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STBK

Stony Brook 16 at UConn 19

CONN
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadSTBK aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreSTBK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:08 · Luke Allen punt for 34 yds, downed at the StBrk 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Pregame prior+8.7Home team on offense+14.3Garbage-time factor+3.0Score differential+5.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Blowout margin+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 2:14: Przemyslaw Popek 33 yd FG GOOD — STBK win probability +2.9 pts (now 22%) (top driver: STBK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:51: Geremy Davis 30 Yd pass from Chandler Whitmer (Bobby Puyol PAT blocked) — CONN win probability +7.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. PUNT · Q3 9:22: Luke Allen punt for 61 yds , Deshon Foxx returns for 72 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK) — CONN win probability +9.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: STBK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:53: Conor Bednarski pass complete to Will Tye for 14 yds for a TD, (Przemyslaw Popek MISSED) — STBK win probability +22.8 pts (now 32%) (top driver: STBK has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:53: Max DeLorenzo run for no gain to the UConn 41 — CONN win probability +13.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 8 of 11STBK made the numbers' call on 11 of 15
  1. Q1 12:44CONN 4th & 3 at STBK 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.0%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    84.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:44STBK 4th & 1 at STBK 49, down 3
    Close callPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:54CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:45STBK 4th & 1 at STBK 41, up 4
    Close callPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:14STBK 4th & 6 at CONN 16, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:45CONN 4th & 10 at STBK 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    69.3%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:45STBK 4th & 3 at STBK 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:16CONN 4th & 26 at CONN 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%−1.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:41STBK 4th & 16 at CONN 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    25.7%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:04CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:41STBK 4th & 10 at STBK 18, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:23STBK 4th & 7 at STBK 40, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00STBK 4th & 4 at STBK 31, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−0.9
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:29CONN 4th & 6 at STBK 48, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:22STBK 4th & 6 at STBK 11, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 9:22STBK 4th & 9 at STBK 13, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  17. Q3 7:12CONN 4th & 3 at STBK 40, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    84.5%−1.6
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%−1.4
    average punt
  18. Q3 4:28STBK 4th & 2 at STBK 45, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%−1.0
    average punt
  19. Q3 1:50CONN 4th & 11 at CONN 29, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−1.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  20. Q4 15:00STBK 4th & 8 at CONN 33, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.5%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−1.4
    average punt
  21. Q4 13:42CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 48, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  22. Q4 12:08STBK 4th & 5 at STBK 15, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  23. Q4 10:34CONN 4th & 16 at STBK 43, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    86.3%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  24. Q4 3:23STBK 4th & 3 at CONN 42, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%−1.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−1.9
    average punt
  25. Q4 0:49CONN 4th & 1 at midfield, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.3 ptsPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%−4.3
    average punt
  26. Q4 0:37STBK 4th & 13 at STBK 3, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.1%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1STBK made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:54STBK Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:51CONN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1FG
6 plays · 40 yds · 2:1687% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+33
86.6%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 18 yds to the UCONN 47 for a 1ST down STONY BROOK Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the StBrk 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
86.6%
Max DeLorenzo run for 3 yds to the StBrk 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+5
86.6%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Kamal Abrams for 5 yds to the StBrk 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 24
-1
86.6%
Joshua Marriner run for a loss of 1 yard to the StBrk 25Similar
Q1 12:44
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+42
86.2%
Bobby Puyol 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
86.1%
Stacey Bedell run for 1 yd to the StBrk 30Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+10
86.1%
John Kinder pass complete to Jahrie Level for 10 yds to the StBrk 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
86.1%
Stacey Bedell run for 9 yds to the StBrk 49Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
86.0%
Stacey Bedell run for no gain to the StBrk 49Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
86.0%
Marcus Coker run for no gain to the StBrk 49Similar
Q1 12:44
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
86.1%
Luke Allen punt for 50 yds, downed at the UConn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -1 yds · 1:2785% → 84%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
85.2%
Joshua Marriner run for no gain to the UConn 1Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
85.2%
Joshua Marriner run for no gain to the UConn 1Similar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
83.5%
Naim Cheeseboro 0 Yd Fumble Return (Przemyslaw Popek Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
83.8%
