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TLSA

Tulsa 24 at Temple 35

TEM
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadTLSA aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreTLSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:16 · Alex Starzyk punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Conner Floyd at the Tulsa 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 117Pregame prior+14.4Home team on offense+0.5Garbage-time factor−0.9Score differential−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:21: P.J. Walker 5 Yd Run (Austin Jones Kick) — TEM win probability +7.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:16: Keevan Lucas 29 Yd pass from Dane Evans (Carl Salazar Kick) — TLSA win probability +12.5 pts (now 36%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 14:54: Carl Salazar 44 Yd Field Goal — TLSA win probability +6.6 pts (now 48%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:38: Jalen Fitzpatrick 30 Yd pass from P.J. Walker (Austin Jones Kick) — TEM win probability +33.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:25: Jahad Thomas 20 Yd pass from P.J. Walker (Austin Jones Kick) — TEM win probability +7.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 10TLSA made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 11:40TLSA 4th & 3 at TLSA 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:22TEM 4th & 4 at TLSA 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:33TLSA 4th & 2 at TLSA 29, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:23TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:24TLSA 4th & 9 at TLSA 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:26TEM 4th & 14 at TEM 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:57TLSA 4th & 8 at TEM 30, tied
    Close callWent for it · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    23.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:19TEM 4th & 3 at TLSA 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    76.7%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    74.9%−2.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:58TLSA 4th & 5 at TEM 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    24.5%−3.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:34TEM 4th & 8 at TLSA 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    72.6%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:00TLSA 4th & 1 at TEM 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    29.2%−2.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    23.8%−7.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:16TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−3.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:59TLSA 4th & 8 at TLSA 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−2.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:45TEM 4th & 1 at TLSA 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    65.1%−3.7
    54% to make
    Punt
    63.2%−5.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:54TLSA 4th & 5 at TEM 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    28.9%−10.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:36TEM 4th & 10 at TLSA 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−2.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−12.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:43TLSA 4th & 4 at TLSA 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:34TLSA 4th & 2 at TLSA 29, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%−1.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:00TEM 4th & 1 at TLSA 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    79.7%−5.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−19.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:46TLSA 4th & 10 at TEM 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−0.7
    49% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−0.8
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:46TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 41, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.3%−0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:14TLSA 4th & 10 at TEM 30, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TLSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:03TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:17TLSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:19TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:33TLSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:21TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:16TLSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:38TEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:25TEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 0:3284% → 84%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+68
83.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 68 yds to the Tulsa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
83.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 8Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
83.6%
Kenneth Harper 8 Yd Run (Austin Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:5617% → 17%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
83.5%
Zack Langer run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+8
83.5%
Dane Evans pass complete to Derek Patterson for 8 yds to the Tulsa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
83.4%
Keevan Lucas run for no gain to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
83.4%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keyarris GarrettSimilar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+7
83.5%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 7 yds to the Tulsa 41Similar
Q1 11:40
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
83.4%
Dalton Parks punt for 42 yds, downed at the Temp 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:0283% → 83%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
83.4%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 8
OWN 19
-2
83.4%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 17Similar
Q1 10:49
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+13
83.3%
Walker, P.J. pass incomplete, PENALTY TULSA pass interference (Dobbins, Dwight) 13 yards to the TEMPLE30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEMPLE. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
83.4%
Jahad Thomas run for 17 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
83.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Wanemi Omuso for 7 yds to the Tulsa 46Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 3
OPP 46
0
83.6%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 3
OPP 46
-1
83.5%
P.J. Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
83.3%
Alex Starzyk punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Conner Floyd at the Tulsa 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3817% → 17%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
83.2%
James Flanders run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+3
83.1%
James Flanders run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+1
83.1%
Dane Evans run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q1 7:33
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
83.3%
Dalton Parks punt for 50 yds, downed at the Temp 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0683% → 83%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
83.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Colin ThompsonSimilar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+8
83.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Nate Hairston for 8 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 2
OWN 29
-3
83.0%
Kenneth Harper run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 26Similar
Q1 6:23
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
82.7%
Alex Starzyk punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Conner Floyd at the Tulsa 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4317% → 17%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
82.9%
Zack Langer run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
82.9%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
83.1%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 9
OWN 27
0
83.3%
Dalton Parks punt for 56 yds, downed at the Temp 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:5383% → 82%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
83.0%
Walker, P.J. pass incomplete, PENALTY TULSA personal foul (Dobbins, Dwight) 15 yards to the TEMPLE32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEMPLE. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-11
83.0%
P.J. Walker sacked by Derrick Luetjen for a loss of 11 yards to the Temp 21Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 21
OWN 21
+7
82.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 7 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 14
OWN 28
0
