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APSU

Austin Peay 0 at Memphis 63

MEM
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadAPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreAPSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:36 · Ben Campbell punt for 29 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Pregame prior+21.7Home team on offense+35.1Score differential+28.5Blowout margin+16.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.1Garbage-time factor+7.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:11: Sam Craft run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK) — MEM win probability +0.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 9:20: Brandon Hayes run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK) — MEM win probability +0.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 3:43: Doroland Dorceus run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK) — MEM win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 12:45: Paxton Lynch run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK) — MEM win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:34: Paxton Lynch pass complete to Alan Cross for 9 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK) — MEM win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4APSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 9:13APSU 4th & 6 at APSU 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:43APSU 4th & 10 at APSU 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:45APSU 4th & 12 at APSU 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:17APSU 4th & 20 at APSU 15, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:20MEM 4th & 1 at APSU 29, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:34APSU 4th & 16 at APSU 40, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:55MEM 4th & 10 at APSU 47, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00APSU 4th & 5 at MEM 36, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:34APSU 4th & 8 at APSU 25, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:39APSU 4th & 1 at APSU 44, down 56
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:33MEM 4th & 1 at MEM 21, up 56
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:36APSU 4th & 14 at MEM 44, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:19APSU 4th & 5 at APSU 8, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:53APSU 4th & 14 at APSU 21, down 63
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:49MEM 4th & 1 at APSU 37, up 63
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 12:11MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:20MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:43MEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:45MEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:17MEM Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:34MEM Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:41MEM Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:39MEM Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:53MEM Touchdown, up 62 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1TD
12 plays · 60 yds · 2:4997% → 97%
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+12
97.3%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Keiwone Malone for 12 yds to the APeay 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
97.3%
Sam Craft run for 9 yds to the APeay 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 36
0
97.3%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Sam CraftSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+7
97.3%
Brandon Hayes run for 7 yds to the APeay 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+18
97.3%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 18 yds to the APeay 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
97.3%
Brandon Hayes run for 5 yds to the APeay 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+4
97.3%
Sam Craft run for 4 yds to the APeay 2 Sam Craft fumbled, recovered by Memph Alan CrossSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
97.3%
AUSTINPEAY Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Memph 40Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
97.3%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Sam Craft for 3 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q1 12:11
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
97.0%
Sam Craft run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 2INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.0%
Rashaan Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the APeay 23Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+13
97.0%
Trey Taylor run for 13 yds to the APeay 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.0%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive offside (Terry Redden) to the APeay 41Similar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 5
OWN 41
0
97.0%
Trey Taylor pass incomplete to Malik BoyntonSimilar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+29
97.0%
Trey Taylor pass intercepted Bobby McCain return for 29 yds to the APeay 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3TD
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:4797% → 97%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-15
97.0%
CRAFT, Sam rush for 9 yards to the APSU6 (STUART, Zach), PENALTY MEM illegal block 15 yards to the APSU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 25
OPP 30
0
97.0%
Paxton Lynch run for no gain to the APeay 30Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 25
OPP 30
+8
96.9%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Sam Craft for 8 yds to the APeay 22Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 17
OPP 22
+19
96.9%
Brandon Hayes run for 19 yds to the APeay 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.1%
Brandon Hayes run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
97.1%
Justin Roberson run for 1 yd to the APeay 12Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 9
OWN 12
-1
97.1%
Justin Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 11Similar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+9
97.1%
Trey Taylor pass complete to Malik Boynton for 9 yds to the APeay 20Similar
Q1 9:13
4TH & 1
OWN 20
-5
97.1%
AUSTINPEAY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the APeay 15Similar
Q1 9:13
4TH & 6
OWN 15
+9
97.1%
Ben Campbell punt for 50 yds , Keiwone Malone returns for 9 yds to the Memph 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5TD
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:2197% → 98%
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+28
97.0%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Daniel Hurd for 28 yds to the APeay 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
97.0%
Doroland Dorceus run for 2 yds to the APeay 26Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+3
97.0%
Doroland Dorceus run for 3 yds to the APeay 23Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+6
97.0%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Alan Cross for 6 yds to the APeay 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
97.0%
Sam Craft run for 5 yds to the APeay 12Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 5
OPP 12
0
97.0%
Doroland Dorceus run for no gain to the APeay 12Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 5
OPP 12
0
97.0%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Keiwone Malone, broken up by Buddy MitchellSimilar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+5
96.8%
ELLIOTT, Jake field goal attempt from 29 GOOD, clock 04:12, PENALTY APSU offside (OWENS, Roderick) 5 yards to the APSU7, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
96.9%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Alan Cross for 2 yds to the APeay 5Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.5%
