Try the model
CONN

UConn 3 at Tulane 12

TULN
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · Yulman Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDSAFETYFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:06 · Peter Picerelli punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Home team on offense+1.5Pregame prior+6.1Garbage-time factor+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Score differential−0.1Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:01: Nick Montana pass complete to Charles Jones for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +2.7 pts (now 62%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:00: Nick Montana pass complete to Danté Butler for 5 yds to the Tulan 35 TULANE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulan 25 — TULN win probability +5.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 10:30: Arkeel Newsome run for 13 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST down — CONN win probability +4.9 pts (now 37%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:03: Sherman Badie run for 4 yds to the Tulan 28 — TULN win probability +7.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:40: Sherman Badie run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 32 — TULN win probability +4.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 8 of 9CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 7:02CONN 4th & 7 at TULN 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    37.7%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:35CONN 4th & 5 at TULN 48, down 4
    Close callPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:48TULN 4th & 11 at TULN 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:43CONN 4th & 4 at TULN 41, down 4
    Close callPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    36.8%−0.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:06TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 16, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:48TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:17TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:47TULN 4th & 1 at CONN 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    66.1%−3.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−2.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:12TULN 4th & 11 at CONN 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    69.0%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:21TULN 4th & 9 at CONN 21, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−1.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    69.3%−8.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:13CONN 4th & 13 at TULN 39, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    12.6%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:12TULN 4th & 12 at TULN 38, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:38CONN 4th & 19 at CONN 35, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−2.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:54TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 39, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%−1.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:52CONN 4th & 3 at TULN 18, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.0%−1.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−3.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:01TULN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1FG
14 plays · 48 yds · 7:3341% → 42%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
59.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the UConn 27Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
59.5%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 10 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
59.4%
Chandler Whitmer sacked by Sean Wilson for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 35Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+6
59.5%
Arkeel Newsome run for 6 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+13
59.3%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Dhameer Bradley for 13 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
59.0%
Ron Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+7
59.0%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 7 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+10
58.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 10 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
58.6%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Deshon Foxx for 6 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
58.5%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the Tulan 24Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 4
OPP 24
-3
58.5%
Ron Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 27Similar
Q1 7:02
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+44
58.5%
Bobby Puyol 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:4459% → 62%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
58.5%
Sherman Badie run for 16 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
58.4%
Nick Montana pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 8 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+11
59.1%
Sherman Badie run for 11 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
59.3%
Nick Montana pass complete to Danté Butler for 17 yds to the UConn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+21
59.7%
Nick Montana pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 21 yds to the UConn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
62.3%
Nick Montana pass complete to Charles Jones for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5540% → 39%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
60.1%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 44Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 13
OWN 44
-2
60.7%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Dhameer Bradley for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 42Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 15
OWN 42
+10
61.0%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Dhameer Bradley for 10 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
60.6%
Justin Wain punt for 33 yds, downed at the Tulan 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1261% → 60%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
61.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 13Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 12
OWN 13
-4
60.9%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 9Similar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 16
OWN 9
+5
60.3%
Nick Montana pass complete to Teddy Veal for 5 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 11
OWN 14
0
60.0%
Peter Picerelli punt for 33 yds, downed at the Tulan 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3741% → 40%
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
59.5%
Arkeel Newsome run for 6 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
59.4%
Chandler Whitmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
59.8%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Geremy DavisSimilar
Q2 13:43
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
60.5%
Justin Wain punt for 40 yds, downed at the Tulan 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 4:0961% → 60%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
61.1%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 5 yds to the Tulan 6Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+4
61.1%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 10Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+4
60.5%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
61.4%
Sherman Badie run for 6 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 4
OWN 20
-10
61.6%
Butler, Danté rush for 4 yards to the TULANE24, PENALTY TULANE holding 10 yards to the TULANE10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 14
OWN 10
+8
61.4%
Sherman Badie run for 8 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 6
OWN 18
-7
60.7%
Montana, Nick rush for 6 yards to the TULANE24, PENALTY TULANE holding 7 yards to the TULANE9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 15
OWN 9
+7
60.7%
Sherman Badie run for 7 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
60.3%
Peter Picerelli punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:3041% → 40%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
59.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
59.3%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Geremy DavisSimilar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+1
60.5%
Tim Boyle pass intercepted Lorenzo Doss return for 1 yd to the Tulan 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1264% → 62%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
63.7%
Nick Montana pass complete to Sherman Badie for 4 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-10
64.6%
Badie, Sherman rush for 9 yards to the UCONN48, PENALTY TULANE holding 10 yards to the TULANE33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 16
OWN 33
+7
62.8%
Nick Montana pass complete to Trey Scott for 7 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
62.8%
Nick Montana pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 6:48
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
61.8%
Peter Picerelli punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9FUMBLE
7 plays · 52 yds · 3:0538% → 41%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
62.3%
Ron Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 15Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 13
OWN 15
+13
62.7%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 13 yds to the UConn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
62.1%
Ron Johnson run for 23 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
59.8%
Ron Johnson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 48Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+16
59.8%
