Try the model
TULN

Tulane 31 at Tulsa 38

TLSA
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 28, 2014 · Chapman Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TLSA
modelTLSA aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playTLSA scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OTTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+5.9TLSA 52.4%Carl Salazar 26 yd FG GOODAWAY 21 - HOME 20 · Q4 8:31
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:31 · Carl Salazar 26 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2OTPlay 149Home team on offense−0.1Pregame prior+1.4Score differential−2.2Garbage-time factor−1.3Time remaining−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 6:50: Tanner Lee pass complete to Xavier Rush for 60 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +34.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 2:53: Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 3 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Dane Evans pass to Joshua Atkinson GOOD) — TLSA win probability +41.3 pts (now 59%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  3. FG · OT 0:00: Andrew DiRocco 30 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +14.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Carl Salazar 26 yd FG GOOD — TLSA win probability +24.6 pts (now 59%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT2 0:00: Conner Floyd 8 Yd pass from Dane Evans (Carl Salazar Kick) — TLSA win probability +17.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TLSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:44TLSA 4th & 10 at TULN 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    62.1%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:44TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:00TLSA 4th & 2 at TULN 6, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.6%−0.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    52.3%−5.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:26TLSA 4th & 1 at TLSA 35, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:27TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−1.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:15TLSA 4th & 7 at TULN 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−10.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:15TULN 4th & 9 at TLSA 36, up 4
    Close callPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    50.6%−0.2
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:03TLSA 4th & 3 at TLSA 45, down 4
    Close callPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00TULN 4th & 2 at TLSA 41, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.9 ptsPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    57.3%−4.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%−3.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:31TLSA 4th & 3 at TULN 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    26.9%−14.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:53TLSA 4th & 3 at TULN 3, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    13.8%−6.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−14.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:46TLSA 4th & 10 at TULN 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TLSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 3:43TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:56TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:11TLSA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:51TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:37TLSA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:50TULN Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.4%−1.9
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:53TLSA Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    36.6%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    37.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
60.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
60.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 14 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
60.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Justyn Shackleford, broken up by Trent MartinSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
60.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
60.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
60.3%
Peter Picerelli punt for 36 yds, downed at the Tulsa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 2MISSED FG
14 plays · 59 yds · 4:5060% → 60%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
60.3%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 11 yds to the Tulsa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
60.3%
Dane Evans pass complete to Joshua Atkinson for 5 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+9
60.4%
James Flanders run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
60.4%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
60.4%
Dane Evans pass complete to Joshua Atkinson for 6 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+5
60.4%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 5 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
60.5%
Keevan Lucas run for 9 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 1
OPP 31
-15
61.0%
EVANS, D. pass complete to DICKERSON, T. for 31 yards to the TLN0, clock 10:11, PENALTY TLS pass interference 15 yards to the TLN46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 16
OPP 46
+12
60.6%
Tavarreon Dickerson run for 12 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+17
60.8%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 17 yds to the Tulan 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
61.0%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
61.0%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
60.8%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+34
60.3%
Carl Salazar 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
60.0%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 21Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
60.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+13
60.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 13 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
59.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Danté ButlerSimilar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-2
59.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 37Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
60.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 12
OWN 37
+5
60.3%
PICERELLI, P. punt 31 yards to the TLS32, downed, PENALTY TLS roughing the kicker 5 yards to the TLN42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 7
OWN 42
+6
60.2%
Peter Picerelli punt for 36 yds , Conner Floyd returns for 6 yds to the Tulsa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 4INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
60.2%
Dane Evans pass complete to Joshua Atkinson for 13 yds to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
60.7%
Dane Evans run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+7
60.1%
Tavarreon Dickerson run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 43Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+11
60.3%
Dane Evans pass intercepted Taurean Nixon return for 22 yds to the TULSA 35 TULSA Penalty, illegal block (-11 Yards) to the Tulsa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5TD
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:4242% → 46%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
58.4%
Sherman Badie run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 15Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+15
54.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Charles Jones for 15 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 6MISSED FG
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:3656% → 55%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+31
55.9%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 31 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
57.1%
James Flanders run for 11 yds to the Tulan 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
57.6%
EVANS, D. pass intercepted by LeBEAU, Brandon at the TLN11, LeBEAU, Brandon return to the TLN31 (BELCHER, B.), PENALTY TLN personal foul 14 yards to the TLN14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-3
57.6%
D'Angelo Brewer run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 17Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 13
OPP 17
+10
57.5%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 10 yds to the Tulan 7Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+1
57.1%
Tavarreon Dickerson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 6Similar
Q1 1:00
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+23
55.1%
Carl Salazar 23 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 6:0446% → 59%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
54.0%
Danté Butler run for 5 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+19
53.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 19 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
52.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 10 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
52.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+15
52.1%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST down TULSA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Tulsa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
51.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
52.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+13