Doroland Dorceus run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
97.5%
Rashaan Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the APeay 17Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 12
OWN 17
0
97.5%
Darrien Boone pass incomplete to Jacob Sexton, broken up by Martin IfediSimilar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+2
97.5%
Rashaan Coleman run for 2 yds to the APeay 19Similar
Q1 3:43
4TH & 10
OWN 19
+11
97.5%
Ben Campbell punt for 37 yds , Keiwone Malone returns for 11 yds to the APeay 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7INT
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
97.6%
Paxton Lynch run for 15 yds to the APeay 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
97.6%
Paxton Lynch pass intercepted Roderick Owens return for no gain to the APeay 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 8FUMBLE
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:582% → 2%
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
97.6%
Justin Roberson run for 3 yds to the APeay 5Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 7
OWN 5
-2
97.6%
AUSTINPEAY Penalty, false start (N/A) to the APeay 3Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+3
97.6%
Justin Roberson run for 3 yds to the APeay 6Similar
Q1 1:58
3RD & 6
OWN 6
+20
97.6%
Justin Roberson run for 20 yds to the APeay 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
97.6%
Rashaan Coleman run for 3 yds to the APeay 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
97.6%
Darrien Boone pass incomplete to Javier BookerSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 29
-5
97.6%
Darrien Boone run for a loss of 5 yards to the APeay 24 Darrien Boone fumbled, recovered by Memph Ernest SuttlesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9TD
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:3998% → 99%
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
97.8%
Brandon Hayes run for 3 yds to the APeay 21Similar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+2
97.8%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Tevin Jones for 2 yds to the APeay 19Similar
Q2 14:24
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+6
97.7%
Brandon Hayes run for 6 yds to the APeay 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
97.8%
Sam Craft run for 8 yds to the APeay 5Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+5
98.8%
Paxton Lynch run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.8%
Trey Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the APeay 23Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
98.9%
Trey Taylor pass incomplete to Jared BeardSimilar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
98.9%
Justin Roberson run for no gain to the APeay 23Similar
Q2 12:45
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+4
98.9%
Ben Campbell punt for 47 yds , Keiwone Malone returns for 4 yds to the Memph 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:0599% → 99%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
98.9%
Brandon Hayes run for 8 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+8
98.8%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Joe Craig for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
50
0
98.9%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Joe Craig, broken up by Roderick OwensSimilar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 10
50
0
98.9%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Sam CraftSimilar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 10
50
+39
98.9%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Keiwone Malone for 39 yds Keiwone Malone fumbled, forced by Roderick Owens, recovered by Memph N/A for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.9%
Brandon Hayes run for no gain to the APeay 9Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.0%
Paxton Lynch run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Trey Taylor pass incomplete to Jared Beard, broken up by Chris MorleySimilar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.2%
Trey Taylor sacked by Leonard Pegues for a loss of 10 yards to the APeay 15Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
99.2%
Trey Taylor pass incomplete to Jared BeardSimilar
Q2 9:17
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
99.2%
Ben Campbell punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:4999% → 100%
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
98.7%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Keiwone Malone for 5 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+14
98.7%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Tevin Jones for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
50
+12
98.8%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Tevin Jones for 12 yds to the APeay 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
98.8%
Doroland Dorceus run for a loss of 2 yards to the APeay 40Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 12
OPP 40
0
98.8%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Mose FrazierSimilar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+11
98.7%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 11 yds to the APeay 29Similar
Q2 6:20
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+1
99.2%
Sam Craft run for 1 yd to the APeay 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
99.3%
Doroland Dorceus run for 7 yds to the APeay 21Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+9
99.3%
Doroland Dorceus run for 9 yds to the APeay 9 Doroland Dorceus fumbled, forced by Buddy Mitchell, recovered by Memph Keiwone Malone for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.5%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Alan Cross for 9 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:001% → 0%
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
99.5%
Justin Roberson run for 21 yds to the APeay 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.5%
Darrien Boone pass complete to Dustin McPhetridge for 5 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
99.5%
Justin Roberson run for 3 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q2 4:34
3RD & 2
OPP 46
-14
99.5%
Darrien Boone sacked by Ernest Suttles for a loss of 14 yards to the APeay 40Similar
Q2 4:34
4TH & 16
OWN 40
+14
99.6%
Ben Campbell punt for 35 yds , Keiwone Malone returns for 14 yds to the Memph 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
99.6%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 9 yds to the Memph 48Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 1
OWN 48
0
99.6%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Tevin JonesSimilar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+5
99.6%
AUSTINPEAY Penalty, Defensive offside (DeAndre Carroll) to the APeay 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.6%
Doroland Dorceus run for 5 yds to the APeay 42Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+1
99.6%
Doroland Dorceus run for 1 yd to the APeay 41Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-1
99.7%
Sam Craft run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 42Similar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 5
OPP 42
-5
99.6%
MEMPHIS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the APeay 47Similar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
99.6%
Spencer Smith punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 48 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+33
99.6%
Rashaan Coleman run for 18 yds to the APeay 34 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, personal foul (Reggis Ball) to the APeay 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-9
99.6%
COLEMAN, Rashaa rush for 9 yards to the MEM42 (HARRIS, Charles), PENALTY APSU illegal block 9 yards to the APSU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 19
OWN 40
+19
99.6%
Darrien Boone run for 19 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.6%
