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TEM

Temple 37 at Vanderbilt 7

VAN
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 28, 2014 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4TDFUMBLETDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGFGFGEnd of GameFG-0.1VAN 3.0%Zaire Williams run for 2 yds to theTemp 45AWAY 28 - HOME 17 · Q4 0:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Zaire Williams run for 2 yds to the Temp 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 188Home team on offense−38.5Pregame prior+0.0Score differential−15.7Garbage-time factor−17.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−13.1
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q2 10:18: TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards TEAM fumbled, recovered by Vandy Oren Burks for a TD, (Hayden Lekacz KICK) — VAN win probability +7.5 pts (now 66%) (top driver: Tied - offense's timeout count is neutral here).
  2. TD · Q2 9:35: P.J. Walker pass complete to Khalif Herbin for 12 yds Khalif Herbin fumbled, forced by Tre Tarpley, recovered by Vandy Jake Sealand , return to the 50 yard line — TEM win probability +8.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:39: Stephen Rivers sacked by Avery Ellis for a loss of 16 yds to the Temp 45, Stephen Rivers fumbled, forced by Avery Ellis, recovered by Temp Averee Robinson, returned 55 yds for a TD (Austin Jones Kick) — TEM win probability +19.0 pts (now 64%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:21: Hayden Lekacz 40 yd FG MISSED — VAN win probability +13.4 pts (now 48%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:55: Austin Jones 22 yd FG MISSED — TEM win probability +13.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 8 of 9TEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 14
  1. Q1 12:07TEM 4th & 3 at TEM 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:04VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:26TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:44VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:36TEM 4th & 21 at TEM 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−0.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:47TEM 4th & 5 at VAN 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    30.1%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:41VAN 4th & 13 at VAN 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:04TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 22, up 7
    Close callPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:56VAN 4th & 17 at VAN 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−1.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:18TEM 4th & 21 at TEM 13, up 7
    Numbers favored punt by 2.3 ptsWent for it · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.4%−2.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:35VAN 4th & 6 at TEM 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    58.5%−1.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 6:48TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  13. Q2 4:22VAN 4th & 22 at VAN 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−3.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%
    average punt
  14. Q2 2:35TEM 4th & 8 at VAN 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    48.8%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−1.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:21VAN 4th & 7 at TEM 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−6.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 10:26TEM 4th & 11 at TEM 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−3.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  17. Q3 8:14TEM 4th & 1 at VAN 1, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.7%−3.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    42.4%−14.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:31VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−1.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  19. Q3 1:56TEM 4th & 6 at VAN 10, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    60.0%−9.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:40TEM 4th & 4 at VAN 7, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.0%−0.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−9.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:27VAN 4th & 5 at TEM 7, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    15.6%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−6.8
    average punt
  22. Q4 6:22TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 10, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:00TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 43, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:47TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:39TEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:4831% → 32%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
68.7%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (5 Yards) to the Temp 14Similar
Q1 14:45
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+3
68.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 3 yds to the Temp 17Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+5
68.7%
Kenneth Harper run for 5 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+8
68.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 8 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
68.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Nate Hairston for 2 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
68.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+5
68.5%
Kenneth Harper run for 5 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q1 12:07
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+8
68.4%
Alex Starzyk punt for 43 yds , Darrius Sims returns for 8 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:5668% → 68%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
68.4%
Patton Robinette run for 3 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+4
68.3%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 3
OWN 35
-4
68.2%
Patton Robinette sacked by Sharif Finch for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 31Similar
Q1 10:04
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
68.0%
Colby Cooke punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Khalif Herbin at the Temp 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2932% → 32%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
68.1%
P.J. Walker run for 7 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 3
OWN 34
-3
67.8%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Khalif Herbin for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 31Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+5
68.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 5 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q1 8:26
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
68.0%
Alex Starzyk punt for 43 yds, downed at the Vandy 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3568% → 67%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
