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UCF

UCF 16 at South Florida 0

USF
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 28, 2014 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadUCF aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreUCF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:45 · Rannell Hall run for 2 yds to the SFla 32 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Home team on offense−1.3Pregame prior−14.8Score differential−1.2Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:38: Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 7 yds for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK) — UCF win probability +5.8 pts (now 70%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:09: Rannell Hall run for 21 yds for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK) — UCF win probability +7.2 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:30: Justin Holman pass complete to Rannell Hall for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 18 — UCF win probability +3.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:48: Mike White pass incomplete to Andre Davis — USF win probability +5.1 pts (now 17%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:55: Micah Reed run for 6 yds to the UCF 17 — UCF win probability +4.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UCF made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:20USF 4th & 7 at UCF 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    29.6%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:23UCF 4th & 17 at UCF 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:10USF 4th & 9 at USF 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:45UCF 4th & 1 at USF 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    64.7%−1.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    64.4%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:30USF 4th & 9 at USF 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:34USF 4th & 10 at UCF 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    18.5%−2.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:55UCF 4th & 8 at UCF 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:56USF 4th & 10 at UCF 14, down 16
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.7%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    14.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−5.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00USF 4th & 1 at UCF 45, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    10.1%−4.0
    25% to make
    Punt
    11.5%−2.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:04USF 4th & 10 at UCF 43, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    12.0%−0.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:13USF 4th & 22 at UCF 22, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 10:38UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USFDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:3531% → 32%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
30.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Marlon MackSimilar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
30.6%
Marlon Mack run for no gain to the SFla 28Similar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+12
30.7%
Mike White pass complete to Andre Davis for 12 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
31.3%
Mike White pass complete to Andre Davis for 8 yds to the SFla 48Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+8
31.9%
Marlon Mack run for 8 yds to the UCF 44 Marlon Mack fumbled, recovered by SFla Sean Price for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
32.2%
Darius Tice run for 3 yds to the UCF 41Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
32.5%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
32.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Andre Davis, broken up by Jordan OzeritiesSimilar
Q1 11:20
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
32.2%
Mattias Ciabatti punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jackie Williams at the UCF 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 2PUNT
14 plays · 33 yds · 5:5268% → 65%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
32.2%
Rannell Hall run for 4 yds to the UCF 12Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+2
32.5%
Justin Holman pass complete to Rannell Hall for 2 yds to the UCF 14Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+10
32.9%
Justin Holman pass complete to Jordan Akins for 10 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
32.8%
Micah Reed run for 6 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
32.7%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Josh ReeseSimilar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+6
33.1%
Justin Holman pass complete to Micah Reed for 6 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
32.9%
Cedric Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 34Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
33.4%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Josh ReeseSimilar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+14
33.7%
Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 14 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
33.0%
Rannell Hall run for 3 yds to the SFla 49Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+4
33.0%
Justin Holman pass complete to Rannell Hall for 4 yds to the SFla 45Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 3
OPP 45
-5
33.4%
UCF Penalty, False Start (Jason Rae) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 8
50
-9
33.5%
Justin Holman sacked by Reshard Cliett for a loss of 9 yards to the UCF 41Similar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 17
OWN 41
0
35.0%
Caleb Houston punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Hassan Childs at the SFla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:0535% → 35%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
34.7%
Mike White pass complete to Andre Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 19Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+21
34.9%
Mike White pass complete to Sean Price for 21 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
36.0%
Marlon Mack run for 1 yd to the SFla 41Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
36.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Kennard SwansonSimilar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
35.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Andre DavisSimilar
Q1 3:10
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
35.1%
Mattias Ciabatti punt for 39 yds, downed at the UCF 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 4TD
18 plays · 80 yds · 7:2265% → 70%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
35.5%
Micah Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 19Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+1
35.6%
Justin Holman pass complete to Micah Reed for 1 yd to the UCF 20Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+25
36.3%
Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 10 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (Devin Abraham) to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
34.8%
Micah Reed run for no gain to the UCF 45Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
