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TULN

Tulane 13 at Duke 47

DUKE
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · Wallace Wade Stadium
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Win probability · DUKE
modelDUKE aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playDUKE scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDSAFETYFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:34 · Will Monday punt for 65 yds , Teddy Veal returns for 7 yds to the Tulan 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Pregame prior+28.4Home team on offense+4.7Score differential+0.7Garbage-time factor+1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:03: Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +2.5 pts (now 14%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:21: Ross Martin 31 yd FG GOOD — DUKE win probability +2.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:45: Anthony Boone run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK) — DUKE win probability +5.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:57: Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco MISSED), (Andrew DiRocco MISSED) (Andrew DiRocco MISSED), Peter Picerelli kickoff for 65 yds , DeVon Edwards return for 22 yds to the Duke 22 Peter Picerelli kickoff for 65 yds , DeVon Edwards return for 22 yds to the Duke 22 (Andrew DiRocco MISSED) — TULN win probability +4.2 pts (now 11%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:17: Shaun Wilson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK) — DUKE win probability +4.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
DUKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 6TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 2:50DUKE 4th & 5 at TULN 26, up 9
    Close callWent for it · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    85.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    84.4%−1.5
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:52TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 42, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.8%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:52TULN 4th & 8 at DUKE 21, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    14.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    12.1%−2.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:34DUKE 4th & 17 at DUKE 12, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:50TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 37, down 9
    Close callPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:21DUKE 4th & 3 at TULN 13, up 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.1%−0.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    82.0%−3.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:37TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 39, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 26, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:50DUKE 4th & 6 at DUKE 45, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:38TULN 4th & 8 at DUKE 24, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−3.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:05DUKE 4th & 5 at DUKE 32, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00TULN 4th & 14 at TULN 33, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:43TULN 4th & 15 at TULN 26, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    -0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:35TULN 4th & 11 at DUKE 40, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:53DUKE 4th & 10 at TULN 48, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:13TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 20, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
DUKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:10DUKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:03TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:11DUKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:45DUKE Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:57TULN Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    9.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:17DUKE Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:52DUKE Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:43DUKE Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
DUKEDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5089% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.1%
Anthony Boone run for 5 yds to the Duke 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
89.1%
TULANE Penalty, offside defense (4 Yards) to the Duke 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
89.1%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Max McCaffreySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+43
89.1%
Thomas Sirk run for 43 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
89.1%
Anthony Boone run for 8 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+3
89.1%
Anthony Boone run for 3 yds to the Tulan 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
89.1%
Anthony Boone run for 11 yds to the Tulan 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.9%
Thomas Sirk run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 4:5511% → 14%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
88.7%
Sherman Badie run for 10 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+13
88.7%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 13 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
88.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Danté Butler for 9 yds to the Duke 48Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 1
OPP 48
-4
88.5%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 48Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+7
88.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 7 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
88.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 14 yds to the Duke 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
88.5%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 6 yds to the Duke 25Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 4
OPP 25
0
88.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+20
88.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Leondre James for 20 yds to the Duke 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
86.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 3TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 2:4587% → 88%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
86.6%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 11 yds to the Duke 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
86.6%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+13
86.6%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 13 yds to the Duke 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
86.9%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Issac Blakeney for 9 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+8
87.0%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 8 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
87.0%
TULANE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Tulan 35Similar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 5
OPP 35
0
87.1%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+2
87.1%
Josh Snead run for 2 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+32
87.0%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 32 yds to the Tulan 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
87.1%
Thomas Sirk run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 2Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.2%
Josh Snead run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4SF
5 plays · -22 yds · 1:0812% → 12%
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
87.6%
Leondre James run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 19Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 13
OWN 19
0
87.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Leondre JamesSimilar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 13
OWN 19
-7
87.8%
Tanner Lee sacked by David Helton for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 12 TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 2:58
4TH & 20
OWN 12
-12
88.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
87.9%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 4 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+13
87.9%
Anthony Boone pass complete to David Reeves for 13 yds to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
88.0%
Shaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+5
88.0%
Shaun Wilson run for 5 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 2
OPP 23
-3
87.8%
Anthony Boone run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 26Similar
Q1 2:50
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+1
87.5%
Anthony Boone run for 1 yd to the Tulan 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6INT
15 plays · 54 yds · 3:1213% → 13%
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.4%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the Tulan 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-7
87.4%
