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BOIS

Boise State 38 at UConn 21

CONN
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FUMBLEFGTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.5+25.30−25.3−50.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:03: Grant Hedrick pass complete to Matt Miller for 35 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK) — BOIS win probability +7.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:32: Matt Miller pass complete to Grant Hedrick for 7 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK) — BOIS win probability +6.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:09: Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 10 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Chandler Whitmer pass to Arkeel Newsome GOOD) — CONN win probability +21.4 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 9:19: Grant Hedrick pass complete to Matt Miller for 9 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK) — BOIS win probability +12.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:00: Chandler Whitmer pass intercepted for a TD Donte Deayon return for 50 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK) — BOIS win probability +6.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 10 of 10BOIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 6:46CONN 4th & 5 at BOIS 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    17.5%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:51BOIS 4th & 8 at BOIS 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:46CONN 4th & 15 at CONN 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:04BOIS 4th & 3 at CONN 47, up 4
    Close callPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:41CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:40BOIS 4th & 17 at BOIS 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−1.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:29BOIS 4th & 10 at BOIS 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−1.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:25CONN 4th & 14 at CONN 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−2.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:33CONN 4th & 29 at CONN 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−3.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:01BOIS 4th & 7 at BOIS 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:30CONN 4th & 7 at BOIS 7, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    11.0%−6.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:26BOIS 4th & 14 at CONN 21, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−2.2
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    74.5%−6.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:23CONN 4th & 20 at CONN 15, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−2.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:27BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−1.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:59CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−3.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:16BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 37, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%−1.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:42CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:07BOIS 4th & 4 at CONN 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    88.4%−1.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    87.6%−1.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:46CONN 4th & 7 at BOIS 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 9:54CONN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:03BOIS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:32BOIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:09CONN Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    27.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    27.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:19BOIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:00BOIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1FUMBLE TD
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:2515% → 16%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.1%
Chandler Whitmer run for no gain to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
15.4%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Brian Lemelle for 1 yd to the UConn 26Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
15.6%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 12 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
15.8%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+31
15.8%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 8 yards Arkeel Newsome fumbled, forced by Armand Nance, recovered by BoiSt Tanner Vallejo, return for 31 yds for a TD(Dan Goodale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 5:0416% → 18%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
15.9%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Deshon Foxx for 6 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+2
16.1%
Joshua Marriner run for 2 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+15
16.0%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Sean McQuillan for 15 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
16.4%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Deshon FoxxSimilar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
16.4%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Thomas Lucas for 10 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
16.8%
Chandler Whitmer sacked by Armand Nance and Gabe Perez for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 48Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 13
OWN 48
0
16.6%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Kamal AbramsSimilar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+25
16.6%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 25 yds to the BoiSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
17.4%
Joshua Marriner run for no gain to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
17.6%
Chandler Whitmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+5
17.3%
Max DeLorenzo run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q1 6:46
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+39
18.4%
Bobby Puyol 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4882% → 81%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
18.0%
Grant Hedrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
18.1%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
18.4%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Shane Williams-RhodesSimilar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
18.8%
Sean Wale punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:5419% → 19%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
18.5%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Thomas Lucas for no gain to the UConn 30Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
18.7%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Thomas Lucas for 4 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 6
OWN 34
-9
19.0%
Tim Boyle sacked by Mat Boesen for a loss of 9 yards to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 15
OWN 25
+14
18.7%
Justin Wain punt for 43 yds , Shane Williams-Rhodes returns for 14 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:3781% → 81%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
18.7%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Matt MillerSimilar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
18.8%
Jay Ajayi run for 7 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
18.9%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Matt MillerSimilar
Q1 3:04
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
19.3%
Sean Wale punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:1720% → 20%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
19.5%
Max DeLorenzo run for 3 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
19.8%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 1:32
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-6
19.9%
Chandler Whitmer sacked by Kamalei Correa for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 19Similar
Q1 1:10
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+5
19.6%
BOISE ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UConn 24Similar
