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ECU

East Carolina 10 at Temple 20

TEM
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:48 · Austin Jones 50 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Home team on offense+22.9Pregame prior−6.0Score differential+10.9Garbage-time factor+10.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:50: Kenneth Harper run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — TEM win probability +6.2 pts (now 47%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 5:20: Warren Harvey 39 yd FG GOOD — ECU win probability +3.5 pts (now 44%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:48: P.J. Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 9 yds to the Temp 38 — TEM win probability +4.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:36: Kenneth Harper run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — TEM win probability +12.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:15: Marquez Grayson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK) — ECU win probability +3.1 pts (now 6%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 10ECU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 10:45ECU 4th & 6 at TEM 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    64.9%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:16TEM 4th & 9 at TEM 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00ECU 4th & 5 at TEM 48, down 14
    Close callPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:35TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:09ECU 4th & 13 at ECU 48, down 14
    Numbers favored punt by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.6%−1.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    46.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:33TEM 4th & 9 at ECU 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    55.7%−1.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:20ECU 4th & 12 at TEM 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−5.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:31TEM 4th & 2 at ECU 46, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    59.2%−1.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:49TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:18ECU 4th & 9 at TEM 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−6.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:48TEM 4th & 7 at ECU 32, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.0%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    89.2%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:45ECU 4th & 11 at ECU 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−2.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:02TEM 4th & 4 at ECU 43, up 17
    Close callPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%−1.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:30TEM 4th & 15 at TEM 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:47ECU 4th & 15 at ECU 47, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:05TEM 4th & 3 at ECU 40, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%−0.6
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:17TEM 4th & 17 at TEM 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 3ECU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:20TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:50TEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:36TEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    90.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:15ECU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.6%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 46 yds · 4:0069% → 68%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
30.7%
Breon Allen run for 6 yds to the ECaro 20Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+12
31.0%
Shane Carden pass complete to Chris Hairston for 12 yds to the ECaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
31.1%
TEMPLE Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the ECaro 37Similar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 5
OWN 37
+6
31.1%
Chris Hairston run for 6 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
31.5%
Chris Hairston run for 4 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+9
31.6%
Shane Carden pass complete to Cam Worthy for 9 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
31.6%
Breon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 45Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
31.8%
Shane Carden pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+10
32.0%
Breon Allen run for 10 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 1
OPP 35
-5
32.1%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Quincy McKinney) to the Temp 40Similar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
32.3%
Worth Gregory punt for 27 yds, downed at the Temp 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1433% → 33%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
32.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 16Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 16
-2
32.8%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 14Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 9
OWN 14
0
32.8%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:16
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
32.8%
Alex Starzyk punt for 41 yds, downed at the ECaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:4767% → 65%
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
32.7%
Breon Allen run for 1 yd to the ECaro 46Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+6
32.9%
Shane Carden pass complete to Breon Allen for 6 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
32.5%
Breon Allen run for 3 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-63
35.2%
Tavon Young 63 Yd Fumble Return (Austin Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:0963% → 62%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+13
36.8%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 13 yds to the ECaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
36.7%
Breon Allen run for 12 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
36.6%
Shane Carden sacked by Brandon Chudnoff for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 36Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+4
37.7%
Breon Allen run for 4 yds to the ECaro 40 Breon Allen fumbled, forced by Tyler Matakevich, recovered by Temp Will HayesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5TD
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:4039% → 47%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
39.2%
P.J. Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 41 P.J. Walker fumbled, recovered by Temp P.J. WalkerSimilar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+15
39.3%
Gilmore, Jamie rush for no gain to the EASTCRLINA41, PENALTY EASTCRLINA face mask 15 yards to the EASTCRLINA26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEMPLE. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+22
40.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Colin Thompson for 22 yds to the ECaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
40.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the ECaro 2Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
40.6%
P.J. Walker run for 1 yd to the ECaro 1 P.J. Walker fumbled, recovered by TempSimilar
Q1 2:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.7%
Kenneth Harper run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:3754% → 51%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+24
46.1%
Shane Carden pass complete to Bryce Williams for 24 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
45.9%
Chris Hairston run for 9 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+7
45.8%
Cory Hunter run for 7 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-6
46.5%
Shane Carden sacked by Praise Martin-Oguike for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 41Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 16
OWN 41
0
48.2%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Chris HairstonSimilar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 16
OWN 41
+11
48.7%
Chris Hairston run for 11 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
48.6%
Worth Gregory punt for 42 yds, downed at the Temp 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1449% → 50%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
49.2%
Kenneth Harper run for 1 yd to the Temp 7Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+3
49.7%
Kenneth Harper run for 3 yds to the Temp 10Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 6