Chandler Whitmer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
83.8%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Geremy DavisSimilar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+6
83.6%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Deshon Foxx for 6 yds to the UConn 22 CONNECTICUT Penalty, IP ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 4
OWN 22
0
83.6%
Justin Wain punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:2417% → 17%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-15
83.3%
KINDER,John pass incomplete to TYE, Wil (ADAMS, Andrew), PENALTY SBU IB (LISI, Mike) 15 yards to the SBU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 25
OWN 17
0
83.5%
Stacey Bedell run for no gain to the StBrk 17Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 25
OWN 17
+4
83.5%
Stacey Bedell run for 4 yds to the StBrk 21Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 21
OWN 21
+20
83.0%
John Kinder pass complete to Nick Wagner for 20 yds to the StBrk 41Similar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
82.6%
Luke Allen punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Deshon Foxx at the UConn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.3%
Ron Johnson run for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-8
82.3%
Chandler Whitmer run for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 20 Chandler Whitmer fumbled, recovered by StBrk Aaron ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 7FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:0219% → 22%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
81.1%
Marcus Coker run for 1 yd to the UConn 19Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+7
81.1%
John Kinder run for 7 yds to the UConn 12Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 2
OPP 12
-4
81.3%
Marcus Coker run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 16Similar
Q1 2:14
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+33
78.4%
Przemyslaw Popek 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 5:2979% → 78%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
79.0%
Max DeLorenzo run for 3 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
79.4%
Chandler Whitmer run for 5 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+5
79.4%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Jazzmar Clax for 5 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+22
79.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for 22 yds to the StBrk 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
78.9%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 14 yds to the StBrk 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
78.9%
Max DeLorenzo run for a loss of 3 yards to the StBrk 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 19
+9
78.7%
Chandler Whitmer sacked by Tyrice Beverette for a loss of 1 yard to the StBrk 20 for a 1ST down STONY BROOK Penalty, personal foul (Victor Ochi) to the StBrk 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
78.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 2 yards to the StBrk 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+2
78.9%
Chandler Whitmer run for 2 yds to the StBrk 10Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
76.4%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Geremy DavisSimilar
Q2 11:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
77.7%
Bobby Puyol 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.2%
John Kinder pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
77.3%
John Kinder run for 6 yds to the StBrk 31 STONY BROOK Penalty, Offensive holding (N/A) to the StBrk 21Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+11
77.5%
Stacey Bedell run for 11 yds to the StBrk 32Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
77.1%
John Kinder pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 11:45
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
77.7%
Luke Allen punt for 46 yds, downed at the UConn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -16 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
76.1%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (N/A) to the UConn 17Similar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 15
OWN 17
0
76.1%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Deshon FoxxSimilar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 15
OWN 17
-8
75.9%
Chandler Whitmer sacked by Christian Ricard for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 9Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 23
OWN 9
-3
75.0%
Max DeLorenzo run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 6Similar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 26
OWN 6
+10
74.7%
Justin Wain punt for 44 yds , Will Tye returns for 10 yds to the UConn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 1:5927% → 26%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
73.3%
John Kinder run for 3 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-1
73.3%
Marcus Coker run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 38Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+2
71.8%
Stacey Bedell run for 2 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 6
OPP 36
-10
72.9%
KINDER,John pass complete to LEVEL,Jahrie for 9 yards to the UCONN27 (WILLIAMS, Jh.;STEWART, Graham), PENALTY SBU holding (GARRICK, Armani) 10 yards to the UCONN46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 16
OPP 46
+11
74.1%
Luke Allen punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 17 , Deshon Foxx returns for 11 yds to the UConn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
73.0%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Kamal Abrams for no gain to the UConn 17 for a 1ST down STONY BROOK Penalty, personal foul (Naim Cheeseboro) to the UConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
73.3%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Kamal AbramsSimilar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
73.2%
Ron Johnson run for 4 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
73.0%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Geremy DavisSimilar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
72.5%
Justin Wain punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Will Tye at the StBrk 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
72.6%
Marcus Coker run for a loss of 3 yards to the StBrk 15Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 13
OWN 15
0
73.0%
John Kinder pass incomplete to Jahrie Level, broken up by Byron JonesSimilar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 13
OWN 15
+3
73.6%