Darrien Boone pass complete to Jared Beard for 5 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
99.5%
Darrien Boone pass incomplete to Dustin McPhetridgeSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
99.6%
Darrien Boone pass incomplete to Malik BoyntonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
99.6%
Darrien Boone punt for 17 yds, downed at the Memph 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 3:13100% → 100%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
99.7%
Sam Craft run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 18Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+3
99.7%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Sam Craft for 3 yds to the Memph 21Similar
Q3 12:54
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+10
99.7%
LYNCH, Paxton pass incomplete to MALONE, Keiwone, PENALTY APSU holding (MITCHELL, Buddy) 10 yards to the MEM31, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.7%
Brandon Hayes run for 3 yds to the Memph 34Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-7
99.7%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Tevin Jones for 3 yds to the Memph 37 MEMPHIS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Memph 27Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+5
99.7%
Brandon Hayes run for 5 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q3 12:54
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+20
99.7%
Paxton Lynch run for 5 yds to the APeay 37 for a 1ST down AUSTINPEAY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the APeay 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+31
99.7%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Alan Cross for 31 yds to the APeay 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.7%
Brandon Hayes run for no gain to the APeay 17Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.8%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 17 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
99.8%
Trey Taylor run for a loss of 5 yards to the APeay 18 Trey Taylor fumbled, recovered by APeay Trey TaylorSimilar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+5
99.8%
Julian Franklin run for 5 yds to the APeay 23Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.8%
Trey Taylor pass complete to Devon Jones for 2 yds to the APeay 25Similar
Q3 9:34
4TH & 8
OWN 25
+53
99.8%
Ben Campbell punt for 36 yds , Joe Craig returns for 53 yds to the APeay 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19TD
1 play · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
Doroland Dorceus run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Trey Taylor run for 6 yds to the APeay 31Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
Trey Taylor pass complete to Jared Beard for 4 yds to the APeay 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
Trey Taylor run for 1 yd to the APeay 36Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
Trey Taylor run for 3 yds to the APeay 39Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+5
99.9%
Trey Taylor pass complete to Wesley Thomas for 5 yds to the APeay 44Similar
Q3 7:39
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Ben Campbell punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
99.9%
Tearris Wallace run for 7 yds to the Memph 19Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 3
OWN 19
-4
99.9%
Tearris Wallace run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 15Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+6
99.9%
Tearris Wallace run for 6 yds to the Memph 21Similar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 1
OWN 21
+2
99.8%
Spencer Smith punt for 55 yds , Rashaan Coleman returns for 2 yds to the APeay 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
99.9%
AUSTINPEAY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the APeay 21Similar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 15
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Julian Franklin run for no gain to the APeay 21Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+39
99.9%
Darrien Boone run for 39 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-4
99.9%
Darrien Boone run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 44Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 14
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Darrien Boone pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 14
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Darrien Boone run for no gain to the Memph 44Similar
Q3 2:36
4TH & 14
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Ben Campbell punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23FUMBLE
8 plays · 82 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
99.9%
Jarvis Cooper run for 11 yds to the Memph 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
99.9%
Jarvis Cooper run for 8 yds to the Memph 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
Jarvis Cooper run for 5 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
99.9%
Jarvis Cooper run for 6 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+37
99.9%
Jarvis Cooper run for 37 yds to the APeay 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
99.9%
Tearris Wallace run for 5 yds to the APeay 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+3
99.9%
Tearris Wallace run for 3 yds to the APeay 10Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+6
99.9%
Jarvis Cooper run for 6 yds to the APeay 3 Jarvis Cooper fumbled, forced by Dakota Vincil, recovered by APeay Demarion AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
100.0%
Julian Franklin run for 1 yd to the APeay 4Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+1
100.0%
Julian Franklin run for 1 yd to the APeay 5Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+3
100.0%
Julian Franklin run for 3 yds to the APeay 8Similar
Q4 10:19
4TH & 5
OWN 8
+13
100.0%
Ben Campbell punt for 46 yds , Joe Craig returns for 13 yds to the APeay 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
99.9%
Jason Stewart run for 8 yds to the APeay 33Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+6
99.9%
Tearris Wallace run for 6 yds to the APeay 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+21
99.9%
Jarvis Cooper run for 21 yds to the APeay 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
100.0%
Jarvis Cooper run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Otis Gerron run for 1 yd to the APeay 26Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
100.0%
Darrien Boone run for 1 yd to the APeay 27Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-6
100.0%
Darrien Boone run for a loss of 6 yards to the APeay 21Similar
Q4 5:53
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+8
100.0%
Ben Campbell punt for 33 yds , Roderick Proctor returns for 8 yds to the APeay 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 27END OF GAME
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
100.0%
Tearris Wallace run for 4 yds to the APeay 42Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+3
100.0%
Tearris Wallace run for 3 yds to the APeay 39Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+2
100.0%
Tearris Wallace run for 2 yds to the APeay 37Similar
Q4 3:49
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+5
100.0%
Tearris Wallace run for 5 yds to the APeay 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the APeay 34Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 12
OPP 34
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the APeay 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:45
Paxton Lynch run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)
+1
TD · Q1 3:43
Doroland Dorceus run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q2 4:34
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Alan Cross for 9 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com