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Oklahoma 52 at Tulsa 7

TLSA
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Chapman Stadium
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Win probability · TLSA
modelTLSA aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playTLSA scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:44 · Zack Langer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 48 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 183Home team on offense−57.5Pregame prior−4.2Score differential−44.9Garbage-time factor−18.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−10.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:35: Trevor Knight run for 31 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +0.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:58: Trevor Knight pass complete to Blake Bell for 3 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +1.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:13: Alex Ross run for 82 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +1.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:42: Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 4 yds for a TD, (Carl Salazar KICK) — TLSA win probability +2.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:32: Keith Ford run for 23 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TLSA made the numbers' call on 8 of 11OU made the numbers' call on 2 of 7
  1. Q1 12:17TLSA 4th & 21 at TLSA 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:57OU 4th & 9 at TLSA 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    90.6%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:59TLSA 4th & 2 at TLSA 28, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:23TLSA 4th & 8 at TLSA 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:04OU 4th & 4 at TLSA 21, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.5%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:22TLSA 4th & 9 at TLSA 27, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:13OU 4th & 3 at OU 27, up 31
    Close callPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:32TLSA 4th & 3 at TLSA 49, down 31
    Close callPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:36OU 4th & 30 at TLSA 47, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:42TLSA 4th & 3 at OU 4, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:16TLSA 4th & 5 at OU 31, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:03OU 4th & 9 at OU 32, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:16TLSA 4th & 10 at TLSA 49, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:55TLSA 4th & 26 at TLSA 12, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:07OU 4th & 2 at OU 39, up 45
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:52TLSA 4th & 2 at TLSA 43, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:27OU 4th & 3 at OU 36, up 45
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:44TLSA 4th & 1 at TLSA 46, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TLSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 14:03OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:35OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:58OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:13OU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:42TLSA Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:32OU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:32OU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:56OU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 81 yds · 0:4794% → 94%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+54
5.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 54 yds to the Tulsa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+20
5.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 20 yds to the Tulsa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
5.9%
Keith Ford run for 7 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 1:256% → 6%
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
6.0%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 3 yds to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-10
6.0%
Dickerson, Tavarreon rush for 10 yards to the TULSA38, PENALTY TULSA holding (Lott, Tyler) 10 yards to the TULSA18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 17
OWN 18
-4
6.2%
Dane Evans sacked by Chuka Ndulue for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 21
OWN 14
0
6.2%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Payton PrinceSimilar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
6.2%
Dalton Parks punt for 43 yds , Michiah Quick returns for no gain to the Okla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:1194% → 94%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
6.3%
Durron Neal run for 16 yds to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
6.3%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-4
6.3%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+5
6.5%
Trevor Knight run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
6.5%
Jed Barnett punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:437% → 7%
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
6.6%
James Flanders run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
6.8%
James Flanders run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+3
6.9%
Dane Evans pass complete to Conner Floyd for 3 yds to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q1 8:59
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
7.0%
Dalton Parks punt for 44 yds, downed at the Okla 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:1593% → 94%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
7.0%
Trevor Knight run for 5 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST down TULSA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Michael Mudoh) to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
7.1%
Alex Ross run for 6 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
7.1%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+9
7.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 9 yds to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
7.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 11 yds to the Tulsa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
7.2%
Trevor Knight pass complete to K.J. Young for no gain to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+31
6.5%
Trevor Knight run for 31 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:567% → 7%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
6.9%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 12 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
7.0%
Dane Evans run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 38Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
7.1%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Joshua AtkinsonSimilar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
7.1%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
7.0%
Dalton Parks punt for 43 yds , Sterling Shepard returns for no gain to the Okla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 3:1993% → 95%
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+18
6.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 18 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
6.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Blake Bell for 7 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+6
6.7%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
50
+10
6.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 10 yds to the Tulsa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
6.8%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
6.8%
Keith Ford run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+10
6.9%
Keith Ford run for 10 yds to the Tulsa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
6.9%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
6.9%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to K.J. YoungSimilar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+18
6.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to K.J. Young for 18 yds to the Tulsa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
6.9%
Keith Ford run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 3Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
5.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Blake Bell for 3 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 8INT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:136% → 6%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-7
5.5%
Dane Evans pass complete to Tavarreon Dickerson for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 17