Tanner Lee sacked by Dwayne Norman for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 19 TULANE Penalty, intentional grounding (Tanner Lee) to the Tulan 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 19
-1
87.7%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 18Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 18
+15
87.9%
PICERELLI, Peter punt 40 yards to the DU42, Jamison Crowder return to the DU42, PENALTY DU roughing the kicker (Josh Snead) 15 yards to the TLN33, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
87.2%
Sherman Badie run for 5 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
87.0%
Sherman Badie run for 4 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 42
0
87.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Tulan 42Similar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+14
87.2%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 14 yds to the Duke 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
86.5%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 9 yds to the Duke 35Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+12
86.1%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 12 yds to the Duke 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
86.1%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Duke 21Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
86.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
86.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+15
87.0%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted Jeremy Cash return for 15 yds to the Duke 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
87.3%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Erich Schneider for 3 yds to the Duke 22Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-10
87.2%
Anthony Boone sacked by Darion Monroe for a loss of 10 yards to the Duke 12 Anthony Boone fumbled, recovered by Duke N/A , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 17
OWN 12
0
86.8%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
Q2 9:34
4TH & 17
OWN 12
+7
86.5%
Will Monday punt for 65 yds , Teddy Veal returns for 7 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
87.1%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the Tulan 30Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 15
OWN 25
+12
87.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 12 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-5
87.2%
BADIE, Sherman rush for 8 yards to the TLN38 (A.J. Wolf;Jeremy Cash), PENALTY TLN illegal shift 5 yards to the TLN25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 15
OWN 25
0
87.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Sherman Badie, broken up by Chris HolmesSimilar
Q2 7:50
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
87.3%
Peter Picerelli punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jamison Crowder at the Duke 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 9FG
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:0188% → 90%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
87.5%
Anthony Boone run for 14 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+23
88.0%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 8 yds to the DUKE 47 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, personal foul (Taurean Nixon) to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
88.4%
Anthony Boone run for 12 yds to the Tulan 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
88.4%
Shaquille Powell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+2
88.4%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Shaquille Powell for 2 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 3
OPP 13
0
88.0%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison Crowder, broken up by Nico MarleySimilar
Q2 4:21
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+31
90.4%
Ross Martin 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10INT
14 plays · 62 yds · 2:4510% → 11%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.6%
Sherman Badie run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
89.5%
Sherman Badie run for 9 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
89.4%
Danté Butler run for 6 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
89.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 2 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+5
89.0%
Sherman Badie run for 5 yds to the Duke 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
89.0%
Danté Butler run for 10 yds to the Duke 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
89.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 11 yds to the Duke 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
88.4%
Danté Butler run for 10 yds to the Duke 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
87.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Duke 15Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+2
87.8%
Sherman Badie run for 2 yds to the Duke 13Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+25
88.6%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted Zavier Carmichael return for 25 yds to the Duke 32 Zavier Carmichael fumbled, forced by Terren Encalade, recovered by Duke David HeltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 11INT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
90.7%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Jamison CrowderSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+10
90.7%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Jamison Crowder for 10 yds to the Duke 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
91.2%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Josh Snead for 13 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
91.3%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Issac BlakeneySimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+18
91.3%
Anthony Boone pass intercepted Sam Scofield return for 18 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
89.9%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
90.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
90.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Justyn ShacklefordSimilar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 10
OWN 39
+48
90.5%
Peter Picerelli punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jamison Crowder at the DUKE 23 DUKE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Duke 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
90.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.9%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
88.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Sherman BadieSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
89.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+37
89.3%
Peter Picerelli punt for 37 yds , Jamison Crowder returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 15TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 2:2991% → 96%
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
90.7%
Josh Snead run for 9 yds to the Tulan 7Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 1
OPP 7
0
90.7%
Josh Snead run for no gain to the Tulan 7Similar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+5
90.4%
Josh Snead run for 5 yds to the Tulan 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
90.7%
Thomas Sirk run for 1 yd to the Tulan 1Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.7%
Josh Snead run for no gain to the Tulan 1Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.0%
Anthony Boone run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16TD
15 plays · 93 yds · 4:336% → 11%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
94.3%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the Tulan 8Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 9
OWN 8
-2
94.4%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 6Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 11
OWN 6
+11
94.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 11 yds to the Tulan 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
94.1%
LEE, Tanner pass incomplete to RUSH, Xavier (Breon Borders), PENALTY DU pass interference (Breon Borders) 15 yards to the TLN32, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+25
93.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Leondre James for 25 yds to the Duke 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
93.4%
Sherman Badie run for 3 yds to the Duke 40Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
93.5%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 5 yds to the Duke 35Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+8
93.3%
Danté Butler run for 8 yds to the Duke 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
92.8%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 7 yds to the Duke 20 TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Duke 30Similar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 13
OPP 30
+1
93.2%
Danté Butler run for 1 yd to the Duke 29Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+12
93.2%
Tanner Lee run for 12 yds to the Duke 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
92.8%
LEE, Tanner pass incomplete to ENCALADE, Terren, PENALTY DU holding 10 yards to the DU7, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
92.8%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Duke 4Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
