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NCCU

North Carolina Central 7 at East Carolina 52

ECU
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
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Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadNCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreNCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FUMBLEFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:22 · TEAM punt, punt out-of-bounds at the NCCtl 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Pregame prior+40.1Home team on offense+7.6Score differential+2.0Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q1 10:15: Breon Allen run for 4 yds Breon Allen fumbled, forced by Felix Small, recovered by NCCtl C.J. Moore , return for 31 yds, (Brandon McLaren KICK) — NCCU win probability +0.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:22: Breon Allen run for 5 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK) — ECU win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:14: Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 20 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK) — ECU win probability +1.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:43: Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 1 yd for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK) — ECU win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:50: Shane Carden pass complete to Trevon Brown for 17 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK) — ECU win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NCCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00ECU 4th & 20 at ECU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:34NCCU 4th & 13 at ECU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:16ECU 4th & 6 at NCCU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:16NCCU 4th & 19 at NCCU 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00NCCU 4th & 20 at NCCU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:06ECU 4th & 19 at ECU 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:24NCCU 4th & 3 at NCCU 27, down 3
    Close callPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:57ECU 4th & 1 at NCCU 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:22NCCU 4th & 10 at NCCU 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00NCCU 4th & 29 at ECU 37, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−<0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:44ECU 4th & 20 at NCCU 40, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:26NCCU 4th & 9 at NCCU 10, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00NCCU 4th & 2 at NCCU 30, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:48NCCU 4th & 12 at NCCU 29, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:40NCCU 4th & 7 at NCCU 33, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 3:27ECU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:22ECU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:14ECU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:43ECU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:50ECU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:40ECU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:22ECU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
98.9%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 4 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+20
98.9%
Shane Carden pass complete to Cam Worthy for 20 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
98.9%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Justin Hardy, broken up by Michael JonesSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
98.9%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Davon GraysonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 44
-5
98.9%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 39
0
98.9%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Isaiah Jones, broken up by Cameron HughesSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 39
-5
98.9%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (N/A) to the ECaro 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 34
+19
98.9%
Worth Gregory punt for 40 yds , Adrian Wilkins returns for 19 yds to the NCCtl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
98.8%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Anas Hasic for 19 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
98.8%
Andre Clarke run for 5 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 5
OPP 31
-5
98.8%
NC CENTRAL Penalty, false start (Christopher Pressley) to the ECaro 36Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
98.8%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Jazz King for 4 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 6
OPP 32
-2
98.8%
Quinn Billerman sacked by Fred Presley and Maurice Falls for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 34Similar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 8
OPP 34
-5
98.8%
NC CENTRAL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 39Similar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 13
OPP 39
0
98.8%
Nathanie Tilque punt for 32 yds, downed at the ECaro 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3FUMBLE TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:3399% → 98%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+20
98.5%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 20 yds to the ECaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+31
98.3%
Breon Allen run for 4 yds Breon Allen fumbled, forced by Felix Small, recovered by NCCtl C.J. Moore , return for 31 yds, (Brandon McLaren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 2:5998% → 98%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
98.4%
Shane Carden pass complete to Davon Grayson for 11 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
98.4%
Anthony Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 45Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+12
98.4%
Shane Carden pass complete to Cam Worthy for 12 yds to the NCCtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
98.4%
Breon Allen run for 10 yds to the NCCtl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
98.4%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 12 yds to the NCCtl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
98.4%
Shane Carden pass complete to Davon Grayson for 4 yds to the NCCtl 17Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
98.4%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Cam WorthySimilar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
98.4%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Cam WorthySimilar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+34
98.0%
Warren Harvey 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
98.0%
Deyonta Wright run for 3 yds to the NCCtl 34Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-7
98.0%
Quinn Billerman sacked by Montese Overton for a loss of 7 yards to the NCCtl 27Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 14
OWN 27
-5
98.0%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Deyonta Wright for a loss of 5 yards to the NCCtl 22Similar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 19
OWN 22
+8
98.0%
Nathanie Tilque punt for 42 yds , Isaiah Jones returns for 8 yds to the ECaro 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 1:2798% → 98%
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
97.7%
HAIRSTON, Chris rush over right end for 8 yards to the NCCU48 (MOORE,C.J.;MITCHELL,Richar), PENALTY ECU tripping 15 yards to the ECU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 25
OWN 29
+6
97.6%
Shane Carden pass complete to Breon Allen for 6 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 19
OWN 35
+24
97.6%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 24 yds to the NCCtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
97.8%
Justin Hardy pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 41 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 13 yds · 3:272% → 3%
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
