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MEM

Memphis 38 at Tulane 7

TULN
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2014 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Peter Picerelli punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Keiwone Malone at the Memph 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Home team on offense−49.5Pregame prior−8.5Score differential−34.3Garbage-time factor−14.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:25: Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 38 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK) — MEM win probability +9.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:53: Brandon Hayes run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 19 — MEM win probability +2.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:56: Tanner Lee pass intercepted for a TD Dontrell Nelson return for 58 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK) — MEM win probability +8.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:04: Paxton Lynch run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK) — MEM win probability +1.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:55: Dontrell Hilliard run for 19 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +0.6 pts (now 1%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 8 of 12MEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00MEM 4th & 3 at MEM 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:45MEM 4th & 15 at MEM 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:41TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 25, down 7
    Close callPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:33MEM 4th & 10 at TULN 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    73.7%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:41TULN 4th & 9 at MEM 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    24.3%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:41MEM 4th & 8 at MEM 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:22MEM 4th & 6 at MEM 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:48TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 11:15MEM 4th & 15 at MEM 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 10:20TULN 4th & 16 at TULN 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−1.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:11MEM 4th & 5 at TULN 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    68.6%−4.8
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:35TULN 4th & 6 at MEM 6, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.1%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    23.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−4.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 15:00TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 13:40MEM 4th & 5 at MEM 47, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:46TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 45, down 17
    Close callPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q3 7:11MEM 4th & 19 at MEM 5, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−2.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  18. Q3 5:38TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  19. Q3 4:53MEM 4th & 3 at MEM 30, up 17
    Close callPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%−0.5
    average punt
  20. Q3 2:56TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 28, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  21. Q4 15:00TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 37, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  22. Q4 12:07TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 38, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  23. Q4 10:47MEM 4th & 2 at TULN 35, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:05MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:25MEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:56MEM Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:04MEM Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:55TULN Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:03MEM Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
20.2%
Paxton Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-2
20.2%
Roderick Proctor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+9
20.2%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 9 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
20.2%
Spencer Smith punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2INT TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:3821% → 21%
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
20.8%
Sherman Badie run for 4 yds to the Tulan 10Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+15
20.7%
Bobby McCain 15 Yd Interception Return , (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3INT
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+16
20.7%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 16 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
20.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+3
20.7%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted Andrew Gaines return for 3 yds to the Memph 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
21.0%
Brandon Hayes run for 11 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
20.9%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Mose FrazierSimilar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
20.9%
Paxton Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-5
21.0%
Paxton Lynch sacked by Royce LaFrance for a loss of 5 yards to the Memph 30Similar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
21.1%
Spencer Smith punt for 54 yds, downed at the Tulan 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
21.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Sherman BadieSimilar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
21.2%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 5 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q1 10:41
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+4
21.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 4 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 1
OWN 25
0
21.1%
Peter Picerelli punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
21.4%
Brandon Hayes run for 9 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 1
OWN 44
-9
21.2%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Adrian Henderson for a loss of 9 yards Adrian Henderson fumbled, forced by Royce LaFrance, recovered by Tulan Nico MarleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
22.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Memph 35 Dontrell Hilliard fumbled, forced by Leonard Pegues, recovered by Memph Latarius BradySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8MISSED FG
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:0179% → 78%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
21.4%
Brandon Hayes run for 5 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+30
21.2%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Tevin Jones for 30 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
21.1%
[GUN], MALONE, Keiwone rush over right end for 5 yards to the TLN25 (DOSS, Lorenzo), PENALTY MEM holding (FALLIN, Taylor) 10 yards to the TLN40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+10
21.2%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Roderick Proctor for 10 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
21.1%
Paxton Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
21.2%
Brandon Hayes run for no gain to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 6:33
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+47
21.9%
Jake Elliott 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9MISSED FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 4:5222% → 23%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
22.2%
Sherman Badie run for 14 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
22.6%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 43Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+9
22.4%
Sherman Badie run for 9 yds to the Memph 48Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+9
22.8%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 9 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
22.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Matt Marfisi for 9 yds to the Memph 30Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 1
OPP 30
0
23.1%
Lazedrick Thompson run for no gain to the Memph 30Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+4
22.8%
Sherman Badie run for 4 yds to the Memph 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
23.1%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the Memph 26Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
23.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Memph 26Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+1
22.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 1 yd to the Memph 25Similar