52.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devon Breaux for 13 yds to the Tulsa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-15
51.8%
BADIE, Sherman rush for 2 yards to the TLS16 (HAWKINS, D.;LUETJEN, D.), PENALTY TLN personal foul 15 yards to the TLS33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 25
OPP 33
+6
51.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 6 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 19
OPP 27
+5
52.1%
Tanner Lee run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 22
+19
52.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 19 yds to the Tulsa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
51.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Terren Encalade for 2 yds to the Tulsa 1Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
51.8%
Lazedrick Thompson run for no gain to the Tulsa 1Similar
Q2 9:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Danté Butler for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 8TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4542% → 52%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
42.4%
Dane Evans pass complete to James Flanders for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+16
42.3%
Dane Evans pass complete to James Flanders for 1 yd to the Tulsa 24 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Tulsa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
43.6%
James Flanders run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 41Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
43.9%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Mandel DixonSimilar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+11
43.2%
Dane Evans pass complete to Joshua Atkinson for 11 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
44.3%
Tavarreon Dickerson run for 5 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+43
51.7%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 43 yds for a TD, (Carl Salazar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9TD
2 plays · 90 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+90
39.0%
Sherman Badie run for 90 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:1939% → 38%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
39.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for no gain to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+9
38.9%
Dane Evans pass complete to Joshua Atkinson for 9 yds to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
39.9%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Joshua AtkinsonSimilar
Q2 5:26
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
37.5%
Dalton Parks punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Darion Monroe at the Tulan 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11FUMBLE
8 plays · 56 yds · 0:0063% → 64%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
36.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+19
36.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 19 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
35.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+8
35.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 8 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+23
35.4%
Sherman Badie run for 23 yds to the Tulsa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
35.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Justyn Shackleford, broken up by Donnell HawkinsSimilar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
35.2%
Danté Butler run for no gain to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 10
OPP 14
-11
35.7%
Tanner Lee run for a loss of 11 yards to the Tulsa 20 Tanner Lee fumbled, forced by Jeremy Smith, recovered by Tulsa Chris HummingbirdSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 12TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 0:2433% → 51%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
32.5%
EVANS, D. pass incomplete to LUCAS, K. (MONROE, Darion), PENALTY TLS holding 10 yards to the TLS10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+6
32.1%
Dane Evans run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 16Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+84
43.9%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 84 yds for a TD, (Carl Salazar KICK)Similar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 0
OPP 3
+2
51.0%
TULANE Penalty, substitution infraction (2 Yards) to the Tulan 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
42.5%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14INT
10 plays · 45 yds · 0:0045% → 48%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
44.8%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
44.4%
Tavarreon Dickerson run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 32Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+5
43.9%
TULANE Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+11
45.6%
Dane Evans pass complete to Joshua Atkinson for 11 yds to the Tulsa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
47.2%
Tavarreon Dickerson run for 13 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
48.0%
Tavarreon Dickerson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+19
49.4%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 19 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-10
49.4%
Dane Evans sacked by Eldrick Washington for a loss of 10 yards to the Tulan 26Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 20
OPP 26
0
47.7%
Dane Evans pass intercepted, touchback. Parry Nickerson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
40.8%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the Tulan 20Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
41.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon Breaux TULANE Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
42.1%
Tanner Lee run for no gain to the Tulan 20Similar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+16
43.0%
Peter Picerelli punt for 45 yds , Conner Floyd returns for 16 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16FG
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:2945% → 51%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
45.2%
Keevan Lucas run for 6 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+15
45.5%
EVANS, D. pass incomplete to ATKINSON, J., PENALTY TLN roughing passer (ARUNA, Ade) 15 yards to the TLN28, 1ST DOWN TLS, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
47.0%
Tavarreon Dickerson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
47.0%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Joshua AtkinsonSimilar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
45.2%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Conner FloydSimilar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
50.9%
Carl Salazar 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 39 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
48.0%
Sherman Badie run for 12 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
46.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 8 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+4
45.3%
Sherman Badie run for 4 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
45.0%
Danté Butler run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 48Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+3
44.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Xavier Rush for 3 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+8
45.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 8 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-4
44.8%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 41Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 14
OPP 41
+5
46.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Xavier Rush for 5 yds to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 9
OPP 36
0
45.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Justyn Shackleford TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 9
OPP 36
0
47.7%
Peter Picerelli punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulsa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0043% → 44%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
43.3%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+9
45.5%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 9 yds to the Tulsa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
45.0%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keyarris GarrettSimilar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
44.7%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to D'Angelo BrewerSimilar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+7
43.1%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
43.9%
Dalton Parks punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 1:0961% → 63%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
39.4%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 6 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+15
38.4%
LEE, Tanner pass incomplete to MARFISI, Matt, PENALTY TLS pass interference declined, PENALTY TLS roughing passer (DOBBINS, D.) 15 yards to the TLN41, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
36.6%
Sherman Badie run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
50
0
34.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Trey ScottSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
50
+1
35.1%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
34.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Charles Jones for 8 yds to the Tulsa 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 41