97.7%
Andre Clarke run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 15Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+2
97.7%
Andre Clarke run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 17Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+8
97.6%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Deyonta Wright for 8 yds to the NCCtl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.5%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Adrian Wilkins for 11 yds to the NCCtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
97.5%
NC CENTRAL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCCtl 31Similar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 15
OWN 31
-15
97.5%
BILLERMAN,Quinn sideline pass complete to HASIC,Anas for 12 yards to the NCCU43, out-of-bounds (ALLEN, Detric), PENALTY NCCU pass interference (HASIC,Anas) 15 yards to the NCCU16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 30
OWN 16
+2
97.5%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Adrian Wilkins for 2 yds to the NCCtl 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 28
OWN 18
0
97.2%
Quinn Billerman pass incomplete to Anas HasicSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 28
OWN 18
+8
97.2%
Andre Clarke run for 8 yds to the NCCtl 26Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 26
0
97.3%
Nathanie Tilque punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
97.1%
CARDEN, Shane screen pass complete to HAIRSTON, Chris for 39 yards to the NCCU15 (LIVINGSTON,Theo), PENALTY ECU illegal block (HUDSON, Taylor) 10 yards to the ECU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+4
96.9%
Breon Allen run for 4 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 16
OWN 40
0
96.9%
Shane Carden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 16
OWN 40
-3
96.8%
Shane Carden sacked by Felix Small and Darius Spruill for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 37Similar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 19
OWN 37
0
96.8%
Worth Gregory punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
96.6%
Shaheed Swinson run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 22Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-2
96.6%
Shaheed Swinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCCtl 20Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+7
96.7%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Shaheed Swinson for 7 yds to the NCCtl 27Similar
Q2 12:24
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+3
96.8%
Nathanie Tilque punt for 41 yds , Justin Hardy returns for 3 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 3:5496% → 97%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.1%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Justin HardySimilar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+17
96.0%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 17 yds to the NCCtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.4%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
96.3%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 8 yds to the NCCtl 40Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+1
96.3%
Marquez Grayson run for 1 yd to the NCCtl 39Similar
Q2 8:57
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
96.1%
Shane Carden run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.3%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Davon GraysonSimilar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+7
96.3%
Shane Carden pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 7 yds to the NCCtl 30Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+15
96.3%
CARDEN, Shane deep out pass incomplete to WORTHY, Cam (JONES,Michael), PENALTY NCCU pass interference (JONES,Michael) 15 yards to the NCCU15, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
96.4%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 4 yds to the NCCtl 11Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 6
OPP 11
0
96.4%
Breon Allen run for no gain to the NCCtl 11Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+6
96.2%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 6 yds to the NCCtl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.1%
Breon Allen run for 5 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.0%
Quinn Billerman pass incomplete to Jazz KingSimilar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.0%
Quinn Billerman pass incomplete to Adrian Wilkins, broken up by Brandon WilliamsSimilar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Quinn Billerman pass incomplete to Anas HasicSimilar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
TEAM punt, punt out-of-bounds at the NCCtl 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 47 yds · 0:4997% → 98%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
97.0%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 19 yds to the NCCtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
97.1%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 8 yds to the NCCtl 20Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+20
98.4%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 20 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
98.4%
Shaheed Swinson run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 10Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 8
OWN 10
-8
98.4%
Quinn Billerman run for a loss of 8 yards to the NCCtl 2 Quinn Billerman fumbled, forced by Johnathon White, recovered by ECaro Joe AllelySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2998% → 99%
Q2 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.4%
Cory Hunter run for 1 yd to the NCCtl 1Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 0
OPP 1
0
98.5%
CARDEN, Shane deep out pass incomplete to WORTHY, Cam (JONES,Michael), PENALTY NCCU pass interference (JONES,Michael) 0 yards to the NCCU1, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.4%
Cory Hunter run for no gain to the NCCtl 1Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 1 yd for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 15END OF HALF
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
99.2%
Andre Clarke run for 12 yds to the NCCtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
99.1%
Quinn Billerman run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 33Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+7
99.1%
Andre Clarke run for 7 yds to the NCCtl 40Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
98.9%
Andre Clarke run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
99.1%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Armani Lanier for 9 yds to the ECaro 49Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+2
98.7%
Andre Clarke run for 2 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 16PUNT
12 plays · 38 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.7%
Andre Clarke run for 3 yds to the NCCtl 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
98.6%
Andre Clarke run for 4 yds to the NCCtl 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
98.6%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Jazz King for 4 yds to the NCCtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
98.6%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Jazz King for 2 yds to the NCCtl 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+2
98.6%
Andre Clarke run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+42
98.6%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Adrian Wilkins for 42 yds to the ECaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
98.4%
CLARKE,Andre rush up middle for 2 yards to the ECU16 (PRESLEY, Fred;FALLS, Maurice), PENALTY NCCU holding (75) 10 yards to the ECU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 28
0
98.5%
Quinn Billerman pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 28
-2
98.5%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Deyonta Wright for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 22
OPP 30
-7
98.7%
Quinn Billerman sacked by Jeton Beavers for a loss of 7 yards to the ECaro 37Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 29