Q1 1:41
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+42
23.2%
Andrew DiRocco 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
22.7%
Jarvis Cooper run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 21Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+2
22.9%
Jarvis Cooper run for 2 yds to the Memph 23Similar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+4
23.1%
Paxton Lynch run for 4 yds to the Memph 27Similar
Q1 1:41
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
23.3%
Spencer Smith punt for 39 yds, downed at the Tulan 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:1024% → 23%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
23.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
23.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+3
23.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 3 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
23.1%
Peter Picerelli punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
23.0%
Brandon Hayes run for 2 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+6
23.0%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 6 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 2
OWN 35
-4
22.9%
Brandon Hayes run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 31Similar
Q2 14:22
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
23.7%
Spencer Smith punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the Tulan 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
23.9%
Sherman Badie run for 3 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+1
24.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
23.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Justyn ShacklefordSimilar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
23.2%
Peter Picerelli punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0077% → 75%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
23.4%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Adrian Henderson, broken up by Lorenzo DossSimilar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
23.6%
Brandon Hayes run for a loss of 5 yards to the Memph 30Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
24.4%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Brandon HayesSimilar
Q2 11:15
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
24.8%
Spencer Smith punt for 53 yds, downed at the Tulan 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
24.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 5 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 5
OWN 22
-6
24.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 16Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 11
OWN 16
-5
23.7%
Tanner Lee sacked by Tank Jakes for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 11Similar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 16
OWN 11
+9
23.4%
Peter Picerelli punt for 29 yds , Keiwone Malone returns for 9 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16FG
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:5578% → 78%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-10
21.8%
[GUN], COOPER, Jarvis rush over left end for no gain to the TLN31 (SMART, Tanzel), PENALTY MEM holding (YOUNG, Robby) 10 yards to the TLN41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 20
OPP 41
+22
22.2%
Brandon Hayes run for 22 yds to the Tulan 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
21.7%
Brandon Hayes run for 4 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+2
21.7%
Jarvis Cooper run for 2 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+5
22.1%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Keiwone Malone for 5 yds to the Tulan 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
21.7%
Paxton Lynch run for 3 yds to the Tulan 5Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
21.7%
Paxton Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
22.1%
Paxton Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
21.6%
Jake Elliott 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17DOWNS
18 plays · 58 yds · 4:3622% → 21%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
21.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Charles Jones for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
21.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+13
21.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 13 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
22.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Justyn ShacklefordSimilar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
22.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+6
22.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 6 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
23.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 8 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+11
24.0%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 11 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
24.0%
Sherman Badie run for 3 yds to the Memph 21Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
23.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Dontrell Hilliard, broken up by Martin IfediSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+15
22.3%
[GUN], LEE, Tanner deep pass incomplete to ENCALADE, T., PENALTY MEM pass interference (HOLLIER, Bakari) 15 yards to the MEM6, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
23.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Memph 6Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
22.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy Veal, broken up by Bakari HollierSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
21.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 0:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
-11
20.9%
Peter Picerelli run for a loss of 11 yards to the Memph 17 Peter Picerelli fumbled, recovered by Tulan Andrew DiRoccoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
20.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
20.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
20.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 4 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
20.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy Veal, broken up by Bakari HollierSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+1
19.6%
Peter Picerelli punt for 29 yds , Keiwone Malone returns for 1 yd to the Memph 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
20.2%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Adrian HendersonSimilar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
20.4%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Adrian Henderson, broken up by Edward WilliamsSimilar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+5
21.0%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 5 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
21.2%
Spencer Smith punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the Tulan 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21FUMBLE
4 plays · 26 yds · 0:0020% → 22%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
20.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Leondre James for 8 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+12
21.0%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 12 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
21.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+1
21.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line Dontrell Hilliard fumbled, recovered by Memph Ryan Coleman , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:3080% → 90%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
50
-1
19.6%
Brandon Hayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 49Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+12
19.8%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Keiwone Malone for 12 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
19.6%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 1 yd to the Tulan 38Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+38
10.5%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 38 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:3912% → 13%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
12.1%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
12.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 9 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
12.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devon Breaux for 8 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 2
OWN 46
0
13.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-1
12.8%
Lazedrick Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 7:46
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
12.5%
Peter Picerelli punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Keiwone Malone at the Memph 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-9
10.4%
Paxton Lynch sacked by Tanzel Smart for a loss of 9 yards to the Memph 5Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 19
OWN 5
+9
10.6%
