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ECU

East Carolina 23 at South Carolina 33

SC
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGTDFGFGTDFGTDFGEnd of GameFG+4.6SC 94.5%Elliott Fry 26 yd FG GOODAWAY 16 - HOME 30 · Q3 0:43
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:43 · Elliott Fry 26 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 141Pregame prior+9.5Home team on offense+22.3Garbage-time factor+10.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1Score differential+9.2Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:35: Chris Hairston run for 10 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK) — ECU win probability +5.8 pts (now 29%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:49: Mike Davis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +6.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:36: Dylan Thompson pass complete to K.J. Brent for 16 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +7.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 0:43: Elliott Fry 26 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +4.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:03: Shane Carden pass complete to Cam Worthy for 17 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK) — ECU win probability +12.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ECU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00SC 4th & 4 at SC 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:20ECU 4th & 8 at SC 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    16.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:35ECU 4th & 6 at SC 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    17.5%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:55SC 4th & 10 at ECU 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    68.8%−4.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:55ECU 4th & 6 at ECU 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:22ECU 4th & 15 at SC 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    18.1%−2.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:02SC 4th & 10 at ECU 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    75.1%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:23SC 4th & 1 at ECU 18, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    86.7%−1.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−4.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:43SC 4th & 4 at ECU 9, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.9%−0.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    84.2%−5.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00ECU 4th & 3 at SC 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    7.0%−1.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:30SC 4th & 1 at ECU 2, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    60% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.5%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    90.4%−4.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ECU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:56SC Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:35ECU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:49SC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:36SC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:03ECU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
82.8%
Brandon Wilds run for 2 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
82.8%
Brandon Wilds run for 3 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+1
82.8%
Dylan Thompson run for 1 yd to the SCaro 44Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
82.8%
Tyler Hull punt for 53 yds, downed at the ECaro 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 2FG
12 plays · 89 yds · 3:1018% → 19%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+10
82.1%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 10 yds to the ECaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
82.1%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 15 yds to the ECaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
82.1%
Shane Carden pass complete to Breon Allen for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 25Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+5
82.1%
Marquez Grayson run for 5 yds to the ECaro 30Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+17
82.2%
Shane Carden pass complete to Trevon Brown for 17 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
82.0%
CARDEN, Shane pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Jimmy (Rico McWilliams), PENALTY SC pass interference (Rico McWilliams) 15 yards to the SC38, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
81.9%
Shane Carden pass complete to Cam Worthy for 9 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+21
81.9%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 21 yds to the SCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
81.9%
Shane Carden pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
81.9%
Shane Carden run for no gain to the SCaro 8Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
81.9%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Justin HardySimilar
Q1 9:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
80.8%
Warren Harvey 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
80.8%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
80.8%
Dylan Thompson pass intercepted Josh Hawkins return for no gain to the SCaro 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4FG
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:2820% → 21%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
80.4%
Marquez Grayson run for 9 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 1
OPP 34
0
80.3%
Shane Carden pass complete to Chris Hairston for no gain to the SCaro 34Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+12
80.5%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 12 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
80.3%
Shane Carden run for no gain to the SCaro 22Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
80.4%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+4
80.5%
Cory Hunter run for 4 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q1 6:35
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+35
79.0%
Warren Harvey 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 4:3979% → 80%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
79.1%
Mike Davis run for 6 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+6
79.2%
Mike Davis run for 6 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
79.2%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
79.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 5 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+8
79.1%
Dylan Thompson run for 8 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
79.6%
David Williams run for no gain to the SCaro 43Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+13
79.4%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 13 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
79.8%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 6 yds to the ECaro 38Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+2
79.9%
Mike Davis run for 2 yds to the ECaro 36Similar
Q1 1:56
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+36
80.1%
Mike Davis run for 36 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 3:2121% → 29%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+17
79.2%
Shane Carden pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 17 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