35.2%
Rannell Hall run for 6 yds to the SFla 49Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+6
35.0%
Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 6 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
34.9%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Breshad PerrimanSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
34.9%
Justin Holman run for no gain to the SFla 43Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+9
35.7%
Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 9 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q2 13:45
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
36.7%
Rannell Hall run for 2 yds to the SFla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
35.4%
Justin Holman pass complete to Rannell Hall for 8 yds to the SFla 24Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 2
OPP 24
-1
35.4%
Micah Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 25Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+5
36.2%
Justin Holman pass complete to Jordan Akins for 5 yds to the SFla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
35.7%
Rannell Hall run for 8 yds to the SFla 12Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+5
35.9%
Justin Holman run for 5 yds to the SFla 7 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Todd Chandler) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
36.1%
Micah Reed run for no gain to the SFla 7Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
30.3%
Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 7 yds for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:3033% → 31%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
32.5%
Marlon Mack run for 1 yd to the SFla 22Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
32.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Deonte WelchSimilar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
31.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Mike McFarland, broken up by Brandon AlexanderSimilar
Q2 9:30
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
31.1%
Mattias Ciabatti punt for 51 yds , Jackie Williams returns for no gain to the UCF 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 6TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:1168% → 78%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
31.8%
Micah Reed run for 1 yd to the UCF 28Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+11
31.9%
Justin Holman pass complete to Rannell Hall for 11 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
30.7%
Holman, Justin pass incomplete to Hall, Rannell, PENALTY SOUFLA pass interference (Robbins, Lamar) 15 yards to the SOUFLA46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCF. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
29.2%
Justin Holman pass complete to Josh Reese for 7 yds to the SFla 39Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+7
29.0%
Micah Reed run for 7 yds to the SFla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
28.9%
Micah Reed run for 2 yds to the SFla 30Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
28.8%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Rannell HallSimilar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+9
29.2%
Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 9 yds to the SFla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
22.0%
Rannell Hall run for 21 yds for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7MISSED FG
12 plays · 38 yds · 4:1624% → 22%
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
23.7%
Darius Tice run for no gain to the SFla 35Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
23.3%
Marlon Mack run for 8 yds to the SFla 43Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+5
24.1%
Mike White pass complete to Kennard Swanson for 5 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
24.5%
Mike White run for 1 yd to the SFla 49Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
24.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Sean PriceSimilar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+24
22.7%
Mike White pass complete to Andre Davis for 24 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
23.6%
Marlon Mack run for 3 yds to the UCF 24Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-3
23.0%
Mike White pass complete to Rodney Adams for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 27Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
22.2%
Mike White pass incomplete to Andre DavisSimilar
Q2 1:34
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+44
21.8%
Marvin Kloss 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 8END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 1:2980% → 82%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
19.7%
Micah Reed run for 1 yd to the UCF 28Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+2
19.4%
Justin Holman run for 2 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
18.2%
Micah Reed run for no gain to the UCF 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:5281% → 82%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.5%
Rannell Hall run for no gain to the UCF 25Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
19.5%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Micah ReedSimilar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+17
19.8%
Justin Holman pass complete to Josh Reese for 17 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
17.9%
Micah Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 41Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
17.6%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Micah ReedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:4421% → 19%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
21.0%
Marlon Mack run for 1 yd to the SFla 49Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+20
20.7%
Mike White pass complete to Sean Price for 20 yds to the UCF 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
21.3%
Mike White pass complete to Marlon Mack for 3 yds to the UCF 28Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
21.2%
Mike White pass incomplete to Andre DavisSimilar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 7
OPP 28
-5
20.2%
Marlon Mack run for 10 yds to the UCF 18 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (Kofi Amichia) to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
20.4%
Mike White sacked by Demetris Anderson for a loss of 10 yards to the UCF 43Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 20
OPP 43
+8
18.7%
Mike White pass complete to Mike McFarland for 8 yds to the UCF 35Similar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+11
18.9%
Mike White pass complete to Rodney Adams for 11 yds to the UCF 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:3585% → 86%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-6
15.2%
Justin Holman pass complete to Rannell Hall for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 18Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 16
OWN 18
+13
15.2%
Justin Holman run for 13 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+9
14.3%
Justin Holman pass complete to Josh Reese for 9 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
