Try the model
HOU

Houston 27 at South Florida 3

USF
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Raymond James Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadHOU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreHOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:12 · Tyler McCloskey run for 1 yd to the SFla 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:25: Greg Ward Jr. run for no gain to the 50 yard line — HOU win probability +5.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:33: Marlon Mack run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 19 — USF win probability +4.1 pts (now 28%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:38: Ryan Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Bullard KICK) — HOU win probability +9.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:52: Marvin Kloss 33 yd FG GOOD — USF win probability +3.9 pts (now 18%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:34: Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Kenneth Farrow for 8 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bullard PAT MISSED) — HOU win probability +5.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 5 of 7HOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:51HOU 4th & 7 at HOU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:48USF 4th & 3 at USF 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:33HOU 4th & 2 at USF 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    68.9%−0.3
    56% to make
    Punt
    68.7%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:34HOU 4th & 4 at HOU 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:29USF 4th & 8 at HOU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    24.4%−4.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:00HOU 4th & 1 at HOU 34, up 7
    Close callPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:36USF 4th & 1 at HOU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.6%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:53USF 4th & 13 at USF 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−3.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:52USF 4th & 4 at HOU 15, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.5%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−4.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:50HOU 4th & 1 at USF 21, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.0%−1.9
    74% to make
    Punt
    77.0%−7.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:38USF 4th & 10 at USF 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:28USF 4th & 14 at HOU 20, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 2:54HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 9:34HOU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:27HOU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:5473% → 71%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
27.3%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 9 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
27.5%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Wayne Beadle for 5 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
27.6%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (Wayne Beadle) to the Houst 34Similar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 15
OWN 34
-1
27.8%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Kenneth Farrow for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 33Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 16
OWN 33
+5
28.1%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Wayne Beadle for 5 yds to the Houst 38Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+4
28.5%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 4 yds to the Houst 42Similar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 7
OWN 42
-2
28.7%
Logan Piper punt for 43 yds , Hassan Childs returns for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:4029% → 30%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
28.9%
Steven Bench pass complete to Kennard Swanson for 12 yds to the SFla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.1%
Marlon Mack run for no gain to the SFla 25Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
29.2%
Steven Bench pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
29.1%
Steven Bench pass complete to Mike McFarland for 7 yds to the SFla 32Similar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+1
29.5%
Mattias Ciabatti punt for 42 yds , Demarcus Ayers returns for 1 yd to the Houst 33 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Houst 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0070% → 69%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
29.7%
Ryan Jackson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Houst 27 Ryan Jackson fumbled, recovered by Houst Ryan JacksonSimilar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 15
OWN 27
0
30.0%
Ryan Jackson run for no gain to the Houst 27Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 15
OWN 27
0
30.4%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Ryan JacksonSimilar
Q1 8:15
4TH & 15
OWN 27
+15
30.7%
Piper, Logan punt 40 yards to the SOUFLA33, downed, PENALTY SOUFLA personal foul 15 yards to the HOUSTON42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN HOUSTON. for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 5:1570% → 73%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
29.9%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 7 yds to the Houst 49Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+13
29.7%
Kenneth Farrow run for 13 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-7
30.0%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Deontay Greenberry for a loss of 7 yards to the SFla 45Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 17
OPP 45
+11
30.6%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 11 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+4
30.6%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 4 yds to the SFla 30Similar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+16
31.1%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Markeith Ambles for 16 yds to the SFla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
30.2%
Kenneth Farrow run for 4 yds to the SFla 10Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+5
30.3%
Kenneth Farrow run for 5 yds to the SFla 5Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
30.8%
Kenneth Farrow run for 2 yds to the SFla 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
30.7%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Deontay Greenberry for 2 yds to the SFla 1Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
27.1%
Kenneth Farrow run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Bullard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1929% → 29%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