OWN 10
0
50.3%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 6
OWN 10
0
50.0%
Alex Starzyk punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Justin Hardy at the Temp 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:1751% → 47%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
49.4%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Bryce WilliamsSimilar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-1
50.8%
Chris Hairston run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 11
50
-2
51.4%
Shane Carden sacked by Matt Ioannidis for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 48Similar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 13
OWN 48
-2
53.3%
Worth Gregory run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 46 Worth Gregory fumbled, recovered by ECaro Worth GregorySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1456% → 56%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
55.8%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the ECaro 46Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
56.2%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the ECaro 45Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
56.2%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:33
4TH & 9
OPP 45
+3
55.5%
Alex Starzyk punt for 31 yds , Justin Hardy returns for 3 yds to the ECaro 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 5:0745% → 44%
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
55.2%
Chris Hairston run for 5 yds to the ECaro 22Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+12
55.3%
Shane Carden pass complete to Cam Worthy for 12 yds to the ECaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
55.9%
Marquez Grayson run for 3 yds to the ECaro 37Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+6
56.1%
Shane Carden pass complete to Chris Hairston for 6 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+13
55.5%
Chris Hairston run for 13 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
55.2%
Shane Carden pass complete to Breon Allen for 1 yd to the Temp 43Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+11
55.6%
Chris Hairston run for 11 yds to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
55.4%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Chris HairstonSimilar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+7
55.7%
Anthony Scott run for 7 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+5
56.3%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 5 yds to the Temp 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-13
55.9%
Shane Carden run for 6 yds to the Temp 14 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (-19 Yards) to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 23
OPP 33
0
57.9%
Chris Hairston run for no gain to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 23
OPP 33
+11
58.9%
Shane Carden pass complete to Chris Hairston for 11 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 12
OPP 22
0
59.6%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Cam WorthySimilar
Q2 5:20
4TH & 12
OPP 22
+39
56.1%
Warren Harvey 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3358% → 59%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
58.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Colin ThompsonSimilar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
58.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the Temp 47Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+7
58.1%
P.J. Walker run for 7 yds to the ECaro 46Similar
Q2 3:31
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
59.1%
Alex Starzyk punt for 37 yds, downed at the ECaro 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12FUMBLE
10 plays · 62 yds · 2:1739% → 41%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
61.1%
Chris Hairston run for 9 yds to the ECaro 18Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+14
60.6%
Chris Hairston run for 14 yds to the ECaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
60.8%
Chris Hairston run for 3 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
60.9%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Terrell GreenSimilar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+9
62.4%
Shane Carden run for 9 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
60.8%
Breon Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 42Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 12
OWN 42
0
62.3%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Isaiah JonesSimilar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 12
OWN 42
+5
63.6%
TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ECaro 47Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+23
61.0%
Shane Carden pass complete to Chris Hairston for 8 yds to the TEMPLE 45 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
58.9%
Chris Hairston run for 1 yd to the Temp 29 Chris Hairston fumbled, forced by Praise Martin-Oguike, recovered by Temp Tyler MatakevichSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:4863% → 65%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
63.4%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 9 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+8
64.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 8 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
65.3%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jahad ThomasSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-4
65.3%
P.J. Walker sacked by Terry Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 42 P.J. Walker fumbled, forced by Terry Williams, recovered by TempSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5465% → 64%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
65.2%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
65.0%
Kenneth Harper run for 5 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
65.6%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q3 13:49
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
64.2%
Alex Starzyk punt for 39 yds , Justin Hardy returns for no gain to the ECaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15MISSED FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 3:2535% → 32%
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
64.6%
TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jihaad Pretlow) to the ECaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
64.2%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 4 yds to the ECaro 38Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
63.6%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Justin HardySimilar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+11
64.6%
Shane Carden pass complete to Bryce Williams for 11 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
63.4%
TEMPLE Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the Temp 46Similar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 5
OPP 46
+9
62.8%
Chris Hairston run for 9 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
63.5%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Cam WorthySimilar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+8
63.8%
Shane Carden pass complete to Terrell Green for 8 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+4
63.6%
Chris Hairston run for 4 yds to the Temp 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
62.5%
Chris Hairston run for 3 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-2
63.0%
Shane Carden pass complete to Breon Allen for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 24Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
65.5%
Shane Carden pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:18
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+41
67.6%
Warren Harvey 41 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Praise Martin-OguikeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16TD
16 plays · 76 yds · 5:3070% → 91%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
69.9%
P.J. Walker run for 7 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+10
71.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 10 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
72.8%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 6 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+3
73.9%
P.J. Walker run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 1
50
+7
73.4%
Kenneth Harper run for 7 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
75.0%
Kenneth Harper run for 3 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+8
75.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 8 yds to the ECaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