13.1%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Breshad PerrimanSimilar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
13.1%
Justin Holman pass complete to Josh Reese for 7 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
13.0%
Justin Holman run for no gain to the UCF 47Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 3
OWN 47
-5
13.8%
UCF Penalty, False Start (Kevin Miller) to the UCF 42Similar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+47
13.8%
Caleb Houston punt for 47 yds , Chris Dunkley returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 12SF
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:3816% → 14%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
15.5%
Marlon Mack run for no gain to the SFla 10Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-10
14.2%
Mike White sacked by Thomas Niles for a loss of 10 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · -13 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-7
11.9%
Justin Holman run for a loss of 7 yards to the UCF 14 Justin Holman fumbled, recovered by SFla Demetrius HillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5217% → 15%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
17.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Andre DavisSimilar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
17.0%
Marlon Mack run for no gain to the UCF 14Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
15.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Mike McFarlandSimilar
Q3 3:56
4TH & 10
OPP 14
0
15.2%
Mike McFarland pass incomplete to Sean PriceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 15PUNT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:4888% → 89%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
11.6%
Micah Reed run for 6 yds to the UCF 20Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+1
11.0%
Micah Reed run for 1 yd to the UCF 21Similar
Q3 2:43
3RD & 3
OWN 21
0
11.4%
Justin Holman pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 2:5114% → 13%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
13.6%
Marlon Mack run for no gain to the SFla 34Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
13.3%
Mike White pass incomplete to Andre DavisSimilar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+12
13.0%
White, Mike pass incomplete, PENALTY UCF pass interference (Ozerities, Jordan) 12 yards to the SOUFLA46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUFLA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
14.8%
Steven Bench sacked by Jaryl Mamea for a loss of 7 yards to the SFla 39Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 17
OWN 39
+16
13.1%
Steven Bench pass complete to Darius Tice for 16 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
14.7%
Darius Tice run for no gain to the UCF 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+2
14.0%
Steven Bench run for 2 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
14.3%
Steven Bench pass incomplete to Kennard SwansonSimilar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
14.0%
Steven Bench pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
13.7%
Steven Bench pass incomplete to Rodney AdamsSimilar
Q4 14:04
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
13.1%
Mattias Ciabatti punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jackie Williams at the UCF 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17FUMBLE
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:3192% → 95%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
8.3%
Micah Reed run for 6 yds to the UCF 17Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+7
7.9%
Micah Reed run for 7 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
7.2%
Justin Holman pass complete to Josh Reese for 13 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
7.0%
Micah Reed run for 4 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Todd Chandler) to the SFla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
6.2%
Micah Reed run for 7 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+7
5.8%
Rannell Hall run for 7 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
5.7%
Micah Reed run for 1 yd to the SFla 29Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+6
5.4%
Micah Reed run for 6 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+6
5.4%
Micah Reed run for 6 yds to the SFla 17 Micah Reed fumbled, recovered by SFla Nigel Harris , return for no gain to the SFla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18DOWNS
14 plays · 61 yds · 3:527% → 5%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+17
6.6%
Steven Bench pass complete to Mike McFarland for 17 yds to the SFla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
6.7%
UCF Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the SFla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
7.3%
Steven Bench pass complete to Deonte Welch for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 4
50
+7
7.5%
Steven Bench pass complete to Deonte Welch for 7 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
7.4%
Steven Bench pass incomplete to Sean PriceSimilar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
7.2%
Steven Bench pass complete to Andre Davis for 5 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+10
7.4%
Steven Bench pass complete to Andre Davis for 10 yds to the UCF 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+27
8.0%
Steven Bench pass complete to Sean Price for 27 yds to the UCF 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
7.5%
Darius Tice run for no gain to the UCF 1Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-21
6.3%
Steven Bench sacked by Miles Pace for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 7 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the UCF 22Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 22
0
5.0%
Steven Bench pass incomplete to Andre DavisSimilar
Q4 5:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 22
0
4.6%
Steven Bench pass incomplete to Andre DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19END OF GAME
10 plays · 35 yds · 4:5997% → 99%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
2.9%
Cedric Thompson run for 3 yds to the UCF 25Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+6
2.4%
Rannell Hall run for 6 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+2
2.1%
Cedric Thompson run for 2 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
2.0%
Cedric Thompson run for 3 yds to the UCF 36Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+8
1.8%
Rannell Hall run for 8 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
1.6%
Cedric Thompson run for 7 yds to the SFla 49Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+2
1.2%
Cedric Thompson run for 2 yds to the SFla 47Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+5
1.2%
Cedric Thompson run for 5 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
1.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:09
Rannell Hall run for 21 yds for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK)
-7.2
TD · Q2 10:38
Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 7 yds for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK)
-5.8
KEY PLAY · Q3 4:48
Mike White pass incomplete to Andre Davis
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com