Q1 0:41
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+3
19.8%
Justin Wain punt for 53 yds , Shane Williams-Rhodes returns for 3 yds to the BoiSt 27 BOISE ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the BoiSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:5080% → 78%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
20.5%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+8
20.8%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jay Ajayi for 8 yds to the BoiSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
20.7%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 14 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
20.0%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-5
20.3%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (Marcus Henry) to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+7
21.4%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jake Roh for 7 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-11
20.8%
Grant Hedrick sacked by Cole Ormsby for a loss of 11 yards to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q2 12:40
4TH & 17
OWN 33
0
22.3%
Sean Wale punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Deshon Foxx at the UConn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8TD
6 plays · 83 yds · 2:2622% → 29%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+48
21.9%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Deshon Foxx for 48 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
24.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+10
24.6%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Deshon Foxx for 10 yds to the BoiSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
24.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+1
25.2%
Joshua Marriner run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+16
29.0%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Alec Bloom for 16 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0172% → 70%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-8
27.7%
Jay Ajayi run for a loss of 8 yards to the BoiSt 13Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 18
OWN 13
+8
28.3%
Grant Hedrick run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
29.2%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Shane Williams-RhodesSimilar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
30.0%
Sean Wale punt for 53 yds, downed at the UConn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:5529% → 29%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
28.8%
Joshua Marriner run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 24Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 12
OWN 24
-4
29.7%
Chandler Whitmer sacked by Mat Boesen for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 20Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 16
OWN 20
+2
29.2%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Brian Lemelle for 2 yds to the UConn 22Similar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 14
OWN 22
0
29.2%
Justin Wain punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Shane Williams-Rhodes at the BoiSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:1470% → 79%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
29.8%
Jay Ajayi run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+9
28.9%
Jay Ajayi run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
50
+3
28.7%
Shane Williams-Rhodes run for 3 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+12
29.0%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Matt Miller for 12 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
21.3%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Matt Miller for 35 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -19 yds · 2:2424% → 23%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
24.2%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sean McQuillan) to the UConn 15Similar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 20
OWN 15
-5
24.2%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Trey Rutherford) to the UConn 10Similar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 25
OWN 10
+6
24.5%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Deshon Foxx for 6 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 19
OWN 16
-10
24.6%
Chandler Whitmer sacked by Robert Ash for a loss of 10 yards to the UConn 6Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 29
OWN 6
0
23.3%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Dhameer BradleySimilar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 29
OWN 6
0
22.9%
Justin Wain punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13TD
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:4679% → 85%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
21.1%
Jay Ajayi run for no gain to the UConn 35Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
20.8%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Holden Huff for 8 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+21
21.3%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jake Roh for 21 yds to the UConn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
20.7%
Jay Ajayi run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 8Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
20.8%
Jay Ajayi run for 1 yd to the UConn 7Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
15.5%
Matt Miller pass complete to Grant Hedrick for 7 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:2617% → 16%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
16.7%
Chandler Whitmer run for 11 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
17.2%
Chandler Whitmer sacked by Kamalei Correa for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 30Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+6
16.1%
Chandler Whitmer run for 6 yds to the UConn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:5483% → 83%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
17.4%
Devan Demas run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+7
17.0%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 7 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
16.5%
Jay Ajayi run for no gain to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
16.6%
Grant Hedrick run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
16.7%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Matt MillerSimilar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
17.4%
Sean Wale punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Deshon Foxx at the UConn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16FG
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:2517% → 21%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
17.0%
Max DeLorenzo run for 3 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+20
17.1%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Deshon Foxx for 20 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
17.7%
Max DeLorenzo run for 4 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
18.3%
Chandler Whitmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+7
17.5%
Chandler Whitmer run for 7 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+19
17.8%
Max DeLorenzo run for 19 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
19.2%
Max DeLorenzo run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+8
17.9%
Chandler Whitmer run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+7
18.2%
Max DeLorenzo run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
19.3%
Whitmer, Chandler pass incomplete to Foxx, Deshon, PENALTY BOISEST pass interference (Moxey, Jonathan) 15 yards to the BOISEST6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCONN. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
19.4%
Max DeLorenzo run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 7Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
19.5%
Chandler Whitmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
18.3%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Jazzmar ClaxSimilar
Q3 7:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
21.4%
Bobby Puyol 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 3:4981% → 82%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
19.2%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jay Ajayi for 5 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+2
18.5%
