Try the model
TULN

Tulane 6 at East Carolina 34

ECU
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.6ECU 95.5%Andrew DiRocco 40 yd FG GOODAWAY 6 - HOME 20 · Q4 10:06
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:06 · Andrew DiRocco 40 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Pregame prior+8.0Home team on offense+21.0Score differential+8.4Garbage-time factor+6.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.3Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 8:00: Warren Harvey 35 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +1.1 pts (now 13%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:21: Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 4 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK) — ECU win probability +1.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 9:22: Andrew DiRocco 33 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +1.1 pts (now 14%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:28: Breon Allen run for 15 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK) — ECU win probability +4.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:07: Marquez Grayson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK) — ECU win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9TULN made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00ECU 4th & 1 at ECU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    87.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:27TULN 4th & 9 at ECU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:00ECU 4th & 9 at TULN 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    84.9%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:00TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:26ECU 4th & 4 at TULN 47, up 3
    Close callPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:27TULN 4th & 10 at ECU 39, down 3
    Close callPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    14.8%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:22TULN 4th & 4 at ECU 16, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.4%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    11.6%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:22ECU 4th & 15 at ECU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:19ECU 4th & 1 at TULN 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    83.6%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    80.7%−4.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:24TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00TULN 4th & 16 at TULN 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−1.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:39ECU 4th & 7 at TULN 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    89.9%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:33TULN 4th & 18 at TULN 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−1.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:49ECU 4th & 6 at TULN 41, up 14
    Close callPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    91.1%−0.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:50TULN 4th & 5 at ECU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:08ECU 4th & 7 at TULN 16, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    90.4%−3.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:15TULN 4th & 2 at ECU 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%−0.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:15TULN 4th & 6 at ECU 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:06TULN 4th & 6 at ECU 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−2.8
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:07TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 27, down 21
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:44ECU 4th & 8 at TULN 8, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 0:21ECU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:28ECU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:07ECU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:44ECU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
88.8%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 14 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
88.8%
Breon Allen run for 2 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
88.8%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Justin Hardy, broken up by Royce LaFranceSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+7
88.8%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 7 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
88.8%
Breon Allen run for no gain to the ECaro 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
88.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devon Breaux for 1 yd to the ECaro 47Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
88.3%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
88.4%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:27
4TH & 9
OPP 47
+1
88.4%
Peter Picerelli punt for 33 yds , Justin Hardy returns for 1 yd to the ECaro 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3FG
14 plays · 67 yds · 4:3388% → 87%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
88.2%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 10Similar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+5
88.2%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 5 yds to the ECaro 15Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
88.2%
Shane Carden pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+11
88.1%
Shane Carden pass complete to Davon Grayson for 11 yds to the ECaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
88.2%
Shane Carden pass complete to Cam Worthy for 11 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
88.2%
Breon Allen run for 6 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+5
88.3%
Breon Allen run for 5 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+22
88.3%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 22 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
88.3%
Shane Carden pass complete to Cam Worthy for 11 yds to the Tulan 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
88.3%
Shane Carden pass complete to Cam Worthy for 8 yds to the Tulan 11Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 2
OPP 11
0
88.3%
Shane Carden pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 2
OPP 11
-5
88.3%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 16Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 7
OPP 16
-2
88.3%
Breon Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 18Similar
Q1 8:00
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+35
87.2%
Warren Harvey 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
87.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
87.2%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+5
87.4%
Peter Picerelli punt for 43 yds , Justin Hardy returns for 5 yds to the ECaro 35 TULANE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the ECaro 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
87.0%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Cam WorthySimilar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
86.9%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Isaiah JonesSimilar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+6
86.6%
Shane Carden pass complete to Breon Allen for 6 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 6:26
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
86.7%
Worth Gregory punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Darion Monroe at the Tulan 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 44 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
86.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+14
86.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Danté Butler for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 19 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
86.4%
Sherman Badie run for 2 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
86.4%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the Tulan 36Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+9
86.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 9 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
86.1%
Danté Butler run for 16 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
86.0%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
86.0%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