Chandler Whitmer run for 1 yd to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, Personal Foul (Darion Monroe) to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
58.9%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Geremy DavisSimilar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
58.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the Tulan 30 Arkeel Newsome fumbled, forced by Darion Monroe, recovered by Tulan Darion MonroeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:4364% → 63%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
64.2%
Nick Montana pass complete to Danté Butler for 5 yds to the Tulan 35 TULANE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulan 25Similar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+5
63.6%
Sherman Badie run for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+10
63.9%
Sherman Badie run for 10 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
65.4%
Sherman Badie run for 2 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
65.2%
Nick Montana pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
63.6%
Nick Montana pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
62.5%
Peter Picerelli punt for 49 yds, downed at the UConn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:4036% → 36%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
64.0%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Dhameer Bradley for 5 yds to the UConn 14Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+1
63.8%
Ron Johnson run for 1 yd to the UConn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 4:1364% → 68%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
64.3%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
65.3%
Nick Montana pass complete to Xavier Rush for 6 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
66.6%
Nick Montana pass complete to Xavier Rush for 1 yd to the Tulan 43Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+5
65.8%
Nick Montana pass complete to Leondre James for 5 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
66.9%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 46Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+8
65.5%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 8 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+3
66.7%
Nick Montana pass complete to Teddy Veal for 3 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 1
OPP 43
-1
68.2%
Danté Butler run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 32 yds · 2:1237% → 39%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
63.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 13 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
62.2%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 3 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
62.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+9
62.8%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 9 yds to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
60.9%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 7 yds Arkeel Newsome fumbled, forced by Tanzel Smart, recovered by Tulan Darion MonroeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:5168% → 68%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
68.1%
Sherman Badie run for 4 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+12
68.4%
Nick Montana pass complete to Danté Butler for 12 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
70.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+18
70.8%
Danté Butler run for 18 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
71.7%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Sean Donnelly) to the UConn 43Similar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+1
70.5%
Nick Montana pass complete to Sherman Badie for 1 yd to the UConn 42Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+3
70.0%
Nick Montana pass complete to Trey Scott for 3 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 11
OPP 39
0
70.3%
Nick Montana pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 11
OPP 39
0
68.3%
Peter Picerelli punt for 38 yds, downed at the UConn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15SF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
69.1%
Tyler Gilbert SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 4:1972% → 82%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
72.4%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+17
73.6%
Sherman Badie run for 17 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
77.1%
Nick Montana pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
76.7%
Nick Montana pass complete to Xavier Rush for 7 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+10
77.9%
Nick Montana pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 10 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
79.6%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+12
79.5%
Nick Montana pass complete to Sherman Badie for 12 yds to the UConn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
80.0%
Lazedrick Thompson run for no gain to the UConn 22Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+1
80.0%
Nick Montana pass complete to Teddy Veal for 1 yd to the UConn 21Similar
Q4 14:26
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
78.9%
Nick Montana pass incomplete to Justyn ShacklefordSimilar
Q4 14:21
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+38
81.5%
Andrew DiRocco 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
13 plays · 36 yds · 3:4719% → 10%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
81.4%
Ron Johnson run for 13 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
79.9%
Ron Johnson run for 2 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+9
79.8%
Chandler Whitmer run for 9 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
79.1%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 7 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
79.8%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Geremy DavisSimilar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+8
82.2%
Chandler Whitmer run for 8 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
86.6%
Chandler Whitmer sacked by Royce LaFrance for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 41Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+2
87.9%
Ron Johnson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 13
OPP 39
0
89.3%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Dhameer BradleySimilar
Q4 10:13
4TH & 13
OPP 39
0
90.5%
Justin Wain punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:4387% → 90%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+13
87.2%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 13 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+24
87.7%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 24 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
89.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-5
89.4%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 38Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
89.2%
Danté Butler run for no gain to the Tulan 38Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
90.4%
Nick Montana pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:12
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
89.8%
Peter Picerelli punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:079% → 6%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
91.1%
Chandler Whitmer sacked by Brandon LeBeau and Eric Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 39Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 15
OWN 39
0
93.0%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 15
OWN 39
-4
93.4%
Chandler Whitmer sacked by Royce LaFrance for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 35 Chandler Whitmer fumbled, forced by Royce LaFrance, recovered by UConn Chandler Whitmer , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 5:38
4TH & 19
OWN 35
0
93.8%
Justin Wain punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the Tulan 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2193% → 93%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
92.5%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
92.8%
Lazedrick Thompson run for no gain to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+7
93.1%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 7 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q4 3:54
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
93.1%
Peter Picerelli punt for 32 yds, downed at the UConn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21MISSED FG
7 plays · 53 yds · 1:536% → 5%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
94.3%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 6 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+21
94.1%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 21 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
95.2%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Deshon Foxx for 19 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
94.5%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 4 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+3
94.5%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 3 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
94.6%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Sean McQuillanSimilar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+36
95.1%
Bobby Puyol 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22END OF GAME
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1597% → 97%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
96.5%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-1
96.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-1
96.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 8:03
Sherman Badie run for 4 yds to the Tulan 28
+7.2
KEY PLAY · Q2 3:00
Nick Montana pass complete to Danté Butler for 5 yds to the Tulan 35 TULANE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulan 25
+5.2
KEY PLAY · Q3 10:30
Arkeel Newsome run for 13 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST down
-4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com