0
34.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Xavier RushSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 41
0
34.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Justyn ShacklefordSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
37.5%
Peter Picerelli punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulsa 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20FG
14 plays · 84 yds · 5:1241% → 52%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
40.8%
Tavarreon Dickerson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 5Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 12
OWN 5
0
40.6%
Tavarreon Dickerson run for no gain to the Tulsa 5Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 12
OWN 5
+15
38.9%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 15 yds to the Tulsa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
41.5%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Mandel DixonSimilar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+14
41.3%
Dane Evans pass complete to Tavarreon Dickerson for 14 yds to the Tulsa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
42.3%
James Flanders run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+5
42.2%
Dane Evans pass complete to Conner Floyd for 5 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+6
43.8%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 6 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+23
45.5%
Tavarreon Dickerson run for 23 yds to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
48.9%
EVANS, D. pass incomplete to GARRETT, K., PENALTY TLN roughing passer (LaFRANCE, Royce) 15 yards to the TLN16, 1ST DOWN TLS, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
48.9%
James Flanders run for 5 yds to the Tulan 11Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 5
OPP 11
0
48.9%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keyarris GarrettSimilar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+2
46.5%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 2 yds to the Tulan 9Similar
Q4 8:31
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+26
52.4%
Carl Salazar 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:4155% → 88%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
45.0%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
45.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Danté Butler for 5 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+60
11.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Xavier Rush for 60 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22TD
15 plays · 77 yds · 3:5218% → 59%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
17.5%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 9 yds to the Tulsa 32Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+3
19.7%
Tavarreon Dickerson run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
18.2%
Dane Evans pass complete to Conner Floyd for 12 yds to the Tulsa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
20.5%
DICKERSON, T. rush for 21 yards to the TLN32 (SCOFIELD, Sam), PENALTY TLS holding 4 yards to the TLS43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 14
OWN 43
+25
18.3%
Dane Evans pass complete to Joshua Atkinson for 25 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
24.1%
Dane Evans run for 3 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+5
24.4%
DICKERSON, T. rush for loss of 1 yard to the TLN30 (GILBERT, Tyler;ROBINSON, Andre), PENALTY TLN substitution infraction 5 yards to the TLN24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 2
OPP 24
0
24.4%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keyarris GarrettSimilar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 2
OPP 24
-5
22.6%
TULSA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+21
21.8%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 21 yds to the Tulan 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
24.4%
James Flanders run for 5 yds to the Tulan 3Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
24.4%
James Flanders run for no gain to the Tulan 3Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
18.1%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 2:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
59.4%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 3 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Dane Evans pass to Joshua Atkinson GOOD)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23MISSED FG
8 plays · 77 yds · 0:5750% → 61%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+73
50.3%
Sherman Badie run for 73 yds to the Tulsa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
41.9%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the Tulsa 8Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
37.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Xavier RushSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
39.6%
Tanner Lee run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 4Similar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 0
OPP 4
+21
38.9%
Andrew DiRocco 21 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
55.2%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Mandel DixonSimilar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
54.3%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 7 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
53.7%
Tavarreon Dickerson run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+20
56.1%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 20 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
62.5%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keyarris GarrettSimilar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
61.6%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
57.6%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Joshua AtkinsonSimilar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
54.8%
Dalton Parks punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Devin Boutte at the Tulan 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25END OF GAME
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:3752% → 56%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
48.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
49.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Trey ScottSimilar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+16
51.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Justyn Shackleford for 16 yds to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
46.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 12 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
42.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Justyn ShacklefordSimilar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
44.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 26FG
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0060% → 72%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
40.5%
LEE, Tanner pass incomplete to SCOTT, Trey, PENALTY TLS holding 10 yards to the TLS15, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
40.5%
Sherman Badie run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 9Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 9
-4
40.5%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 13Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
43.0%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Xavier RushSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
28.5%
Andrew DiRocco 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 27FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0041% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+21
41.3%
Keevan Lucas run for 21 yds to the Tulan 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
41.3%
James Flanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 5Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
41.3%
Dane Evans run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 9Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
34.4%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan Lucas, broken up by Matthew BaileySimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
58.6%
Carl Salazar 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 28TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 15:0065% → 82%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
64.7%
Dane Evans run for 1 yd to the Tulan 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+5
64.7%
Tavarreon Dickerson run for 5 yds to the Tulan 19Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+8
62.4%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 8 yds to the Tulan 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
64.7%
Tavarreon Dickerson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 8Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
82.1%
Conner Floyd 8 Yd pass from Dane Evans (Carl Salazar Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 29INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 18%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
80.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
82.4%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted, touchback. Demarco Nelson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:53
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 3 yds for a TD, (Two pt pass, Dane Evans pass to Joshua Atkinson GOOD)
+41.3
TD · Q4 6:50
Tanner Lee pass complete to Xavier Rush for 60 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)
-34
FG · OT 0:00
Carl Salazar 26 yd FG GOOD
+24.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com