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BCU

Bethune-Cookman 7 at UCF 41

UCF
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadBCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreBCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:44 · Caleb Houston punt for 29 yds, downed at the BthCk 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 12Pregame prior+44.9Home team on offense+0.1Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Blowout margin−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:40: Anthony Jordan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK) — BCU win probability +2.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: BCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:37: Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 61 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Quirarte KICK) — UCF win probability +1.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 6:19: Rodrigo Quirarte 37 yd FG GOOD — UCF win probability +1.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:28: William Stanback run for 9 yds for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK) — UCF win probability +3.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:29: Cedric Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK) — UCF win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 3 of 6BCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00BCU 4th & 25 at BCU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:44UCF 4th & 14 at BCU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:53BCU 4th & 18 at BCU 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:26UCF 4th & 3 at BCU 20, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.1%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UCF 4th & 5 at BCU 35, down 4
    Close callPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    90.5%−0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:58BCU 4th & 4 at BCU 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:14BCU 4th & 6 at UCF 27, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.9%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:37BCU 4th & 22 at BCU 13, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:19UCF 4th & 8 at BCU 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:16BCU 4th & 26 at BCU 20, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:48UCF 4th & 5 at UCF 47, up 13
    Close callPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:28BCU 4th & 5 at BCU 26, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:29UCF 4th & 1 at BCU 1, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−2.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00BCU 4th & 27 at UCF 41, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 5 of 5BCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:40BCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:57UCF Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:37UCF Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:28UCF Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:29UCF Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:09UCF Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+17
96.1%
Quentin Williams run for 17 yds to the BthCk 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
96.1%
WILLIAMS,Q. pass incomplete, PENALTY UCF roughing passer (BURKETT, C.) 15 yards to the BCU38, 1ST DOWN BCU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
96.1%
Quentin Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the BthCk 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 33
0
96.1%
Quentin Williams run for no gain to the BthCk 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 33
-10
96.1%
Quentin Williams sacked by Jordan Ozerities and Terrance Plummer for a loss of 10 yards to the BthCk 23Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 25
OWN 23
0
96.1%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 29 yds, downed at the UCF 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
95.6%
Justin Holman pass complete to Jordan Akins for 16 yds to the BthCk 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
95.6%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
95.6%
Dontravious Wilson run for 5 yds to the BthCk 31Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 5
OPP 31
-9
95.6%
Justin Holman sacked by LeBrandon Richardson for a loss of 9 yards to the BthCk 40Similar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 14
OPP 40
0
95.5%
Caleb Houston punt for 29 yds, downed at the BthCk 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
95.1%
Quentin Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the BthCk 10Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 11
OWN 10
-7
95.1%
Quentin Williams sacked by Chequan Burkett for a loss of 7 yards to the BthCk 3Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 18
OWN 3
0
95.2%
Danny Dillard run for no gain to the BthCk 3Similar
Q1 9:53
4TH & 18
OWN 3
+8
95.2%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 32 yds , J.J. Worton returns for 8 yds to the BthCk 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 4FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1795% → 94%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
94.8%
Dontravious Wilson run for 4 yds to the BthCk 23Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+4
94.8%
Justin Holman run for 4 yds to the BthCk 19Similar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 2
OWN 0
0
94.5%
WILSON, D. rush for 3 yards to the BCU16 (SIMMONS,Ty're), PENALTY BCU personal foul off-setting, PENALTY UCF holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 2
OPP 19
-1
94.7%
Dontravious Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BthCk 20Similar
Q1 5:26
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+37
94.3%
Rodrigo Quirarte 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 3:466% → 8%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
94.3%
Quentin Williams pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+7
94.3%
Quentin Williams run for 7 yds to the BthCk 31Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+10
94.3%
WILLIAMS,Q. rush for 6 yards to the BCU37 (GEATHERS, C.), PENALTY UCF 10 10 yards to the BCU41, 1ST DOWN BCU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
94.2%
Danny Dillard run for no gain to the BthCk 41Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+44
94.2%
Quentin Williams pass complete to Anthony Jordan for 29 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, roughing passer (N/A) to the UCF 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
94.0%
Jaime Wilson run for no gain to the UCF 15Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+14
94.0%
Quentin Williams pass complete to Jaime Wilson for 14 yds to the UCF 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.0%
Quentin Williams run for no gain to the UCF 1Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.8%
Anthony Jordan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 1:4092% → 92%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.3%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to J.J. WortonSimilar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