78.8%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+23
79.0%
Shane Carden pass complete to Breon Allen for 23 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
78.1%
Breon Allen run for 4 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 6
OPP 37
-2
78.0%
Shane Carden pass complete to Breon Allen for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+9
77.5%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 9 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
77.0%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 6 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+14
76.8%
Shane Carden pass complete to Davon Grayson for 14 yds to the SCaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
71.1%
Chris Hairston run for 10 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7FG
14 plays · 54 yds · 3:4073% → 74%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
73.2%
Mike Davis run for 1 yd to the SCaro 26Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
73.1%
Pharoh Cooper run for 6 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
73.1%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
73.5%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (N/A) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
50
0
74.8%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 10
50
+19
74.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 19 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
74.0%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+10
73.9%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to K.J. Brent for 10 yds to the ECaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
74.0%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to K.J. Brent, broken up by Detric AllenSimilar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
74.0%
Brandon Wilds run for no gain to the ECaro 21Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
73.2%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+39
73.8%
Elliott Fry 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.2%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Cam WorthySimilar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
73.3%
Shane Carden run for 4 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
73.5%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for no gain to the ECaro 29Similar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+5
74.3%
Worth Gregory punt for 52 yds , Pharoh Cooper returns for 5 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 3:3572% → 80%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
72.4%
Brandon Wilds run for 5 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+4
72.7%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 4 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+5
72.9%
Brandon Wilds run for 5 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
73.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 7 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+31
74.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 31 yds to the ECaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
75.2%
Mike Davis run for 2 yds to the ECaro 22Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+19
75.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for 19 yds to the ECaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
80.1%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10MISSED FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:2723% → 22%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
77.3%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
77.6%
Breon Allen run for 5 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+6
77.4%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 6 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+44
76.7%
Breon Allen run for 44 yds to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
74.2%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 24Similar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 15
OPP 24
0
74.7%
Shane Carden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 15
OPP 24
0
75.0%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Cam Worthy, broken up by Brison WilliamsSimilar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 15
OPP 24
0
76.3%
Anthony Scott run for no gain to the SCaro 24Similar
Q2 2:22
4TH & 15
OPP 24
+42
78.0%
Warren Harvey 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Gerald DixonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:2080% → 81%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
80.4%
Brandon Wilds run for 4 yds to the ECaro 42Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+18
80.4%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 18 yds to the ECaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
80.7%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to N/A, broken up by Domonique LennonSimilar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
80.6%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Nick Jones, broken up by Josh HawkinsSimilar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
79.8%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Shaq RolandSimilar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+42
81.3%
Elliott Fry 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12FG
8 plays · 53 yds · 0:5818% → 24%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
82.4%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 13 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
81.7%
CARDEN, Shane pass incomplete to GRAYSON, Davon, QB hurry by J.T. Surratt, PENALTY SC roughing passer (J.T. Surratt) 15 yards to the SC47, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
79.8%
Chris Hairston run for 5 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+20
79.3%
Shane Carden pass complete to Cam Worthy for 20 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
78.9%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Cam WorthySimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+40
75.6%
Warren Harvey 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13INT
8 plays · 38 yds · 0:0024% → 26%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.1%
Chris Hairston run for 1 yd to the ECaro 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-7
76.1%
Chris Hairston run for 3 yds to the ECaro 29 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the ECaro 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+16
76.4%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 16 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
75.5%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 23 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
73.3%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 5 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
73.0%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Justin HardySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
73.7%
Shane Carden pass intercepted Sharrod Golightly return for no gain to the SCaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:0176% → 87%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
76.1%
Mike Davis run for 7 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+5
77.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 5 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
77.4%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 11 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
78.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Pharoh Cooper for 9 yds to the ECaro 37Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+4
