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TCU

TCU 56 at SMU 0

SMU
2014 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2014 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
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Win probability · SMU
modelSMU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playSMU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:48 · Jaden Oberkrom 26 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Derek Longoria N/A return for no gain
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 170Pregame prior−13.6Home team on offense−55.3Score differential−33.8Garbage-time factor−15.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:18: B.J. Catalon run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK) — TCU win probability +0.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:08: Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 28 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK) — TCU win probability +1.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:50: Trevone Boykin run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK) — TCU win probability +0.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:40: Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 7 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK) — TCU win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:01: Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 6 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK) — TCU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SMU made the numbers' call on 10 of 13TCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00SMU 4th & 22 at SMU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:30SMU 4th & 9 at SMU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:06TCU 4th & 2 at SMU 2, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:48SMU 4th & 4 at SMU 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−<0.1
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:24TCU 4th & 9 at SMU 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    93.3%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:24SMU 4th & 12 at SMU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:09SMU 4th & 6 at SMU 27, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:09SMU 4th & 1 at TCU 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    5.6%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:01SMU 4th & 5 at TCU 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00TCU 4th & 7 at midfield, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:22SMU 4th & 18 at SMU 11, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:35SMU 4th & 3 at SMU 16, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:36TCU 4th & 2 at TCU 44, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:55SMU 4th & 5 at SMU 13, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00SMU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00SMU 4th & 13 at SMU 49, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:48TCU 4th & 7 at SMU 9, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:38TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 48, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:02SMU 4th & 2 at SMU 42, down 56
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 12:34TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:18TCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:08TCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:50TCU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:40TCU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:01TCU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:40TCU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:08TCU Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
2.3%
Garrett Krstich pass incomplete to Der'rikk ThompsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+1
2.3%
Prescott Line run for 1 yd to the SMU 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 19
-5
2.3%
SMU Penalty, false start (N/A) to the SMU 14Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 14
-8
2.3%
Garrett Krstich sacked by Terrell Lathan for a loss of 8 yards to the SMU 6Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 6
+12
2.3%
Jackson Koonce punt for 39 yds , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for 12 yds to the SMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:3097% → 97%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
2.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 6 yds to the SMU 27Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+27
2.6%
Trevone Boykin run for 27 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
2.6%
Garrett Krstich pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+2
2.6%
K.C. Nlemchi run for 2 yds to the SMU 10Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 8
OWN 10
-1
2.6%
Garrett Krstich sacked by Jonathan Anderson and Marcus Mallet for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 9Similar
Q1 12:30
4TH & 9
OWN 9
0
2.6%
Jackson Koonce punt for 43 yds, downed at the TCU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4DOWNS
13 plays · 50 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
2.8%
B.J. Catalon run for 7 yds to the SMU 45 B.J. Catalon run for 7 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+7
2.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 7 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
2.8%
B.J. Catalon run for 2 yds to the SMU 36 B.J. Catalon run for 2 yds to the SMU 36Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
2.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+12
2.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
2.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Jordan Moore for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 28Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+12
2.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 12 yds to the SMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
2.8%
B.J. Catalon run for no gain to the SMU 1 Trevone Boykin pass complete to Jordan Moore for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 28Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 14
OPP 28
+27
2.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 27 yds to the SMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
2.8%
B.J. Catalon run for no gain to the SMU 1Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
2.8%
B.J. Catalon run for no gain to the SMU 1Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
2.8%
