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CONN

UConn 14 at South Florida 17

USF
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 19, 2014 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+2.6USF 91.5%Marvin Kloss 19 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 17 · Q4 6:03
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:03 · Marvin Kloss 19 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Home team on offense+21.4Pregame prior+1.1Garbage-time factor+12.9Score differential+2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.5Blowout margin−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. INT · Q2 0:05: Mike White pass intercepted for a TD Byron Jones return for 70 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK) — CONN win probability +10.4 pts (now 29%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:37: Max DeLorenzo run for 1 yd to the UConn 4 — CONN win probability +4.5 pts (now 23%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 1:19: Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 32 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK) — CONN win probability +19.6 pts (now 24%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:19: Bobby Puyol on-side kick recovered by SOUTH FLORIDA at the SOUFLA 49 CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the UConn 46 — USF win probability +6.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:00: TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line — USF win probability +10.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 3 of 8CONN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 8:55CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:24USF 4th & 10 at CONN 30, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.3%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    62.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    62.1%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:15CONN 4th & 15 at CONN 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:34USF 4th & 1 at USF 44, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:45CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 16, down 14
    Close callPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:16USF 4th & 3 at CONN 45, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    72.6%−2.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:59CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.8
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:30USF 4th & 6 at CONN 45, up 14
    Close callPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    74.7%−1.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:24CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:18USF 4th & 11 at CONN 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    73.7%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:56CONN 4th & 14 at CONN 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−3.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:45USF 4th & 5 at USF 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:42CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−1.0
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:03USF 4th & 1 at CONN 1, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.9%−3.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    76.0%−12.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:31CONN 4th & 15 at CONN 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:57USF 4th & 15 at USF 35, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USF made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:22USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:2539% → 39%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
60.9%
Max DeLorenzo run for 17 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
60.8%
Whitmer, Chandler pass incomplete to Foxx, Deshon, PENALTY UCONN holding (Cruz, Gus) 10 yards to the UCONN37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+3
60.9%
Max DeLorenzo run for 3 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 17
OWN 40
-10
60.9%
Chandler Whitmer sacked by Chris Dunkley for a loss of 10 yards to the UConn 19 Chandler Whitmer fumbled, forced by Chris Dunkley, recovered by SFla Chris Dunkley , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2TD
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:5861% → 63%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
61.2%
Marlon Mack run for 1 yd to the UConn 18Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+9
61.3%
Marlon Mack run for 9 yds to the UConn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
61.4%
Marlon Mack run for 8 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.6%
Marlon Mack run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marvin Kloss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 2:2138% → 37%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
62.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Tommy Myers) to the UConn 29Similar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+11
62.1%
Joshua Marriner run for 11 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+3
62.0%
Joshua Marriner run for 3 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 1
OWN 43
-5
62.2%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Andreas Knappe) to the UConn 38Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 6
OWN 38
-3
62.7%
Max DeLorenzo run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 35Similar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
63.2%
Justin Wain punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Hassan Childs at the SFla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 4TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 5:2463% → 70%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
63.1%
Marlon Mack run for 4 yds to the SFla 24Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
63.4%
Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+6
63.3%
Mike White pass complete to Kennard Swanson for 6 yds to the SFla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
63.8%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 5 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+9
64.5%
Marlon Mack run for 9 yds to the SFla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+24
65.0%
Mike White pass complete to Rodney Adams for 24 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
65.4%
Marlon Mack run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+1
65.6%
Marlon Mack run for 1 yd to the UConn 30Similar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
65.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Deonte WelchSimilar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+30
69.6%
Mike White pass complete to Rodney Adams for 30 yds for a TD, (Marvin Kloss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:4531% → 31%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
69.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for 8 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 2
OWN 40
-13
68.7%
Chandler Whitmer sacked by Nate Godwin for a loss of 13 yards to the UConn 27 CONNECTICUT Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the UConn 27Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 15