OWN 14
+5
5.5%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 5 yds to the Tulsa 19Similar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+13
5.5%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 13 yds to the Tulsa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
5.5%
Dane Evans run for no gain to the Tulsa 32Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
5.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
5.5%
Dane Evans pass intercepted Zack Sanchez return for no gain to the Tulsa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9FG
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:0195% → 95%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
4.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 9 yds to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+10
4.8%
Samaje Perine run for 10 yds to the Tulsa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-11
4.8%
Trevor Knight sacked by Derrick Luetjen for a loss of 11 yards to the Tulsa 38Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 21
OPP 38
+17
4.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 17 yds to the Tulsa 21Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 4
OPP 21
0
4.8%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling Shepard, broken up by Austin McDanielSimilar
Q2 12:04
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+38
4.8%
Michael Hunnicutt 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 10FUMBLE
18 plays · 55 yds · 5:235% → 6%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
5.2%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 9 yds to the Tulsa 24Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+1
5.3%
James Flanders run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
5.2%
TULSA Penalty, False Start (Blake Belcher) to the Tulsa 20Similar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+8
5.2%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 8 yds to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
5.2%
Dane Evans pass complete to Derek Patterson for 3 yds to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+12
5.3%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 12 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
5.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+15
5.5%
Evans, Dane pass incomplete to Louie, Bishop, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Thomas, Ahmad) 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULSA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
5.7%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 6 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+3
6.1%
James Flanders run for 3 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+2
6.1%
James Flanders run for 2 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+19
5.9%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 19 yds to the Okla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
5.9%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keyarris GarrettSimilar
Q2 6:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
5.9%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keyarris GarrettSimilar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 0
OPP 10
+18
5.9%
Dane Evans run for a loss of 20 yards to the Okla 18 Dane Evans fumbled, recovered by Okla Jordan Phillips , return for 3 yds to the Okla 7 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Chuka Ndulue) to the Okla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11TD
1 play · 82 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+82
3.9%
Alex Ross run for 82 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:213% → 3%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
2.9%
James Flanders run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
2.8%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Joshua AtkinsonSimilar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
2.7%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Conner Floyd, broken up by Hatari ByrdSimilar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 9
OWN 27
+53
2.7%
Dalton Parks punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the TULSA 30 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Illegal Block (Chuka Ndulue) to the Okla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4896% → 97%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
3.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to K.J. Young for no gain to the Okla 20Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
3.8%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+5
4.0%
Trevor Knight run for 5 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q2 3:13
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
3.4%
Jed Barnett punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Conner Floyd at the Tulsa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:133% → 2%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
2.7%
James Flanders run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 3
OWN 49
0
2.5%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Joshua Atkinson, broken up by Julian WilsonSimilar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
2.4%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan Lucas, broken up by Charles TapperSimilar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
2.4%
Dalton Parks punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 1:3797% → 98%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
3.1%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
2.5%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to K.J. Young, broken up by Austin McDanielSimilar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+39
2.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 39 yds to the Tulsa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
2.3%
Knight, Trevor pass incomplete to Woods, Derrick (Dobbins, Dwight), PENALTY TULSA pass interference (Dobbins, Dwight) 12 yards to the TULSA27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-15
2.2%
Knight, Trevor pass complete to Bell, Blake for 12 yards to the TULSA15, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Woods, Derrick) 15 yards to the TULSA42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 25
OPP 42
0
2.0%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 25
OPP 42
-5
2.0%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Adam Shead) to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 30
OPP 47
0
2.0%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Keith FordSimilar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 30
OPP 47
0
2.1%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 30
OPP 47
0
2.3%
Jed Barnett punt for 43 yds, downed at the Tulsa 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
1.8%
James Flanders run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 17TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:083% → 4%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
2.7%
James Flanders run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+20
3.2%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 20 yds to the Tulsa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
3.5%
James Flanders run for 14 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
3.7%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keyarris GarrettSimilar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+9
3.5%
Dane Evans pass complete to Joshua Atkinson for 9 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+4
3.7%
James Flanders run for 4 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
3.7%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 13 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
3.8%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Joshua Atkinson, broken up by Quentin HayesSimilar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+7
3.7%
James Flanders run for 7 yds to the Okla 4Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
3.3%
James Flanders run for no gain to the Okla 4Similar
Q3 11:42
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+4
3.9%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 4 yds for a TD, (Carl Salazar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 1:3497% → 99%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
3.1%
Keith Ford run for 5 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
3.1%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+10
2.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 10 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