78.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 5 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
78.8%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+14
77.1%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (DaShaun Amos) to the ECaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
77.9%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Josh Hawkins) to the ECaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
78.1%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
78.8%
Kenneth Harper run for 5 yds to the ECaro 2Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.8%
Kenneth Harper run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17MISSED FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2991% → 91%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
91.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
91.2%
P.J. Walker run for 2 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+1
91.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the ECaro 32Similar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+50
90.9%
Austin Jones 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5711% → 10%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
88.6%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Isaiah JonesSimilar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+8
89.2%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 8 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
89.1%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Justin HardySimilar
Q3 2:02
4TH & 2
OWN 40
-9
89.4%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-9 Yards) to the ECaro 31Similar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 11
OWN 31
+4
90.3%
Worth Gregory punt for 55 yds , John Christopher returns for 4 yds to the Temp 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 39 yds · 3:3592% → 95%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
92.1%
Kenneth Harper run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 15Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 13
OWN 15
+1
92.5%
P.J. Walker run for 1 yd to the Temp 16Similar
Q3 0:14
3RD & 12
OWN 16
+15
92.7%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Josh Hawkins) to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
93.4%
Kenneth Harper run for 2 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
93.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Kenneth HarperSimilar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+5
93.4%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Fred Presley) to the Temp 38Similar
Q4 14:36
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+13
94.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 13 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
94.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Colin Thompson for 4 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+2
95.2%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
95.2%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jalen FitzpatrickSimilar
Q4 13:02
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
94.7%
Alex Starzyk punt for 30 yds, downed at the ECaro 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20FUMBLE
8 plays · 49 yds · 1:487% → 6%
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
93.5%
Shane Carden pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
93.6%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Justin HardySimilar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+24
93.7%
Chris Hairston run for 24 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
93.2%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Cam WorthySimilar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
93.4%
Anthony Scott run for 9 yds to the ECaro 46Similar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+18
93.5%
Chris Hairston run for 18 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
93.8%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Bryce WilliamsSimilar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-4
94.0%
Shane Carden run for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 38 Shane Carden fumbled, recovered by Temp Will HayesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:4796% → 96%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
96.2%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 35Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 13
OWN 35
-4
95.8%
P.J. Walker sacked by Montese Overton for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 31Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 17
OWN 31
+2
96.0%
P.J. Walker run for 2 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 15
OWN 33
0
96.1%
Alex Starzyk punt for 31 yds, downed at the ECaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:335% → 4%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
95.3%
Shane Carden pass complete to Quay Johnson for 16 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-7
95.4%
Shane Carden sacked by Praise Martin-Oguike for a loss of 7 yards to the ECaro 45Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 17
OWN 45
+2
96.0%
Chris Hairston run for 2 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 15
OWN 47
0
96.1%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Isaiah JonesSimilar
Q4 6:47
4TH & 15
OWN 47
0
96.2%
Justin Hardy pass incomplete to Cam WorthySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3697% → 98%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
97.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+2
97.8%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+1
97.8%
Kenneth Harper run for 1 yd to the ECaro 40Similar
Q4 5:05
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
98.0%
Alex Starzyk punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Justin Hardy at the ECaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 24TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 2:352% → 6%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
97.9%
Shane Carden pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 3 yds to the ECaro 13Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+9
97.9%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 9 yds to the ECaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
97.9%
Shane Carden pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 8 yds to the ECaro 30Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+5
97.8%
Breon Allen run for 5 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
97.9%
Shane Carden pass complete to Breon Allen for 23 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
97.7%
Breon Allen run for 11 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
97.3%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 6 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+7
97.3%
Chris Hairston run for 7 yds to the Temp 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
97.4%
Shane Carden pass complete to Cam Worthy for 15 yds to the Temp 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
97.5%
Chris Hairston run for 1 yd to the Temp 2Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.4%
Marquez Grayson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25FUMBLE
7 plays · -7 yds · 1:4996% → 96%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
96.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 8
50
+3
96.7%
Kenneth Harper run for 3 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 5
OPP 47
-5
96.8%
P.J. Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 46 P.J. Walker fumbled, recovered by Temp P.J. Walker P.J. Walker run for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 46Similar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 12
OWN 46
-5
96.3%
TEMPLE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 41Similar
Q4 0:17
4TH & 17
OWN 41
+1
96.3%
Alex Starzyk punt for 29 yds , Justin Hardy returns for 1 yd to the ECaro 17 Justin Hardy fumbled, recovered by ECaro EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the ECaro 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · 1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
97.0%
Shane Carden pass complete to Quay Johnson for 1 yd to the ECaro 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:36
Kenneth Harper run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+12.1
TD · Q1 2:50
Kenneth Harper run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)
+6.2
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:48
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 9 yds to the Temp 38
+4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com