B.J. Catalon run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 2Similar
Q1 11:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
2.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 6:48
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+2
3.5%
Garrett Krstich pass complete to Prescott Line for 2 yds to the SMU 6Similar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 4
OWN 8
0
3.4%
Jackson Koonce punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 44Similar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
3.5%
Garrett Krstich pass complete to Darius Joseph for 2 yds to the SMU 4Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 6
OWN 6
+2
3.5%
K.C. Nlemchi run for 2 yds to the SMU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6MISSED FG
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:2996% → 96%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
3.7%
Aaron Green run for 5 yds to the SMU 24Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 5
OPP 24
-4
3.7%
Trevone Boykin sacked by Zach Wood for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 28Similar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
3.7%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
3.7%
B.J. Catalon run for 10 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
3.7%
B.J. Catalon run for 1 yd to the SMU 45Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
3.7%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh Doctson, broken up by Shakiel RandolphSimilar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+16
3.7%
Trevone Boykin run for 16 yds to the SMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+45
4.3%
Jaden Oberkrom 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
4.4%
SMU Penalty, false start (N/A) to the SMU 23Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
4.6%
Garrett Krstich pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
4.5%
Garrett Krstich pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 7
OPP 49
-5
4.3%
SMU Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the SMU 46Similar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 12
OWN 46
+20
4.2%
Jackson Koonce punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 19 SMU Penalty, personal foul (N/A) to the TCU 34Similar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+25
4.3%
Garrett Krstich pass complete to Darius Joseph for 25 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
4.5%
Kevin Pope run for 3 yds to the TCU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 2:3895% → 96%
Q1 0:56
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+15
4.7%
Boykin, Trevone pass incomplete to Gray, Deante' (RICHARDSON,H), PENALTY SMU personal foul (SMITH,Cameron) 15 yards to the TCU49, 1ST DOWN TCU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
4.4%
Kyle Hicks run for 11 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
4.5%
B.J. Catalon run for no gain to the TCU 34Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
4.6%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
4.6%
Aaron Green run for no gain to the SMU 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+16
4.6%
Deante' Gray run for 16 yds to the SMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
4.5%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
4.5%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh Doctson, broken up by Robert SealsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+15
4.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to David Porter for 15 yds to the SMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
3.8%
B.J. Catalon run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9DOWNS
16 plays · 76 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
4.2%
Garrett Krstich pass incomplete to Darius JosephSimilar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+4
4.2%
Garrett Krstich pass complete to Nate Halverson for 4 yds to the SMU 27Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
4.2%
Garrett Krstich pass incomplete to Cedric Lancaster, broken up by Derrick KindredSimilar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 6
OWN 27
+7
4.1%
Jackson Koonce run for 7 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
4.2%
K.C. Nlemchi run for 3 yds to the SMU 37Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+1
4.3%
Garrett Krstich pass complete to Cedric Lancaster for 1 yd to the SMU 38Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+20
4.3%
Garrett Krstich pass complete to Cedric Lancaster for 20 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
4.4%
Garrett Krstich pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+10
4.4%
Garrett Krstich run for 10 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
4.5%
Garrett Krstich pass complete to Cedric Lancaster for 11 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
4.5%
Garrett Krstich pass complete to Jeremiah Gaines for 15 yds to the TCU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
4.5%
Kevin Pope run for 4 yds to the TCU 2Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
4.5%
Prescott Line run for 1 yd to the TCU 1Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
4.4%
Garrett Krstich run for no gain to the TCU 1Similar
Q2 13:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
4.4%
Garrett Krstich pass incomplete to Darius Joseph, broken up by James McFarlandSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10TD
16 plays · 99 yds · 2:4895% → 97%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+6
4.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 6 yds to the TCU 7Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 4
OWN 7
-3
4.9%
Catalon, B.J. rush for 12 yards to the TCU19 (MONTES,Ajee), PENALTY TCU holding (Vaitai, H.) 3 yards to the TCU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+5
4.9%
SMU Penalty, Defensive offside (Zach Wood) to the TCU 9Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 2
OWN 9
+1
4.9%
B.J. Catalon run for 1 yd to the TCU 10Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+5
4.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 5 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
4.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+11
4.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ty Slanina for 11 yds to the TCU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
4.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ja'Juan Story for 12 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
4.6%
Kyle Hicks run for 8 yds to the TCU 46Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+4
