds · 6:4289% → 97%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
11.0%
Mike Boone run for 14 yds to the Cincy 39 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive holding (Johnny Holton) to the Cincy 29Similar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 6
OWN 29
+1
10.4%
Mike Boone run for 1 yd to the Cincy 30Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
10.6%
Mike Boone run for 6 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
10.2%
Mike Boone run for 5 yds to the Cincy 41Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
9.8%
Gunner Kiel run for 4 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
9.9%
Gunner Kiel run for 2 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
9.6%
CINCINNATI Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 42Similar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+3
10.3%
Gunner Kiel run for 3 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 12
OWN 45
-2
9.9%
Mike Boone run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 43Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 14
OWN 43
+16
4.9%
KIEL, Gunner pass incomplete to HOLTON, Johnny (YOUNG,Tavon), PENALTY TU pass interference (YOUNG,Tavon) 16 yards to the TU41, 1ST DOWN CIN, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
4.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 43Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 12
OPP 43
-1
3.3%
Mike Boone run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 44Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+2
3.5%
Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q4 0:25
4TH & 11
OPP 42
+41
3.3%
Sam Geraci punt for 41 yds, downed at the Temp 1 TEMPLE Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
3.8%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jalen Fitzpatrick, broken up by Howard WilderSimilar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+9
3.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 9 yds Jalen Fitzpatrick fumbled, recovered by Cincy Terrell HartsfieldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:28
Mike Boone run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)
-8
KEY PLAY · Q4 7:07
Mike Boone run for 14 yds to the Cincy 39 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive holding (Johnny Holton) to the Cincy 29
-7.5
TD · Q2 12:39
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Mekale McKay for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)
-5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com