John Kinder run for 3 yds to the StBrk 18 STONY BROOK Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:41
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
74.2%
Luke Allen punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Deshon Foxx at the UConn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:3671% → 82%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
71.3%
Chandler Whitmer run for 5 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+17
72.4%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Max DeLorenzo for 17 yds to the StBrk 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
73.7%
Max DeLorenzo run for 18 yds to the StBrk 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
82.0%
Geremy Davis 30 Yd pass from Chandler Whitmer (Bobby Puyol PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:2818% → 18%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
81.7%
Stacey Bedell run for 9 yds to the StBrk 34Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
80.4%
Stacey Bedell run for 3 yds to the StBrk 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
81.1%
Stacey Bedell run for a loss of 1 yard to the StBrk 36Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
81.5%
John Kinder pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+4
82.2%
Marcus Coker run for 4 yds to the StBrk 40Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+2
81.6%
Luke Allen punt for 33 yds , Deshon Foxx returns for 2 yds to the UConn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
79.0%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Kamal AbramsSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+11
78.7%
Chandler Whitmer run for 11 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.0%
John Kinder pass incomplete to Jahrie Level, broken up by Reuben FrankSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
77.1%
Stacey Bedell run for a loss of 4 yards to the StBrk 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+10
78.1%
Stacey Bedell run for 10 yds to the StBrk 31Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
78.1%
Luke Allen punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Deshon Foxx at the UConn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-4
77.6%
Max DeLorenzo run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 24Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 14
OWN 24
0
77.1%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Geremy DavisSimilar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 14
OWN 24
+24
76.2%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 24 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
79.3%
Ron Johnson run for 4 yds to the StBrk 48Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
79.6%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Deshon FoxxSimilar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
79.0%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Geremy DavisSimilar
Q3 13:29
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
77.4%
Justin Wain punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Will Tye at the StBrk 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 19PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:2124% → 14%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
76.2%
John Kinder pass complete to Jahrie Level for 7 yds to the StBrk 14Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 3
OWN 14
-2
75.9%
Marcus Coker run for a loss of 2 yards to the StBrk 12Similar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 5
OWN 12
-1
77.0%
John Kinder sacked by Mikal Myers for a loss of 1 yard to the StBrk 11Similar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 6
OWN 11
+72
86.2%
Luke Allen punt for 61 yds , Deshon Foxx returns for 72 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
84.9%
Marcus Coker run for 8 yds to the StBrk 20Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 2
OWN 20
-10
84.5%
COKER, Marcus rush for no gain to the SBU20 (MCBRYDE, B.J.;VANN, Marquise), PENALTY SBU holding (GARRICK, Armani) 10 yards to the SBU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 12
OWN 10
0
85.1%
Conor Bednarski pass incomplete to Marcus CokerSimilar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 12
OWN 10
+3
85.7%
Marcus Coker run for 3 yds to the StBrk 13Similar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 9
OWN 13
0
86.2%
Luke Allen punt for 37 yds , Brian Lemelle returns for no gain to the UConn 13 CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive holding (Vontae Diggs) to the UConn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
87.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+10
86.6%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 10 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+5
86.7%
Chandler Whitmer run for 5 yds to the StBrk 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
87.5%
WHITMER, Chan. pass incomplete to DAVIS, Geremy, PENALTY UCONN holding (LEVY, Richard) 10 yards to the UCONN43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 20
OWN 43
0
86.8%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Kamal AbramsSimilar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 20
OWN 43
+17
86.6%
Chandler Whitmer run for 17 yds to the StBrk 40Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
86.9%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Sean McQuillanSimilar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
86.1%
Justin Wain punt for 39 yds, downed at the StBrk 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 44 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
86.9%
Marcus Coker run for 5 yds to the StBrk 6Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+31
87.1%
John Kinder pass complete to Adrian Coxson for 31 yds to the StBrk 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
86.0%
Marcus Coker run for 5 yds to the StBrk 42Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
85.3%
Conor Bednarski pass incomplete to Jahrie LevelSimilar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+3
85.8%
John Kinder run for 3 yds to the StBrk 45Similar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
86.6%
Luke Allen punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
87.4%
Ron Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 29Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
87.2%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Sean McQuillanSimilar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
86.5%
Chandler Whitmer run for no gain to the UConn 29Similar
Q3 1:50
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
85.8%
