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SMU

SMU 6 at North Texas 43

UNT
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadSMU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreSMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Eric Keena punt for 44 yds, downed at the SMU 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Home team on offense+20.0Score differential+15.0Pregame prior+5.2Garbage-time factor+6.9Blowout margin−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:51: Reggie Pegram run for 4 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +6.3 pts (now 70%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 3:57: Trevor Moore 21 yd FG GOOD — UNT win probability +8.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:32: Jarrian Roberts 31 Yd Fumble Return (Trevor Moore Kick) — UNT win probability +11.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 4:10: Trevor Moore 42 yd FG GOOD — UNT win probability +3.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 1:10: Trevor Moore 47 yd FG GOOD — UNT win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 10SMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00SMU 4th & 2 at UNT 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    37.8%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:34UNT 4th & 4 at SMU 27, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.0%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    61.2%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:34SMU 4th & 7 at SMU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:15UNT 4th & 5 at SMU 35, up 3
    Close callPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    62.8%−0.2
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:16SMU 4th & 1 at SMU 38, down 3
    Close callPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00UNT 4th & 22 at UNT 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:51SMU 4th & 3 at SMU 16, down 10
    Close callPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:57UNT 4th & 3 at SMU 4, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.5%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    66.0%−6.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:04UNT 4th & 6 at SMU 6, up 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.7%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    85.6%−6.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 29, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:52SMU 4th & 19 at SMU 18, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−1.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:03UNT 4th & 2 at SMU 45, up 23
    Close callPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.3%−1.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:25SMU 4th & 12 at SMU 5, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:10UNT 4th & 6 at SMU 25, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−2.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:10UNT 4th & 8 at SMU 30, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00SMU 4th & 14 at SMU 49, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:58UNT 4th & 11 at UNT 14, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:18SMU 4th & 7 at UNT 32, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:53SMU 4th & 5 at SMU 26, down 43
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 9:51UNT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:32UNT Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 9:18UNT Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:59UNT Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1DOWNS
7 plays · 50 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
60.5%
Neal Burcham pass complete to Der'rikk Thompson for 7 yds to the SMU 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+35
60.5%
Neal Burcham pass complete to Stephen Nelson for 35 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+5
60.5%
Neal Burcham pass complete to Der'rikk Thompson for 5 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
60.5%
Neal Burcham pass incomplete to Der'rikk ThompsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+3
60.5%
Kevin Pope run for 3 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
60.5%
Neal Burcham pass incomplete to Cedric LancasterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2FG
10 plays · 31 yds · 4:1161% → 61%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
60.7%
Reggie Pegram run for 4 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+10
60.8%
Reggie Pegram run for 10 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
60.9%
Reggie Pegram run for 3 yds to the SMU 41Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+3
60.9%
Reggie Pegram run for 3 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+5
60.8%
Josh Greer pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 5 yds to the SMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
60.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Shawn McKinney) to the SMU 38Similar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+5
60.7%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 5 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
60.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for no gain to the SMU 33Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+6
60.8%
Josh Greer pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 6 yds to the SMU 27Similar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+44
61.3%
Trevor Moore 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
61.2%
Neal Burcham pass complete to Kevin Pope for 2 yds to the SMU 27Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
61.2%
Neal Burcham pass complete to Deion Sanders Jr. for no gain to the SMU 27Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-10
61.5%
SMU Penalty, Offensive holding (N/A) to the SMU 17Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+11
61.6%
Neal Burcham pass complete to Kevin Pope for 11 yds to the SMU 28Similar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+34
61.7%
Jackson Koonce punt for 34 yds , Zac Whitfield returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
61.5%
Reggie Pegram run for 4 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-5
61.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Antonio Johnson) to the NoTex 36Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+12
61.3%
Reggie Pegram run for 12 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
62.0%
Josh Greer pass complete to Carlos Harris for 6 yds to the SMU 46Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+6
62.2%
Josh Greer pass complete to Carlos Harris for 6 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
62.2%
Reggie Pegram run for 1 yd to the SMU 39Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+4
62.1%
Reggie Pegram run for 4 yds to the SMU 35Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
62.0%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Marcus Smith, broken up by Jr RichardsonSimilar
Q1 6:15
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
61.6%
Blake Macek punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
62.0%
Neal Burcham pass complete to Stephen Nelson for 5 yds to the SMU 13Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 5
OWN 13
0
61.9%
Neal Burcham pass incomplete to Cedric LancasterSimilar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+4
62.4%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kenny Buyers) to the SMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
61.8%
Neal Burcham pass incomplete to Kevin Pope, broken up by Sed EllisSimilar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+12
62.0%
Neal Burcham pass complete to Der'rikk Thompson for 12 yds to the SMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
61.7%
Kevin Pope run for 5 yds to the SMU 34Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
61.3%
Neal Burcham pass complete to Stephen Nelson for 4 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
61.0%
Neal Burcham pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 3:16
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
61.7%
