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CIN

Cincinnati 38 at Tulane 14

TULN
2014 · Week 10 · Oct 31, 2014 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadCIN aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreCIN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:25 · Peter Picerelli punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 67Home team on offense−17.5Score differential−9.2Garbage-time factor−3.3Pregame prior−4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:24: Munchie Legaux pass complete to Casey Gladney for 54 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK) — CIN win probability +9.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:32: Sam Geraci punt for 53 yds , Teddy Veal returns for no gain, Teddy Veal fumbled, recovered by Cincy Eric Wilson return for a TD (Andrew Gantz KICK) — CIN win probability +5.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:18: Lazedrick Thompson run for 19 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +8.6 pts (now 23%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:48: Tanner Lee pass complete to Charles Jones for 10 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +9.6 pts (now 28%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:29: Munchie Legaux pass complete to Shaq Washington for 18 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK) — CIN win probability +11.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 6 of 10CIN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:56TULN 4th & 2 at CIN 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    46.4%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:11CIN 4th & 2 at TULN 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.6%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    52.3%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:26TULN 4th & 7 at CIN 34, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.5%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:42TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:35TULN 4th & 3 at CIN 40, down 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    30.1%−1.6
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:32CIN 4th & 6 at CIN 47, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:25TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:56CIN 4th & 11 at TULN 43, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    83.4%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:51TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 10, down 24
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:05TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 48, down 24
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:39CIN 4th & 2 at TULN 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    74.6%−1.7
    66% to make
    Punt
    65.6%−10.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:09TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:18CIN 4th & 3 at CIN 32, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:52TULN 4th & 11 at TULN 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:02TULN 4th & 15 at CIN 16, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CIN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 0:59CIN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:24CIN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:18TULN Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:48TULN Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:29CIN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:22CIN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CINDrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
43.1%
Gunner Kiel pass intercepted Parry Nickerson return for 3 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1543% → 44%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
43.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 8 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+9
43.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
50
+5
43.6%
Danté Butler run for 5 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+2
43.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 2 yds to the Cincy 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3DOWNS
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:4444% → 45%
Q1 12:40
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+9
44.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 9 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
44.4%
Sherman Badie run for 11 yds to the Cincy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
44.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Danté Butler for 13 yds to the Cincy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
44.6%
Sherman Badie run for 4 yds to the Cincy 6Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
45.0%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the Cincy 2Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
44.9%
Lazedrick Thompson run for no gain to the Cincy 2Similar
Q1 9:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
44.8%
Tanner Lee sacked by Howard Wilder for a loss of 10 yards to the Cincy 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4FG
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2956% → 56%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+20
44.5%
Rod Moore run for 20 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
44.4%
Munchie Legaux pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+15
44.5%
TULANE Penalty, Personal Foul (Tyler Gilbert) to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
44.1%
Rod Moore run for 2 yds to the Cincy 49Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+30
44.1%
Munchie Legaux pass complete to Johnny Holton for 30 yds to the Tulan 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
43.8%
Rod Moore run for 4 yds to the Tulan 17Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+4
44.1%
Munchie Legaux pass complete to Shaq Washington for 4 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q1 7:11
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+30
44.0%
Andrew Gantz 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5MISSED FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 3:1444% → 45%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-3
44.3%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 9Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+15
44.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Charles Jones for 15 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
44.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 16 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
45.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Trey Scott for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
50
0
45.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 10
50
+13
45.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 13 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
45.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
46.4%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
45.8%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:26
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+51
45.0%
Trevor Simms 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:4655% → 61%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+61
44.6%
