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TEM

Temple 14 at UCF 34

UCF
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:38 · Caleb Houston punt for 20 yds, downed at the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 177Pregame prior+1.6Home team on offense+32.0Score differential+24.5Garbage-time factor+14.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.2Time remaining−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:44: William Stanback run for 1 yd for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK) — UCF win probability +5.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:24: P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — TEM win probability +5.1 pts (now 23%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:00: Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 54 yds for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK) — UCF win probability +10.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  4. PUNT · Q2 7:45: TEAM punt blocked by blocked by Samuel Benjamin return for 6 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — TEM win probability +8.8 pts (now 22%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:14: William Stanback run for 2 yds for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK) — UCF win probability +7.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 6 of 8TEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00UCF 4th & 1 at TEM 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    77.4%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    77.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:31UCF 4th & 5 at TEM 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:31TEM 4th & 15 at TEM 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:03TEM 4th & 13 at TEM 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−2.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:45UCF 4th & 16 at UCF 32, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−2.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:45UCF 4th & 12 at UCF 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:10TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:15UCF 4th & 2 at UCF 35, up 10
    Close callPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:19TEM 4th & 16 at TEM 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:56UCF 4th & 2 at TEM 32, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    85.1%−1.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    84.4%−1.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:27TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 35, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:17UCF 4th & 9 at TEM 40, up 13
    Close callPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    87.0%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:34TEM 4th & 16 at TEM 14, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00TEM 4th & 16 at TEM 46, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:37TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 24, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.3%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:37TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 24, down 20
    Close callPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:54TEM 4th & 6 at UCF 6, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−1.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:38UCF 4th & 12 at UCF 30, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:36TEM 4th & 2 at UCF 5, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.7
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:21UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:44UCF Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:24TEM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:00UCF Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:14UCF Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCFDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3975% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
75.0%
William Stanback run for 12 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
75.0%
William Stanback run for 8 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
75.0%
William Stanback run for no gain to the UCF 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+10
75.0%
William Stanback run for 10 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
75.0%
Justin Holman pass complete to Rannell Hall for 10 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
75.0%
William Stanback run for 1 yd to the Temp 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
75.0%
Justin Holman pass incomplete, broken up by Sharif FinchSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+8
75.0%
Justin Holman pass complete to Josh Reese for 8 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+2
75.0%
Justin Holman run for 2 yds to the Temp 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
75.0%
Justin Holman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-1
75.0%
William Stanback run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 25Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+25
75.6%
Justin Holman pass complete to J.J. Worton for 25 yds for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2FUMBLE
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
75.2%
P.J. Walker run for no gain to the Temp 18Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+9
75.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 3 yds Jalen Fitzpatrick fumbled, forced by Jacoby Glenn, recovered by UCF Brandon Alexander , return for 9 yds to the Temp 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 3FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4476% → 76%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
75.8%
William Stanback run for no gain to the Temp 11Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+5
75.8%
Justin Holman pass complete to J.J. Worton for 5 yds to the Temp 6Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 5
OPP 6
0
75.7%
Justin Holman pass incomplete, broken up by Hershey WaltonSimilar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+23
75.7%
Shawn Moffitt 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
75.5%
P.J. Walker run for 5 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+7
75.4%
P.J. Walker run for 7 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
75.4%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 25Similar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 15
OWN 25
-6
75.5%
P.J. Walker sacked by Terrance Plummer for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 19Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 21