28.7%
Marlon Mack run for 4 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+3
28.9%
Darius Tice run for 3 yds to the SFla 40Similar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 3
OWN 40
-1
28.9%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:1872% → 71%
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
28.3%
Ryan Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 18Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+5
28.5%
Ryan Jackson run for 5 yds to the Houst 23Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+3
28.7%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 3 yds to the Houst 26Similar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
29.2%
Logan Piper punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Hassan Childs at the SFla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7MISSED FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 5:5629% → 29%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
28.7%
Marlon Mack run for 13 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-9
29.7%
Steven Bench sacked by Efrem Oliphant for a loss of 9 yards to the SFla 33Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 19
OWN 33
+2
28.5%
Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the SFla 35Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 17
OWN 35
+26
27.9%
Steven Bench pass complete to Deonte Welch for 26 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
30.8%
Marlon Mack run for 7 yds to the Houst 32Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
31.6%
Marlon Mack run for no gain to the Houst 32Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+5
30.6%
Marlon Mack run for 5 yds to the Houst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
31.5%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 2 yds to the Houst 25Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
31.8%
D'Ernest Johnson run for no gain to the Houst 25Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
30.0%
Steven Bench pass incomplete to Rodney AdamsSimilar
Q2 7:29
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+43
28.6%
Marvin Kloss 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2173% → 73%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
27.2%
Kenneth Farrow run for 3 yds to the Houst 28Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
26.9%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Deontay GreenberrySimilar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
27.7%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Deontay Greenberry for 6 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
27.2%
Logan Piper punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:5928% → 29%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
27.8%
Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the SFla 22Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+9
27.7%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 9 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
28.3%
Marlon Mack run for 8 yds to the SFla 39Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+3
29.9%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 3 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
29.7%
Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the SFla 44Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+6
29.6%
Steven Bench run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 2
50
+1
30.0%
Marlon Mack run for 1 yd to the Houst 49Similar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 1
OPP 49
-1
29.3%
D'Ernest Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:2976% → 76%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
50
0
23.8%
Greg Ward Jr. run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 10
50
+6
23.8%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 6 yds to the SFla 44Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
23.7%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Markeith AmblesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:2928% → 27%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
27.8%
Marlon Mack run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 19Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+6
26.9%
Marlon Mack run for 6 yds to the SFla 23 Marlon Mack fumbled, recovered by SFla Mike McFarlandSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:5428% → 26%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
28.4%
Mack, Marlon rush for no gain to the SOUFLA24, PENALTY SOUFLA illegal shift 5 yards to the SOUFLA19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:23
1ST & 15
OWN 19
0
28.2%
Steven Bench pass incomplete to Mike McFarlandSimilar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 15
OWN 19
+1
28.2%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 1 yd to the SFla 20Similar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 14
OWN 20
+1
27.3%
Steven Bench run for 1 yd to the SFla 21Similar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 13
OWN 21
+5
26.4%
Mattias Ciabatti punt for 45 yds , Demarcus Ayers returns for 5 yds to the Houst 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 13TD
13 plays · 61 yds · 4:5275% → 88%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
25.2%
Greg Ward Jr. sacked by Reshard Cliett for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 37Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+9
26.6%
Kenneth Farrow run for 9 yds to the Houst 46Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+7
25.2%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Wayne Beadle for 7 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
24.5%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 5 yds to the SFla 42Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+17
24.3%
Kenneth Farrow run for 17 yds to the SFla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
23.9%
Kenneth Farrow run for 8 yds to the SFla 17Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+1
23.9%
Kenneth Farrow run for 1 yd to the SFla 16Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+1
24.5%
Kenneth Farrow run for 1 yd to the SFla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
23.9%
Kenneth Farrow run for 14 yds to the SFla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
22.6%
Kenneth Farrow run for no gain to the SFla 1Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
21.9%
Kenneth Farrow run for no gain to the SFla 1Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
12.5%
Ryan Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Bullard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 14FG
15 plays · 57 yds · 5:3415% → 18%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
15.0%
Steven Bench pass incomplete to Kennard SwansonSimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