OPP 37
0
98.7%
Nathanie Tilque punt for 23 yds, downed at the ECaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17PUNT
13 plays · 46 yds · 4:0599% → 99%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
98.9%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 4 yds to the ECaro 18Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+17
98.9%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 17 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.9%
Chris Hairston run for 4 yds to the ECaro 39Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
99.0%
Anthony Scott run for 5 yds to the ECaro 44Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+14
99.0%
Shane Carden pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 14 yds to the NCCtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
99.0%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 12 yds to the NCCtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
99.0%
HAIRSTON, Chris rush up middle for 2 yards to the NCCU28 (RHODES,Daniel;SPRUILL,Darius), PENALTY ECU holding 10 yards to the NCCU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+9
99.0%
Shane Carden pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 9 yds to the NCCtl 31Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 11
OPP 31
-4
99.0%
Shane Carden pass complete to Breon Allen for a loss of 4 yards to the NCCtl 35Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 15
OPP 35
0
99.3%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Jimmy Williams, broken up by Ryan SmithSimilar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 15
OPP 35
-5
99.2%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (Shane Carden) to the NCCtl 40Similar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 20
OPP 40
+3
99.2%
Warren Harvey punt for 34 yds , Adrian Wilkins returns for 3 yds to the NCCtl 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
99.0%
Andre Clarke run for 1 yd to the NCCtl 10Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 9
OWN 10
0
99.0%
Malcolm Bell pass incomplete to Adrian WilkinsSimilar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 9
OWN 10
0
99.0%
Malcolm Bell pass incomplete to Adrian Wilkins, broken up by Brandon WilliamsSimilar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 9
OWN 10
0
99.0%
Nathanie Tilque punt for 52 yds, downed at the ECaro 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
99.5%
SCOTT, Anthony rush over right end for 15 yards to the NCCU47 (HUGHES,Cameron;WADE,Josh), PENALTY ECU holding 10 yards to the ECU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+10
99.4%
Chris Hairston run for 10 yds to the ECaro 38Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+34
99.5%
Chris Hairston run for 19 yds to the EASTCRLINA 43 for a 1ST down NC CENTRAL Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the NCCtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.5%
Shane Carden pass incomplete to Isaiah Jones, broken up by Theo LivingstonSimilar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+11
99.5%
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 11 yds to the NCCtl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.9%
Shane Carden pass complete to Trevon Brown for 17 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
Deyonta Wright run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 24Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+6
99.9%
Malcolm Bell run for 6 yds to the NCCtl 30Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Deyonta Wright run for no gain to the NCCtl 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 30
+21
99.9%
Nathanie Tilque punt for 51 yds , Trevon Brown returns for 21 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21INT
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
Marquez Grayson run for 7 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+6
99.9%
Anthony Scott run for 6 yds to the NCCtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Davon Grayson for 4 yds to the NCCtl 43Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+17
99.9%
Marquez Grayson run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 41 for a 1ST down NC CENTRAL Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Felix Small) to the NCCtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
99.9%
Anthony Scott run for 5 yds to the NCCtl 21Similar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 5
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Kurt Benkert pass intercepted, touchback. Michael Jones return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 4:540% → 0%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.9%
Malcolm Bell run for 7 yds to the NCCtl 27Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Andre Clarke run for 4 yds to the NCCtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Malcolm Bell pass complete to Adrian Wilkins for 3 yds to the NCCtl 34Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Malcolm Bell run for 1 yd to the NCCtl 35Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Malcolm Bell pass incomplete to Deyonta Wright, broken up by Chrishon RoseSimilar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 6
OWN 35
-6
100.0%
NC CENTRAL Penalty, illegal formation (-6 Yards) to the NCCtl 29Similar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 12
OWN 29
-4
100.0%
Nathanie Tilque punt for 53 yds , Trevon Brown returns for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 2:40100% → 100%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
99.9%
Marquez Grayson run for 6 yds to the ECaro 20Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Cedric Thompson for 6 yds to the ECaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+22
99.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 22 yds to the NCCtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Kurt Benkert run for 4 yds to the NCCtl 45Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+7
99.9%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Davon Grayson for 7 yds to the NCCtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
100.0%
Anthony Scott run for 38 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
100.0%
Andre Clarke run for 3 yds to the NCCtl 33Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Andre Clarke run for no gain to the NCCtl 33Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Quinn Billerman pass incomplete to Anas Hasic, broken up by Rocco ScarfoneSimilar
Q4 6:40
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+55
100.0%
Nathanie Tilque punt for 43 yds, downed at the EASTCRLINA 24 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction (12 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 25TD
7 plays · 88 yds · 3:25100% → 100%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
100.0%
Marquez Grayson run for 14 yds to the ECaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
100.0%
Marquez Grayson run for 6 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+6
100.0%
Anthony Scott run for 6 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
100.0%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Quay Johnson for 7 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+42
100.0%
Marquez Grayson run for 42 yds to the NCCtl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
100.0%
Kurt Benkert pass complete to Cedric Thompson for 4 yds to the NCCtl 9Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
100.0%
Kurt Benkert run for 9 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
100.0%
Kevin Thompson run for 6 yds to the NCCtl 30Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+8
100.0%
Kevin Thompson run for 8 yds to the NCCtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:14
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 20 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)
+1.3
TD · Q2 6:22
Breon Allen run for 5 yds for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q2 2:43
Shane Carden pass complete to Justin Hardy for 1 yd for a TD, (Warren Harvey KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com