92.3%
HOLMAN, Justin pass incomplete to PERRIMAN, B. (RICHARDSON,J.), PENALTY BCU personal foul (PERRY,David) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
50
+1
92.6%
Rannell Hall run for 1 yd to the BthCk 49Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+4
92.7%
William Stanback run for 4 yds to the BthCk 45Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+5
92.6%
Justin Holman pass complete to William Stanback for 5 yds to the BthCk 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
92.7%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to J.J. WortonSimilar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
92.7%
William Stanback run for 5 yds to the BthCk 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
92.0%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to William Stanback, broken up by Erik WilliamsSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
91.7%
Caleb Houston punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
91.5%
Quentin Williams run for 7 yds to the BthCk 27Similar
Q2 14:58
2ND & 3
OWN 27
-1
91.4%
Danny Dillard run for a loss of 1 yard to the BthCk 26Similar
Q2 14:58
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
91.6%
Quentin Williams pass incomplete to N/A BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:58
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+12
91.8%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 37 yds , J.J. Worton returns for 12 yds to the UCF 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 8TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 1:5492% → 93%
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
91.6%
Justin Holman run for 7 yds to the BthCk 44Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+4
91.7%
Justin Holman run for 4 yds to the BthCk 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
91.6%
William Stanback run for 5 yds to the BthCk 35Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+35
92.5%
Justin Holman pass complete to J.J. Worton for 35 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Quirarte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 9MISSED FG
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:439% → 9%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
91.1%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, false start (N/A) to the UCF 36Similar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+6
91.5%
Quentin Williams pass complete to DeVonte Washington for 6 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 9
OPP 30
-5
91.1%
Anthony Jordan run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 35Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 14
OPP 35
+8
91.7%
Quentin Williams run for 8 yds to the UCF 27Similar
Q2 10:14
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
91.1%
Haden Hoggarth 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 10TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 0:3791% → 94%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
91.2%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, Defensive offside (N/A) to the UCF 32Similar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 5
OWN 32
+7
91.6%
Dontravious Wilson run for 7 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
93.5%
Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 61 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Quirarte KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
93.3%
Quentin Williams sacked by Miles Pace for a loss of 9 yards to the BthCk 16Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
93.4%
Quentin Williams pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+10
93.6%
Quentin Williams pass complete to Jhomo Gordon for 10 yds Jhomo Gordon fumbled, forced by Terrance Plummer, recovered by BthCk N/ASimilar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-13
93.7%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, personal foul (-13 Yards) to the BthCk 13Similar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 22
OWN 13
+11
93.7%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 34 yds , J.J. Worton returns for 11 yds to the BthCk 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 12FG
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:5893% → 95%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
93.4%
Justin Holman pass complete to Jordan Akins for 14 yds to the BthCk 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
93.4%
Dontravious Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BthCk 24Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+4
93.4%
Dontravious Wilson run for 4 yds to the BthCk 20Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
93.2%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+37
94.7%
Rodrigo Quirarte 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · -16 yds · 3:036% → 6%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
94.2%
WILLIAMS,Q. rush for no gain to the BCU36 (PLUMMER, T.), PENALTY BCU illegal shift 5 yards to the BCU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+1
94.3%
Danny Dillard run for 1 yd to the BthCk 32Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+6
94.3%
Quentin Williams run for 6 yds to the BthCk 38Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-5
94.2%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, delay of game (Quentin Williams) to the BthCk 33Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 13
OWN 33
-10
94.4%
WILLIAMS,Q. pass complete to BROWN,Frank for 22 yards to the UCF45, out-of-bounds (ALEXANDER, B.), PENALTY BCU holding (HUFF,Trevin) 10 yards to the BCU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 23
OWN 23
-3
94.5%
Danny Dillard run for a loss of 3 yards to the BthCk 20Similar
Q2 3:16
4TH & 26
OWN 20
0
94.0%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 38 yds, fair catch by J.J. Worton at the UCF 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:2494% → 94%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+21
94.4%
Justin Holman run for 21 yds to the UCF 34 Justin Holman fumbled, recovered by UCF Rannell HallSimilar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 18
OWN 34
-1
93.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 33 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UCF Justin HolmanSimilar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 19
OWN 33
+14
93.3%
Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 14 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
94.3%
Caleb Houston punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BthCk 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 15END OF HALF
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:187% → 7%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
93.2%
Anthony Jordan run for 12 yds to the BthCk 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
92.8%
Anthony Jordan run for 3 yds to the UCF 48Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+8
92.7%
Quentin Williams pass complete to DeVonte Washington for 8 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
92.5%