OWN 27
0
69.2%
Chandler Whitmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:15
4TH & 15
OWN 27
0
69.5%
Justin Wain punt for 51 yds , Chris Dunkley returns for no gain to the SFla 22 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nate Godwin) to the SFla 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 5:3670% → 74%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
70.4%
Marlon Mack run for 1 yd to the SFla 13Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 9
OWN 13
-1
71.1%
Marlon Mack run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 12Similar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+10
70.9%
Mike White pass complete to Marlon Mack for 10 yds to the SFla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
71.9%
Marlon Mack run for 7 yds to the SFla 29Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 3
OWN 29
-1
72.2%
Marlon Mack run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 28Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+7
72.2%
Mike White pass complete to Deonte Welch for 7 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
72.8%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 2 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
73.4%
Marlon Mack run for 3 yds to the SFla 40Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+4
73.9%
Mike White pass complete to Rodney Adams for 4 yds to the SFla 44Similar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
73.9%
Mattias Ciabatti punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Deshon Foxx at the UConn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4527% → 26%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
72.9%
Ron Johnson run for 6 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+3
72.8%
Ron Johnson run for 3 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 1
OWN 18
-2
73.2%
Ron Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 16Similar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
74.2%
Justin Wain punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Chris Dunkley at the SFla 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2576% → 76%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
76.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Rodney AdamsSimilar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
76.1%
Marlon Mack run for 6 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+1
76.0%
Marlon Mack run for 1 yd to the UConn 45Similar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
75.8%
Mattias Ciabatti punt for 40 yds, downed at the UConn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:1125% → 23%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
75.3%
Max DeLorenzo run for 1 yd to the UConn 6Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+6
75.8%
Max DeLorenzo run for 6 yds to the UConn 12Similar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 3
OWN 12
-5
75.8%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Sean McQuillan) to the UConn 7Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 8
OWN 7
+4
76.6%
Max DeLorenzo run for 4 yds to the UConn 11Similar
Q2 5:59
4TH & 4
OWN 11
+3
76.6%
Justin Wain punt for 41 yds , Hassan Childs returns for 3 yds to the UConn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2578% → 77%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
77.6%
Marlon Mack run for a loss of 6 yards to the SFla 45Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 16
OWN 45
0
77.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Sean PriceSimilar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 16
OWN 45
+10
76.9%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 10 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
77.0%
Mattias Ciabatti punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Deshon Foxx at the UConn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5823% → 21%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
76.9%
Joshua Marriner run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 10Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 12
OWN 10
+6
77.3%
Joshua Marriner run for 6 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+1
77.9%
Joshua Marriner run for 1 yd to the UConn 17Similar
Q2 2:24
4TH & 5
OWN 17
0
78.9%
Justin Wain punt for 39 yds , Hassan Childs returns for no gain to the SFla 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 12INT TD
10 plays · 20 yds · 2:0581% → 71%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
80.5%
Darius Tice run for 1 yd to the SFla 45Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
81.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Deonte WelchSimilar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+10
80.2%
Darius Tice run for 10 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
81.6%
Darius Tice run for 1 yd to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+10
79.9%
Mike White pass complete to Darius Tice for 10 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
80.3%
Mike White pass complete to Darius Tice for 6 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 4
OPP 28
-8
80.3%
Mike White sacked by Reuben Frank for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 36Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+70
70.6%
Mike White pass intercepted for a TD Byron Jones return for 70 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
70.0%
D'Ernest Johnson run for no gain to the SFla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 14PUNT
13 plays · 41 yds · 6:3271% → 74%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
71.3%
Marlon Mack run for 3 yds to the SFla 24Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+6
71.6%
Mike White pass complete to Mike McFarland for 6 yds to the SFla 30Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+5
71.8%
Marlon Mack run for 5 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
72.1%
Marlon Mack run for 3 yds to the SFla 38Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+10
74.0%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 10 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
74.7%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 9 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+6
75.2%
Marlon Mack run for 6 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
75.5%
Mack, Marlon rush for 3 yards to the UCONN34, PENALTY SOUFLA holding (Eatmon, Quinterrius) 10 yards to the UCONN47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 20
OPP 47
-1
76.1%
D'Ernest Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 48Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 21
OPP 48
0
76.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Kennard SwansonSimilar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 21
OPP 48
+10
74.8%
Mike White pass complete to Rodney Adams for 10 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 11
OPP 38
0
74.1%
Mattias Ciabatti punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Deshon Foxx at the UConn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 35 yds · 5:1427% → 24%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