Jackson Koonce punt for 37 yds , Carlos Harris returns for no gain to the NoTex 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:3061% → 60%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
61.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
61.3%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-16
61.0%
Josh Greer sacked by Zelt Minor for a loss of 16 yards to the NoTex 13Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
60.2%
Eric Keena punt for 48 yds, downed at the SMU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7INT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
60.9%
SMU Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (N/A) to the SMU 24Similar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
61.8%
Neal Burcham pass complete to Cedric Lancaster for 14 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
61.0%
Neal Burcham pass complete to Cedric Lancaster for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 35Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+24
61.9%
Neal Burcham pass intercepted Dutton Watson return for 24 yds to the SMU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8TD
5 plays · 14 yds · 2:2664% → 70%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
63.7%
Reggie Pegram run for 1 yd to the SMU 13Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+8
63.7%
Reggie Pegram run for 8 yds to the SMU 5Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+4
63.0%
Reggie Pegram run for 4 yds to the SMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
63.7%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 4Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
70.0%
Reggie Pegram run for 4 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
69.2%
Neal Burcham pass incomplete to Der'rikk Thompson, broken up by James JonesSimilar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+7
69.4%
Neal Burcham pass complete to Deion Sanders Jr. for 7 yds to the SMU 16Similar
Q2 9:51
3RD & 3
OWN 16
0
69.6%
Neal Burcham pass incomplete to Deion Sanders Jr.Similar
Q2 9:51
4TH & 3
OWN 16
+1
70.2%
Jackson Koonce punt for 41 yds , Carlos Harris returns for 1 yd to the NoTex 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 4:4370% → 78%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
70.2%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Darvin Kidsy, broken up by Shakiel RandolphSimilar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+15
69.9%
Josh Greer pass complete to Carlos Harris for 15 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
70.4%
Reggie Pegram run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 43Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+20
70.0%
Josh Greer pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 20 yds to the SMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
70.5%
Reggie Pegram run for 2 yds to the SMU 21Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+5
70.5%
Reggie Pegram run for 5 yds to the SMU 16Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+5
69.8%
Reggie Pegram run for 5 yds to the SMU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
70.5%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (Shawn McKinney) to the SMU 16Similar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+2
70.5%
Reggie Pegram run for 2 yds to the SMU 14Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 13
OPP 14
+9
70.4%
Josh Greer pass complete to Darius Terrell for 9 yds to the SMU 5Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+1
69.8%
Reggie Pegram run for 1 yd to the SMU 4Similar
Q2 3:57
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+21
78.1%
Trevor Moore 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:2523% → 12%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
76.7%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kenny Buyers) to the SMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-31
88.2%
Jarrian Roberts 31 Yd Fumble Return (Trevor Moore Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 12INT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:2811% → 11%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
89.1%
Kevin Pope run for 9 yds to the SMU 15Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+8
88.8%
Kevin Pope run for 8 yds to the SMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
88.7%
SMU Penalty, false start (Evan Brown) to the SMU 18Similar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 15
OWN 18
0
88.8%
Neal Burcham pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 15
OWN 18
0
88.9%
Kevin Pope run for no gain to the SMU 18Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 15
OWN 18
0
89.5%
Neal Burcham pass intercepted Lairamie Lee return for no gain to the SMU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:5392% → 91%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
91.7%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 5 yds to the SMU 26Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+18
91.7%
Josh Greer pass complete to Darius Terrell for 18 yds to the SMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
91.7%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 1 yd to the SMU 7Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
93.2%
Reggie Pegram run for no gain to the SMU 7Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
91.3%
Josh Greer pass complete to Reggie Pegram for 1 yd to the SMU 6Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
91.4%
Trevor Moore 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
92.3%
Reggie Pegram run for 10 yds to the NoTex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
92.4%
Reggie Pegram run for no gain to the NoTex 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
92.3%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
92.3%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Darvin KidsySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
91.8%
Eric Keena punt for 44 yds, downed at the SMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
92.2%
Kolney Cassel pass incomplete to Der'rikk ThompsonSimilar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
92.4%
Kolney Cassel pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-9
92.5%
Kevin Pope run for 1 yd to the SMU 28 SMU Penalty, Offensive holding (Evan Brown) to the SMU 18Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 19
OWN 18
0
92.6%
Kolney Cassel pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 12:52
4TH & 19
OWN 18
+47
92.6%
Jackson Koonce punt for 37 yds , Carlos Harris returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 17 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (Jeffrey Wilson) to the NoTex 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
93.7%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 13 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
94.0%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 7
50
+4
93.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 4 yds to the SMU 46Similar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+1
93.9%
Josh Greer run for 1 yd to the SMU 45 Josh Greer fumbled, forced by Darrian Wright, recovered by NoTex Shawn McKinneySimilar
Q3 12:03
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
93.4%
Blake Macek punt for 38 yds , Cedric Lancaster returns for no gain to the SMU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
94.3%
Kolney Cassel pass incomplete to Ryheem MaloneSimilar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+4
94.3%
Kevin Pope run for 4 yds to the SMU 11Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 6
OWN 11
-6
94.3%
Kolney Cassel sacked by Andy Flusche and Dutton Watson for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 5Similar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 12
OWN 5
+15
94.4%
Jackson Koonce punt for 46 yds , Carlos Harris returns for 15 yds to the NoTex 20 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (N/A) to the NoTex 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:2895% → 99%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
95.3%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 6 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+2