Paxton Lynch run for 9 yds to the Memph 14Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 10
OWN 14
-9
10.8%
Paxton Lynch sacked by Tanzel Smart for a loss of 9 yards to the Memph 5Similar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 19
OWN 5
+56
11.0%
Spencer Smith punt for 56 yds, downed at the TULANE 39 TULANE Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
12.0%
Sherman Badie run for 2 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
12.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Sherman BadieSimilar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
11.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Charles JonesSimilar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 8
OWN 41
+6
11.6%
Peter Picerelli punt for 42 yds , Keiwone Malone returns for 6 yds to the Memph 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-4
9.2%
Brandon Hayes run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 19Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 14
OWN 19
+11
9.3%
Adrian Henderson run for 11 yds to the Memph 30Similar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
9.4%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Mose FrazierSimilar
Q3 4:53
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+16
9.6%
Spencer Smith punt for 44 yds , Teddy Veal returns for 16 yds to the Tulan 46 TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding (Rae Juan Marbley) to the Tulan 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27INT TD
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:0111% → 4%
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
10.9%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 30Similar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+19
10.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 19 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
12.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Justyn ShacklefordSimilar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+58
3.5%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted for a TD Dontrell Nelson return for 58 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
3.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
3.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
3.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
Q3 2:56
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+14
3.3%
Peter Picerelli punt for 41 yds , Keiwone Malone returns for 14 yds to the Memph 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 29TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:5598% → 100%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
2.1%
Brandon Hayes run for 1 yd to the Memph 46Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+22
2.1%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Tevin Jones for 22 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+29
2.0%
Paxton Lynch run for 29 yds to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
2.0%
Brandon Hayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 4Similar
Q3 0:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.5%
Paxton Lynch run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
0.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 11 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
0.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
0.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Sherman BadieSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
0.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
0.5%
Peter Picerelli punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Keiwone Malone at the Memph 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 31FUMBLE
7 plays · 46 yds · 0:1999% → 100%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.6%
Brandon Hayes run for 1 yd to the Memph 26Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
0.6%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Keiwone Malone for 11 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+27
0.6%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Roderick Proctor for 27 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
0.5%
Brandon Hayes run for 2 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
0.5%
Brandon Hayes run for no gain to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+6
0.5%
Brandon Hayes run for 5 yds to the Tulan 35 Brandon Hayes fumbled, forced by Royce LaFrance, recovered by Tulan Parry Nickerson , return for 6 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 32PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
0.2%
Lazedrick Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 33Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+5
0.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 5 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
0.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by Andrew GainesSimilar
Q4 12:07
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+12
0.2%
Peter Picerelli punt for 49 yds , Keiwone Malone returns for 12 yds to the Memph 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 33PUNT
8 plays · 40 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.4%
Jarvis Cooper run for 4 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
0.4%
Greg McKillion run for 4 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+11
0.4%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Alan Cross for 11 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
0.4%
Jarvis Cooper run for 13 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
0.4%
Jarvis Cooper run for 7 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 3
OPP 36
-1
0.3%
Jarvis Cooper run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 37Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+2
0.4%
Jarvis Cooper run for 2 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 2
OPP 35
0
0.4%
Nick Jacobs punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Darion Monroe at the Tulan 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 34TD
12 plays · 91 yds · 4:400% → 1%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
0.1%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 8 yds to the Tulan 17Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+16
0.1%
[GUN], LEE, Tanner deep pass incomplete to SCOTT, Trey, PENALTY MEM pass interference (WHITE, Shareef) 16 yards to the TLN33, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
0.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 28Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 15
OWN 28
0
0.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Trey Scott, broken up by Shareef WhiteSimilar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 15
OWN 28
+15
0.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 15 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
0.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 11 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
0.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Danté Butler for 2 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+6
0.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 6 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+7
0.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 7 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
0.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 6 yds to the Memph 25Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+6
0.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 6 yds to the Memph 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
0.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 19 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 35TD
4 plays · 47 yds · 0:47100% → 100%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+39
0.4%
Robert Davis run for 39 yds to the Tulan 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
0.4%
Robert Davis run for 6 yds to the Tulan 2Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.1%
Robert Davis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 36END OF GAME
6 plays · 63 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 9 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+19
0.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Trey Scott for 19 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
0.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 11 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
0.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 8 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+16
0.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 16 yds to the Memph 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:25
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 38 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)
-9.1
TD · Q3 2:56
Tanner Lee pass intercepted for a TD Dontrell Nelson return for 58 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)
-8.5
KEY PLAY · Q3 4:53
Brandon Hayes run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 19
-2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com