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TEM

Temple 13 at Penn State 30

PSU
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2014 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:04 · Austin Jones 42 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Pregame prior+12.9Home team on offense+0.6Score differential+0.5Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 6:52: Austin Jones 25 yd FG GOOD — TEM win probability +5.8 pts (now 39%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:13: Akeel Lynch run for 38 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK) — PSU win probability +17.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:19: Bill Belton run for 8 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK) — PSU win probability +13.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:08: P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 75 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — TEM win probability +12.4 pts (now 22%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:57: P.J. Walker pass intercepted for a TD Grant Haley return for 30 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK) — PSU win probability +9.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9TEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 8:01PSU 4th & 12 at TEM 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:29TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:13TEM 4th & 11 at PSU 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    23.2%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:35PSU 4th & 2 at TEM 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    72.6%−0.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    72.7%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:22PSU 4th & 13 at TEM 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    72.1%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:08TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:05TEM 4th & 15 at PSU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    28.8%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:26PSU 4th & 18 at PSU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−2.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:25TEM 4th & 9 at TEM 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:30PSU 4th & 6 at PSU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:53TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:04TEM 4th & 6 at PSU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−7.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:52TEM 4th & 2 at PSU 8, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.3%−1.7
    90% to make
    Punt
    20.9%−11.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:21PSU 4th & 5 at PSU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:49PSU 4th & 1 at PSU 49, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%−2.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:36PSU 4th & 3 at TEM 3, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    89.9%−5.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:47PSU 4th & 6 at TEM 25, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−1.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:07TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 49, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 6:13PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:19PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:08TEM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:57PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1FG
16 plays · 64 yds · 6:4478% → 77%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
78.3%
Bill Belton run for no gain to the PnSt 24Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+14
78.2%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 14 yds to the PnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
78.2%
Bill Belton run for 4 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
78.1%
Bill Belton run for 3 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+9
77.9%
Bill Belton run for 9 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
78.0%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 7 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+10
77.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 10 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
77.9%
TEMPLE Penalty, Offside Defense (Brandon Chudnoff) to the Temp 24Similar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 5
OPP 24
+16
77.8%
Akeel Lynch run for 16 yds to the Temp 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
77.7%
Bill Belton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 9Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
77.7%
Bill Belton run for 6 yds to the Temp 3Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
77.6%
Belton, Bill rush for 3 yards to the TEMPLE0, PENALTY PENNST holding (Mangiro, Angelo) 10 yards to the TEMPLE13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+1
77.3%
Christian Hackenberg run for 1 yd to the Temp 12Similar
Q1 8:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
77.4%
Sam Ficken 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:0223% → 22%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
77.4%
P.J. Walker run for 5 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
77.2%
Kenneth Harper run for no gain to the Temp 25Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
78.0%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
78.2%
Alex Starzyk punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jesse Della Valle at the PnSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:3578% → 78%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
78.0%
Bill Belton run for 8 yds to the PnSt 47Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 2
OWN 47
-1
78.3%
Bill Belton run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 46 Bill Belton fumbled, forced by Nate D. Smith, recovered by Temp Nate D. SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4FG
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:0523% → 25%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
76.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brandon Shippen for 13 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
76.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 5 yds to the PnSt 28Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+16
76.4%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for 16 yds to the PnSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
76.3%
Kenneth Harper run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 13Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 11
OPP 13
0
76.2%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete, broken up by Austin JohnsonSimilar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 11
OPP 13
0
76.7%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to John ChristopherSimilar
Q1 3:13
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+31
75.3%
Austin Jones 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5PUNT
14 plays · 28 yds · 4:3676% → 74%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
76.4%
Akeel Lynch run for 4 yds to the PnSt 41Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
76.5%
TEMPLE Penalty, Offside Defense (Hershey Walton) to the PnSt 46Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+6
76.6%
Akeel Lynch run for 6 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
76.6%
Lynch, Akeel rush for 8 yards to the TEMPLE40, PENALTY TEMPLE offside defense (Matakevich, Tyler) 5 yards to the TEMPLE43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 5
OPP 43
+2
76.6%
Akeel Lynch run for 2 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
76.5%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean HamiltonSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+1
76.3%
Akeel Lynch run for 1 yd to the Temp 40Similar
Q2 14:35
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+8
75.7%
Akeel Lynch run for 8 yds to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
76.8%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Geno LewisSimilar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-3
76.7%
Akeel Lynch run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 35Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 13
OPP 35
0
75.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Jesse JamesSimilar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 13
OPP 35
0