86.2%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
86.5%
Peter Picerelli punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Justin Hardy at the ECaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 90 yds · 2:1185% → 88%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
85.3%
Breon Allen run for 15 yds to the ECaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
85.4%
Shane Carden pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 10 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+32
85.4%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 32 yds to the EASTCRLINA 33 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+23
86.1%
Shane Carden pass complete to Cam Worthy for 23 yds to the Tulan 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
86.1%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Cam Worthy, broken up by Lorenzo DossSimilar
Q1 2:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
86.1%
Breon Allen run for 6 yds to the Tulan 4Similar
Q1 0:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
87.5%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 4 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8FG
16 plays · 50 yds · 5:5913% → 14%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
87.0%
TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulan 24Similar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
87.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 5 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+2
87.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+7
87.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Charles Jones for 7 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
87.3%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the Tulan 38Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
87.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+13
87.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 13 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
86.9%
Sherman Badie run for 2 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
86.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Justyn Shackleford, broken up by Lamar IveySimilar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+25
87.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 25 yds Justyn Shackleford fumbled, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
86.6%
Sherman Badie run for 2 yds to the ECaro 20Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+6
86.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 6 yds to the ECaro 14Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 2
OPP 14
-2
86.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 16Similar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+33
85.7%
Andrew DiRocco 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
87.1%
Breon Allen run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 40Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+5
86.6%
Shane Carden pass complete to Davon Grayson for 5 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 9
OWN 45
-6
86.5%
Shane Carden sacked by Royce LaFrance for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 39Similar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 15
OWN 39
0
85.8%
Worth Gregory punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10INT
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+19
86.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Leondre James for 19 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
85.8%
Danté Butler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 34Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
86.2%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted Maurice Falls return for no gain to the Tulan 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 11DOWNS
10 plays · 41 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
87.4%
Shane Carden run for 5 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+8
87.4%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 8 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
87.6%
Breon Allen run for 2 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+8
87.6%
Breon Allen run for 8 yds to the Tulan 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
87.6%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 8 yds to the Tulan 12Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+5
87.6%
Marquez Grayson run for 5 yds to the Tulan 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
87.6%
Anthony Scott run for 2 yds to the Tulan 5Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
87.6%
Marquez Grayson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 4Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
87.2%
Shane Carden run for 3 yds to the Tulan 1Similar
Q2 6:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
86.7%
Breon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 0:2813% → 13%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
86.8%
Danté Butler run for 2 yds to the Tulan 4Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 8
OWN 4
-3
86.8%
Danté Butler run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 1Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 11
OWN 1
+3
87.0%
Danté Butler run for 3 yds to the Tulan 4Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 8
OWN 4
0
87.1%
Peter Picerelli punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Justin Hardy at the Tulan 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 0:4987% → 92%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
87.1%
Shane Carden pass complete to Bryce Williams for 9 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+5
87.0%
Breon Allen run for 5 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+20
87.4%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 20 yds to the Tulan 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
91.7%
Breon Allen run for 15 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
90.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-2
90.5%
Aaron Bryant run for 3 yds to the Tulan 33 TULANE Penalty, illegal forward pass (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
90.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 8 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
89.7%
LEE, Tanner sideline pass incomplete to SHACKLEFORD, J., QB hurry by OVERTON, Mntese, PENALTY ECU holding 10 yards to the TLN43, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
89.9%
Danté Butler run for 1 yd to the Tulan 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
-7
89.9%
Tanner Lee sacked by Fred Presley for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 37
0
90.7%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 37
0
90.9%
Peter Picerelli punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Justin Hardy at the ECaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+20
91.2%
Shane Carden pass complete to Cam Worthy for 20 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
91.7%
Shane Carden pass complete to Breon Allen for 5 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
91.6%
Breon Allen run for no gain to the Tulan 44Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 5
OPP 44
-5
91.3%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Ike Harris) to the Tulan 49Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+3
91.2%
Shane Carden pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 3 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q3 12:39
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
90.7%
Worth Gregory punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Darion Monroe at the Tulan 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:029% → 8%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+15
91.2%
Sherman Badie run for 15 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
90.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Danté Butler for 2 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
90.8%
Tanner Lee sacked by Brandon Williams for 0 yards to the Tulan 26Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 8
OWN 26
-10
91.9%
Tanner Lee sacked by DaShaun Amos for a loss of 10 yards to the Tulan 16Similar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 18
OWN 16
0
92.1%
Peter Picerelli punt for 48 yds , Justin Hardy returns for no gain to the ECaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
92.9%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Justin HardySimilar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