78.1%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for 4 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
78.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 12 yds to the ECaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-4
78.6%
Brandon Wilds run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 25Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 14
OPP 25
+9
77.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Brandon Wilds for 9 yds to the ECaro 16Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+16
86.6%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to K.J. Brent for 16 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15INT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
85.1%
Shane Carden pass complete to Breon Allen for 9 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
84.1%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 7 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
84.1%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 2 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+10
84.2%
Shane Carden pass complete to Trevon Brown for 10 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
83.1%
SCOTT, Anthony rush for 4 yards to the SC43 (Darius English), PENALTY ECU holding 10 yards to the ECU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+7
84.9%
Shane Carden pass intercepted T.J. Gurley return for 7 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16FG
14 plays · 46 yds · 5:4087% → 95%
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
87.1%
Mike Davis run for 4 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+13
87.0%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 13 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
87.3%
Mike Davis run for 4 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
87.3%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Nick Jones for 10 yds to the ECaro 24 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (Pharoh Cooper) to the ECaro 34Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+7
87.3%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 7 yds to the ECaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
87.3%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Shaq RolandSimilar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+6
87.2%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to David Williams for 6 yds to the ECaro 21Similar
Q3 6:23
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+3
86.8%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the ECaro 18Similar
Q3 6:23
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+3
86.2%
Mike Davis run for 3 yds to the ECaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
87.3%
Mike Davis run for 5 yds to the ECaro 10Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+1
90.3%
Brandon Wilds run for 1 yd to the ECaro 9Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
89.9%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Rory AndersonSimilar
Q3 0:43
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+26
94.5%
Elliott Fry 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:407% → 21%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
92.6%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Davon Grayson for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, roughing passer (Jonathan Walton) to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
92.0%
Chris Hairston run for 14 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
91.6%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Cam WorthySimilar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
91.8%
Chris Hairston run for 2 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+5
92.9%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 5 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+4
93.0%
Shane Carden run for 4 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
92.0%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 6 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+3
91.5%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 3 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
92.3%
Shane Carden run for 4 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
91.5%
Breon Allen run for 5 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+17
79.2%
Shane Carden pass complete to Cam Worthy for 17 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18FG
23 plays · 86 yds · 10:2787% → 98%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
86.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 6 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 4
OWN 18
0
86.4%
Dylan Thompson pass incomplete to Shaq Roland, broken up by Josh HawkinsSimilar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+5
85.7%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Mike Davis for 5 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
86.5%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Shaq Roland for 7 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
86.9%
Pharoh Cooper run for no gain to the SCaro 30Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+6
86.0%
Brandon Wilds run for 6 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
87.3%
Brandon Wilds run for 9 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+6
88.2%
Brandon Wilds run for 6 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
88.5%
Mike Davis run for 4 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+8
88.4%
Mike Davis run for 8 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
88.6%
Brandon Wilds run for 5 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+5
88.8%
Brandon Wilds run for 5 yds to the ECaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
88.9%
Brandon Wilds run for 2 yds to the ECaro 25Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+14
88.9%
Dylan Thompson pass complete to Jerell Adams for 14 yds to the ECaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
88.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 16Similar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 15
OPP 16
0
88.9%
Mike Davis run for no gain to the ECaro 16Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 15
OPP 16
+4
88.5%
Mike Davis run for 4 yds to the ECaro 12Similar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 11
OPP 12
+10
95.5%
Dylan Thompson run for 10 yds to the ECaro 2Similar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+20
98.0%
Elliott Fry 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 19END OF GAME
7 plays · 40 yds · 1:234% → 3%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
96.5%
Shane Carden pass complete to Breon Allen for 11 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
96.2%
Shane Carden run for 4 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+5
96.1%
Shane Carden run for 5 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+6
96.0%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 6 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
96.7%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 14 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:03
Shane Carden pass complete to Cam Worthy for 17 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)
-12.3
TD · Q3 8:36
Dylan Thompson pass complete to K.J. Brent for 16 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
+7.4
TD · Q2 4:49
Mike Davis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
+6.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com