4.7%
B.J. Catalon run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
50
+22
4.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 22 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
4.5%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+28
3.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 28 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 42 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
3.3%
Garrett Krstich pass complete to Darius Joseph for 5 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+8
3.3%
Garrett Krstich pass complete to Darius Joseph for 8 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+24
3.5%
Garrett Krstich pass complete to Der'rikk Thompson for 24 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
3.7%
Garrett Krstich sacked by Chris Bradley for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 36Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+6
3.6%
Garrett Krstich pass complete to Darius Joseph for 6 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
3.6%
Garrett Krstich pass incomplete to Jeremiah GainesSimilar
Q2 4:01
4TH & 5
OPP 30
0
3.5%
Garrett Krstich pass incomplete to Der'rikk ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 1:0197% → 98%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
2.9%
Trevone Boykin run for 9 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+27
2.8%
B.J. Catalon run for 27 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
2.7%
B.J. Catalon run for 15 yds to the SMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
2.6%
Aaron Green run for 5 yds to the SMU 14Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+6
2.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 6 yds to the SMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
1.6%
Trevone Boykin run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
1.0%
Prescott Line run for 1 yd to the SMU 25Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
0.9%
Prescott Line run for no gain to the SMU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.9%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Ty Slanina, broken up by Jesse MontgomerySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+22
1.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 22 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
1.8%
B.J. Catalon run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+6
1.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
50
0
1.9%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Ty SlaninaSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
50
0
2.1%
Ethan Perry punt for 31 yds, downed at the SMU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
1.8%
Garrett Krstich pass incomplete to Nate HalversonSimilar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-8
1.7%
Garrett Krstich sacked by Paul Dawson for a loss of 8 yards to the SMU 11Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 18
OWN 11
0
1.7%
Garrett Krstich pass incomplete to Der'rikk ThompsonSimilar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 18
OWN 11
+47
1.7%
Jackson Koonce punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 14 , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for 47 yds to the SMU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:3499% → 99%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
1.3%
Trevone Boykin run for 7 yds to the SMU 7Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+7
0.7%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 7 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
0.7%
K.C. Nlemchi run for 4 yds to the SMU 13Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 6
OWN 13
0
0.7%
Kevin Pope run for no gain to the SMU 13Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+3
0.7%
Garrett Krstich pass complete to Cedric Lancaster for 3 yds to the SMU 16Similar
Q3 11:35
4TH & 3
OWN 16
+6
0.7%
Jackson Koonce punt for 44 yds , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for 6 yds to the TCU 22 TCU Penalty, Offensive holding (Charlie Reid) to the TCU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.7%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Deante' GraySimilar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
0.7%
Trevone Boykin sacked by Mason Gentry for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 35Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+9
0.7%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ty Slanina for 9 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
0.8%
Ethan Perry punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
0.6%
Darius Durall run for 2 yds to the SMU 48Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-4
0.7%
Garrett Krstich sacked by James McFarland for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 47 Garrett Krstich fumbled, recovered by TCU Paul Dawson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
0.5%
B.J. Catalon run for 16 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-15
0.5%
Boykin, Trevone pass complete to Doctson, Josh for 29 yards to the SMU2, out-of-bounds, PENALTY TCU personal foul (Doctson, Josh) 15 yards to the SMU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 25
OPP 46
+1
0.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Desmon White for 1 yd to the SMU 45Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 24
OPP 45
+44
0.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 44 yds to the SMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.5%
B.J. Catalon run for no gain to the SMU 1Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
0.5%
TCU Penalty, false start (N/A) to the SMU 6Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
0.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 6 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-2
0.3%
Garrett Krstich sacked by James McFarland for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 6Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 12
OWN 6
-3
0.3%
Darius Durall run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 3Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 15
OWN 3
+9
0.3%
Garrett Krstich run for 1 yd to the SMU 13 Darius JosephSimilar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 5
OWN 13
0
0.3%
Jackson Koonce punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:46100% → 100%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
0.4%
B.J. Catalon run for 9 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+3
0.4%