14.6%
Darius Tice run for 9 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
15.4%
Steven Bench pass complete to Kennard Swanson for 3 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-8
15.2%
Steven Bench sacked by Steven Taylor for a loss of 8 yards to the SFla 32Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 18
OWN 32
+24
14.0%
Steven Bench pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 24 yds to the Houst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
15.2%
Steven Bench pass complete to Kennard Swanson for 11 yds to the Houst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
15.5%
Steven Bench pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
15.3%
Darius Tice run for 6 yds to the Houst 27Similar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+6
15.1%
Steven Bench pass complete to Marlon Mack for 6 yds to the Houst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
15.4%
Steven Bench pass incomplete to Andre DavisSimilar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
15.1%
Darius Tice run for 6 yds to the Houst 15Similar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 4
OPP 15
0
14.3%
Steven Bench pass incomplete to D'Ernest JohnsonSimilar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+33
18.2%
Marvin Kloss 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15TD
17 plays · 70 yds · 6:5183% → 96%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
17.5%
Ryan Jackson run for 3 yds to the Houst 33Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-1
17.4%
Ryan Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 32Similar
Q3 0:13
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+11
16.3%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Wayne Beadle for 11 yds to the Houst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
14.7%
Ryan Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 40Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+10
15.4%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Wayne Beadle for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 3
50
+8
14.7%
Kenneth Farrow run for 8 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
14.1%
Kenneth Farrow run for 12 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
13.0%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 1 yd to the SFla 29Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+5
13.0%
Kenneth Farrow run for 5 yds to the SFla 24Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+3
12.6%
Kenneth Farrow run for 3 yds to the SFla 21Similar
Q4 11:50
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+3
13.4%
Kenneth Farrow run for 3 yds to the SFla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
10.5%
Kenneth Farrow run for 3 yds to the SFla 15Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+8
10.1%
Ryan Jackson run for 8 yds to the SFla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
9.8%
Kenneth Farrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 8Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
9.5%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Markeith AmblesSimilar
Q4 9:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
4.2%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Kenneth Farrow for 8 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bullard PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:335% → 4%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
4.5%
Steven Bench pass complete to Marlon Mack for 5 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 5
OWN 23
0
4.5%
Steven Bench pass incomplete to Rodney AdamsSimilar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
4.4%
Steven Bench pass incomplete to Mike McFarlandSimilar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 5
OWN 23
-5
4.4%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 18Similar
Q4 8:38
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
4.3%
Mattias Ciabatti punt for 44 yds, downed at the Houst 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 3:0297% → 100%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
3.2%
Ryan Jackson run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
50
+12
3.0%
Ryan Jackson run for 12 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
2.9%
Ryan Jackson run for 4 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+4
2.6%
Ryan Jackson run for 4 yds to the SFla 30Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+6
2.4%
Kenneth Farrow run for 6 yds to the SFla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
0.5%
Ryan Jackson run for 24 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bullard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18INT
12 plays · 54 yds · 2:321% → 0%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
0.8%
Steven Bench pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 7 yds to the SFla 33Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
0.7%
Steven Bench pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+5
0.8%
Steven Bench run for 5 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
0.7%
Steven Bench pass complete to Deonte Welch for 7 yds to the SFla 45Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+22
0.7%
Steven Bench pass complete to Deonte Welch for 22 yds to the Houst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
0.8%
Steven Bench pass complete to Andre Davis for 17 yds to the Houst 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
0.8%
Steven Bench pass incomplete to Rodney AdamsSimilar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-4
0.8%
Steven Bench sacked by Trevor Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 20Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 14
OPP 20
0
0.7%
Steven Bench pass incomplete to Darius TiceSimilar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 14
OPP 20
0
0.4%
Steven Bench pass intercepted, touchback. Adrian McDonald return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 19END OF GAME
4 plays · 32 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
0.4%
Randall Hollimon run for 5 yds to the Houst 25Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
0.3%
Randall Hollimon run for 7 yds to the Houst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
0.3%
Randall Hollimon run for 4 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
0.2%
Tyler McCloskey run for 1 yd to the SFla 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:38
Ryan Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Bullard KICK)
-9.3
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:25
Greg Ward Jr. run for no gain to the 50 yard line
-5.5
TD · Q4 9:34
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Kenneth Farrow for 8 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bullard PAT MISSED)
-5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com