68.0%
Ralph Webb run for 9 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 1
OWN 30
-15
68.3%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Ralph Webb) to the Vandy 15Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 16
OWN 15
+10
67.8%
Ralph Webb run for 10 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
67.5%
Patton Robinette pass incomplete to Latevius RayfordSimilar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 6
OWN 25
+4
67.3%
Colby Cooke punt for 43 yds , Khalif Herbin returns for 4 yds to the Temp 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:0433% → 32%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
67.3%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 30Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 16
OWN 30
-5
67.5%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 25Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 21
OWN 25
0
67.8%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Nate HairstonSimilar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 21
OWN 25
0
68.0%
Alex Starzyk punt for 29 yds, downed at the Vandy 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6FUMBLE
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
68.4%
Brian Kimbrow run for a loss of 6 yards to the Vandy 40 Brian Kimbrow fumbled, forced by Nate D. Smith, recovered by Temp Averee RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:2034% → 37%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
66.4%
Kenneth Harper run for 2 yds to the Vandy 38, Kenneth Harper fumbled, forced by Kyle Woestmann, recovered by Temp P.J. Walker at the Vandy 40Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
66.3%
Kenneth Harper run for 3 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+2
66.3%
P.J. Walker run for 2 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q1 3:47
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+35
62.8%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brandon Shippen for 35 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 2:4963% → 61%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
63.2%
Ralph Webb run for 14 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
63.3%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Jordan Cunningham for 5 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+8
64.0%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Jordan Cunningham for 8 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
64.0%
Patton Robinette run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 8
50
-5
63.6%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Vince Taylor) to the Vandy 45Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+6
62.6%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Jordan Cunningham for 6 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 7
OPP 49
-6
62.8%
Patton Robinette sacked by Matt Ioannidis for a loss of 6 yards to the Vandy 45Similar
Q1 0:41
4TH & 13
OWN 45
0
61.1%
Colby Cooke punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:3138% → 39%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
61.8%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Nate Hairston for 4 yds to the Temp 6Similar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+7
61.6%
Kenneth Harper run for 7 yds to the Temp 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
61.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Derrek ThomasSimilar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
60.6%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+9
61.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Nate Hairston for 9 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 1
OWN 22
+6
60.7%
Alex Starzyk punt for 40 yds , Darrius Sims returns for 6 yds to the Vandy 44 VANDERBILT Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Vandy 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:5960% → 58%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+19
59.8%
Patton Robinette pass complete to Davis Dudchock for 19 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
61.1%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
60.8%
Patton Robinette pass incomplete to Kris KenteraSimilar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 8
OPP 45
-9
60.2%
Patton Robinette sacked by Avery Ellis for a loss of 9 yards to the Vandy 46Similar
Q2 11:56
4TH & 17
OWN 46
0
57.5%
Colby Cooke punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11FUMBLE TD
7 plays · -6 yds · 1:3241% → 34%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
58.9%
P.J. Walker run for 6 yds to the Temp 12Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+12
58.5%
Jamie Gilmore run for 12 yds to the Temp 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
58.1%
Jamie Gilmore run for 2 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
57.8%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Khalif HerbinSimilar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 8
OWN 26
-13
58.4%
TEMPLE Penalty, Illegal Block (13 Yards) to the Temp 13Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 21
OWN 13
0
58.6%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jalen FitzpatrickSimilar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 21
OWN 13
0
66.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards TEAM fumbled, recovered by Vandy Oren Burks for a TD, (Hayden Lekacz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:3036% → 45%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
63.9%
P.J. Walker run for 3 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+12
55.4%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Khalif Herbin for 12 yds Khalif Herbin fumbled, forced by Tre Tarpley, recovered by Vandy Jake Sealand , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:5059% → 57%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
50
+2
58.6%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+2
58.6%
Stephen Rivers run for 2 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
58.0%
Stephen Rivers pass incomplete to Davis DudchockSimilar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
56.5%
Colby Cooke punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Khalif Herbin at the Temp 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:4044% → 45%
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
56.4%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Khalif Herbin for 9 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+3
55.2%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
54.4%
P.J. Walker sacked by Ryan White and Adam Butler for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+5
54.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 5 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
53.8%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Khalif HerbinSimilar
Q2 6:48
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+14
55.0%
Alex Starzyk punt for 41 yds , Darrius Sims returns for 14 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:1355% → 52%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-8