B.J. Catalon run for 3 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
0.4%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+7
0.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Jordan Moore for 7 yds to the SMU 37Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+14
0.4%
B.J. Catalon run for 14 yds to the SMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
0.4%
Aaron Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 25Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+15
0.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to David Porter for 15 yds to the SMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
0.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Desmon White for 10 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 23PUNT
12 plays · 24 yds · 0:400% → 0%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
K.C. Nlemchi run for no gain to the SMU 25Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
Garrett Krstich pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+16
0.1%
Garrett Krstich pass complete to Stephen Nelson for 16 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
0.2%
Kevin Pope run for 4 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+4
0.1%
Kevin Pope run for 4 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
0.1%
Prescott Line run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
50
+2
0.1%
Prescott Line run for 2 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
0.2%
Garrett Krstich pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
0.1%
Garrett Krstich pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
-3
0.1%
Garrett Krstich sacked by Tevin Lawson and Josh Carraway for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 49Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
0.1%
Garrett Krstich punt for 45 yds, downed at the TCU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24MISSED FG
9 plays · 85 yds · 3:06100% → 100%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+41
0.3%
Aaron Green run for 41 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
0.2%
Matt Joeckel pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+17
0.2%
Matt Joeckel pass complete to Desmon White for 17 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
0.2%
Matt Joeckel pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 13 yds to the SMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
0.2%
Matt Joeckel pass complete to Charlie Reid for 11 yds to the SMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
0.2%
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the SMU 10Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+1
0.2%
Kyle Hicks run for 1 yd to the SMU 9Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
0.2%
Matt Joeckel pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+26
0.2%
Jaden Oberkrom 26 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Derek Longoria N/A return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 25INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
0.1%
Garrett Krstich pass intercepted Nick Orr return for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
0.2%
Trevorris Johnson run for 6 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 4
OWN 49
-4
0.2%
Trevorris Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+3
0.2%
Matt Joeckel pass complete to Desmon White for 3 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q4 8:38
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
0.2%
Ethan Perry punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Daijuan Stewart at the SMU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 27FUMBLE
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
0.1%
Matt Davis run for 15 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
0.1%
K.C. Nlemchi run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 25Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+5
0.1%
Matt Davis pass complete to Stephen Nelson for 5 yds to the SMU 30Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 8
OWN 30
-8
0.1%
Matt Davis sacked by James McFarland for a loss of 8 yards to the SMU 25 Matt Davis fumbled, recovered by TCU Mike Tuaua , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 28TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
0.2%
Matt Joeckel pass complete to Charlie Reid for 25 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 29END OF GAME
19 plays · 72 yds · 4:560% → 0%
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
0.1%
Luke Seeker run for 7 yds to the SMU 30Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+4
0.1%
Luke Seeker run for 4 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
0.1%
Luke Seeker run for 2 yds to the SMU 36Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+3
0.1%
Luke Seeker run for 3 yds to the SMU 39Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+3
0.1%
Prescott Line run for 3 yds to the SMU 42Similar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 2
OWN 42
+4
0.1%
Prescott Line run for 4 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
0.1%
Luke Seeker run for 2 yds to the SMU 48 Luke Seeker run for 2 yds to the SMU 48Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+4
0.1%
Luke Seeker run for 4 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+9
0.1%
Matt Davis pass complete to Deion Sanders Jr. for 9 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
0.1%
DAVIS,Matt pass incomplete to SUTTON,C, PENALTY TCU pass interference (O'Meally, Corry) 15 yards to the TCU24, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
0.1%
Luke Seeker run for 1 yd to the TCU 23Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+9
0.1%
Matt Davis run for 9 yds to the TCU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
0.1%
Luke Seeker run for 7 yds to the TCU 7Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 3
OPP 7
0
0.0%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Deion Sanders Jr., broken up by Mike TuauaSimilar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+4
0.0%
Luke Seeker run for 4 yds to the TCU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
0.0%
Matt Davis sacked by Sammy Douglas for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:08
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 28 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)
-1.5
TD · Q2 13:18
B.J. Catalon run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)
-0.8
TD · Q2 0:50
Trevone Boykin run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)
-0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com