88.6%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco MISSED), (Andrew DiRocco MISSED) (Andrew DiRocco MISSED), Peter Picerelli kickoff for 65 yds , DeVon Edwards return for 22 yds to the Duke 22 Peter Picerelli kickoff for 65 yds , DeVon Edwards return for 22 yds to the Duke 22 (Andrew DiRocco MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
91.8%
Shaun Wilson run for 19 yds to the Duke 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
92.2%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Issac BlakeneySimilar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
92.1%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 4 yds to the Duke 45Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
91.8%
Anthony Boone pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:50
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
91.2%
Will Monday punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 63 yds · 0:009% → 10%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
90.9%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+26
91.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Xavier Rush for 26 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
89.8%
Danté Butler run for 11 yds to the Duke 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
89.5%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 15 yds to the Duke 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
88.6%
Tanner Lee run for no gain to the Duke 26Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
88.8%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Xavier RushSimilar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+2
89.6%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Duke 24Similar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+7
90.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Xavier Rush for 7 yds to the Duke 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
93.1%
Shaquille Powell run for 1 yd to the Duke 18Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+9
93.0%
Shaquille Powell run for 9 yds to the Duke 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
93.1%
Shaquille Powell run for 3 yds to the Duke 30Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+2
93.1%
Shaquille Powell run for 2 yds to the Duke 32Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
92.9%
Anthony Boone pass incomplete to Max McCaffreySimilar
Q3 3:05
4TH & 5
OWN 32
+1
92.6%
Will Monday punt for 45 yds , Teddy Veal returns for 1 yd to the Tulan 24 Teddy Veal fumbled, recovered by Duke David ReevesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 20TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:0394% → 99%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
93.8%
Anthony Boone pass complete to Max McCaffrey for 3 yds to the Tulan 21 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, face mask (11 yards) (11 Yards) to the Tulan 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
93.8%
Shaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 7Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 6
OPP 7
0
93.8%
Anthony Boone pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:17
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+7
98.6%
Shaun Wilson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:172% → 2%
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.3%
Danté Butler run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
98.4%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 10 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
98.3%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 32
0
98.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Xavier RushSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+1
98.4%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
98.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Xavier Rush, broken up by DeVon EdwardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 33
+24
98.5%
Peter Picerelli punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 49 , Jamison Crowder returns for 24 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · 43 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+37
98.8%
Shaun Wilson run for 26 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, personal foul (11 Yards) to the Tulan 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
98.9%
Shaun Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 6 Shaun Wilson fumbled, forced by Nico Marley, recovered by Tulan Sam ScofieldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23INT TD
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:291% → 0%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
98.9%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 10Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 6
OWN 10
-5
98.9%
BADIE, Sherman rush for no gain to the TLN10 (Jonathan Jones), PENALTY TLN holding 5 yards to the TLN5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 11
OWN 5
+11
98.9%
Danté Butler run for 11 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+22
99.9%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted for a TD Bryon Fields return for 22 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24INT TD
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:010% → 0%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+17
99.9%
Sherman Badie run for 2 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST down DUKE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
99.9%
1st and 10, LEE, Tanner pass complete to RUSH, Xavier for 18 yards to the TLN49 (Dwayne Norman;Zavier Carmichael), PENALTY TLN holding 10 yards to the TLN21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+6
99.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 6 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+8
99.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Xavier Rush for 8 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-9
99.9%
Tanner Lee sacked by DeVon Edwards for a loss of 9 yards to the Tulan 26Similar
Q4 8:43
4TH & 15
OWN 26
+12
99.9%
Joseph Ajeigbe 12 Yd Interception Return (Ross Martin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25DOWNS
11 plays · 33 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
99.9%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 7 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
Danté Butler run for 6 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Lazedrick Thompson for 4 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
99.9%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 7 yds to the Duke 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+10
99.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 10 yds to the Duke 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
99.9%
Tanner Lee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 40Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 11
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Danté Butler run for no gain to the Duke 40Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 11
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 4 yds to the Duke 44Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
99.9%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 5 yds to the Duke 49Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
99.9%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 3 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
99.9%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 2 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-2
99.9%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 48Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 5:53
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Will Monday punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
100.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 5
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by Zach MunizSimilar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Justyn ShacklefordSimilar
Q4 3:13
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Peter Picerelli punt for 42 yds , Ryan Smith returns for no gain to the Duke 20 DUKE Penalty, Offensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 28END OF GAME
5 plays · 46 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
100.0%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 2 yds to the Duke 40Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for no gain to the Duke 40Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+50
100.0%
Thomas Sirk run for 50 yds to the Tulan 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 0
OPP 10
-5
99.9%
DUKE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 15Similar
Q4 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:45
Anthony Boone run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)
+5.3
TD · Q3 0:17
Shaun Wilson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Ross Martin KICK)
+4.8
TD · Q3 6:57
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco MISSED), (Andrew DiRocco MISSED) (Andrew DiRocco MISSED), Peter Picerelli kickoff for 65 yds , DeVon Edwards return for 22 yds to the Duke 22 Peter Picerelli kickoff for 65 yds , DeVon Edwards return for 22 yds to the Duke 22 (Andrew DiRocco MISSED)
-4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com