82.6%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jalen FitzpatrickSimilar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 14
OWN 28
+44
82.4%
TEAM punt blocked by Luke Snider blocked by Luke SniderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 8TD
3 plays · 52 yds · 0:5318% → 21%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+25
82.2%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 25 yds to the Temp 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
81.7%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 8 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+19
78.7%
Zack Langer 19 Yd Run (Carl Salazar Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 9FUMBLE
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:0421% → 21%
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
78.7%
Zack Langer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 11
OPP 33
-15
78.6%
Evans, Dane pass complete to Lucas, Keevan for 17 yards to the TEMPLE16, PENALTY TULSA holding 15 yards to the TEMPLE48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 26
OPP 48
+17
78.8%
Dane Evans pass complete to James Flanders for 17 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+1
78.4%
James Flanders run for 1 yd to the Temp 30Similar
Q1 0:57
4TH & 8
OPP 30
-7
78.6%
Dane Evans sacked by Praise Martin-Oguike for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 1:3580% → 83%
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+37
80.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 37 yds to the Tulsa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
81.0%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+21
80.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Kenneth Harper for 21 yds to the Tulsa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
80.9%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
80.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Colin Thompson for 2 yds to the Tulsa 3Similar
Q2 14:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
80.4%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
83.0%
Connor Reilly 3 Yd Run (Austin Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 11TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:2418% → 25%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
82.1%
James Flanders run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 39Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+20
82.1%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 20 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
81.4%
Zack Langer run for 3 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+3
81.3%
Zack Langer run for 3 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+10
81.2%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 10 yds to the Temp 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
80.6%
Zack Langer run for 14 yds to the Temp 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
80.5%
Zack Langer run for 2 yds to the Temp 9Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
80.4%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+9
75.4%
Mandel Dixon 9 Yd pass from Dane Evans (Carl Salazar Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
78.2%
P.J. Walker pass intercepted Craig Suits return for no gain to the Temp 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 13MISSED FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:0525% → 26%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
75.1%
Dane Evans pass complete to Zack Langer for 5 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+6
74.2%
Zack Langer run for 6 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
74.0%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
73.9%
Zack Langer run for 4 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+1
74.2%
Zack Langer run for 1 yd to the Temp 24Similar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+41
74.2%
Carl Salazar 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:0577% → 77%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
77.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brandon Shippen for 19 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
78.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Shahbaz Ahmed) to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+15
77.2%
Walker, P.J. pass incomplete to Shippen, Brandon, PENALTY TULSA pass interference 15 yards to the TULSA47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEMPLE. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
78.6%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
78.4%
Kenneth Harper run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
78.2%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Nate HairstonSimilar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
76.8%
Alex Starzyk punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 15DOWNS
12 plays · 79 yds · 4:1026% → 31%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
74.0%
James Flanders run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 24Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
73.7%
James Flanders run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
73.4%
Zack Langer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
73.1%
Zack Langer run for 15 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
71.2%
Zack Langer run for 11 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
70.6%
James Flanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 44Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+38
70.7%
Dane Evans pass complete to Joshua Atkinson for 38 yds to the Temp 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
69.3%
James Flanders run for 3 yds to the Temp 3Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
68.8%
Zack Langer run for no gain to the Temp 3Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
69.3%
Zack Langer run for 2 yds to the Temp 1Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.2%
Zack Langer run for no gain to the Temp 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16TD
6 plays · 99 yds · 1:3573% → 84%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
73.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to John ChristopherSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+2
73.2%
Kenneth Harper run for 2 yds to the Temp 3Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+15
71.8%
Walker, P.J. pass incomplete to Christopher, John, PENALTY TULSA personal foul (Suits, Craig) 15 yards to the TEMPLE18, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEMPLE. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+64
73.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jamie Gilmore for 64 yds to the Tulsa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
76.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 13 yds to the Tulsa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
83.6%
P.J. Walker 5 Yd Run (Austin Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 17END OF HALF
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:0518% → 19%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
81.6%
James Flanders run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
81.4%
Zack Langer run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 4:3019% → 36%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
81.1%
Zack Langer run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+6
80.6%
Dane Evans run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
80.5%
Zack Langer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+5
80.1%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 5 yds to the Tulsa 41Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+10
79.5%
Evans, Dane pass incomplete to Garrett, Keyarris, PENALTY TEMPLE holding (Matakevich, Tyler) 10 yards to the TEMPLE49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULSA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
78.6%
Zack Langer run for 1 yd to the Temp 48Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+11
78.8%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 11 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
78.6%
James Flanders run for 6 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+2
77.0%
James Flanders run for 2 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+29
64.5%
Keevan Lucas 29 Yd pass from Dane Evans (Carl Salazar Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:4671% → 68%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
71.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-5
70.9%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+5
69.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 5 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 7
OWN 35
-3
69.2%
P.J. Walker sacked by Chris Hummingbird for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 8:16
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
67.8%