74.4%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 23 yds, downed at the Temp 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4526% → 26%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
73.8%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Kenneth Harper for 7 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 3
OWN 19
-5
73.4%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Eric Lofton) to the Temp 14Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
73.7%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 8
OWN 14
0
74.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q2 12:08
4TH & 8
OWN 14
+5
74.5%
Alex Starzyk punt for 38 yds , Jesse Della Valle returns for 5 yds to the Temp 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:4076% → 76%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
76.0%
Akeel Lynch run for 4 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+25
76.0%
Christian Hackenberg pass intercepted Tavon Young return for 25 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:1329% → 27%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
70.9%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Brandon Shippen) to the PnSt 45Similar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+3
71.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 12
OPP 42
-1
71.3%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 43Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 13
OPP 43
-2
71.6%
P.J. Walker sacked by Anthony Zettel for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 45Similar
Q2 9:05
4TH & 15
OPP 45
0
72.6%
Alex Starzyk punt for 40 yds, downed at the PnSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 14 yds · 5:0974% → 71%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
73.6%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 5 yds to the PnSt 10Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+6
73.6%
Akeel Lynch run for 6 yds to the PnSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
73.4%
Akeel Lynch run for no gain to the PnSt 16Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-4
72.9%
Christian Hackenberg sacked by Tyler Matakevich and Averee Robinson for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 12Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 14
OWN 12
+15
72.3%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Jesse James for 15 yds to the PnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
73.3%
Lynch, Akeel rush for 2 yards to the PENNST29, PENALTY PENNST holding (Dieffenbach, Miles) 10 yards to the PENNST17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 20
OWN 17
+1
72.5%
Akeel Lynch run for 1 yd to the PnSt 18Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 19
OWN 18
+4
72.3%
Akeel Lynch run for 4 yds to the PnSt 22Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 15
OWN 22
-3
71.4%
Christian Hackenberg sacked by Praise Martin-Oguike and Haason Reddick for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 19Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 18
OWN 19
+3
70.8%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 49 yds , John Christopher returns for 3 yds to the Temp 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5531% → 30%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
68.6%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
69.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Colin Thompson for 1 yd to the Temp 36Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
69.0%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
69.9%
Alex Starzyk punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jesse Della Valle at the PnSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5072% → 69%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
71.6%
Akeel Lynch run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 13Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+6
70.7%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 6 yds to the PnSt 19Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 6
OWN 19
0
70.1%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Saeed BlacknallSimilar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 6
OWN 19
0
69.3%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:2334% → 32%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
65.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Kenneth Harper for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 42Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 11
OWN 42
0
66.3%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Colin ThompsonSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+4
67.4%
Kenneth Harper run for 4 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
67.9%
Alex Starzyk punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jesse Della Valle at the PnSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13END OF HALF
12 plays · 55 yds · 0:4771% → 75%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
70.5%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Geno LewisSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+21
70.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 21 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
71.0%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Jesse James, broken up by Haason Reddick for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Haason Reddick) to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
72.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Geno LewisSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
72.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 8 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+12
73.1%
Christian Hackenberg run for 12 yds to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
74.4%
PENN ST Penalty, False Start (Wendy Laurent) to the Temp 37Similar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 15
OPP 37
0
72.3%
Hackenberg, Christian pass incomplete, PENALTY PENNST personal foul off-setting, PENALTY TEMPLE Personal Foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 15
OPP 37
0
72.3%
Christian Hackenberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 15
OPP 37
+4
72.0%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Akeel Lynch for 4 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+50
74.8%
Sam Ficken 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14MISSED FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:3128% → 30%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
72.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Wanemi Omuso for 7 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
70.7%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+4
71.6%
Jamie Gilmore run for 4 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
70.7%
Jamie Gilmore run for 5 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+28
69.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 28 yds to the PnSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
67.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 4 yds to the PnSt 25Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
67.1%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the PnSt 25Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
68.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q3 11:04
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+42
70.3%
Austin Jones 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15INT
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:5972% → 73%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
72.4%
Akeel Lynch run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
50
-2
74.8%
Bill Belton run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 48Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 12
OWN 48
0
73.8%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Kyle CarterSimilar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+15
72.5%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Jesse James for 15 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+32
73.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass intercepted Tyler Matakevich return for 47 yds to the PnSt 0 PENN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the PnSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5334% → 39%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
66.0%
P.J. Walker run for 6 yds to the PnSt 10Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+3
66.0%
P.J. Walker run for 3 yds to the PnSt 7Similar
Q3 8:11