95.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the SMU 43Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+14
95.3%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 14 yds to the SMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
95.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the SMU 27Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+2
95.4%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the SMU 25Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 6
OPP 25
-5
95.3%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SMU 30Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+5
95.3%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Jeffrey Wilson for 5 yds to the SMU 25Similar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+42
98.8%
Trevor Moore 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+33
99.2%
Kolney Cassel pass complete to Stephen Nelson for 16 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, roughing passer (N/A) to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
99.1%
Kevin Pope run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 43 Kevin Pope fumbled, forced by Derek Akunne, recovered by NoTex Sir Calvin WallaceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21FG
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:2799% → 100%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
99.0%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Marcus Smith for 8 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+2
98.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.0%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 4 yds to the SMU 43Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+11
99.0%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 11 yds to the SMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
99.0%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the SMU 30Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
99.0%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
99.0%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Darvin KidsySimilar
Q3 1:10
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+47
99.7%
Trevor Moore 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:100% → 0%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+33
99.7%
Matt Davis pass complete to Der'rikk Thompson for 33 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Horace RichardsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-4
99.7%
Matt Davis sacked by Alexander Lincoln and Chad Polk for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Kolney Cassel pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 49
+7
99.8%
Jackson Koonce punt for 43 yds , Carlos Harris returns for 7 yds to the NoTex 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
99.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 14 Jeffrey Wilson fumbled, recovered by NoTex Jeffrey WilsonSimilar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 11
OWN 14
-5
99.8%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Shawn McKinney) to the NoTex 9Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 16
OWN 9
+3
99.7%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 12Similar
Q4 13:58
3RD & 13
OWN 12
+7
99.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 7 yds to the NoTex 19Similar
Q4 13:58
4TH & 6
OWN 19
-5
99.7%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Darvin Kidsy) to the NoTex 14Similar
Q4 13:58
4TH & 11
OWN 14
0
99.7%
Eric Keena punt for 51 yds , Cedric Lancaster returns for no gain to the SMU 21 Cedric Lancaster fumbled, recovered by NoTex Darvin KidsySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24TD
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
99.8%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 4 yds to the SMU 17Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
99.8%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for no gain to the SMU 17Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+9
99.8%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 9 yds to the SMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.8%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for no gain to the SMU 8Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jeffrey Wilson KICK), (Zach Paul KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 25DOWNS
11 plays · 68 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+40
99.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Derek Akunne) to the SMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Kolney Cassel pass incomplete to Ryheem MaloneSimilar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+10
99.9%
Kolney Cassel pass complete to Der'rikk Thompson for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
50
+15
99.9%
Kolney Cassel pass complete to Shelby Walker for 15 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
99.9%
Kolney Cassel pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 8 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 2
OPP 27
-5
99.8%
SMU Penalty, false start (N/A) to the NoTex 32Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 7
OPP 32
-10
99.9%
SMU Penalty, Offensive holding (Kris Weeks) to the NoTex 42Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 17
OPP 42
+3
99.9%
Kolney Cassel pass complete to A.J. Justice for 3 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 14
OPP 39
+7
99.9%
Kolney Cassel pass complete to Der'rikk Thompson for 7 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q4 9:18
4TH & 7
OPP 32
0
99.8%
Kolney Cassel pass incomplete to A.J. JusticeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 26TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 3:03100% → 100%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
99.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (N/A) to the NoTex 22Similar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 20
OWN 22
+19
99.9%
Dajon Williams run for 19 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the NoTex 41Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
Jarrod Lynn run for 4 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+53
99.9%
Erick Evans run for 53 yds for a TD, (Zach Paul KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 27TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 2:530% → 0%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
100.0%
Derek Longoria run for 7 yds to the SMU 28Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 3
OWN 28
-2
100.0%
Derek Longoria run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 26Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Kolney Cassel pass incomplete to Daijuan Stewart, broken up by Anthony WallaceSimilar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+18
100.0%
Kolney Cassel pass complete to Nate Halverson for 18 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Kolney Cassel pass incomplete to Ryheem MaloneSimilar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+13
100.0%
Kolney Cassel pass complete to Daijuan Stewart for 13 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Kolney Cassel pass complete to K.C. Nlemchi for no gain to the NoTex 43Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+26
100.0%
Kolney Cassel pass complete to Nate Halverson for 11 yds to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the NoTex 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-11
99.9%
Kolney Cassel sacked by Sid Moore for a loss of 11 yards to the NoTex 28Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 21
OPP 28
0
100.0%
Kolney Cassel pass incomplete to K.C. NlemchiSimilar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 21
OPP 28
-5
100.0%
SMU Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 33Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 26
OPP 33
+33
100.0%
Kolney Cassel pass complete to Nate Halverson for 33 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:32
Jarrian Roberts 31 Yd Fumble Return (Trevor Moore Kick)
+11.5
FG · Q2 3:57
Trevor Moore 21 yd FG GOOD
+8.3
TD · Q2 9:51
Reggie Pegram run for 4 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)
+6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com