Rod Moore run for 61 yds to the Tulan 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
43.0%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 10Similar
Q1 2:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
43.0%
Rod Moore run for 5 yds to the Tulan 5Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
43.0%
Rod Moore run for no gain to the Tulan 5Similar
Q1 0:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
39.1%
Munchie Legaux pass complete to Max Morrison for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3839% → 38%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
39.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devon Breaux for 2 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+2
39.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
38.6%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:42
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
38.2%
Peter Picerelli punt for 48 yds, downed at the Cincy 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 0:5661% → 71%
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+22
39.5%
Munchie Legaux pass complete to Max Morrison for 22 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
38.5%
Munchie Legaux pass incomplete to Max MorrisonSimilar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
38.6%
Mike Boone run for 7 yds to the Cincy 46Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+54
28.7%
Munchie Legaux pass complete to Casey Gladney for 54 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:3931% → 31%
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
31.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 10 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
31.2%
Tanner Lee run for 1 yd to the Tulan 36Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+17
31.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 17 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
31.8%
Danté Butler run for 9 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 1
OPP 38
0
31.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Danté ButlerSimilar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 1
OPP 38
-2
31.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 40Similar
Q2 10:35
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
30.6%
Peter Picerelli punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10TD
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:5074% → 80%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
26.5%
Munchie Legaux pass complete to Max Morrison for 12 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
25.9%
Munchie Legaux pass complete to Alex Chisum for 7 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+4
25.0%
Munchie Legaux pass complete to Alex Chisum for 4 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
24.6%
Rod Moore run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 3
50
-10
24.1%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive Holding (Justin Murray) to the Cincy 40Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 13
OWN 40
0
24.6%
Munchie Legaux pass incomplete to Mike BooneSimilar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+7
24.7%
Munchie Legaux run for 7 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q2 7:32
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
19.7%
Sam Geraci punt for 53 yds , Teddy Veal returns for no gain, Teddy Veal fumbled, recovered by Cincy Eric Wilson return for a TD (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5522% → 21%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
21.8%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the Tulan 26Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
21.5%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
21.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Leondre James for 5 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
21.0%
Peter Picerelli punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:2682% → 83%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
18.0%
Munchie Legaux pass incomplete to Chris MooreSimilar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
17.9%
Munchie Legaux pass complete to Casey Gladney for 5 yds to the Cincy 42Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+16
17.5%
Munchie Legaux pass complete to Mekale McKay for 16 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
16.8%
CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 47Similar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+2
16.4%
Rod Moore run for 2 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+2
16.1%
Rod Moore run for 2 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 11
OPP 43
0
16.2%
Munchie Legaux pass incomplete to Shaq WashingtonSimilar
Q2 3:56
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
16.8%
Sam Geraci punt for 42 yds, downed at the Tulan 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3219% → 17%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
18.6%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 4Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+3
18.2%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 7Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+3
17.4%
Danté Butler run for 3 yds to the Tulan 10Similar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 1
OWN 10
0
17.2%
Peter Picerelli punt for 31 yds , Shaq Washington returns for no gain to the Tulan 41 Shaq Washington fumbled, recovered by TulanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:3519% → 16%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
18.8%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-2
16.7%
Tanner Lee run for 8 yds to the Tulan 49 TULANE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulan 39Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 12
OWN 39
0
16.1%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+9
15.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Leondre James for 9 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
15.6%
Peter Picerelli punt for 36 yds, downed at the Cincy 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
11.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1315% → 23%
Q3 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
14.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 9 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
15.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+45
14.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 45 yds to the Cincy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
23.4%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 19 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 17INT
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:1581% → 84%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
19.1%
Rod Moore run for 6 yds to the Cincy 25Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+1
18.8%
Rod Moore run for 1 yd to the Cincy 26Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+7
18.4%
Munchie Legaux run for 7 yds to the Cincy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
17.7%
Rod Moore run for 6 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+6
16.7%
Munchie Legaux pass complete to Max Morrison for 6 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
16.2%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Cincy 35Similar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 20
