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TULN

Tulane 6 at Rutgers 31

RUTG
2014 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2014 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:14 · Lazedrick Thompson run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Pregame prior+22.0Home team on offense+4.2Score differential+1.6Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Blowout margin+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:02: Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 25 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +3.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:44: Gary Nova pass complete to Andrew Turzilli for 93 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +8.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:08: Sherman Badie run for 86 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco MISSED) — TULN win probability +6.1 pts (now 15%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:00: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 18 — RUTG win probability +2.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 10:00: Devin Powell pass incomplete — TULN win probability +1.9 pts (now 12%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TULN made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 12:49TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 17, tied
    Close callPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:48RUTG 4th & 1 at TULN 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    77.3%−0.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:36TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:14TULN 4th & 1 at RUTG 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.4%−1.3
    56% to make
    Punt
    16.6%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:58TULN 4th & 22 at TULN 9, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:57RUTG 4th & 11 at TULN 42, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    92.0%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:12TULN 4th & 10 at RUTG 19, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:04RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 36, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:41TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 39, down 15
    Close callPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:14TULN 4th & 12 at TULN 36, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:26RUTG 4th & 7 at TULN 15, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    88.9%−4.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:24TULN 4th & 14 at TULN 46, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:10RUTG 4th & 15 at RUTG 8, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:29TULN 4th & 19 at TULN 46, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−1.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:53RUTG 4th & 7 at TULN 34, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:07TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 34, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:13TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 47, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:31RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:02RUTG Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:44RUTG Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:57RUTG Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4121% → 21%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
79.0%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 12Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 12
-4
78.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 8Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 11
OWN 8
+9
78.7%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 9 yds to the Tulan 17Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 2
OWN 17
0
78.7%
Peter Picerelli punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2TD
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:5679% → 79%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
78.6%
Desmon Peoples run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+18
78.6%
Gary Nova pass complete to Desmon Peoples for 18 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
78.5%
Desmon Peoples run for no gain to the Tulan 34Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+8
78.5%
Desmon Peoples run for 8 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
78.2%
Desmon Peoples run for 1 yd to the Tulan 25Similar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+2
78.0%
Desmon Peoples run for 2 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
78.3%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 13 yds to the Tulan 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
78.0%
Desmon Peoples run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 13Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+10
77.9%
Desmon Peoples run for 10 yds to the Tulan 3Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
79.3%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 3 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:4421% → 22%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.9%
Sherman Badie run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
78.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 4 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
78.7%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
78.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 3 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-6
78.4%
Tanner Lee sacked by Darius Hamilton for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 34Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+12
79.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 12 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
78.4%
Peter Picerelli punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:0279% → 83%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
78.8%
Justin Goodwin run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+46
79.2%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 46 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
82.8%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 25 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5PUNT
15 plays · 43 yds · 5:3318% → 18%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
81.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Tulan 21Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
81.8%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:02
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+40
82.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 40 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
80.9%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-10
80.4%
Badie, Sherman rush for 4 yards to the RUTGERS30, PENALTY TULANE illegal block 10 yards to the RUTGERS44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 44
+13
81.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 13 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+1
80.7%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+5
80.8%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
80.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Leondre James for 13 yds to the Rutgr 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
80.6%
Sherman Badie run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-14
80.4%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 9 TULANE Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 22
OPP 24
0
81.1%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 22
OPP 24
-12
81.6%
Tanner Lee sacked by Kemoko Turay for a loss of 12 yards to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 11:05
4TH & 34
OPP 36
0
82.4%
Peter Picerelli punt for 35 yds, downed at the Rutgr 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6TD
3 plays · 99 yds · 0:5683% → 92%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
83.0%
Desmon Peoples run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+4
83.0%
Desmon Peoples run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+93
91.6%
Gary Nova pass complete to Andrew Turzilli for 93 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 1:4610% → 9%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
90.1%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Rae Juan Marbley) to the Tulan 16Similar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+7
90.3%
Sherman Badie run for 7 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-4
90.5%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 19Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 12
OWN 19
-10
90.6%
Devin Powell sacked by Lorenzo Waters for a loss of 10 yards to the Tulan 9Similar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 22
OWN 9
0
90.9%
Peter Picerelli punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Tulan 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:5093% → 93%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
92.6%
Justin Goodwin run for no gain to the Tulan 41Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-3
93.0%
Gary Nova pass complete to Michael Burton for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+2
93.0%
Gary Nova pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 2 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
92.7%
Tim Gleeson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Darion Monroe at the Tulan 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9TD
2 plays · 90 yds · 0:199% → 15%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
91.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+86
85.3%
Sherman Badie run for 86 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 2:4685% → 87%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
84.7%
Justin Goodwin run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
86.2%
Justin Goodwin run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
86.4%
