Try the model
CONN

UConn 21 at Army 35

ARMY
2014 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2014 · Yankee Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:01 · Alex Tardieu punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Deshon Foxx at the UConn 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorTime remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Home team on offense+14.4Score differential+2.8Garbage-time factor+9.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.7Pregame prior−0.6Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:47: Chandler Whitmer run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK) — CONN win probability +12.2 pts (now 42%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:04: Joe Walker run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK) — ARMY win probability +10.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:54: Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Sean McQuillan for 16 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK) — CONN win probability +11.6 pts (now 24%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:06: Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Noel Thomas for 1 yd for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK) — CONN win probability +11.6 pts (now 16%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:28: Chris Carnegie 99 Yd Interception Return (Daniel Grochowski Kick) — ARMY win probability +13.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CONN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 10:34CONN 4th & 21 at CONN 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:53ARMY 4th & 2 at CONN 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    51.1%−0.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    49.1%−2.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:27CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  4. Q3 9:42ARMY 4th & 1 at CONN 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.1%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    68.3%−2.8
    92% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−10.4
    average punt
  5. Q3 4:50CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−2.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 3:19ARMY 4th & 5 at ARMY 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  7. Q4 12:54CONN 4th & 6 at ARMY 16, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%−1.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−7.3
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:01ARMY 4th & 5 at ARMY 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:45CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:42CONN 4th & 10 at ARMY 21, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 5CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 1:53ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:39ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:47CONN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:04ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:54CONN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.7%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:22ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:06CONN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:28ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 17 yds · 4:2153% → 52%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
46.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+5
46.8%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Deshon Foxx for 5 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+5
46.9%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Sean McQuillan for 5 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
47.0%
Jazzmar Clax run for 6 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+12
46.9%
Ron Johnson run for 12 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
46.9%
Chandler Whitmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
47.0%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Thomas Lucas for 5 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 5
OPP 39
-11
47.1%
Whitmer, Chandler rush for 6 yards to the ARMY33, PENALTY UCONN holding (Mateas, Alex) 11 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 16
50
-6
47.4%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Tyler Samra) to the UConn 45Similar
Q1 10:49
3RD & 21
OWN 45
0
47.5%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Dhameer BradleySimilar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 21
OWN 45
0
47.8%
Justin Wain punt for 44 yds , Xavier Moss returns for no gain to the Army 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
16 plays · 89 yds · 8:3648% → 56%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
47.7%
Larry Dixon run for 2 yds to the Army 13Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+7
47.8%
Angel Santiago run for 7 yds to the Army 20Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+4
47.8%
Angel Santiago run for 4 yds to the Army 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
48.0%
Joe Walker run for no gain to the Army 24Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+5
48.0%
Angel Santiago run for 5 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+6
47.9%
Angel Santiago run for 6 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
48.3%
Trenton Turrentine run for 10 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
49.2%
Larry Dixon run for 6 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
49.5%
Larry Dixon run for no gain to the UConn 49Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+35
49.6%
Terry Baggett run for 35 yds to the UConn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
50.2%
Angel Santiago run for 2 yds to the UConn 12Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+5
50.4%
Angel Santiago run for 5 yds to the UConn 7Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+1
50.2%
Larry Dixon run for 1 yd to the UConn 6Similar
Q1 2:53
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+5
49.7%
A.J. Schurr run for 5 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
51.2%
Angel Santiago run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 2Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
55.6%
Angel Santiago run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3INT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:0946% → 46%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
54.1%
Ron Johnson run for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
54.2%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Deshon Foxx for 13 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
53.8%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+5
54.1%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Deshon Foxx for 5 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
53.8%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 3
OWN 48
+5
54.8%
Wain, Justin punt 46 yards to the ARMY6, downed, PENALTY ARMY running into kicker (Ricciardi, Stephen) 5 yards to the ARMY47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCONN. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
53.6%
Chandler Whitmer pass intercepted Chris Carnegie return for 2 yds to the Army 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 5:3456% → 70%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+17
55.8%
Angel Santiago run for 17 yds to the Army 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
56.3%
Raymond Maples run for 13 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
57.8%
Trenton Turrentine run for 8 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+7
58.3%
Angel Santiago run for 7 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
58.6%
Angel Santiago run for 7 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+1
59.3%
Angel Santiago run for 1 yd to the UConn 32Similar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+9
59.0%
Trenton Turrentine run for 9 yds to the UConn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
59.9%
Angel Santiago run for 4 yds to the UConn 19Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+3
60.5%
Angel Santiago run for 3 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+12
60.4%
Matt Giachinta run for 12 yds to the UConn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
69.7%
Joe Walker run for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:4433% → 30%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
67.1%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Brian Lemelle for 9 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
66.6%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Deshon Foxx for 2 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
67.6%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Deshon Foxx, broken up by Hayden PierceSimilar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
68.1%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Dhameer Bradley for 4 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+5
68.3%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Brian Lemelle for 5 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q2 5:59
4TH & 1
OWN 45
-5
68.5%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Richard Levy) to the UConn 40Similar
Q2 5:27
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
69.7%
Justin Wain punt for 36 yds, downed at the Army 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6FUMBLE
7 plays · 34 yds · 3:0571% → 74%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
70.6%
Larry Dixon run for 6 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
71.3%
Terry Baggett run for 3 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+3
71.1%
Angel Santiago run for 3 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
72.9%
Angel Santiago pass complete to Joe Walker for 16 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
73.8%
Angel Santiago run for 5 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+3
75.0%
Aaron Kemper run for 3 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 2
OPP 40
-2
74.4%