Alex Starzyk punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Conner Floyd at the Tulsa 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5834% → 32%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
66.3%
Zack Langer run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+1
66.1%
Zack Langer run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 32Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
67.2%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Joshua AtkinsonSimilar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
68.1%
Dalton Parks punt for 29 yds, fair catch by John Christopher at the Temp 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:5771% → 70%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
70.5%
Jamie Gilmore run for 1 yd to the Temp 40Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+20
70.4%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 20 yds to the Tulsa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
72.4%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for 4 yds to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+2
72.4%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+3
71.9%
P.J. Walker run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 1
OPP 31
0
69.6%
P.J. Walker run for no gain to the Tulsa 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:4736% → 48%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
63.7%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 7 yds to the Tulsa 38Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+2
61.2%
Zack Langer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
61.4%
Zack Langer run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
60.9%
James Flanders run for 8 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+4
59.2%
James Flanders run for 4 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
59.4%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 13 yds to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
58.0%
James Flanders run for 2 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+5
57.2%
Zack Langer run for 5 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 3
OPP 25
-5
58.4%
TULSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+3
58.3%
Zack Langer run for 3 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+44
51.7%
Carl Salazar 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23MISSED FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 0:5855% → 53%
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+31
55.3%
Jamie Gilmore run for 31 yds to the Tulsa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
59.8%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
59.4%
Jamie Gilmore run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
59.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jalen FitzpatrickSimilar
Q4 13:51
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+15
55.9%
Walker, P.J. pass incomplete to Fitzpatrick, Jalen, PENALTY TULSA pass interference 15 yards to the TULSA19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEMPLE. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
61.9%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
61.9%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jalen FitzpatrickSimilar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
57.0%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jalen FitzpatrickSimilar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+37
53.1%
Austin Jones 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3151% → 52%
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
48.9%
Zack Langer run for no gain to the Tulsa 20Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
49.2%
Zack Langer run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 21Similar
Q4 12:28
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+5
48.0%
Dane Evans pass complete to Joshua Atkinson for 5 yds to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
48.5%
Dalton Parks punt for 38 yds, fair catch by John Christopher at the Temp 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 0:5450% → 79%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
49.5%
Jamie Gilmore run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 34Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+36
46.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jamie Gilmore for 36 yds to the Tulsa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
79.4%
Jalen Fitzpatrick 30 Yd pass from P.J. Walker (Austin Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3828% → 28%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
71.8%
Zack Langer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 20Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+2
71.8%
Dane Evans run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 22Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+7
73.1%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 7 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
72.5%
Dalton Parks punt for 44 yds, downed at the Temp 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 5:0976% → 96%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
75.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 22Similar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+34
75.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 34 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
79.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+7
81.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
83.4%
Jamie Gilmore run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+3
83.9%
Jamie Gilmore run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 20Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+1
84.1%
Kenneth Harper run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 19Similar
Q4 5:00
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+6
85.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Kenneth Harper for 6 yds to the Tulsa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
88.5%
TEMPLE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 18Similar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 15
OPP 18
-2
88.9%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 20Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 17
OPP 20
0
88.8%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to John ChristopherSimilar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 17
OPP 20
+20
96.1%
Jahad Thomas 20 Yd pass from P.J. Walker (Austin Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 28DOWNS
11 plays · 37 yds · 1:116% → 5%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
93.9%
Dane Evans pass complete to D'Angelo Brewer for 11 yds to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
93.4%
Dane Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
93.7%
Dane Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+13
94.2%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 13 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
92.9%
Dane Evans run for 12 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
92.3%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Zack LangerSimilar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
92.4%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 1 yd to the Temp 33Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
94.3%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keyarris GarrettSimilar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 10
OPP 33
0
95.1%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 29DOWNS
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:5597% → 99%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
97.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+3
97.6%
Kenneth Harper run for 3 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+1
98.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the Temp 41Similar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
98.7%
Kenneth Harper run for no gain to the Temp 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 30DOWNS
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:273% → 3%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
96.8%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 11 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
96.2%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Derek PattersonSimilar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
96.4%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
96.8%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Nigel CarterSimilar
Q4 0:14
4TH & 10
OPP 30
0
97.2%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 31END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:38
Jalen Fitzpatrick 30 Yd pass from P.J. Walker (Austin Jones Kick)
+33.2
TD · Q3 10:16
Keevan Lucas 29 Yd pass from Dane Evans (Carl Salazar Kick)
-12.5
TD · Q4 3:25
Jahad Thomas 20 Yd pass from P.J. Walker (Austin Jones Kick)
+7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com