Justin Goodwin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-8
86.8%
Gary Nova sacked by Sam Scofield for a loss of 8 yards to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 18
OWN 41
-2
86.6%
Gary Nova pass complete to Justin Goodwin for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 20
OWN 39
-3
87.5%
Gary Nova run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 41 RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 23
OWN 36
+1
87.4%
Tim Gleeson punt for 48 yds , Teddy Veal returns for 1 yd to the Tulan 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11MISSED FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 1:3813% → 15%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
87.0%
Sherman Badie run for 6 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+7
86.6%
Devin Powell pass complete to Sherman Badie for 7 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
86.7%
Devin Powell pass complete to Leondre James for 8 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+21
86.0%
Devin Powell pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 21 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+22
85.5%
Devin Powell run for 22 yds to the Rutgr 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
84.2%
Devin Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
84.4%
Devin Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
84.2%
Devin Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+37
85.3%
Andrew DiRocco 36 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
87.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5188% → 87%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
88.2%
Desmon Peoples run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
88.4%
Gary Nova pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:17
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
88.0%
Gary Nova pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:04
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+10
87.4%
Tim Gleeson punt for 42 yds , Teddy Veal returns for 10 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2313% → 13%
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
86.8%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 27Similar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+3
87.4%
Sherman Badie run for 3 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
87.5%
Devin Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+9
87.8%
Devin Powell pass complete to Xavier Rush for 9 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q3 12:41
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
87.3%
Peter Picerelli punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15INT
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:1989% → 90%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
88.8%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 13 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
89.2%
Nova, Gary pass incomplete, PENALTY TULANE pass interference 13 yards to the RUTGERS44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN RUTGERS. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
89.7%
Justin Goodwin run for 8 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+9
89.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 9 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
90.0%
Justin Goodwin run for 12 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
90.2%
Gary Nova pass intercepted Lorenzo Doss return for 6 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:4612% → 10%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
88.4%
Devin Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+9
88.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 9 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+5
88.2%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 5 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
87.9%
Sherman Badie run for 2 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-4
88.5%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 36Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 12
OWN 36
0
89.6%
Devin Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:14
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
89.7%
Peter Picerelli punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:3191% → 94%
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
90.9%
Desmon Peoples run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+14
91.1%
Desmon Peoples run for 14 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
91.7%
Desmon Peoples run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+34
93.2%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 34 yds to the Tulan 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
93.6%
Desmon Peoples run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 20Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+5
93.6%
Desmon Peoples run for 5 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
93.6%
Gary Nova pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:26
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
94.4%
Kyle Federico 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:516% → 6%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
93.7%
Devin Powell pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for no gain to the Tulan 20Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+30
93.9%
Devin Powell run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
50
0
93.1%
Devin Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 10
50
-5
93.2%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+1
94.0%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the Tulan 46Similar
Q3 1:34
3RD & 14
OWN 46
0
94.2%
Devin Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:24
4TH & 14
OWN 46
0
94.3%
Peter Picerelli punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:1495% → 96%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
94.8%
RUTGERS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 15
OWN 8
+11
94.0%
Gary Nova pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 11 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 19
-9
95.8%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 9 yards to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 13
OWN 10
-2
95.4%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 15
OWN 8
0
95.5%
Tim Gleeson punt for 50 yds, downed at the Tulan 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:225% → 4%
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
95.1%
Devin Powell pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 2
50
+5
94.7%
RUTGERS Penalty, Offside Defense (5 Yards) to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
95.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
95.1%
Devin Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 9
OPP 44
-10
95.4%
Devin Powell sacked by Steve Longa for a loss of 10 yards to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 12:29
4TH & 19
OWN 46
0
96.0%
Peter Picerelli punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 5:1297% → 100%
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
97.0%
Desmon Peoples run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+4
97.1%
Gary Nova run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
97.2%
Gary Nova pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
97.1%
Gary Nova pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+32
97.1%
Gary Nova pass complete to Desmon Peoples for 32 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
97.5%
Desmon Peoples run for 4 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-1
97.5%
Desmon Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
97.5%
Gary Nova pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:53
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+14
97.3%
Gary Nova run for 14 yds to the Tulan 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
97.7%
Desmon Peoples run for 14 yds to the Tulan 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.8%
Desmon Peoples run for no gain to the Tulan 6Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.6%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 6 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 21 yds · 3:171% → 0%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.3%
Nick Montana pass complete to Charles Jones for 6 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.2%
Nick Montana pass complete to Danté Butler for 3 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Danté Butler run for no gain to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 5:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
99.3%
Sherman Badie run for 4 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.3%
Nick Montana pass complete to Danté Butler for 4 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+4
99.3%
Nick Montana pass complete to Sherman Badie for 4 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+1
99.3%
Nick Montana pass complete to Charles Jones for 1 yd to the Tulan 47Similar
Q4 3:13
4TH & 1
OWN 47
-1
99.7%
Lazedrick Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 34 yds · 3:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
99.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 11 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
99.9%
Desmon Peoples run for 7 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+20
99.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 20 yds to the Tulan 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 10Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:44
Gary Nova pass complete to Andrew Turzilli for 93 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)
+8.6
TD · Q2 5:08
Sherman Badie run for 86 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco MISSED)
-6.1
TD · Q1 2:02
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 25 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)
+3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com