Angel Santiago run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 42 Angel Santiago fumbled, forced by Jefferson Ashiru, recovered by UConn Junior JosephSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 1:1028% → 42%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
72.2%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Dhameer BradleySimilar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+26
72.6%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Noel Thomas for 26 yds to the Army 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
70.0%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+26
70.2%
Max DeLorenzo run for 26 yds to the Army 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
70.0%
Chandler Whitmer run for 4 yds to the Army 2Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
57.8%
Chandler Whitmer run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
64.5%
Larry Dixon run for no gain to the Army 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9TD
14 plays · 79 yds · 6:4865% → 84%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+17
65.1%
Raymond Maples run for 17 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
66.8%
Joe Walker run for 15 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
68.3%
Joe Walker run for 10 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
68.5%
Larry Dixon run for 3 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+8
68.9%
Raymond Maples run for 8 yds to the UConn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
68.9%
Santiago, Angel rush for no gain to the UCONN26, fumble by Santiago, Angel recovered by ARMY Santiago, Angel at UCONN26, PENALTY UCONN offside (Fatukasi, Folorunso) 5 yards to the UCONN21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 5
OPP 21
+7
70.0%
Matt Giachinta run for 7 yds to the UConn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
70.5%
Angel Santiago run for 6 yds to the UConn 8Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+1
70.6%
Trenton Turrentine run for 1 yd to the UConn 7Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+2
70.0%
Raymond Maples run for 2 yds to the UConn 5Similar
Q3 9:42
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+1
70.4%
Angel Santiago run for 1 yd to the UConn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
73.5%
Angel Santiago run for 2 yds to the UConn 2Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.1%
Joe Walker run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:5819% → 16%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
81.3%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Thomas Lucas for 2 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+12
81.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 12 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
81.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the UConn 37Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-2
81.8%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Noel Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 35Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
83.3%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Ron Johnson for no gain to the UConn 35Similar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
84.5%
Justin Wain punt for 39 yds , Xavier Moss returns for no gain to the Army 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:2486% → 87%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
86.4%
Larry Dixon run for 11 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
87.4%
Larry Dixon run for 3 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+2
87.9%
Angel Santiago run for 2 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
87.5%
Angel Santiago pass incomplete to Joe WalkerSimilar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
86.9%
Alex Tardieu punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Deshon Foxx at the UConn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 5:1414% → 24%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
85.6%
Deshon Foxx run for no gain to the UConn 19Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
86.0%
Deshon Foxx run for 3 yds to the UConn 22Similar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+8
86.4%
Chandler Whitmer run for 8 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
85.5%
Ron Johnson run for 15 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
85.5%
Ron Johnson run for 7 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+1
85.1%
Deshon Foxx run for 1 yd to the Army 47Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+6
87.2%
Ron Johnson run for 6 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+21
87.3%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Sean McQuillan for 21 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
85.9%
Ron Johnson run for 4 yds to the Army 16Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
86.5%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Deshon FoxxSimilar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
87.6%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Deshon FoxxSimilar
Q4 12:54
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+16
76.0%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Sean McQuillan for 16 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4183% → 83%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
82.9%
Raymond Maples run for 2 yds to the Army 37Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-2
83.9%
Angel Santiago run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 35Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+5
82.0%
Larry Dixon run for 5 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
82.7%
Alex Tardieu punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Deshon Foxx at the UConn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0421% → 18%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
79.1%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Deshon Foxx for 6 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 4
OWN 23
-4
78.4%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 19Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
80.8%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
81.8%
Justin Wain punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Xavier Moss at the Army 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15TD
10 plays · 52 yds · 5:0886% → 97%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
86.3%
Larry Dixon run for 5 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+11
87.2%
Raymond Maples run for 11 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
87.8%
Angel Santiago run for 9 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+6
88.5%
Larry Dixon run for 6 yds to the UConn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-8
89.2%
Terry Baggett run for 2 yds to the UConn 19 ARMY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UConn 29Similar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 18
OPP 29
+22
89.0%
Angel Santiago pass complete to Joe Walker for 22 yds to the UConn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
90.7%
Matt Giachinta run for 3 yds to the UConn 4Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
90.8%
Angel Santiago run for 3 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.9%
Angel Santiago run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 1:586% → 16%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+24
94.3%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Noel Thomas for 24 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+23
94.0%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Deshon Foxx for 23 yds to the Army 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
93.4%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Gus Cruz) to the Army 26Similar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 15
OPP 26
0
93.8%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Noel Thomas, broken up by Josh JenkinsSimilar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 15
OPP 26
0
93.8%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Ron JohnsonSimilar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 15
OPP 26
+5
94.3%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Dhameer Bradley for 5 yds to the Army 21Similar
Q4 2:42
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+16
96.9%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Dhameer Bradley for 16 yds to the Army 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
96.4%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Noel Thomas for 4 yds to the Army 1Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.4%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Noel Thomas for 1 yd for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17INT TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:2611% → 3%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+26
88.9%
Chandler Whitmer run for 26 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
83.2%
Max DeLorenzo run for 4 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+9
83.4%
Chandler Whitmer run for 9 yds to the Army 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
83.6%
Chandler Whitmer run for 7 yds to the Army 6Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+99
96.7%
Chris Carnegie 99 Yd Interception Return (Daniel Grochowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18END OF GAME
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:123% → 2%
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
97.3%
Chandler Whitmer run for 5 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
98.3%
Tim Boyle pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:28
Chris Carnegie 99 Yd Interception Return (Daniel Grochowski Kick)
+13.1
TD · Q2 0:47
Chandler Whitmer run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)
-12.2
TD · Q4 12:54
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Sean McQuillan for 16 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)
-11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com