55.3%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 44 VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive Holding (Joe Townsend) to the Vandy 34Similar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 18
OWN 34
0
53.1%
Stephen Rivers pass incomplete to Ralph WebbSimilar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 18
OWN 34
0
53.1%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 34Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 18
OWN 34
-10
51.7%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive Holding (Joe Townsend) to the Vandy 24Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 28
OWN 24
+6
51.3%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 4:22
4TH & 22
OWN 30
+2
51.8%
Colby Cooke punt for 36 yds , Khalif Herbin returns for 2 yds to the Temp 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16PUNT TD
10 plays · -12 yds · 2:0849% → 56%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
51.0%
Kenneth Harper run for 4 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
50.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Nate Hairston for 7 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
49.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Nate Hairston for 16 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
47.3%
Jamie Gilmore run for 4 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-2
46.6%
Jamie Gilmore run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 35Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
46.5%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q2 2:35
4TH & 8
OPP 35
+11
48.4%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Nate Hairston for 11 yds to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
45.4%
Jamie Gilmore run for 6 yds to the Vandy 18Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+18
44.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 18 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17FUMBLE RETURN TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:1651% → 36%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
50.6%
Stephen Rivers pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 15 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
50.8%
Stephen Rivers pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 11 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
52.4%
Stephen Rivers run for 5 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+20
53.2%
Stephen Rivers pass complete to Steven Scheu for 20 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
55.1%
Stephen Rivers pass incomplete to Trey WilkinsSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-55
36.0%
Stephen Rivers sacked by Avery Ellis for a loss of 16 yds to the Temp 45, Stephen Rivers fumbled, forced by Avery Ellis, recovered by Temp Averee Robinson, returned 55 yds for a TD (Austin Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.2%
Dallas Rivers run for 3 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19TD
8 plays · 0 yds · 3:2438% → 48%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
37.8%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+5
37.2%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+30
37.2%
Stephen Rivers pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 30 yds to the Temp 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
37.1%
Stephen Rivers pass incomplete to Ralph WebbSimilar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-3
36.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 28 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Vandy Kellen WilliamsSimilar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 13
OPP 28
+6
34.4%
Stephen Rivers pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 6 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q3 11:21
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+40
47.8%
Hayden Lekacz 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20END OF HALF
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4955% → 54%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
44.6%
Kenneth Harper run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 19Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+2
44.8%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Kenneth Harper for 2 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 11
OWN 21
0
45.6%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Saledeem MajorSimilar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 11
OWN 21
-11
46.4%
Alex Starzyk punt for 37 yds , Darrius Sims returns for a loss of 11 yards to the Vandy 31 Darrius Sims fumbled, recovered by Temp Jahad ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21MISSED FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:0660% → 58%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
40.1%
Jamie Gilmore run for 6 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+17
39.8%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Khalif Herbin for 17 yds to the Vandy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
39.2%
P.J. Walker run for no gain to the Vandy 8Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
38.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Wanemi Omuso for 4 yds to the Vandy 4Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
39.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 3 yds to the Vandy 1Similar
Q3 8:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
41.7%
Austin Jones 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22PUNT
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
45.0%
Johnny McCrary pass intercepted by Tavon Young, returned for no gain to the Vandy 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23FUMBLE TD
7 plays · -11 yds · 1:4261% → 63%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
38.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Vandy 42Similar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 15
OPP 42
0
39.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jahad ThomasSimilar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 15
OPP 42
+2
39.4%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 13
OPP 40
+25
39.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brandon Shippen for 25 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
37.4%
Kenneth Harper run for no gain to the Vandy 15Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+12
37.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jalen Fitzpatrick for 12 yds to the Vandy 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
36.8%
P.J. Walker run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 24FG
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:4944% → 50%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
43.8%
Ralph Webb run for 9 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+4
45.9%
Dallas Rivers run for 4 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
43.3%
Dallas Rivers run for 2 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
43.3%