92.9%
CARDEN, Shane pass incomplete to HARDY, Justin, PENALTY TLN pass interference (NICKERSON, P.) 9 yards to the ECU45, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
93.2%
Shane Carden run for 10 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-8
93.2%
Shane Carden sacked by Tyler Gilbert and Leonard Davis for a loss of 8 yards to the ECaro 47Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 18
OWN 47
+12
93.0%
Breon Allen run for 12 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
92.9%
Shane Carden pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:49
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
92.6%
Worth Gregory punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the Tulan 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 54 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
92.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 10Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 7
OWN 10
-4
92.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 6 TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 11
OWN 6
+59
92.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Danté Butler for 59 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
90.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 6 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 4
OPP 29
-15
90.1%
BADIE, Sherman rush over right end for loss of 1 yard to the ECU30 (BIGGER, Zeek), PENALTY TLN tripping (HANSON, Colton) 15 yards to the ECU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 19
OPP 44
+14
91.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 14 yds to the ECaro 30Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
90.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 5
OPP 30
-9
91.3%
Tanner Lee sacked by Montese Overton and Brandon Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the ECaro 39 TULANE Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:0695% → 96%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
95.2%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Cam Worthy, broken up by Brandon LeBeauSimilar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+27
95.1%
Shane Carden pass complete to Cam Worthy for 27 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
95.3%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 15 yds to the Tulan 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
95.4%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 5 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 5
OPP 14
-2
95.4%
Breon Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 16Similar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
95.3%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Justin HardySimilar
Q3 0:08
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
96.3%
Warren Harvey 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21FG
16 plays · 53 yds · 5:024% → 5%
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
95.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Charles Jones for 20 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
95.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-15
95.5%
LEE, Tanner deep pass incomplete to BREAUX, Devon, PENALTY TLN personal foul (DONNELLY, Sean) 15 yards to the TLN32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 23
OWN 32
+7
95.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 7 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 39
+14
95.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 14 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q4 13:15
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+8
96.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 8 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
96.2%
Sherman Badie run for 4 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
95.8%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Leondre JamesSimilar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
96.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Justyn ShacklefordSimilar
Q4 13:15
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+9
96.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 9 yds to the ECaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-4
95.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 30Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+8
96.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Trey Scott for 8 yds to the ECaro 22Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 6
OPP 22
0
96.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon Breaux, broken up by Detric AllenSimilar
Q4 10:06
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+40
95.5%
Andrew DiRocco 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 22TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:5997% → 99%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
96.5%
Jimmy Williams run for 12 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
96.7%
Shane Carden pass complete to Breon Allen for 8 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+3
96.8%
Breon Allen run for 3 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
96.7%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Isaiah JonesSimilar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+15
96.7%
Shane Carden pass complete to Cam Worthy for 15 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
96.9%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 16 yds to the Tulan 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
96.9%
Breon Allen run for 4 yds to the Tulan 7Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
99.4%
Marquez Grayson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for no gain to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Trey Scott for 7 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
99.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Matt MarfisiSimilar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
99.3%
Peter Picerelli punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Justin Hardy at the ECaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 24TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:56100% → 100%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.5%
Shane Carden pass complete to Bryce Williams for 5 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+5
99.5%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 5 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
99.5%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 11 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
99.5%
Shane Carden pass complete to Bryce Williams for 9 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+15
99.5%
Marquez Grayson run for 15 yds to the Tulan 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.5%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Bryce WilliamsSimilar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+10
99.5%
Marquez Grayson run for 10 yds to the Tulan 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
99.5%
Marquez Grayson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 8Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.5%
Marquez Grayson run for no gain to the Tulan 8Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.5%
Shane Carden pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
100.0%
Shane Carden run for 8 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 55 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+35
100.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 35 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
100.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 15 yds to the ECaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
100.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete, broken up by Cameron WhiteSimilar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
100.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 5 yds to the ECaro 21Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 5
OPP 21
0
100.0%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:28
Breon Allen run for 15 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)
+4.3
TD · Q4 7:07
Marquez Grayson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)
+2.5
TD · Q1 0:21
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 4 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)
+1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com