72.7%
Max DeLorenzo run for 4 yds to the UConn 13Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+16
72.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for 16 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
72.1%
Arkeel Newsome run for 7 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 3
OWN 36
-5
70.3%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Tommy Myers) to the UConn 31Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
-1
72.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 30Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+8
74.1%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Max DeLorenzo for 8 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 4:40
4TH & 1
OWN 38
-5
73.6%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Delay of Game (Justin Wain) to the UConn 33Similar
Q3 4:32
4TH & 6
OWN 33
+15
75.3%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
70.9%
Ron Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 46Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 12
OWN 46
-2
72.8%
Ron Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 44Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 14
OWN 44
0
74.6%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Joshua MarrinerSimilar
Q3 2:56
4TH & 14
OWN 44
0
76.0%
Justin Wain punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:0378% → 82%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
77.8%
Marlon Mack run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 19Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+9
78.8%
Marlon Mack run for 9 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q3 1:27
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
78.7%
Marlon Mack run for 3 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
81.8%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 3 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q3 0:07
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+2
83.4%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 2 yds to the SFla 36Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
83.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Mike McFarlandSimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
81.9%
Mattias Ciabatti punt for 61 yds, downed at the UConn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5523% → 18%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
77.4%
Max DeLorenzo run for 1 yd to the UConn 4Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+1
80.1%
Max DeLorenzo run for 1 yd to the UConn 5Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+2
81.4%
Max DeLorenzo run for 2 yds to the UConn 7Similar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 6
OWN 7
+4
82.3%
Justin Wain punt for 38 yds , Hassan Childs returns for 4 yds to the UConn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18FG
14 plays · 41 yds · 6:3086% → 92%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
86.4%
Mack, Marlon rush for 3 yards to the UCONN38, PENALTY SOUFLA illegal formation 5 yards to the UCONN46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 15
OPP 46
-1
85.9%
Marlon Mack run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 47Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 16
OPP 47
0
85.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Rodney AdamsSimilar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 16
OPP 47
+17
84.8%
Marlon Mack run for 17 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
87.6%
Marlon Mack run for 5 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+9
87.8%
Darius Tice run for 9 yds to the UConn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
87.9%
Darius Tice run for 1 yd to the UConn 15Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+2
88.2%
Darius Tice run for 2 yds to the UConn 13Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+9
88.0%
White, Mike pass incomplete to Adams, Rodney, PENALTY UCONN pass interference (Williams, Jhavon) 9 yards to the UCONN5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUFLA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
88.2%
Darius Tice run for 4 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
88.7%
Darius Tice run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 2Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
88.8%
Darius Tice run for 1 yd to the UConn 1Similar
Q4 6:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
91.5%
Marvin Kloss 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:229% → 7%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
90.8%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Kamal AbramsSimilar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
91.1%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Deshon Foxx for 5 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 5
OWN 31
-10
90.5%
Chandler Whitmer sacked by Derrick Calloway for a loss of 10 yards to the UConn 21Similar
Q4 4:31
4TH & 15
OWN 21
0
92.6%
Justin Wain punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Hassan Childs at the SFla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 6 yds · 2:2392% → 97%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
92.2%
Marlon Mack run for 9 yds to the SFla 38Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+2
93.5%
Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
94.6%
Marlon Mack run for 1 yd to the SFla 41Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+1
94.5%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 1 yd to the SFla 42Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-5
95.3%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Thor Jozwiak) to the SFla 37Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 13
OWN 37
-2
95.8%
Marlon Mack run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 35Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 15
OWN 35
-2
96.6%
Mattias Ciabatti punt for 38 yds , Deshon Foxx returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:333% → 24%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
96.8%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Noel Thomas for 11 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+25
96.4%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Deshon Foxx for 25 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
95.7%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Noel Thomas for 7 yds to the SFla 32Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+32
76.1%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 32 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:3094% → 95%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
93.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 14
50
-2
94.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:19
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 32 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)
-19.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:00
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line
+10.9
INT · Q2 0:05
Mike White pass intercepted for a TD Byron Jones return for 70 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)
-10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com