Quentin Williams pass complete to DeVonte Washington for 4 yds to the UCF 36Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-4
92.4%
Quentin Williams sacked by Troy Gray for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 40Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-5
93.2%
Quentin Williams sacked by Thomas Niles for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 16TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:3295% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
94.7%
William Stanback run for 4 yds to the BthCk 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
94.7%
William Stanback run for no gain to the BthCk 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+10
94.5%
HOLMAN, Justin pass incomplete to WORTON, J.J. (BUTLER,Michael), PENALTY BCU holding (BUTLER,Michael) 10 yards to the BCU25, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
94.7%
Justin Holman run for 11 yds to the BthCk 14 for a 1ST down BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the BthCk 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.3%
William Stanback run for 9 yds for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
97.9%
Danny Dillard run for 4 yds to the BthCk 25Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Danny Dillard run for no gain to the BthCk 25Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+1
97.9%
Quentin Williams run for 1 yd to the BthCk 26Similar
Q3 13:28
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+21
98.0%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 45 yds , J.J. Worton returns for 21 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 18TD
12 plays · 50 yds · 5:4198% → 100%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
50
+5
98.2%
Justin Holman run for 5 yds to the BthCk 45Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+10
98.3%
William Stanback run for 10 yds to the BthCk 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
98.3%
Justin Holman run for 4 yds to the BthCk 31Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+5
98.3%
HOLMAN, Justin pass incomplete to REESE, Josh, PENALTY BCU offside (PERRY,David) 5 yards to the BCU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 1
OPP 26
-5
98.3%
UCF Penalty, false start (Chavis Dickey) to the BthCk 31Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+17
98.3%
William Stanback run for 17 yds to the BthCk 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
98.3%
Justin Holman run for 6 yds to the BthCk 8Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+5
98.3%
Justin Holman run for 5 yds to the BthCk 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.3%
William Stanback run for 2 yds to the BthCk 1Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.3%
Dontravious Wilson run for no gain to the BthCk 1Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.2%
Justin Holman run for no gain to the BthCk 1Similar
Q3 5:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Cedric Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 19PUNT
19 plays · 37 yds · 5:290% → 0%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
99.8%
Quentin Williams pass complete to Michael D. Jones for 9 yds to the BthCk 31Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 1
OWN 31
-2
99.7%
Michael D. Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the BthCk 29Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 3
OWN 29
-5
99.7%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the BthCk 24Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+8
99.8%
Quentin Williams pass complete to Michael D. Jones for 8 yds to the BthCk 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Cary White run for no gain to the BthCk 32Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
99.8%
Quentin Williams run for 1 yd to the BthCk 33Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+14
99.8%
Quentin Williams pass complete to Justin Henderson for 14 yds to the BthCk 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Michael D. Jones run for no gain to the BthCk 47Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+16
99.8%
Quentin Williams run for 26 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST down BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, illegal block (Justin Henderson) to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
99.9%
Larry Brihm pass complete to Justin Henderson for 1 yd to the UCF 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+12
99.9%
Michael D. Jones run for 12 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
99.9%
Michael D. Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Larry Brihm pass incomplete to Frank BrownSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 26
-5
99.9%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, delay of game (Larry Brihm) to the UCF 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 31
-5
99.9%
Larry Brihm sacked by Deion Green for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 22
OPP 36
-5
99.9%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UCF 41Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 27
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 29 yds, downed at the UCF 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 20TD
13 plays · 88 yds · 7:06100% → 100%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
99.9%
Nick Patti run for 7 yds to the UCF 19Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+8
99.9%
William Stanback run for 8 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
99.9%
Nick Patti run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 24Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+8
99.9%
Nick Patti pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 23 yds to the UCF 47 UCF Penalty, personal foul (Rannell Hall) to the UCF 32Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Nick Patti run for 2 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+14
99.9%
Nick Patti pass complete to Taylor Oldham for 14 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.9%
William Stanback run for 4 yds to the BthCk 48Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+7
99.9%
Jackie Williams run for 7 yds to the BthCk 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.9%
Jackie Williams run for 5 yds to the BthCk 36Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+35
99.9%
William Stanback run for 35 yds to the BthCk 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.9%
William Stanback run for a loss of 1 yard to the BthCk 2Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
William Stanback run for no gain to the BthCk 2Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
William Stanback run for 2 yds for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:28
William Stanback run for 9 yds for a TD, (Shawn Moffitt KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q1 1:40
Anthony Jordan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)
-2.3
TD · Q2 9:37
Justin Holman pass complete to Breshad Perriman for 61 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Quirarte KICK)
+1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com