Justin Wain punt for 48 yds , Will Tye returns for no gain to the StBrk 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 48 yds · 0:1513% → 14%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+42
86.7%
Conor Bednarski pass complete to Will Tye for 42 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
83.5%
Conor Bednarski pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
83.5%
Conor Bednarski pass incomplete to Nick WagnerSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+2
85.2%
Stacey Bedell run for 2 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+4
86.4%
Conor Bednarski run for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
87.4%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Geremy Davis for 17 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
88.6%
Chandler Whitmer run for 7 yds to the StBrk 47Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 3
OPP 47
-5
88.7%
Chandler Whitmer sacked by Christian Ricard for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 48Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
87.6%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Kamal AbramsSimilar
Q4 13:42
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
86.8%
Justin Wain punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Will Tye at the StBrk 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
88.6%
Conor Bednarski pass complete to Will Tye for 9 yds to the StBrk 19Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 1
OWN 19
-4
87.7%
John Kinder run for a loss of 4 yards to the StBrk 15Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
89.3%
Conor Bednarski pass incomplete to Jahrie LevelSimilar
Q4 12:08
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
89.8%
Luke Allen punt for 34 yds, downed at the StBrk 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0089% → 87%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
89.1%
Chandler Whitmer pass incomplete to Geremy Davis, broken up by Davonte AndersonSimilar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
89.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for 7 yds to the StBrk 42Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+5
88.7%
Max DeLorenzo run for 5 yds to the StBrk 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
89.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 2 yards to the StBrk 39Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 12
OPP 39
-4
89.0%
Chandler Whitmer pass complete to Andrew Adams for a loss of 4 yards to the StBrk 43Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 16
OPP 43
0
88.1%
Chandler Whitmer run for no gain to the StBrk 43Similar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 16
OPP 43
0
87.0%
Justin Wain punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Will Tye at the StBrk 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 28TD
17 plays · 88 yds · 5:4610% → 32%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+17
90.0%
Conor Bednarski pass complete to Jahrie Level for 17 yds to the StBrk 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
89.2%
John Kinder pass incomplete to Adrian CoxsonSimilar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
90.0%
Conor Bednarski pass complete to Jahrie Level for 7 yds to the StBrk 36Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+5
88.8%
Marcus Coker run for 5 yds to the StBrk 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
88.0%
Conor Bednarski pass incomplete to Jahrie LevelSimilar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-5
88.6%
STONY BROOK Penalty, false start (Shane Johnson) to the StBrk 36Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 15
OWN 36
-5
90.0%
STONY BROOK Penalty, false start (Will Tye) to the StBrk 31Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 20
OWN 31
+9
90.1%
Conor Bednarski run for 9 yds to the StBrk 40Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+11
90.1%
Conor Bednarski pass complete to Will Tye for 11 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
87.0%
Conor Bednarski pass incomplete to Jahrie LevelSimilar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
87.4%
Stacey Bedell run for 8 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 2
OPP 41
-1
87.1%
Stacey Bedell run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 3
OPP 42
+19
92.2%
Conor Bednarski pass complete to Adrian Coxson for 19 yds to the UConn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
90.5%
Conor Bednarski pass complete to Jahrie Level for 9 yds to the UConn 14Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 1
OPP 14
0
90.5%
Tyler Fredericks run for no gain to the UConn 14Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+14
67.7%
Conor Bednarski pass complete to Will Tye for 14 yds for a TD, (Przemyslaw Popek MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 29PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 1:0489% → 92%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
89.3%
Max DeLorenzo run for no gain to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
89.1%
Max DeLorenzo run for 3 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+1
88.8%
Max DeLorenzo run for 1 yd to the UConn 45Similar
Q4 0:49
4TH & 6
OWN 45
+5
91.6%
WAIN, Justin punt 2 yards to the UCONN47, out-of-bounds, PENALTY SBU roughing the kicker 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:49
4TH & 1
50
+44
92.1%
Justin Wain punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Will Tye at the UCONN 11 STONY BROOK Penalty, illegal block (Jaheem Woods) to the StBrk 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 30DOWNS
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
89.1%
Conor Bednarski pass incomplete to Will TyeSimilar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
89.2%
Conor Bednarski pass incomplete to Will TyeSimilar
Q4 0:37
3RD & 10
OWN 6
0
89.8%
Conor Bednarski pass incomplete to Adrian Coxson, broken up by Andrew AdamsSimilar
Q4 0:37
4TH & 10
OWN 6
-3
90.1%
STONY BROOK Penalty, delay of game (Conor Bednarski) to the StBrk 3Similar
Q4 0:37
4TH & 13
OWN 3
0
90.1%
Conor Bednarski pass incomplete to Will TyeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 31END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
95.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the StBrk 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:53
Conor Bednarski pass complete to Will Tye for 14 yds for a TD, (Przemyslaw Popek MISSED)
-22.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:53
Max DeLorenzo run for no gain to the UConn 41
+13.1
PUNT · Q3 9:22
Luke Allen punt for 61 yds , Deshon Foxx returns for 72 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)
+9.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com