OWN 19
+2
75.6%
P.J. Walker run for 2 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 19
OWN 21
+4
75.8%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 4 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
75.9%
Alex Starzyk punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 5TD
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:5977% → 84%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
76.7%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Breshad PerrimanSimilar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
76.5%
William Stanback run for 4 yds to the UCF 46Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+8
76.4%
Justin Holman pass complete to J.J. Worton for 8 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
76.8%
Justin Holman pass complete to Rannell Hall for 14 yds to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
76.9%
Rannell Hall run for 7 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+2
76.9%
William Stanback run for 2 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+3
76.6%
William Stanback run for 3 yds to the Temp 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
76.9%
Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 6 yds to the Temp 14Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+8
76.9%
William Stanback run for 8 yds to the Temp 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
76.9%
William Stanback run for 5 yds to the Temp 1Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.9%
William Stanback run for 1 yd for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:2018% → 23%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
81.8%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jamie Gilmore for 17 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+22
81.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Wanemi Omuso for 22 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
81.1%
UCF Penalty, personal foul (Chequan Burkett) to the UCF 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
80.7%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Keith Kirkwood, broken up by Brandon AlexanderSimilar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
80.8%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 2 yds to the UCF 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+14
82.2%
Jalen Fitzpatrick pass complete to P.J. Walker for 14 yds to the UCF 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
81.7%
Jamie Gilmore run for no gain to the UCF 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
81.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the UCF 3Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
76.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 7TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 3:2477% → 87%
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
77.4%
Dontravious Wilson run for 2 yds to the UCF 19Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 8
OWN 19
-10
77.3%
HOLMAN, Justin pass complete to AKINS, Jordan for 16 yards to the UCF35, out-of-bounds (SMITH,Nate L.), PENALTY UCF holding (DICKEY, Chavis) 10 yards to the UCF9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 18
OWN 9
+4
77.1%
Justin Holman pass complete to J.J. Worton for 4 yds to the UCF 13Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 14
OWN 13
+19
76.8%
Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 19 yds to the UCF 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
77.5%
Justin Holman pass incomplete, broken up by Matt IoannidisSimilar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
77.5%
Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd to the UCF 33Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+13
77.0%
Justin Holman pass complete to Josh Reese for 13 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
87.4%
Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 54 yds for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:5715% → 14%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.0%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.0%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 26 Jahad Thomas fumbled, recovered by Temp Jahad Thomas , return for 4 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-4
85.1%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
85.8%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q2 9:03
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
85.9%
Alex Starzyk punt for 40 yds, fair catch by J.J. Worton at the UCF 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9PUNT TD
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:0888% → 79%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-14
87.9%
William Stanback run for 1 yd to the UCF 39 UCF Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the UCF 24Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 24
OWN 24
+8
87.5%
Justin Holman run for 8 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 16
OWN 32
0
87.3%
Justin Holman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 16
OWN 32
+6
78.5%
TEAM punt blocked by blocked by Samuel Benjamin return for 6 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0080% → 78%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
79.7%
William Stanback run for no gain to the UCF 28Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-2
79.4%
William Stanback run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 26Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 12
OWN 26
0
78.9%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to J.J. WortonSimilar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
78.4%
TEAM punt, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
79.6%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jalen Fitzpatrick, broken up by Miles PaceSimilar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
79.8%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the Temp 47Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
80.3%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jalen Fitzpatrick, broken up by Troy GraySimilar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
81.1%
Alex Starzyk punt for 26 yds, fair catch by J.J. Worton at the UCF 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0480% → 80%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
80.3%
William Stanback run for 1 yd to the UCF 28Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+7
80.2%
Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 7 yds to the UCF 35Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 2
OWN 35
0
80.3%