Shane Williams-Rhodes run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+16
19.1%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Jake Roh for 16 yds to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+39
17.6%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 39 yds to the UConn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
16.6%
BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Travis Averill) to the UConn 27Similar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 20
OPP 27
0
17.2%
Terrell Johnson pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 20
OPP 27
+1
17.4%
Grant Hedrick run for 1 yd to the UConn 26Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 19
OPP 26
+5
17.2%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Matt Miller for 5 yds to the UConn 21Similar
Q3 3:26
4TH & 14
OPP 21
+38
17.2%
Dan Goodale 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q3 3:26
4TH & 14
OWN 35
-5
17.6%
BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18FUMBLE
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:5717% → 14%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.6%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Geremy DavisSimilar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
15.0%
Chandler Whitmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-10
14.3%
Chandler Whitmer sacked by Beau Martin and Gabe Perez for a loss of 10 yards to the UConn 15Similar
Q3 2:23
4TH & 20
OWN 15
-3
13.8%
Justin Wain punt for 52 yds , Shane Williams-Rhodes returns for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 30 Shane Williams-Rhodes fumbled, recovered by UConn Jon HicksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19TD
3 plays · 30 yds · 1:0718% → 40%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+17
18.3%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Deshon Foxx for 17 yds to the BoiSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
18.6%
Max DeLorenzo run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
40.0%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 10 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Chandler Whitmer pass to Arkeel Newsome GOOD)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:2869% → 66%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
31.3%
Shane Williams-Rhodes run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+2
29.7%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Dallas Burroughs for 2 yds to the BoiSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
31.0%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for no gain to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
31.9%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 5 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
31.7%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Dallas BurroughsSimilar
Q4 14:27
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
33.6%
Sean Wale punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Deshon Foxx at the UConn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2134% → 32%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
33.8%
Joshua Marriner run for 4 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
36.2%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Deshon FoxxSimilar
Q4 13:14
3RD & 6
OWN 34
-3
33.4%
Chandler Whitmer sacked by Beau Martin for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 31Similar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
31.7%
Justin Wain punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Shane Williams-Rhodes at the BoiSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2868% → 68%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
31.8%
Jay Ajayi run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 1
OWN 39
-15
28.0%
BOISE ST Penalty, Clipping (Holden Huff) to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+13
31.7%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Matt Miller for 13 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
29.7%
Grant Hedrick pass incomplete to Jay AjayiSimilar
Q4 11:16
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
32.0%
Sean Wale punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Deshon Foxx at the UConn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
33.0%
Chandler Whitmer pass intercepted Jonathan Moxey return for no gain to the UConn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 24TD
4 plays · 37 yds · 1:3475% → 90%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+25
25.3%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Holden Huff for 25 yds to the UConn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
23.5%
Jay Ajayi run for no gain to the UConn 12Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
22.7%
Jay Ajayi run for 3 yds to the UConn 9Similar
Q4 9:19
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+9
10.1%
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Matt Miller for 9 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2812% → 10%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
11.9%
Chandler Whitmer run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 18Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 13
OWN 18
+4
11.0%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Jazzmar Clax for 4 yds to the UConn 22Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
10.6%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Deshon FoxxSimilar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
10.0%
Justin Wain punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Shane Williams-Rhodes at the BoiSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 26DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:2890% → 92%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
10.0%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+15
9.5%
Hedrick, Grant pass incomplete to Burroughs, Dallas, PENALTY UCONN pass interference (Melifonwu, Obi) 15 yards to the UCONN40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOISEST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
9.0%
Jay Ajayi run for 2 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+5
9.1%
Jay Ajayi run for 5 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-1
8.0%
Jay Ajayi run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 5:07
4TH & 4
OPP 34
-5
7.6%
Grant Hedrick run for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 27INT TD
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:5010% → 3%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
9.5%
Max DeLorenzo run for 2 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+7
9.4%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Sean McQuillan for 7 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+50
2.8%
Chandler Whitmer pass intercepted for a TD Donte Deayon return for 50 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 28DOWNS
10 plays · 48 yds · 2:543% → 2%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
2.7%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Thomas Lucas for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
2.5%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Sean McQuillan for 5 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
2.5%
Joshua Marriner run for 6 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
2.5%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Thomas Lucas for 17 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
2.3%
Ron Johnson run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
2.7%
Tim Boyle pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
2.6%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Joshua Marriner for 3 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
2.4%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 7
OPP 27
0
2.3%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Dhameer BradleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
0.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:09
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 10 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Chandler Whitmer pass to Arkeel Newsome GOOD)
+21.4
TD · Q4 9:19
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Matt Miller for 9 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK)
-12.6
TD · Q2 5:03
Grant Hedrick pass complete to Matt Miller for 35 yds for a TD, (Dan Goodale KICK)
-7.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com