OWN 35
+4
17.0%
Mike Boone run for 4 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 16
OWN 39
0
16.2%
Munchie Legaux pass intercepted Darion Monroe return for no gain to the Tulan 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 4:4419% → 28%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
19.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 14 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
19.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 6 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+5
19.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
19.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 5 yds to the Cincy 29Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
19.0%
Lazedrick Thompson run for no gain to the Cincy 29Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+10
18.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 10 yds to the Cincy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
18.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 6 yds to the Cincy 13Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+3
18.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Cincy 10Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+10
27.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Charles Jones for 10 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0975% → 92%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.8%
Munchie Legaux pass incomplete to Chris MooreSimilar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
25.0%
Mike Boone run for 9 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q3 3:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+33
24.5%
Mike Boone run for 33 yds to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
21.4%
Mike Boone run for no gain to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+8
21.2%
Mike Boone run for 8 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 2
OPP 25
0
21.7%
Mike Boone run for no gain to the Tulan 25Similar
Q3 1:39
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+7
23.6%
Munchie Legaux pass complete to Shaq Washington for 7 yds to the Tulan 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
20.1%
Rod Moore run for no gain to the Tulan 18Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
8.3%
Munchie Legaux pass complete to Shaq Washington for 18 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:0612% → 9%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
11.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-11
12.0%
TULANE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sean Donnelly) to the Tulan 19Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+6
10.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 6 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
8.7%
Tanner Lee run for 6 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 13:09
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
8.7%
Peter Picerelli punt for 54 yds, downed at the Cincy 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:4593% → 94%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
7.5%
Munchie Legaux pass complete to Shaq Washington for 7 yds to the Cincy 22Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+3
7.3%
Mike Boone run for 3 yds to the Cincy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
7.1%
Mike Boone run for 1 yd to the Cincy 26Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
6.6%
Mike Boone run for 4 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
6.5%
Munchie Legaux run for 2 yds to the Cincy 32Similar
Q4 10:18
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
6.1%
Sam Geraci punt for 39 yds, downed at the Tulan 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:216% → 5%
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
5.9%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-12
5.7%
Tanner Lee sacked by Terrell Hartsfield for a loss of 12 yards to the Tulan 17Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 22
OWN 17
+11
5.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 11 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q4 8:52
4TH & 11
OWN 28
0
5.4%
Peter Picerelli punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Shaq Washington at the Cincy 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 23TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 5:0895% → 99%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
5.3%
Munchie Legaux pass complete to Max Morrison for 12 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
5.0%
Rod Moore run for 7 yds to the Cincy 43Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+1
4.4%
Rod Moore run for 1 yd to the Cincy 44Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+2
4.4%
Munchie Legaux pass complete to DJ Dowdy for 2 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
4.0%
Mike Boone run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 6
50
+5
3.4%
Mike Boone run for 5 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
-1
3.4%
Mike Boone run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 4:00
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+15
3.0%
TULANE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
2.7%
Mike Boone run for 12 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
0.6%
Mike Boone run for 24 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24DOWNS
14 plays · 49 yds · 1:531% → 0%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
1.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 13 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
1.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 3 yds to the Cincy 49Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+18
1.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 18 yds to the Cincy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
1.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 10 yds to the Cincy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
1.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Cincy 16Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+5
0.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 5 yds to the Cincy 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
0.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 5 yds to the Cincy 6Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 5
OPP 6
-10
0.7%
Tanner Lee run for a loss of 10 yards to the Cincy 16Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 15
OPP 16
0
0.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Leondre JamesSimilar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 15
OPP 16
0
0.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:29100% → 100%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
0.4%
Michael Colosimo pass complete to Tyler Cogswell for 3 yds to the Cincy 19Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+13
0.4%
Bobby Brown run for 13 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:29
Munchie Legaux pass complete to Shaq Washington for 18 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)
-11.9
TD · Q2 13:24
Munchie Legaux pass complete to Casey Gladney for 54 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)
-9.8
TD · Q3 4:48
Tanner Lee pass complete to Charles Jones for 10 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)
+9.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com