Justin Holman pass incomplete, broken up by Anthony DavisSimilar
Q2 4:15
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
79.5%
Caleb Houston punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:4319% → 18%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
80.9%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jalen FitzpatrickSimilar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-1
81.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 30Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 11
OWN 30
-5
81.9%
P.J. Walker sacked by Miles Pace for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 25Similar
Q2 3:19
4TH & 16
OWN 25
+10
82.4%
Alex Starzyk punt for 47 yds , J.J. Worton returns for 10 yds to the UCF 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 14FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 2:3182% → 85%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-8
82.1%
Justin Holman sacked by Averee Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the UCF 30Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 18
OWN 30
+16
81.2%
Justin Holman pass complete to Josh Reese for 16 yds to the UCF 46Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+5
81.9%
Justin Holman run for 5 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
83.0%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Breshad PerrimanSimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
82.9%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to William StanbackSimilar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+11
82.3%
Justin Holman pass complete to Rannell Hall for 11 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
83.2%
Justin Holman pass complete to Rannell Hall for 19 yds to the Temp 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
83.7%
Justin Holman pass complete to Josh Reese for 11 yds to the Temp 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
83.7%
Justin Holman run for 6 yds to the Temp 2Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
81.5%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Breshad Perriman, broken up by Matt IoannidisSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
84.9%
Shawn Moffitt 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
82.4%
Connor Reilly pass intercepted D.J. Killings return for 10 yds to the UCF 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16INT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0016% → 17%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.8%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 6 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
83.4%
Jahad Thomas run for 10 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
83.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 5 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+1
82.7%
P.J. Walker pass intercepted Jordan Ozerities return for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
50
+10
86.7%
William Stanback run for 10 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
86.6%
Dontravious Wilson run for 3 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+4
86.6%
Dontravious Wilson run for 4 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q3 13:56
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+1
86.2%
Justin Holman pass complete to William Stanback for 1 yd to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 13:56
4TH & 2
OPP 32
0
85.5%
Justin Holman pass incomplete, broken up by Nate D. SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
85.6%
Connor Reilly pass complete to John Christopher for 3 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
85.3%
Kenneth Harper run for no gain to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
85.8%
Connor Reilly pass incomplete to Keith Kirkwood, broken up by Jordan OzeritiesSimilar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
86.5%
Alex Starzyk punt for 40 yds, fair catch by J.J. Worton at the UCF 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
87.5%
William Stanback run for 9 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-3
87.7%
William Stanback run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 31Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
87.1%
Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 6 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
87.7%
Justin Holman pass complete to Rannell Hall for 22 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
88.1%
William Stanback run for 3 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-2
88.1%
Dontravious Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 40Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 9
OWN 0
0
86.9%
HOLMAN, Justin pass incomplete to REESE, Josh, PENALTY UCF holding off-setting, PENALTY TEM pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
87.7%
Justin Holman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:17
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
86.8%
Caleb Houston punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
87.4%
Connor Reilly pass complete to John Christopher for 9 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-1
86.2%
Connor Reilly sacked by Demetris Anderson for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 28Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-14
86.9%
HARPER,Kenneth rush for 16 yards to the TEM44 (ALEXANDER, B.), PENALTY TEM tripping (McGOWAN,Brendan) 14 yards to the TEM14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 16
OWN 14
0
87.9%
Connor Reilly pass incomplete to Jalen FitzpatrickSimilar
Q3 6:34
4TH & 16
OWN 14
0
88.1%
Alex Starzyk punt for 38 yds, fair catch by J.J. Worton at the UCF 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 21TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 4:4091% → 98%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
90.8%
William Stanback run for 7 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+8
90.9%
William Stanback run for 8 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
90.9%
Justin Holman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 38Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+4
90.9%
Justin Holman pass complete to William Stanback for 4 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+8
90.5%
Justin Holman pass complete to Josh Reese for 8 yds to the Temp 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
90.9%
William Stanback run for no gain to the Temp 26Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+15
90.9%
Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 15 yds to the Temp 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
90.9%