2.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 13 yds to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+18
2.4%
Keith Ford run for 18 yds to the Tulsa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
1.1%
Keith Ford run for 23 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 19INT TD
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:501% → 1%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
1.4%
Dane Evans pass complete to Mandel Dixon for 9 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
1.3%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 3 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+38
0.5%
Dane Evans pass intercepted for a TD Geneo Grissom return for 38 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:091% → 1%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
0.5%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 12 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
0.5%
Dane Evans pass complete to Mandel Dixon for 15 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
0.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 7 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+5
0.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
0.5%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keyarris GarrettSimilar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
0.5%
Dane Evans run for 5 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 5
OPP 31
0
0.5%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Conner FloydSimilar
Q3 6:16
4TH & 5
OPP 31
0
0.5%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0499% → 99%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
0.6%
Alex Ross run for 1 yd to the Okla 32Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
0.6%
Alex Ross run for no gain to the Okla 32Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
0.6%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Durron Neal, broken up by Craig SuitsSimilar
Q3 5:03
4TH & 9
OWN 32
+3
0.7%
Jed Barnett punt for 43 yds , Conner Floyd returns for 3 yds to the Tulsa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:420% → 0%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+21
0.4%
Dane Evans pass complete to Conner Floyd for 21 yds to the Tulsa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
0.4%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keyarris Garrett, broken up by Julian WilsonSimilar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
0.4%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Conner FloydSimilar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
0.4%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to James FlandersSimilar
Q3 4:16
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
0.3%
Dalton Parks punt for 50 yds, downed at the Okla 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23TD
12 plays · 99 yds · 4:1399% → 100%
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+48
0.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 48 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
0.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 46Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+15
0.5%
Knight, Trevor pass incomplete to Shepard, Sterling, PENALTY TULSA pass interference (Thomas, Kerwin) 15 yards to the TULSA39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
0.4%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+2
0.4%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+5
0.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 5 yds to the Tulsa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
0.6%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Durron Neal, broken up by Will BarrowSimilar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+12
0.6%
Keith Ford run for 12 yds to the Tulsa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
0.6%
Keith Ford run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 16Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+1
0.5%
Alex Ross run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 15Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+15
0.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 15 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -16 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
0.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-10
0.1%
Brewer, D'Angelo rush for 9 yards to the TULSA40, PENALTY TULSA holding (Lucas, Keevan) 10 yards to the TULSA21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 17
OWN 21
0
0.1%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 17
OWN 21
-9
0.1%
Dane Evans sacked by Caleb Gastelum for a loss of 9 yards to the Tulsa 12Similar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 26
OWN 12
+1
0.1%
Dalton Parks punt for 58 yds , Sterling Shepard returns for 1 yd to the Okla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
0.4%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-1
0.4%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 33Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+6
0.4%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Samaje Perine for 6 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
0.4%
Jed Barnett punt for 41 yds , Conner Floyd returns for no gain to the Tulsa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:080% → 0%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
0.1%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
0.1%
D'Angelo Brewer run for no gain to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+10
0.1%
Dane Evans pass complete to Bishop Louie for 10 yds to the Tulsa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.1%
D'Angelo Brewer run for no gain to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
0.1%
Dane Evans pass complete to Bishop Louie for 2 yds to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+6
0.1%
Dane Evans run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 43Similar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
0.1%
Dalton Parks punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
0.3%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+9
0.3%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Jordan Smallwood for 9 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
0.2%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Aaron Ripkowski for 5 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+2
0.2%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
0.2%
Cody Thomas pass incomplete to Aaron Ripkowski, broken up by Brentom ToddSimilar
Q4 5:27
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
0.2%
Jed Barnett punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Conner Floyd at the Tulsa 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 28INT
13 plays · 64 yds · 4:310% → 0%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
0.1%
Zack Langer run for 11 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
0.1%
Zack Langer run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 44Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 3
OWN 44
0
0.1%
Joseph Calcagni pass incomplete to Zach EppsSimilar
Q4 4:09
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+2
0.1%
Joseph Calcagni pass complete to Zach Epps for 2 yds to the Tulsa 46Similar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+2
0.1%
Zack Langer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
0.1%
Zack Langer run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
0.0%
Joseph Calcagni pass incomplete to Bishop LouieSimilar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+11
0.0%
Joseph Calcagni run for 11 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
0.1%
Rowdy Simon run for 2 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+18
0.0%
Joseph Calcagni pass complete to Bishop Louie for 18 yds to the Okla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
0.1%
Joseph Calcagni pass complete to Bishop Louie for 4 yds to the Okla 16Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+6
0.0%
Joseph Calcagni pass complete to Nigel Carter for 6 yds to the Okla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
0.1%
Joseph Calcagni pass intercepted Caleb Gastelum return for 10 yds to the Okla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
0.2%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:42
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 4 yds for a TD, (Carl Salazar KICK)
+2
TD · Q2 6:13
Alex Ross run for 82 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)
-1.9
TD · Q1 1:58
Trevor Knight pass complete to Blake Bell for 3 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)
-1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com