Johnny McCrary pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+35
49.5%
Johnny McCrary pass intercepted Tavon Young return for 35 yds to the Vandy 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 25INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1946% → 43%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
46.0%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
46.5%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 25Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
44.5%
Stephen Rivers pass incomplete to Ralph WebbSimilar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
42.6%
Colby Cooke punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Khalif Herbin at the Temp 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 26TD
7 plays · 37 yds · 1:4562% → 75%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
38.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 8 yds to the Vandy 12Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+4
37.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Vandy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
37.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the Vandy 7Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
37.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q3 0:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
38.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Vandy 4Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 0
OPP 4
+22
24.9%
Austin Jones 22 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 2:0972% → 71%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
27.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Khalif Herbin for 4 yds to the Vandy 10Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 6
OPP 10
-1
27.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Nate Hairston for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 11Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+1
26.9%
P.J. Walker run for 1 yd to the Vandy 10Similar
Q3 1:56
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
29.3%
Austin Jones 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 28FG
9 plays · 4 yds · 3:4279% → 88%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
20.7%
Jamie Gilmore run for 20 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
19.8%
Jamie Gilmore run for 3 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+14
19.5%
Jamie Gilmore run for 14 yds to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
18.4%
Jahad Thomas run for 11 yds to the Vandy 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
17.1%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the Vandy 13Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+1
14.7%
Zaire Williams run for 1 yd to the Vandy 12Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+5
14.8%
Zaire Williams run for 5 yds to the Vandy 7Similar
Q4 9:40
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
11.6%
Tyler Mayes 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 29FUMBLE
11 plays · 0 yds · 2:0117% → 17%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
17.2%
Stephen Rivers pass incomplete to Caleb ScottSimilar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+19
16.3%
Stephen Rivers pass complete to Trey Wilkins for 19 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
18.2%
Stephen Rivers pass complete to Steven Scheu for 4 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
18.5%
Stephen Rivers pass incomplete to Latevius RayfordSimilar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+11
17.4%
Stephen Rivers pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 11 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+28
19.2%
Stephen Rivers pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 28 yds to the Temp 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
21.7%
Dallas Rivers run for 5 yds to the Temp 7Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
21.0%
Stephen Rivers pass incomplete to Steven ScheuSimilar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
19.2%
Stephen Rivers pass incomplete to Jordan CunninghamSimilar
Q4 7:27
4TH & 5
OPP 7
0
17.3%
Stephen Rivers pass incomplete to C.J. DuncanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 30MISSED FG
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:5890% → 91%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
9.6%
Zaire Williams run for 3 yds to the Temp 10Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 7
OWN 10
0
9.0%
Connor Reilly pass incomplete to Cole BoozerSimilar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 7
OWN 10
0
9.4%
Connor Reilly pass incomplete to Samuel BenjaminSimilar
Q4 6:22
4TH & 7
OWN 10
+9
8.7%
Alex Starzyk punt for 58 yds , Darrius Sims returns for 9 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 31PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 2:3213% → 10%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+21
13.3%
Stephen Rivers pass complete to Steven Scheu for 21 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
14.4%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Illegal Formation (5 Yards) to the Temp 43Similar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 15
OPP 43
0
13.0%
Stephen Rivers pass incomplete to C.J. DuncanSimilar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+12
12.9%
Stephen Rivers pass complete to Dillon van der Wal for 12 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+9
15.0%
Stephen Rivers pass complete to Caleb Scott for 9 yds to the Temp 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
16.1%
Dallas Rivers run for 2 yds to the Temp 20Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
15.3%
Stephen Rivers pass incomplete to Latevius RayfordSimilar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 8
OPP 20
-11
13.0%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive Holding (Vince Taylor) to the Temp 31Similar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 19
OPP 31
+20
9.9%
Stephen Rivers pass intercepted Cequan Jefferson return for 20 yds to the Temp 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 32FG
6 plays · 54 yds · 3:3594% → 97%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
5.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
4.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 8 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
4.2%
Zaire Williams run for 2 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+3
3.0%
Zaire Williams run for 3 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+1
3.1%
Zaire Williams run for 1 yd to the Temp 43Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+2
3.0%
Zaire Williams run for 2 yds to the Temp 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:39
Stephen Rivers sacked by Avery Ellis for a loss of 16 yds to the Temp 45, Stephen Rivers fumbled, forced by Avery Ellis, recovered by Temp Averee Robinson, returned 55 yds for a TD (Austin Jones Kick)
-19
TD · Q4 14:55
Austin Jones 22 yd FG MISSED
-13.5
TD · Q3 11:21
Hayden Lekacz 40 yd FG MISSED
+13.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com