Justin Holman pass complete to Jackie Williams for 9 yds to the Temp 2Similar
Q3 0:14
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
98.2%
William Stanback run for 2 yds for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:142% → 2%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
97.7%
Connor Reilly pass complete to John Christopher for 9 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+6
97.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 6 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
97.8%
Connor Reilly pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 4 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-10
97.8%
THOMAS,Jahad rush for no gain to the UCF44 (PITTMAN, J.), PENALTY TEM holding (REED,Semaj) 10 yards to the TEM46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 46
0
98.0%
Connor Reilly pass incomplete to John ChristopherSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 46
0
98.0%
Connor Reilly pass incomplete to Romond Deloatch, broken up by Brandon Alexander TEMPLE Penalty, Offensive holding (NA) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 46
0
98.0%
Alex Starzyk punt for 40 yds, fair catch by J.J. Worton at the UCF 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 23FUMBLE
5 plays · 71 yds · 0:0098% → 99%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
98.4%
Justin Holman pass complete to Taylor Oldham for 2 yds to the UCF 16Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+4
98.5%
William Stanback run for 4 yds to the UCF 20Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+10
98.4%
HOLMAN, Justin pass incomplete to WORTON, J.J., PENALTY TEM holding (SMITH,Nate D.) 10 yards to the UCF30, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+54
98.5%
Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 39 yds to the TEMPLE 31 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, personal foul (Hershey Walton) to the Temp 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
98.6%
William Stanback run for 3 yds to the Temp 15 William Stanback fumbled, forced by Praise Martin-Oguike, recovered by Temp Averee RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
98.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 5 yds to the Temp 20Similar
Q4 13:37
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
98.5%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+3
98.5%
WALKER,P.J. pass incomplete to CHRISTOPHER,J (GLENN, Jacoby), PENALTY UCF pass interference (GLENN, Jacoby) 3 yards to the TEM23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+1
98.4%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for 1 yd to the Temp 24Similar
Q4 13:37
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
98.5%
Alex Starzyk punt for 61 yds , J.J. Worton returns for no gain to the UCF 15 J.J. Worton fumbled, recovered by UCF J.J. Worton , return for 6 yds to the UCF 15 J.J. Worton fumbled, forced by Sharif Finch, recovered by Temp Sharif FinchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25INT
9 plays · 9 yds · 3:572% → 1%
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
98.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jalen FitzpatrickSimilar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+6
98.4%
P.J. Walker run for 6 yds to the UCF 9Similar
Q4 11:51
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+8
98.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 8 yds to the UCF 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.3%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the UCF 1Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.4%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the UCF 1Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.9%
P.J. Walker run for no gain to the UCF 1Similar
Q4 7:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
98.9%
TEMPLE Penalty, delay of game (P.J. Walker) to the UCF 6Similar
Q4 7:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.9%
P.J. Walker pass intercepted, touchback. Jacoby Glenn return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 3:0199% → 99%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.1%
Dontravious Wilson run for 3 yds to the UCF 23Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
99.1%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Breshad PerrimanSimilar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+5
99.1%
TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive offside (Hershey Walton) to the UCF 28Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
99.2%
Justin Holman run for 4 yds to the UCF 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.2%
Dontravious Wilson run for 4 yds to the UCF 36Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+3
99.2%
Dontravious Wilson run for 3 yds to the UCF 39Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 3
OWN 39
-9
99.2%
Justin Holman sacked by Praise Martin-Oguike for a loss of 9 yards to the UCF 30Similar
Q4 3:38
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
99.4%
Caleb Houston punt for 20 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27DOWNS
6 plays · 42 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
50
+21
99.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 21 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
99.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 16 yds to the UCF 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
99.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Saledeem Major for 3 yds to the UCF 10Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+5
99.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brandon Shippen for 5 yds to the UCF 5Similar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
99.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q4 3:36
4TH & 2
OPP 5
-3
99.4%
P.J. Walker sacked by Clayton Geathers for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
99.6%
Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd to the UCF 9Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
99.6%
Dontravious Wilson run for no gain to the UCF 9Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+3
99.6%
Dontravious Wilson run for 3 yds to the UCF 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:00
Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 54 yds for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK)
+10.3
PUNT · Q2 7:45
TEAM punt blocked by blocked by Samuel Benjamin return for 6 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)
-8.8
TD · Q3 0:14
William Stanback run for 2 yds for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK)
+7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com