3RD & 1
OPP 7
-1
67.0%
Jamie Gilmore run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 8Similar
Q3 6:52
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+25
61.2%
Austin Jones 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:1166% → 84%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
66.2%
Bill Belton run for 37 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
83.9%
Akeel Lynch run for 38 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:2322% → 23%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
77.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+33
77.5%
P.J. Walker pass intercepted Adrian Amos return for 33 yds to the Temp 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19TD
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q3 5:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
91.4%
Bill Belton run for 8 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
78.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 75 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1482% → 80%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
81.8%
Bill Belton run for 1 yd to the PnSt 26Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
81.6%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Geno Lewis, broken up by Sean ChandlerSimilar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
80.7%
Christian Hackenberg run for 4 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
Q3 3:21
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
80.0%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 40 yds, downed at the Temp 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22INT
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:3022% → 22%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+20
78.3%
P.J. Walker run for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
50
0
75.5%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Wanemi OmusoSimilar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 10
50
0
76.6%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brodrick YancySimilar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 10
50
-2
77.6%
P.J. Walker pass intercepted Christian Campbell return for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:1483% → 86%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
83.1%
Bill Belton run for 2 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+10
83.0%
DaeSean Hamilton run for 10 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
86.1%
Bill Belton run for 3 yds to the PnSt 43Similar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+6
86.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Bill Belton for 6 yds to the PnSt 49Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
86.6%
Bill Belton run for no gain to the PnSt 49Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
85.7%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 40 yds, downed at the Temp 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24INT TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:3319% → 8%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
80.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 6 yds to the Temp 17Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 4
OWN 17
0
82.3%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete, broken up by Brandon BellSimilar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+30
92.0%
P.J. Walker pass intercepted for a TD Grant Haley return for 30 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25FUMBLE
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:528% → 8%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.9%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
91.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for no gain to the Temp 25Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-2
92.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 23 TEAM fumbled, recovered by PnSt Austin JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 26FG
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:1995% → 96%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
94.7%
Akeel Lynch run for 3 yds to the Temp 20Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+15
95.0%
Akeel Lynch run for 15 yds to the Temp 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
95.2%
Akeel Lynch run for 2 yds to the Temp 3Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
95.3%
Bill Belton run for 1 yd to the Temp 2Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
95.2%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Kyle CarterSimilar
Q4 10:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
94.7%
PENN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 7Similar
Q4 10:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
94.7%
TEMPLE Penalty, Offside Defense (4 Yards) to the Temp 3Similar
Q4 10:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
96.4%
Sam Ficken 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27INT
9 plays · 2 yds · 3:324% → 3%
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
96.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Colin Thompson for 9 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 1
OWN 19
-5
96.3%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Jacob Quinn) to the Temp 14Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+5
96.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Wanemi Omuso for 5 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+2
96.7%
Jamie Gilmore run for 2 yds to the Temp 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
96.7%
Jamie Gilmore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 20Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 11
OWN 20
-10
96.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Temp 10Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 21
OWN 10
+2
97.0%
Jamie Gilmore run for 2 yds to the Temp 12Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 19
OWN 12
0
97.1%
P.J. Walker pass intercepted Jesse Della Valle return for no gain to the Temp 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 28MISSED FG
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:4198% → 98%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
97.5%
Bill Belton run for 4 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+7
97.7%
Bill Belton run for 7 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
97.8%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 1 yd to the Temp 28Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+3
98.0%
Bill Belton run for 3 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
98.0%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean HamiltonSimilar
Q4 3:47
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+42
97.8%
Sam Ficken 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Praise Martin-OguikeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 29DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:372% → 2%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jalen FitzpatrickSimilar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for 9 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+12
97.9%
Jamie Gilmore run for 12 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
97.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 5 yds to the PnSt 49Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-2
97.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jamie Gilmore for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 49Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
98.0%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:07
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
98.0%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 30END OF GAME
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:3099% → 99%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
98.6%
Cole Chiappialle run for 8 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+7
98.7%
Cole Chiappialle run for 7 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 36Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 36
-1
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:13
Akeel Lynch run for 38 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK)
+17.6
TD · Q3 5:19
Bill Belton run for 8 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK)
+13.9
TD · Q3 5:08
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 75 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)
-12.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com